I don't like moving away from the cannon for the early years of the game, like having codreanu assassinated or a fourth faction winning the us civil war.
My cannon is that Long win the SACW in 1939, the Balkan league defeats Bulgaria in 38, the labourists win in France while Moseley wins in UK and the Christian left wins in Italy. Vargas is elected in Brazil and creates the new state, while there is no war between mittelafrika and Portugal, while the CEO of racism Goering is removed. During the second weltkrieg the free French and Canadians land in the south while the Internationale front collapses in mid 1943, but any attempts to invade the UoB from Germany or the entente fail so they sign a peace isolating Britain, giving it the North Korea effect of being isolated and strengthening Moseley totalitarian dictatorship. Long retires in 1952 and the USA democratises into a populist democracy. The German empire modernized the sonnderweg system in the 1960s expanding voting rights, while the Kaiser still keep his powers to serve as a brake for the parliament.
On Asia the Qing eventually annex the warlords and go to war with the Japanese, eventually resulting on a wing victory by Japan keeps Formosa and eventually integrates it as a province and give voting rights and a parliamentary representation in Tokyo for them.
Oh, Carles rules until his death in 1946 and manages to have Chile, bolivia and Paraguay as his puppets, while allyo g with Peru under Oscar Benevides, vir he does not invade Brazil since it is aligned with the USA.
And Paulus gets encircled on the beginning of the second weltkrieg, because if it is a WWII scenario we need to have a encircled Paulus, that is a tradition.