Very interesting thought on Tunisia.
Any thoughts on Franco's possible plans for Morocco?
I think Lebanon may actually come out of this smelling well. With that Lebanese resistance group active and the IU hints, I think Lebanon will get the Austria Treatment and be treated as a country conquered by the UAR.
Also the Western Powers I doubt will give the RA their full shopping list. If Einstein is still President of Israel i expect he will be working hard to try and do damage control on the peace.
So just as I expect Kurdistan is a Western Project the RA is forced to accept I suspect Lebanon intact but under RA influence will be a compromise. In return Turkey probably carves another chunk off Syria and the remnant whatever number of states it ends up is recognized as in the Turkish Sphere of Influence. I think beside Lebanon Italy will focus on the Arabian peninsula via its colonial empire and expanding its influence in Northern Africa.
Or as Mussolini might say in regard to terminology: "Libya is Southernmost Europe."
Franco might make Morocco as Spanish protectorate controlled by Berbers. So basically Berber Apartheid state under Franco's protection.
I think too that Lebanon probably gets Austria treatment. Lebanon might become Fasicst Christian state. Perhaps government try promote Aramaic language and replace Arabic with that. Probably Lebanon will get several Christian refugees from non-Israel Middle East when Muslim Arabs turn their hatred towards Christians.
Syria is difficult question. Surely Turkey annex some places if not whole country.
We already know that there is independent Kurdistan where lives Arabs too. Rest of Iraq might be divided as Sunni and Shia states.