With a POD no earlier than 1950 make the Russian federation have all of the territory it lost with the collapse of the Soviet union.
Possible?
Possible?
With a POD no earlier than 1950 make the Russian federation have all of the territory it lost with the collapse of the Soviet union.
Possible?
With a POD no earlier than 1950 make the Russian federation have all of the territory it lost with the collapse of the Soviet union.
Possible?
You aren’t wrong especially if the US keeps getting more friendly with them and less so with the EU but that’s more for a future pod instead of a alternative history onePutin's trying as hard as he can, guys, you need to give it time
You aren’t wrong especially if the US keeps getting more friendly with them and less so with the EU but that’s more for a future pod instead of a alternative history one
I wonder how this would affect things when communism falls.Sometime in 1950-3 Stalin decides that his original idea in the early 1920's--that all Soviet Republics should enter the RSFSR as "autonomous republics" so that Ukraine should have the same status as Bashkiria or Yakutia--should now be implemented. After all, there is no longer a Lenin around to block the idea.
I wonder how this would affect things when communism falls.
Well, if you can permit some of Russian territories to be temporarily occupied by foreign powers, when the OTL Russia is already have the territory of former Soviet Union.. at least in the minds of Russian fervent nationalists.With a POD no earlier than 1950 make the Russian federation have all of the territory it lost with the collapse of the Soviet union.
Possible?
The closest thing I can think of is the New Union Treaty, which would in return require the August Coup not to happen as that was what killed the treaty and led to the dissolution of the USSR.
Sometime in 1950-3 Stalin decides that his original idea in the early 1920's--that all Soviet Republics should enter the RSFSR as "autonomous republics" so that Ukraine should have the same status as Bashkiria or Yakutia--should now be implemented. After all, there is no longer a Lenin around to block the idea.
That motivation is certainly possible, the European SSRs were more likely to oppose keeping the USSR than Central Asians in the 1991 referendum on keeping the USSR.One of the problems with this idea is that the citizens of the more developed Slavic dominated SSRs were eager to shed the central asian republics. I don't have a source for this but that is my gut feeling.
The after-1950 condition makes this pretty difficult. The territorial gains and casualties from WW2 probably decreased the USSR's longevity and stability on balance. Nationalism would be weaker in a smaller Ukrainian SSR that doesn't include Galicia. Giving Poland its own version of the Troubles could make Soviet rule look more attractive in comparison. Also, the Baltic States will probably need to become Russian or East Slavic majority if they're going to voluntarily remain within the Union.
If the USSR implemented a two-child policy for non-Russian nationalities and natalist policies for Russians, the country would have a higher chance of surviving. The central government would have to effectively abolish the SSR system by changing boundaries to keep SSRs from getting too homogenous, or mandating extensive population transfers. Stalin did this on a small scale OTL with the Tatars, Volga Germans, Poles, and Koreans, but Ukrainians and Belarusians are too numerous to deport them all to Kazakhstan + Siberia and settle Russians in their place.
Ethnic differences in fertility were a major problem for the USSR in its last decade or so. The Russian share of the population was decreasing in the post war years, and the Union as a whole would have become Russian-minority if it was still around in the mid-90s. This made it much harder for the central government to assert control over the non-Russian SSRs and keep nationalists and separatists under control. Muslim-majority ethnic groups were responsible for a disproportionate share of population growth, but the Union's traditionally Muslim ethnic groups were less likely than East Slavs to migrate to other republics of the union for economic reasons. This means that labor shortages were set to become a growing problem for much of the USSR. There was net Russian migration to the European SSRs, but this provoked a nationalist backlash and support for migration restrictions in places like the Baltic States. I'm getting this demographic data from Growth and Diversity of the Population of the Soviet Union.
It is a myth. After the death of Lenin, Stalin continued the same policy.
I don't quite get by what you mean by "It is a myth." I am not denying that Stalin went along with Lenin's proposal for a USSR instead of an expanded RSFSR and continued it after Lenin's death. But the OP asks "With a POD no earlier than 1950 make the Russian federation have all of the territory it lost with the collapse of the Soviet union" and the (relatively) most plausible way I can think of doing this is to have Stalin after 1950 change his mind and revert to his "autonomization" scheme of the early 1920's which had been vetoed by Lenin. I agree that Stalin is not very likely to do so, but it's the least implausible scenario I could think of--his successors are even less likely to do this.