1640: The Ottomans Go Extinct

Historically, the Ottoman Dynasty came close to extinction in 1640 when Murad IV died and he reportedly was about to execute his brother Ibrahim (who became Sultan after his death) before his death, so what happens next if Ibrahim had been executed before Murad IV's death? AFAIK, the Girays would take over the Ottoman Empire if the Ottomans had gone extinct, but how stable would their rule be? What would an "Ottoman Empire" ruled by the Girays look like? Do the enemies of the Ottoman Empire take advantage of this?
 
Since the Habsburg Empire is struggling against most of Europe at the moment, it wouldn't be able to take immediate advantage of any upheaval. However, I do believe a lot of the Balkan regions would immediately attempt to break free from the Turkish yolk and more than a few would succeed. The PLC would be best positioned to help facilitate this, maybe not able to take these regions for themselves but set up PLC-friendly client states, so perhaps Hungary, Wallachia, and Moldova become buffer states.
 
Since the Habsburg Empire is struggling against most of Europe at the moment, it wouldn't be able to take immediate advantage of any upheaval. However, I do believe a lot of the Balkan regions would immediately attempt to break free from the Turkish yolk and more than a few would succeed. The PLC would be best positioned to help facilitate this, maybe not able to take these regions for themselves but set up PLC-friendly client states, so perhaps Hungary, Wallachia, and Moldova become buffer states.

Poland alone has no resources to do this. They would fail horribly. By the 1640s, Russia is their biggest threat.
 
Since the Habsburg Empire is struggling against most of Europe at the moment, it wouldn't be able to take immediate advantage of any upheaval. However, I do believe a lot of the Balkan regions would immediately attempt to break free from the Turkish yolk and more than a few would succeed. The PLC would be best positioned to help facilitate this, maybe not able to take these regions for themselves but set up PLC-friendly client states, so perhaps Hungary, Wallachia, and Moldova become buffer states.

PLC were actually friendly with the Crimea and Adil Giray was even on the ballot to be King of Poland.
 
Poland alone has no resources to do this. They would fail horribly. By the 1640s, Russia is their biggest threat.
Not during 1640s. It is a time when king Władysław IV started making plans of Turkish War and he even wanted Russia as ally against Ottomans. His plans were obviously unpopular and their most notable result was biggest Cossack uprising PLC ever faced, but still, at the Russia is not seen as biggest threat for PLC.
 
PLC were actually friendly with the Crimea and Adil Giray was even on the ballot to be King of Poland.
Władysław IV was so friendly towards Crimean Khanate that he planned to conquer it. And having totally peaceful relations with Crimean Khanate is something impossible. If you have peace with Crimea that means that horde ravaging your country is just smaller than it used to be ;)
 
My guess is Mehmet IV (for both) reign is uninterrupted by Islam III as he's given the Crimean Khanate. BTW I can't find a Giray family tree.
 

Metaverse

Banned
With such an instability in the Ottomon Empire, I think Balkans including Greece could be reconquered by an European power in the vicinity like Hungary or HRE/Germany. If they do so, the zeal about conquering back Constantinople could be lesser considering they already have their Catholic holy cities in Germany and Italy.

If an Orthodox power like Bulgaria or Russia does it, then a potential reconquest of Constantinople could be on their agenda.
 
With such an instability in the Ottomon Empire, I think Balkans including Greece could be reconquered by an European power in the vicinity like Hungary or HRE/Germany. If they do so, the zeal about conquering back Constantinople could be lesser considering they already have their Catholic holy cities in Germany and Italy.

If an Orthodox power like Bulgaria or Russia does it, then a potential reconquest of Constantinople could be on their agenda.
And Mesopotamia is going to become Safavid territory?
 

Metaverse

Banned
And Mesopotamia is going to become Safavid territory?
Mesopotamia could face a power vacuum for a few years. Safivids who would be observing these could mobilize to take charge of the lands without any strong ruling power like Syria, Levant and Egypt. The Arabs were quite disunited by then to singlehandedly rise to form a dynasty again. It was too long after an Arab power existed.

But if the Catholic Holy Roman Empire/Greater Germany gets the whole Balkans, their eyes would immediately fall on the Levant too, to take what is today Syria, Lebanon and Israel along with Egypt, as a part of Holy conquests. The attitudes of the Catholic Empire on the Native Arab Muslims and Jews would decide what happens next.
 
What challenges to the Empire do you expect to be in the immediate period after the Ottomans go extinct and why?
We could see local strongmen assert independence, and/or pressure applied by Russia, Poland, and Persia among others. Perhaps someone of prominence who is distantly related to the last sultan will attempt to gain power.
 
With such an instability in the Ottomon Empire, I think Balkans including Greece could be reconquered by an European power in the vicinity like Hungary or HRE/Germany. If they do so, the zeal about conquering back Constantinople could be lesser considering they already have their Catholic holy cities in Germany and Italy.

If an Orthodox power like Bulgaria or Russia does it, then a potential reconquest of Constantinople could be on their agenda.

Literally zero chance
 
Mesopotamia could face a power vacuum for a few years. Safivids who would be observing these could mobilize to take charge of the lands without any strong ruling power like Syria, Levant and Egypt. The Arabs were quite disunited by then to singlehandedly rise to form a dynasty again. It was too long after an Arab power existed.

But if the Catholic Holy Roman Empire/Greater Germany gets the whole Balkans, their eyes would immediately fall on the Levant too, to take what is today Syria, Lebanon and Israel along with Egypt, as a part of Holy conquests. The attitudes of the Catholic Empire on the Native Arab Muslims and Jews would decide what happens next.

Also zero chance
 
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