The murderous plans Germany had for Eastern Europe if they'd won are well known. Did Japan have an equivalent to Generalplan Ost?
Or fall apart in coup after coup after coup. In part the Japanese expansion was the result of a combination of intense Army-Navy rivalries and the typical sort of colonialist dickwaving you saw among most WW1-era politicians."Same thing we do every night Pinky." The Brain.
Every previous success spurred young up and comers to invade someone else, so it is easy to imagine a Japan that gets everything it wants, pause for a minute, then roll the dice again.
Japanese war planners IOTL had very tight reference group, not even including majority of low-class Japanese, were guided by the bad template of British Empire in colonization and exploitation, but were not suicidal or stupid. As soon as acquired territories would become the source of trouble, these would be gradually given independence.I had the impression that all the colonizing powers (the US, the UK, the French and the Dutch) were to be evicted. Then Japan would just take over, and I doubt the locals would be treated any better than before despite Japan's promises...
Japanese war planners IOTL had very tight reference group, not even including majority of low-class Japanese, were guided by the bad template of British Empire in colonization and exploitation, but were not suicidal or stupid. As soon as acquired territories would become the source of trouble, these would be gradually given independence.
Therefore, as soon as anti-colonial movement gains momentum (the first signs, IOTL completely missed by Japanese, were in 1933), the development of Japanese Empire going to be similar to the collapse of French colonial empire, and approximately in the same timeframe (armed struggle in 1945-1955, followed by decolonization). Minor parts of captured territories (parts of East China and French Indochina?) likely to be integrated into Japan proper though, similar to how New Caledonia remains French for now.
Not likely. The epoch of political assassinations in Japan have ended in 1939 already.I can't help but think that anyone advocating giving "Rightful" Japanese colonies to the control of the native population would find themselves assassinated in fairly short order.
Not likely. The epoch of political assassinations in Japan have ended in 1939 already.
Japanese war planners IOTL had very tight reference group, not even including majority of low-class Japanese, were guided by the bad template of British Empire in colonization and exploitation, but were not suicidal or stupid.
Therefore, as soon as anti-colonial movement gains momentum (the first signs, IOTL completely missed by Japanese, were in 1933),
You overvalue the Kyujo incident of 1945. All of Hatanaka`s rebels planned assassinations have failed, primarily due very low support from opposing government officials and even plot members.Right. Which is why there was no such incident where junior army members tried to seize control of the government in 1945 to prevent the surrender.
Mental inertia and senility of decision-makers results is very late decisions. Well, average politician act on issues which arise about 10-20 years before his/her terms. In case of Japanese WWII state, with very strict promotion-by-seniority system, the lag between actual issue (independence sentiments in colonies in this case) and political reaction was close to 30 years. Therefore, sentiments have more time do develop into bloody conflict.Which is why the Japanese reaction to movements that acted against their colonial enterprises was to violently murder the fuck out of them.
Mental inertia and senility of decision-makers results is very late decisions. Well, average politician act on issues which arise about 10-20 years before his/her terms. In case of Japanese WWII state, with very strict promotion-by-seniority system, the lag between actual issue and political reaction was close to upper end of that range (~20 years).
It related. Very long careers and huge lags in decision-making have naturally alienated Japanese senior elites from the youths, resulted in a lot of insubordination. The problem was grasped in full after shameful defeat at Khalhin Gol (Nomonhan) though, and wave of "nuts tightening" in IJA has reduced the scale of of problems, although underlying issue of promotion system defect is not solved even today. In 1945, Americans just beheaded senile elite, resulting in one-generation long growth burst (which ended in Lost Decades), instead of actually fixing the defect.I'm not sure how, for example, the fashion of Japanese junior officers in their 20s beheading civilians who protested brutal and exploitation Japanese policies in occupied territories can be put down to "senility"...