Alternate Electoral Maps III
- Thread starter killertahu22
- Start date
This is all done outside of DRA.
TX was actually incredibly nice about a month and a half ago, and posted the precinct data for all 2018 races in one excel file. This on its own would be awsoawe, but the state posted a precinct shapefile as well that actually matched perfectly. From here, one draws their DRA map, exports it to a .CSV, and then joins it to the appropriate shapefile in GIS. I have yet to find the DRA 2020 shapefiles online, so this step involved drawing the new 2020 districts in DRA 2010 (and ignoring the outdated pop numbers), exporting that to .csv, and then joining it to the 2010 precinct shapefile. After a bit of geoprocessing, you get a shapefile of your new districts that should be overlayed the map of 2018 precinct results. From here, it's only a bit of spatial calculation to get the results by district, which can then be converted to percentages and then presented in GIS.
Alright so heres an interesting question: what if in 2004 the Jesusland proposal had become a reality because, IDK, an ASB says so, what would it take for a Dem (specifically a Clinton equivalent so that I can use OTL vote numbers and be lazy) to win here? Well to figure that out I first had to figure out the amount of house districts so I could make the electoral college accurate, to do so I assumed they would keep the 435 electoral districts of OTL, as it is the US successor state ITTL since the remaining states went to Canada, then to figure out the allocation I first figured out the population of this alternate US (174,891,376), I then divided that by 435 to get the population for the average electoral district (402049.14023), I then took the population of each US state and divided it with the average and came out with this:
I then added 2 to each to get the electoral college allocation:
I then decided to see not only the minimum states a Dem would have to win to win the electoral college based on 2016, but also a Republican, and here is what I got
Website I used to help me make this: https://www.yapms.com/app/
I then added 2 to each to get the electoral college allocation:
I then decided to see not only the minimum states a Dem would have to win to win the electoral college based on 2016, but also a Republican, and here is what I got
Website I used to help me make this: https://www.yapms.com/app/
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Made a GOP Gerrymander of Oregon.
Oregon's 1st Congressional District: D+12.88, Obama 63.3%
Oregon's 2nd Congressional District: R+12.08, McCain 54.9%
Oregon's 3rd Congressional District: D+27.55, Obama 76.5%
Oregon's 4th Congressional District: R+2.95, Obama 50.6%
Oregon's 5th Congressional District: R+3.24, Obama 51.3%
Maryland, If their was (Maybe) no Gerrymandering and the U.S had the Philippines as U.S States.
1st: District (Green): Even 49% Democratic-49% Republican
2nd District (Purple): Good Republican: 42% Democratic-56% Republican
3rd District (Red): Fair Democratic: 51% Democratic-48% Republican
4th District (Yellow): Great Democratic: 69% Democratic-30% Republican
5th District (Blue): Great Democratic: 89% Democratic-11% Republican
6th District (Grey): Great Democratic: 76% Democratic-23% Republican
The 1982 and 1988 U.S. Presidential Elections in Forgotten No More:
United States Presidential Election of 1982
President Newman was well liked throughout the nation, but his ambitious move to get an American on the moon - the Eurasian Union did so in 1979 - wouldn't come to fruition in his term. An economic downturn marred the nation as 1982 rolled around, and there were serious questions about who would be the Tomorrow nominee and if they'd be able to inspire a second victory.
The two party had died, at least momentarily, with the rise of Newman. His Presidency oversaw increased funding for education and the United States Space Agency (USSA/U.S. Space Agency/the Space Agency), cuts to military funds, and, critically, the passage of the ironically known Newman Amendment, which once overturned the Mansfield Amendment and capped the Presidency at a one-term limit. At the same time, Newman oversaw increased corporate deregulation, and his opponents from both the Federalist and Workers Parties began using the growing recession to attack the Tomorrow Party as fiscally irresponsible.
The Workers Party hoped to attack Newman's presidency from the left, and ultimately nominated the nominally socialist Baptist minister and Senator from Georgia, Martin Luther King Jr., pairing him with Congressman Bernard Sanders of Vermont.
The Tomorrow Party seemed to be in for a protracted primary, by Vice-President Mary Susana Roberts grabbed the early primaries and rolled her way to the nomination steadily from there. The granddaughter of the great President Nicholas Butler, and brainchild of the Tomorrow Party, the Vice-President strived to make the campaign about the First Woman President. It was a message that voters actually supported, particularly the women across America that had been voting in earnest for nearly a century and were yet to see their own President. It's force may have been wholly greater still, if not for the Federalist nominee.
Liberal bastion and Governor of Ward Dorothy Ann Willis Richards forged a path through the Federalist Primaries that was poised to 're-align' the Party towards the ideals of Warren, De Priest and Butler. She was paired with freshman Senator Bill Bradley of New Jersey, who carried star power as a former UBL player.
The battle became a three-way split that left pundits unsure of who would ultimately take the Presidency. By a razor thin margin, the two women in the race pushed onward to the run-off - a first in US Presidential election history, and assuring that the next President would be the first woman President ever.
Dorothy A.W. Richards (F-WD)/Bill Bradley (F-NJ) 36.7%
Mary S. Roberts* (T-NY)/Theodore F. Stevens Jr. (T-AL) 30.4%
Martin L. King Jr. (W-GA)/Bernard Sanders (W-VT) 27.7%
Other 5.2%
Dorothy A.W. Richards (F-WD)/Bill Bradley (F-NJ) 51.6%
Mary S. Roberts* (T-NY)/Theodore F. Stevens Jr. (T-AL) 48.4%
In a close vote, Dorothy Richards would make history, becoming the first woman President of the United States.
United States Presidential Election of 1988
The 1988 election is significant in that it saw the only instance of a past, failed Presidential candidate come back and win the election. President Richards was popular enough as a political force of nature, but she was term-limited.
America in 1988 was in a cultural golden period. The Tomorrow Party and Paul Newman's dreams of a top tier space program came to fruition - albeit two years after Newman left office - in 1985 when the United States became the second country to land on the Moon. Moreover, President Richards oversaw the signing of the International Peace in Space Treaty at the GSN. The treaty was mainly an accord between the Eurasian Union and the United States to play nice.
Concurrently, the Tempi movie industry entered its Second Golden Age in the 1980s, dominating world cinema. Many movies would be inspired by space, particularly the 1988 hit Into the Void that gave rise to the space-thriller genre, along with the 1989 epic space opera Phantom Menace, the first in the six-part Star Wars franchise by George Peters (Peterfilms). Into the Void tracks a crew of astronauts sent on a mission to Mars, only to have their GPS and control systems fail shortly after leaving orbit. Drifting into space, the movie follows the growing hysteria of the crew members trapped inside. Phantom Menace highlighted a huge, immersive world of alien lifeforms behind a plot that told the tale of a decaying intergalactic system. Most of the movie follows Antonin Skywalker and Hondo Kenobi, two teenage apprentices of the Order of Light - a group of monks who can harness a power known as the Force - as they help their teacher, Master Jinn, on a mission to uncover the identity of a murderer known only as the Phantom Menace.
And American music was also spreading across the planet, as was American art. Perhaps the only thing the United States wasn't exporting were students, as young people the world over did whatever possible to get education VISAs. Despite growing religious protests attacking everything from the growing intrastate movement to move funds from private religious schools to public schools, to the teaching of evolution and creationism in the classroom, the American education system continued to lead the world.
But the economy didn't really get much better under President Richards. It certainly stopped falling, and even picked up from it's lowest points in 1982, but it stabilized at a rather eh place. The reality was that the working demographics across America were changing faster than the jobs themselves. Too many educated citizens, too little jobs. Too many jobs in the mines and fields, too little people to fill them. One solution was the complete overhaul of the immigration system under President Richards to allow more poor immigrants to come to the United States.
But aside from that, there was a growing sense that the economy had gotten better - for the rich. Richards immigration reform didn't play well with the poorer sectors of the country, including poor minorities already in the country. Her calls for a push toward renewable energy was laughed at and ridiculed by members of her own party (oh there was much oil in Alaska, and the Frontier ya see). What exactly would her successor latch onto?
The Workers Party renominated the fiery Senator from Georgia, a first in the modern era, and he made his plea to the American people a simple one: Change Now, Not Later. Martin Luther King Jr.'s campaign of universal health care, housing reform and drug rehabilitation (a new, growing problem across the country since the rise of drug use in the 1950s/60s) efforts simply captivated the public more than what Vice-President Bill Bradley could bring to the table.
Plus the Vice-President ran a terribly lax campaign. Polls taken a month before the first round indicated that Americans were actually likely to support President Richards far more than literally any other Federalist put in her stead.
The Tomorrow Party nominated billionaire Thomas Rosen who mostly rallied against the Immigration Reform Act and against the American Free Trade Agreement (AFTA) signed by most of the nations north of Mexico (with the exception of the Native State). Rosen's campaign garnered appeal, but not enough to bring him into the second round.
Martin L. King Jr. (W-GA)/Thomas R. Harkin (W-SK) 41.7%
William W. Bradley (F-NJ)/Paul E. Tsongas (F-MA) 36.4%
Thomas Rosen (T-OH)/James B. Stockdale (T-WA) 17.5%
Other 4.4%
Martin L. King Jr. (W-GA)/Thomas R. Harkin (W-SK) 51.7%
William W. Bradley (F-NJ)/Paul E. Tsongas (F-MA) 48.3%
Senator King would be the third African-American elected to the office, and the first since President De Priest won the office in 1934.
United States Presidential Election of 1982
President Newman was well liked throughout the nation, but his ambitious move to get an American on the moon - the Eurasian Union did so in 1979 - wouldn't come to fruition in his term. An economic downturn marred the nation as 1982 rolled around, and there were serious questions about who would be the Tomorrow nominee and if they'd be able to inspire a second victory.
The two party had died, at least momentarily, with the rise of Newman. His Presidency oversaw increased funding for education and the United States Space Agency (USSA/U.S. Space Agency/the Space Agency), cuts to military funds, and, critically, the passage of the ironically known Newman Amendment, which once overturned the Mansfield Amendment and capped the Presidency at a one-term limit. At the same time, Newman oversaw increased corporate deregulation, and his opponents from both the Federalist and Workers Parties began using the growing recession to attack the Tomorrow Party as fiscally irresponsible.
The Workers Party hoped to attack Newman's presidency from the left, and ultimately nominated the nominally socialist Baptist minister and Senator from Georgia, Martin Luther King Jr., pairing him with Congressman Bernard Sanders of Vermont.
The Tomorrow Party seemed to be in for a protracted primary, by Vice-President Mary Susana Roberts grabbed the early primaries and rolled her way to the nomination steadily from there. The granddaughter of the great President Nicholas Butler, and brainchild of the Tomorrow Party, the Vice-President strived to make the campaign about the First Woman President. It was a message that voters actually supported, particularly the women across America that had been voting in earnest for nearly a century and were yet to see their own President. It's force may have been wholly greater still, if not for the Federalist nominee.
Liberal bastion and Governor of Ward Dorothy Ann Willis Richards forged a path through the Federalist Primaries that was poised to 're-align' the Party towards the ideals of Warren, De Priest and Butler. She was paired with freshman Senator Bill Bradley of New Jersey, who carried star power as a former UBL player.
The battle became a three-way split that left pundits unsure of who would ultimately take the Presidency. By a razor thin margin, the two women in the race pushed onward to the run-off - a first in US Presidential election history, and assuring that the next President would be the first woman President ever.
Dorothy A.W. Richards (F-WD)/Bill Bradley (F-NJ) 36.7%
Mary S. Roberts* (T-NY)/Theodore F. Stevens Jr. (T-AL) 30.4%
Martin L. King Jr. (W-GA)/Bernard Sanders (W-VT) 27.7%
Other 5.2%
Dorothy A.W. Richards (F-WD)/Bill Bradley (F-NJ) 51.6%
Mary S. Roberts* (T-NY)/Theodore F. Stevens Jr. (T-AL) 48.4%
United States Presidential Election of 1988
The 1988 election is significant in that it saw the only instance of a past, failed Presidential candidate come back and win the election. President Richards was popular enough as a political force of nature, but she was term-limited.
America in 1988 was in a cultural golden period. The Tomorrow Party and Paul Newman's dreams of a top tier space program came to fruition - albeit two years after Newman left office - in 1985 when the United States became the second country to land on the Moon. Moreover, President Richards oversaw the signing of the International Peace in Space Treaty at the GSN. The treaty was mainly an accord between the Eurasian Union and the United States to play nice.
Concurrently, the Tempi movie industry entered its Second Golden Age in the 1980s, dominating world cinema. Many movies would be inspired by space, particularly the 1988 hit Into the Void that gave rise to the space-thriller genre, along with the 1989 epic space opera Phantom Menace, the first in the six-part Star Wars franchise by George Peters (Peterfilms). Into the Void tracks a crew of astronauts sent on a mission to Mars, only to have their GPS and control systems fail shortly after leaving orbit. Drifting into space, the movie follows the growing hysteria of the crew members trapped inside. Phantom Menace highlighted a huge, immersive world of alien lifeforms behind a plot that told the tale of a decaying intergalactic system. Most of the movie follows Antonin Skywalker and Hondo Kenobi, two teenage apprentices of the Order of Light - a group of monks who can harness a power known as the Force - as they help their teacher, Master Jinn, on a mission to uncover the identity of a murderer known only as the Phantom Menace.
And American music was also spreading across the planet, as was American art. Perhaps the only thing the United States wasn't exporting were students, as young people the world over did whatever possible to get education VISAs. Despite growing religious protests attacking everything from the growing intrastate movement to move funds from private religious schools to public schools, to the teaching of evolution and creationism in the classroom, the American education system continued to lead the world.
But the economy didn't really get much better under President Richards. It certainly stopped falling, and even picked up from it's lowest points in 1982, but it stabilized at a rather eh place. The reality was that the working demographics across America were changing faster than the jobs themselves. Too many educated citizens, too little jobs. Too many jobs in the mines and fields, too little people to fill them. One solution was the complete overhaul of the immigration system under President Richards to allow more poor immigrants to come to the United States.
But aside from that, there was a growing sense that the economy had gotten better - for the rich. Richards immigration reform didn't play well with the poorer sectors of the country, including poor minorities already in the country. Her calls for a push toward renewable energy was laughed at and ridiculed by members of her own party (oh there was much oil in Alaska, and the Frontier ya see). What exactly would her successor latch onto?
The Workers Party renominated the fiery Senator from Georgia, a first in the modern era, and he made his plea to the American people a simple one: Change Now, Not Later. Martin Luther King Jr.'s campaign of universal health care, housing reform and drug rehabilitation (a new, growing problem across the country since the rise of drug use in the 1950s/60s) efforts simply captivated the public more than what Vice-President Bill Bradley could bring to the table.
Plus the Vice-President ran a terribly lax campaign. Polls taken a month before the first round indicated that Americans were actually likely to support President Richards far more than literally any other Federalist put in her stead.
The Tomorrow Party nominated billionaire Thomas Rosen who mostly rallied against the Immigration Reform Act and against the American Free Trade Agreement (AFTA) signed by most of the nations north of Mexico (with the exception of the Native State). Rosen's campaign garnered appeal, but not enough to bring him into the second round.
Martin L. King Jr. (W-GA)/Thomas R. Harkin (W-SK) 41.7%
William W. Bradley (F-NJ)/Paul E. Tsongas (F-MA) 36.4%
Thomas Rosen (T-OH)/James B. Stockdale (T-WA) 17.5%
Other 4.4%
Martin L. King Jr. (W-GA)/Thomas R. Harkin (W-SK) 51.7%
William W. Bradley (F-NJ)/Paul E. Tsongas (F-MA) 48.3%
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So far, we've had a lot of US maps, but what about a UK map?
Some polls in 1997 had Blair far further ahead than his actual margin. One poll showed Blair on 51%, with the Conservatives on 27%. With that result, around fifty more seats would have swung to Labour, giving them around 476 seats, while the Conservatives would drop to just 111 (the Lib Dems would have 43, gaining from the Conservatives but losing to Labour). This would have been a landslide on a scale never seen before in modern British politics, one almost comparable to 1931.
Some polls in 1997 had Blair far further ahead than his actual margin. One poll showed Blair on 51%, with the Conservatives on 27%. With that result, around fifty more seats would have swung to Labour, giving them around 476 seats, while the Conservatives would drop to just 111 (the Lib Dems would have 43, gaining from the Conservatives but losing to Labour). This would have been a landslide on a scale never seen before in modern British politics, one almost comparable to 1931.
I love it! But remember, no current politics. Anything above 2012 is iffy...
I delted and reposted it on the current politics one just in case, thank you
A Kinder, Gentler Nation Continued intensifiesBush wins 1992
President George HW Bush/Dan Quayle-Republican: 276 EV 40.45%
Bill Clinton/Al Gore-Democratic: 262 EV 41.01%
Ross Perot/James Stockdale-Independent: 0 EV 17.91%
Opps didn't see this at first but yes! My bad guys.
(Here's it again if some didn't see it.)