Part V Chapter 9:
“
No one has a right to grade a President—even poor James Buchanan—who has not sat in his chair, examined the mail and information that came across his desk, and learned why he made his decisions.”
-President John F. Kennedy
Authors Note:
All right, this one is just a big long dump of the US and its politics in the late 80s and 90s. I promise that it is interesting though, some cool things happen. If you are just here for the space stuff, feel free to skip, as I am fairly certain that, aside from finding out who becomes president, the contents of this chapter mostly stay within this chapter, and are not mentioned again, outside of the other political chapter. Hope you enjoy.
President Gary Hart was very popular during his two terms. Hart's approval ratings remained high throughout his time in office, and his administration saw several impressive accomplishments. While running in 1984, Hart had positioned himself as a young, fresh faced candidate, bringing new ideas and new values to the Democratic party, which many felt was still stuck in the past, having never moved on from FDR and JFK. Politically, he appealed to a broad range of Democrats, being more moderate than someone like Jesse Jackson, but without seeming tired and establishment. As a handsome, charismatic leader, with a knack for witty response, and a talented orator, he reminded many of the Kennedy's. His selection of John Glenn, an astronaut and national hero, as his Vice President only helped to cement his reputation as a nontraditional politician. On the policy, front, Hart focused on what he termed the “Strategic Investment Initiative”, a large scale program aimed at investing in the improvement of American science, technology, infrastructure, and education, in the belief that money spent to improve the frameworks of the American economy would pay off in time. Under the auspices of the SII, President Hart would spearhead several high profile and majorly impactful pieces of legislation. One of the first was the American Defense Education Act, a bill based off the 1958 National Defense Education Act, and which was intended to provide funding for American universities, both to help subsidize research, and to help contain the rising costs of a college education. The act also, in addition to providing direct federal funding, incentivised states to also subsidize universities, particularly state schools. Hart also increased or at least prevented cuts to federal funding for science programs across the board. This included protecting NASA programs, and funding the Superconducting Super Collider program. The SSC was a massive particle accelerator, the largest in the world, being built in Texas, and it was hoped that it would help make major advancements in human understanding of particle physics, quantum mechanics, and the nature of the Universe. Though the expensive program had been threatened in the past, Hart managed to secure funding, citing the need for America to remain the world leader in science. Another major piece of SII legislation was the National Reconstruction Act, a bill aimed at repairing and updating the American infrastructure. The program, which would provide jobs for thousands of Americans, would work to repair, replace, or build brand new roads, bridges, highways, and railroads. This would help make American roads safer and more efficient, while replacing older infrastructure that was crumbling, some of which had been built fifty years prior under a similar program as part of Roosevelt's New Deal. However, the economy of the 1980s was in a much better state than it had been in the time of the New Deal, and so the scale of the program was smaller, as there were simply less people in unemployed, and thus a lower demand for large scale government jobs. Despite this, language was included in the bill to ensure that this program would not be a one time thing, providing only fleeting jobs. The infrastructure program would continue indefinitely, albeit at a lower rate of funding, both to maintain the jobs created by the program, and to continuously improve and repair the nations infrastructure, when necessary. In this way, Hart and the authors of the bill hoped that they would create another bedrock program, like Social Security, Medicaid, or Food Stamps, that would remain a fundamental part of the American government. These large government programs, and the taxes necessary to fund them, were not popular with Republicans, who sought to oppose them in any way possible. However Hart was helped by the fact that Democrats controlled both houses of Congress at the beginning of his term. The party would retain control of the House of Representatives until the last two years of his term, and though Republicans would take the Senate in 1988, they would never hold more than 53 seats, which limited their influence. Thus, the Democrats did not encounter much effective resistance to their programs. Pundits on the right decried the expansion of government power, and the “burdensome tax increases” (that were not much greater than tax increases passed under Reagan, and fell mostly on the upper middle, and upper class) that were needed needed to fund these “naively idealistic programs” (that found much support with scientists, economists, and policy advisors, as well as the public at large). Despite the outcry, Democrats pointed to the generally favorable public approval ratings for SII programs, as well as their own electoral success, as a mandate from the American people to continue the programs, which they proceeded to do. President Hart had always been critical of wasteful military spending, and so another main focus of his administration was to address this. Despite what his critics said, Hart would accomplish this not by seeking cuts to military spending, but instead by seeking to make programs more efficient, and by conducting audits of, and if necessary, cancelling certain projects. Hart heavily scaled back Reagan's Strategic Defense Initiative. He also saw that the vast capabilities of the US armed forces were put to use on non-military programs at home and abroad. The US Army Corps of Engineers would be heavily involved with the infrastructure programs, and the shipping and airlift capabilities of the Navy and Air Force would be put to use in a record number of foreign aid missions. The US Air Force would fly in large quantities of food during the Ethiopian famine in the early 1980s. In addition to these economic plans, Hart would also nominate three members of the Supreme Court during his time in office. One consequence of Democrats holding the presidency from 1961 to 1977 was that they were able to fill the Supreme Court with liberal leaning and moderate justices, something that did not change under Reagan, despite him nominating two very constitutionalist judges, and was only helped by Hart.
Another massively important change that occurred under Gary Hart was the ratification of the 27th Amendment to the Constitution. This Amendment would finally give the more than half a million people living in Washington DC representation in congress. For the longest time, the citizens of DC would have no say in the administration of their District, as it had been directly under the control of Congress, it had not been until 1960 that they had been granted the ability to vote for the President, under the 23rd Amendment, and the city could not even elect a mayor or city council until the passage of the DC Home Rule Act in 1973, which still contained many asterisks that further limited the power of even this small amount of home rule. The District of Columbia Voting Rights Amendment had passed in the House, and had been submitted to the states for ratification in 1978. Though Hart had nothing to do with the proposal, he became a champion of it. The proposal was set to expire August 22, 1985, and at that point, only 20 states, out of 38 necessary, had ratified the amendment. However, President Hart pushed congress to extend the deadline*, and voiced his support for groups who were acting to persuade more states to ratify the amendment. The request for an extension was approved in April of 1985, pushing the bill’s expiration date back another four years to 1989. With the President’s support helping to draw attention to the issue, and large well funded advocacy campaigns airing commercials in key states, the public was made more aware of an issue many of them had generally not even given a second thought. DC advocates adopted the classic American Revolutionary slogan “No taxation without representation”, a clever use of iconic American ideals that made some initially opposed to the idea reconsider. Opinion polls taken in 1986 showed that some 62% of Americans supported the measure, with an additional 41% agreeing with the sentiment that DC should be allowed to join the Union as a full fledged state. However, this was not in the text of the amendment, and purposefully so. The amendment stated that for the purposes of representation in Congress, election of the Presidential ticket, and amending the constitution, the District should be treated like a state, without making it one. This meant that the district would gain two Senators, one representative (with more being added if future census figures showed that a change might be warranted), and the number of electoral votes that DC could cast for the President would no longer be constrained to the same number as the least populous state (three, the same as Wyoming), as it had been under the 23rd Amendment. This last change would in fact, repeal the 23rd Amendment, though this would not have too much of an effect, since the population of DC was not high enough to qualify it for more than three electors anyway, but it helped prevent another messy fight in the future when that threshold was crossed. The crucial difference between the DC Voting Rights Amendment and proposals to make the District a state was that the amendment did not remove Congress’s final authority over DC. This careful tiptoeing approach around statehood had been deliberately chosen to prevent a massive contentious fight for power between Congress, who were given a constitutional mandate over the District, and any new State government. In August 1986, Representative Don Edwards of California, who had proposed the amendment in the first place, would cosponsor another bill, the District of Columbia Self Determination Act, along with a large bipartisan group of Representatives, including the symbolic support of the non voting shadow congress members of DC, to grant additional home rule to DC. The DCSDA would place some limits on the power of Congress to modify or place “rider” amendments on legislation passed by the District Council, but without removing Congress’s power to review DC legislation. This relatively moderate bill would indeed be passed by Congress by the end of 1986, riding a wave of public support for the people of DC. Less crucial, and not publicly stated, but still important and definitely considered, the issue of statehood was not broached to avoid the topic of potentially changing the name of the District from Washington DC (as it would be very confusing to have two states named Washington), to “New Columbia” or whatever new name was thought of, and to preclude any changes to the American flag. Though these seemed like silly reasons, they were nevertheless influential, since many Americans, for whose lives the measure would have close to little influence, might change their mind and oppose it, if it meant changing the name of the nation’s capital, or the beloved flag. Some opponents of the amendment would seize upon this, playing up American patriotism, and painting a future where the flags in millions of American homes, offices, and schools would be made obsolete, and millions would need to be spent to replace them. One Texas State Representative, when the measure was being discussed within the State House, would run television ads, saying that he had fought and his buddies had died under that flag during WWII, and that he opposed any measure that might change the flag. Somehow, the Representative had failed to realise that at the time, prior to the introduction of Hawaii and Alaska to the Union, the US flag had only been adorned with 48 stars, and that the flag he had fought for had already been changed, back in 1959. Once this was point out, the rep would pull his ads. Other opponents appealed to the Constitution, pointing out that this measure would involve repealing one Amendment (though it was an amendment that applied only to DC), and going against Article I, Section 8 of the constitution. More rational opponents argued that granting more power to DC would lead to conflicts between the District and Congress, and would vastly complicate politics in the district. Those on the other side of the aisle countered by pointing to the relatively weak home rule provisions DC would have, even after the passage of the DCSDA. They even further argued that if the District were to become a state in the future, or otherwise given total home rule, that the area around the physical buildings that made up the federal government could be excluded, and remain under the direct control of Congress, leaving the residential and business parts of the District under local control. None of the arguments against the amendment would hold much water among anyone but the strictest constitutionalist, and they generally did not sway the public at large. It was widely understood that the primary reasons there were opponents to the proposal was due to DC’s politics, and how it would vote. Being a diverse, liberal city, with a mostly black population, DC was pretty solidly blue. Ever since it had been granted the power to vote for President, it went Democratic everytime, and it was not hard to imagine that it would vote the same way when it came to its congressional delegation. While the votes for President, or a single Representative would not be that consequential, being just drops in the bucket, having essentially two additional guaranteed Democratic Senators was frightening to Republicans, who just so happened to be the group that most opponents identified with. However, this was not brought up in debates often, especially not amongst actual politicians, since it probably would not help one sides cause to state that they were against giving voting rights to half a million Americans because they might vote differently to you. That idea went against American principles. When the topic was brought up, amongst academics, by some very opinionated media commentators , or just in everyday discussion, Democrats pointed out that because of the non proportional nature of the Senate, and because Republicans had an advantage in rural states with smaller populations, the Democrats already faced disadvantages in the Senate. Despite hardline Republicans being biased against the idea, especially in the deep south, where racial fears made “giving voting power to 300,000 more Black Democrats” seem like the scariest thing in the world, the increasing level of public support for the idea eventually led to every Democratically controlled State Legislature, along with several moderate Republican ones, ratifying the amendment. This effort was assisted by the fact that Democrats had gained majorities and or Governorships in many states during the 1984 election. Finally, on April 5, 1987, the legislature of Alaska ratified the Amendment, becoming the 38th state to do so, and thus achieving the required majority to officially amend the United States Constitution.
When the news broke, activists celebrated across the country, and people went crazy in DC, with some celebration parties shutting down streets. The amendment would eventually be ratified by 42 states, with only the states of Texas, Mississippi, Alabama, Arkansas, Georgia, South Carolina, Kansas and Tennessee not ratifying it. On April 19, the US Administrator of General Services confirmed that the amendment had been through the proper procedures, and officially became part of the United States Constitution. In a speech the next day, standing next to mayor of DC Marion Barry, President Hart praised the accomplishment as “A New Day in Democracy”. Mayor Barry would soon have the responsibility of appointing interim representatives for the district, until special elections could be held. Because DC was now somewhere between a federal district and a state, the Mayor of the city would serve in a similar role to a Governor, like when it came time to fill seats in congress. Because of this, Marion Barry and future mayors of DC would be referred to by some as “the most powerful mayor in the country”, even more so than the mayor of New York, or LA, due to their strange in between status. On May 15, Mayor Barry announced that, after consultation with his advisors and the DC council, he had selected former council chairman Arrington Dixon to serve as the at large Representative of DC. For the Senators, he selected former DC mayor, and the first one to actually be elected by the people of DC after the passage of the home rule act, Walter Washington, and the current chairman of the DC council, David A. Clarke. Barry had made a point of selecting Clarke, a white man, to avoid confirming racist assumptions made by some who had been against the entire process in the first place that as the Black mayor of a majority black city, he would only pick “his own kind”. Clarke was a natural choice, because, although he was white, he had been at the forefront of both the DC Home Rule movement and the DC Voting Rights Movement. He directly participated in the civil rights movement, had run the Washington office of Martin Luther King’s Southern Christian Leadership Conference, and had been a founding member of the DC council. Also, while DC was majority black, it still had a substantial white minority, most of which were well educated and middle class, and would be very unhappy if they felt that they were left out. Nevertheless, even with addition of Clarke, the congressional delegation was majority African-American, something not seen since Reconstruction. When Walter Washington was sworn in on June 1, he became the sole Black member of the Senate, only the fourth ever, and the first Democrat. The Senate had not seen any African-American members since Massachusetts Senator Edward Brooke had left office in 1979, having been the first Black Senator to be popularly elected. On November 3, 1987, special elections were held, to allow the people to vote for their own representatives, a right they had fought hard for. Because of this, all of the representatives elected would serve partial terms, with the Representative serving just one year until the midterms in 1990. Arthur A. Clarke’s seat, being a “Class 1” Senate seat, would serve three years, until an election was held in 1990. Washington’s seat however, was a “Class 2” seat, and thus would be up for election in 1988, so if re elected, he would have to serve just a single year before his name would appear on the ballot yet again. Because of this, there was briefly a push to simply allow Washington to serve until he could be elected to a full term in 1988, so he wouldn’t have to face two elections in a little over a year. However, Mayor Barry felt that it was important to give the people of DC a chance to vote for all of their Representatives, as they had earned the right. He had discussed this with Washington before his appointment, and Washington had agreed with the decision, also emphasising the importance of giving the people a chance to vote. All of the appointees ran to actually be popularly elected in November. The Republicans did run a candidate in each race, but it was widely understood, that, just like a Democrat running in Mississippi, a Republican in DC would have a very low chance of winning. Unsurprisingly, Dixon, Washington and Clarke were re elected, and with Washington becoming only the second Black Senator to be popularly elected. Shortly after the election, Walter Washington made the surprise announcement that he would not be running for reelection in 1988, leaving his seat open for the taking. Perhaps it was because after going through one election cycle, and, at the age of 73, he could not handle another so soon, or perhaps he really did want to spend more time with his family and work on writing his book, as his official press release had said. Whatever the reason, one of the DC senate seats would be up for grabs. Candidates scrambled to file their paperwork, and get their donors in order. In February of 1988, minister, civil rights leader, and former presidential candidate Jesse Jackson announced that he would run for the seat. After that, it was pretty much over in the Democratic primary. As a civil rights hero, who had marched with Martin Luther King, and was the first African-American to get close to receiving a major party’s nomination for President, Jackson was hero to many Black people. He won the primary by more than 20 points, and in the general election in November, easily defeated the Republican nominee, former DC council member, and fellow baptist minister Jerry A. Moore Jr, winning 61% of the vote. It was noted that, in all the elections in DC thus far, the voter turnout had been fantastic, even in the primaries, with 73% of eligible adults voting in the 1987 special elections. This was probably due to the novelty of the vote, and the numbers probably would not stay that high, but the figures were still impressive, especially considering that one of the groups of people that tended to vote the least were those that lived in impoverished inner city neighborhoods, like a good chunk of DC’s residents did. The success of voting reform in DC had consequences across the nation, as the composition of Congress was permanently altered. The addition of Arrington Dixon to the House of Representatives would raise the total number of members from 435 to 436, until 1990, when, after the census, reapportionment and redistricting reduced the total back down to 435, meaning one unlucky bastard somewhere in the House was told that their district had been merged with another, and they couldn’t run for reelection in 1992. In the Senate, the number was simply raised from 100 to 102. Since new seats hadn’t been added to the chamber since 1959, 28 years prior, this meant that new seats literally had to be installed, to give Washington and Clarke, and their successors a place to sit. Pleasingly, to some perfectionist types, the addition of one extra Senator each to Classes 1 and 2 made it so that every class of Senator now contained an even 34 members. From 1987 onwards, the Washington DC delegation to the US Senate would always contain at least one African-American member, something that made it unique. Jesse Jackson would be joined in the Senate in 1993, when Carol Moseley Brown of Illinois was sworn in. After David Clarke decided not to run for reelection in 1996, after being diagnosed with lymphoma, he would be succeeded by Florence Pendleton, who would become the first female congressperson from DC, and would make the DC delegation entirely African-American, a first for the US Congress.
The success of DC voting reform was the spark that helped to reignite a similar movement in the US Territory of Puerto Rico in the late 1980s. The statehood movement, backed by the New Progressive Party, had had quiet advocates, but after they saw what happened along the banks of the Potomac, a huge campaign was begun to push for Puerto Rico to become the 51st state, or at minimum, get a deal similar to Washington DC. On the surface, it seemed like it would not be that difficult, after all, many of the same arguments that had been used to support DC could be applied to Puerto Rico. There had been half a million people in DC without a vote? In Puerto Rico there were 3.5 million. And they still could not even vote for the President! In addition, Puerto Rico was not restricted by being a special district given directly to Congress by a constitutional mandate, it was just a territory of the US. Theoretically, it would be able to join the Union in the same way that other US territories had in the past, like Tennessee, Oregon, or New Mexico. However, in reality, there were a lot of factors that made Puerto Rico’s situation a lot more complicated, and made their process potentially much more challenging than it had been for DC. For starters, not everyone on the mainland United States even knew that Puerto Rico was even part of the United States. After all, it was some Spanish speaking island in the Caribbean, and people from the island in the US were usually referred to not as Americans from Puerto Rico, but as Puerto Ricans. To some in the United States, saying that Puerto Rico should become the 51st state made just as much sense as saying that Haiti, or Jamaica should become the 51st state, or hell, why not Australia? After all, we speak the same language, unlike Puerto Rico. Without the instant name recognition that goes along with being the nation’s capital, many conversations between mainland Americans on the status of Puerto Rico would have to prefaced with an explanation of the island’s situation, and that, yes, it was part of the US already. The language barrier, along with the nearly entirely Latino population of the island, put up more mental roadblock. Though English was more common in Puerto Rico than other Spanish speaking places, only around 20% of the inhabitants spoke it fluently. To those that had disliked granting additional rights to majority Black DC, the idea of adding a star to the flag, and two more seats in the Senate, for an island full of “foreigners”, speaking another language was downright terrifying. Xenophobia would serve as a major barrier to the conversation among a certain subset of the American electorate. Also, similar fears about the political leanings of the island scared away both potential allies Republican and Democrat. In the US, Latinos generally voted for Democrats, mainly due to their higher level of poverty on average, and the tough, occasionally racist stances that Republicans took on immigration. However, Puerto Rico was very heavily Catholic, and since the Republican party was usually the American party that most appealed to heavily religious voters, especially with its stances on school prayer, abortion, gay rights, contraception, pornography, teaching of intelligent design, and so on. Puerto Rico had elected both right and left wing politicians in its history, and did not have an obvious political leaning in the same way that DC did. In some ways this was a benefit, as neither side could claim that they were only supporting Puerto Rican statehood to gain a reliable vote for their side. On the other hand, neither party wanted to be the one that died on the cross of Puerto Rico, only to have the state flip to the other party every election. Something similar had happened with Alaska, which had been predicted to be solidly Democratic, but had actually swung to more reliably vote for Republicans, many of whom had originally opposed admitting it into the Union. To make matters even more complicated, not everyone on the island was in favor of statehood. Unlike in DC, where opinion polling had put public support for voting rights and/or statehood at over 85%, opinions in Puerto Rico were more divided, with support for statehood ranging from 45-55% depending on who you asked. In 1967, a referendum had been held on the status of Puerto Rico, and 60% of voters had selected to preserve the status quo and remain a US associated commonwealth. However, the vote had been boycotted by several pro-statehood groups, so it was not considered to be a reliable measure of public opinion. Even the best numbers only put the percentage in favor of statehood at a simple majority, not the overwhelming consensus of DC. The division was such that the two primary political parties of the island being differentiated in part, by whether they supported the status quo, or statehood. The Partido Popular Democrático (Popular Democratic Party, PND), a center left party that had been in power more often than it hadn’t throughout the history of the island, was in favor of maintaining the status quo. Meanwhile, the Partido Nuevo Progresista (New Progressive Party, PNP), a center right party, was in favor of statehood. The fringe Partido Independentista Puertorriqueño (Puerto Rican Independence Party, PIP) advocated for the total independence of Puerto Rico from the US, but they never managed to capture more than 2.5% of the vote. The division over statehood existed because there was a legitimate debate to be had. In the same way that many Americans felt separate from an island in the Caribbean that spoke Spanish, many inhabitants of Puerto Rico felt alienated by the US, as a place that was linguistically and culturally different, feeling more kindred to their neighbours in the Dominican Republic, or even Mexico. In addition, unlike in DC, which had simply been part of the US that, if you happen to live in it, you didn’t representation in Congress, Puerto Rico’s status as an unincorporated territory of the United States conferred upon it some benefits and some disadvantages. The first and most obvious disadvantage was the disenfranchisement. Puerto Ricans, despite being American citizens, living on American soil, were not allowed to vote in US elections, had no senators, no representatives, nothing. Unlike DC however, they were allowed a level of self governance similar to a US state, with Governor, Senate, House, and Supreme Court. Still, to be subject to most of the laws of nation across the water from you, laws you couldn’t vote on, felt a little too much like colonialism to many Puerto Ricans. On the benefits side, Puerto Ricans were exempt from federal income tax, and some US law did not apply on the island. In addition, the aforementioned cultural and linguistic differences made some Puerto Ricans uncomfortable with becoming part of the US, the same as Connecticut, or Iowa. In response, some pro statehood advocates would point to Hawaii, which had a unique history, culture, was in the middle of the Pacific Ocean, and even had a non-White majority, or Utah, which, though it was very White, had its own unique cultural identity stemming from the Mormon church. These points were shot down by pro status quo activists, who argued Puerto Rico was different, and the debate continued.
However, when news of what had happened in DC got to the island, how people campaigned in every state, how there had been a groundswell of popular support, and how the campaign was ultimately successful, it struck a nerve in Puerto Rico. A rising number of pro statehood, and anti-colonialist protestors, activists, and political candidates began appearing, and Governor Rafael Hernández Colón, of the PND party began to grow nervous. In the 1988 elections in Puerto Rico, the pro-statehood PNP party swept to an absolute majority in the Senate and the House of Representatives. Colón managed to hold on to the governor’s office, likely due to his high approval ratings, and long political career, which made many Puerto Ricans see him as experienced and trustworthy, his reelection in 1988 making him the first governor to win three terms in office. However, Colón found himself basically stuck, since his party had lost control of the other two houses of government. Under the leadership of Congressman Pedro Roselló, the PNP began organising, planning to hold a referendum on the status of Puerto Rico. While statehood had always been a talking point and a plank in the platform of PNP, under the leadership of Roselló, it became the central issue of the party. When Colón made it clear he would not support such a plan, the PNP began conducting local plebiscites, to try and gauge what the public’s opinion really was on the matter. When PNP began publishing results that showed independence holding a strong lead, Colón relented, and agreed to allow a general referendum on the future status of Puerto Rico. He believed that the pro-statehood movement was just a noisy minority, who had managed to get their members out to the poles for the previous elections. He hoped that the referendum would proved that the majority of Puerto Ricans were not ready for statehood. Hopefully, by 1992, the invigorating motivator that had been the DC amendment would be out of people’s minds, and the PND would be able to hold onto the Governor’s mansion, and take back congress. And so the referendum went ahead. There was some minor disagreement between the two sides over the phrasing of the question. Colón had wanted a simple “Are you happy with the Current Status of Puerto Rico?”, Sí o No question, while the PNP pushed for the referendum to specifically list the options of “Commonwealth” and “Statehood”. In the end, Colón agreed, but on the condition that “Free Association/Independence” also be an option. In this way he hoped to to split the vote. In the lead up to the vote, both sides ran aggressive ad campaigns, with the PND emphasising the good economy and how a move towards statehood would lead the island down and uncertain path, tying them up for years, for potentially nothing. The PNP however, ran ads showing the people of Washington DC celebrating in the streets, with text that read: “They fought for their rights, will you do the same?”. The also made liberal use of the main slogan of the ad campaign, No más colonialismo, no more colonialism. The referendum occurred on March 13, 1990. Because the referendum was agreed to by both parties, neither side boycotted the referendum, and turnout was fairly high, at 68.5%. When the votes were tallied on the morning after, the results were a surprise to pretty much everyone, but especially Colón. 59% of voters had selected Statehood, and, surprisingly, 9% had selected Free Association/Independence, leaving only 32% in favor of continuing the status quo. It was an overwhelming victory for the PNP, who saw the results as a mandate for them to stop talking about independence, and start working towards it. The PNP would retain control of both houses in the 1992 elections, and Pedro Roselló was elected Governor. He immediately began working towards his goal, making diplomatic channels with the mainland. As another, symbolic but powerful measure, Roselló decided to appoint Puerto Rican “Shadow Congresspeople”. He would appoint, and the people would later vote for, two Senators, and two Representatives that would travel to DC. Though these Congresspeople would not be allowed to vote, they would spend their time in DC advocating for the island, and getting people used to the idea of Puerto Rican Representatives. It was hoped that this high profile decision would help shine a spotlight on Puerto Rico’s situation, and hopefully bring about a level of public support like that DC had gotten. Congress, after some debate, decided to allow the shadow members to attend sessions of Congress, but would not allow them to vote, would not allow them in meetings relating to national security, and would not even give them desks within the chambers of Congress. Nevertheless, by the early 1990s, in the aftermath of what had happened to the District of Columbia, a renewed debate on the status of Puerto Rico had begun within the United States. Only time would tell if the movement made any progress.
Unlike with the DC issue, while President Hart made a few comments that threw some light support towards Puerto Rico, he did not take a firm stand. Perhaps he did not want to anger people who otherwise supported him, but disagreed on Puerto Rico, or perhaps he was actually unsure on the issue. Whatever the case, many Puerto Rico advocates found themselves very disappointed by his weak stance on the issue. After all, Hart was a very respected, well liked President, who might have been able to lend real credibility to the movement. Hart’s approval ratings were some of the highest since the early days of Robert Kennedy. In 1988, he soundly defeated the Republican ticket of Bob Dole and former California Senator Pete Wilson. In fact, except for Lyndon Johnson’s drop in the polls due to his handling of Vietnam, the past three US presidents, despite being from across the political spectrum, were pretty popular with the public as a whole. Despite many conservatives disliking Hart, with some calling him a “Socialist”, the public seemed to hold a favorable view of his administration, and his policies were generally popular. Hart earned much respect for his accomplishments in foreign relations. He sought peace and cooperation wherever possible, as opposed to the combative, aggressive foreign policy of his predecessor. Hart worked towards, and largely succeed at improving relations with the Soviet Union, with things particularly picking up once Gorbachev took office. Hart took many steps towards nuclear non proliferation, leading the talks to revive the Strategic Arms Limitations Treaty, which Reagan had let expire after the Soviet invasion of Afghanistan soured relations between East and West. When things started to go downhill for the Soviets during Hart’s second term, Hart would earn the respect of historians for “not doing a victory lap”, and continuing to work with the changing government in Moscow. Hart would also oversee the imposition of additional sanctions of Apartheid South Africa. However, the foreign policy decision that would garner Hart the most criticism, even though he had little to do with it, would be the 1987 Cairo Accords. Ever since the establishment of Israel in 1948, there had been near constant conflict between it and the Arab world. Though initially it had been planned for the Arab population of the former British Mandatory Palestine to have their own state, this had never been achieved, and soon, the territories not occupied by Israel after the ceasefire for the first war was over, the Gaza strip, and the West Bank, fell under the control of Egypt and Jordan specifically. After Egypt closed the straits of Tiran to Israel in 1967, Israel attacked Egypt, Jordan, and Syria in what was the Six Day War. They quickly occupied all of the former Palestinian territory, as well as the Sinai peninsula, the Golan Heights in Syria, and even took control of the Suez Canal. Another war would be fought in 1973, the Yom Kippur war, in which the Egyptians seized the Suez Canal once more, but little else about the status quo would change. Through the Camp David Accords, in 1976**, and other negotiations, Israel would eventually retreat from the Sinai Peninsula, and return it to Egypt. Also, relations between Israel, Egypt, and Jordan would be slightly normalised, if not made friendly. Israel did not relinquish the Golan Heights or the occupied Palestinian territories however. Also, when Israel offered to Egypt to hand over the Gaza strip, Egypt would refuse, not wanting the territory. However, after years of stalled negotiations, in 1985, under the mediation of Egypt, and the United States, Jordan and Israel sat down in Alexandria to discuss the matter of the West Bank. The West Bank comprised the majority of Palestinian claimed territory, and had been controlled by Jordan prior to 1967. The Israelis had been having serious issues with the territory, and were inclined to give the responsibility over to someone else. Jordan too, was interested, because in addition to the national prestige, and the desire to see the Palestinians free from Israel, control of the territory would give the Jordanians considerable rights over the Dead Sea, as they would now control the majority of the coastline. Thus, discussions began on the handover of the West Bank to Jordan. The Arab League, though they did not participate, did not issue any statement against the negotiations, as they recognised Jordan as the nation with the strongest claim to the territory***. Noticeably absent at the talks was any kind of representation for the Palestinian people. Israel was willing to give the territory to Jordan, but only if it's control of other territories was not affected or discussed, and only if it's annexation of East Jerusalem was accepted. Jordan wished to annex the West Bank, and would accept Israeli control over Jerusalem, but only if free passage to the holy city was permitted for Muslims, particularly those from Palestine and Jordan. After weeks of negotiations, a formal agreement was reached. The West Bank, except for East Jerusalem would become a semi-autonomous region of Jordan, with all Palestinians becoming Jordanian citizens, free travel for Pilgrims was allowed to the holy city, the rights of Arab citizens within Israel would not be affected, and citizens of East Jerusalem would be allowed to choose whether to become Israeli citizens, or Jordanian ones. On November 13, 1985, the Alexandria Accords were signed, to the celebration of many. The West and the East generally celebrated the move, citing it as a step towards peace in the Middle East. However, the reaction within the Middle East was mixed. Many hardliners saw Jordan and Egypt as traitors. Others who had argued for a two state solutions still believed that the sovereign rights of Palestinians were being violated. The issue of the Gaza strip or the Golan Heights had not been addressed. In addition, a step towards peace was actually a bad thing for several authoritarian leaders, who were used to using the plight of the poor Palestinians, and the evil Israelis as issues to unite the people around. In addition, within the West Bank itself, there was controversy. While some were happy that they were now part of an Arab state, some felt that they had simply exchanged one overlord for another. The Popular Front for the Liberation of Palestine would continue to fight a campaign for the freedom of Palestine, but against the Kingdom of Jordan. There was even some pushback within the US from right wing pro-Israeli elements, and there was resistance in Israel from hardliners who believed that a massive swathe of Israeli territory was being given up. Nevertheless, especially for the Democratic base, the Alexandria Accords generally worked in President Hart’s favor, as someone who would work towards peace across the world. On June 10, 1986, the 70th anniversary of the Arab Revolt, the Jordanian flag was hoisted over the West Bank, and it officially became part of Jordan. Though this was only the beginning of a long process, and peace would not descend over the Middle East all at once, a step had been taken towards peace.
By the end of his term, Gary Hart was already regarded by many as a successful president. Nevertheless, the right, who had never really liked Hart, was ready to take back the White House. By 1991, they had taken control of both houses of Congress, and the Presidential Primaries were already underway. Vice President Glenn had surprised many people by not deciding to run, and so on both sides of the aisle, there was a rush of candidates, all competing for the top job. The Republicans were still dealing with the same internal struggle that they had faced in 1984, that between the Reaganite conservatives, and the more moderate establishment. However, the strength of the conservatives had swelled in recent years, and the Republican base had grown somewhat tired of the status quo. This quickly became clear in the primaries, as establishment candidates like Utah Senator Orrin Hatch, California Senator and former VP nominee Pete Wilson, and former Governor of Tennessee Lamar Alexander, fell behind in the primaries. Eventually, three unorthodox front runners emerged, each unique in their own way. Conservative commentator and author Pat Buchanan, who represented the far social right pulled a strong third place, after winning second in Iowa. Businessman Steve Forbes emerged as the second place candidate, running on a flat income tax, and other right wing, Reaganesque economic issues. However, the front runner was freshman Senator from Arizona, and Vietnam war hero, John McCain. Though initially dismissed by many as a long shot, due to his relatively brief political career, and a scandal in 1988, that though he had been mostly exonerated in, still was seen as a blemish on his career, McCain was very popular, for his Maverick reputation and brash speaking manner. He argued for a stronger position on Communism and was generally more hawkish, but was also known for a degree of bipartisanship and broke with the Republicans occasionally on issues he believed in. He argued for campaign finance reform, making it a central issue of his campaign. McCain was difficult to categorize politically, but he was anti-establishment and was definitely seen as a man of principles. By March of 1992, McCain had gone from being the frontrunner, to the presumptive Republican nominee. The Democrats similarly found themselves in an open field after vice president Glenn announced that he would not run. A large field of candidates was eventually whittled down to a contest between Massachusetts governor Michael Dukakis and Arkansas governor Bill Clinton. Clinton was the initial frontrunner, portraying himself as the young, charismatic moderate, very similar to Gary Hart’s campaign. Dukakis, meanwhile was seen as the more liberal candidate, which was either a plus or a minus, depending on who you asked. Eventually, Clinton would emerge victorious, due to his appeal to both Southern and Black voters. Clinton was charming, and it was hoped that his southern charm would help him carry some Southern states in the general, which were typically seen as the realm of the GOP ever since 1964. At their respective conventions, the nominees would officially select their running mates, going in opposite directions with their choices. To further shore up his southern advantage, Clinton would select Tennessee Senator Al Gore. McCain however, decided to instead address his weaknesses, and selected Texas Senator Phil Gramm, to counter those who attacked him on his “lack of political experience”. In the general election, polls were very close. The candidates both had record approval ratings, and both received support from across the aisle, both being relatively young, and unorthodox presidential candidates. The election would come down to the wire. In the end, the results were very unusual looking. True to expectations, Clinton carried some southern states, Arkansas, Tennessee, Louisiana, and Kentucky. However, McCain would carry some more typically Democratic states, like Pennsylvania, Colorado, and Ohio. In the end, after a razor thin margin, John McCain was elected the next president of the United States.
*IOTL, this was not possible, due to the deadline being written into the text of the bill, but here, due to butterflies, the amendment was worded differently, which allowed it to be extended once public support was high enough to warrant doing so.
**Talks begin earlier under RFK, because I figured once Reagan took over in 1977, there would be less of a cordial atmosphere.
***IOTL, they recognised the PLO as controlling the territory in 1974, overruling the Jordanian claim. ITTL, the PLO loses a great deal of support from even the Arab world due to a series of horrific terrorist attacks, including an bombing in 1972 that inadvertently destroyed a school bus, killing 44 Israeli schoolchildren, attacks by more militant anti-Israeli members of the PLO against pro-peace protestors in 1975, and the bombing of the newly established Egyptian embassy in Tel Aviv in 1979, that leads to the death of the Egyptian ambassador. These attacks lead to the PLO being diplomatically isolated, and Jordan's claim to the West Bank being credible. Also, all this is a work of fiction and does not necessarily represent my views on the Israel-Palestine dispute, please do not get mad at me, this is purely an intellectual exercise.