Literally impossible to be 100% the same, unless you’re perhaps a North Sentinelese or an isolated Papuan native. If I turn on the television and instead of President of Argentina Mauricio Macri it’s La Platan Prime Minister Julia Gillard that’ll affect me, either minutely or as it happens quite substantially as this means Australia, my home country, presuming it still exists, won’t have Gillard as a historical PM. On a micro level perhaps the broad arch of a person’s life will look the same, PMs are pretty interchangeable here nowadays, but on the macro level it just doesn’t make good sense to have certain events happen exactly as IOTL, which brings me to my wider point.
Your proposition on page 8 that the two world wars would happen as IOTL because ‘the POD isn’t far back enough’ is frankly entirely false and one of the reasons I was prompted to clarify the two generally accepted butterfly affects. I’m not saying a revanchist Germany following a wide European war in the early 1900s going ham on all its neighbours is necessarily impossible, but with a POD in the early 1800s the Nazis are almost 100% sure to be erased as we know them.
A timeline I'm a huge fan of is
Palmera, and it walks a fine line between parallelism and divergence as the goal is to explore a black-majority Florida within a timeline akin to our own rather than making something wholly unique, but even it doesn't follow world history exactly as that would be completely unbelievable. The world follows the same arch of history, but with differences in the detail. Many historical figures post-POD still exist, but they'll always lead somewhat different lives and they're intermixed with parallel figures who are like OTL figures and yet unique in ways that make sense given the ripples of the initial POD. As for the WWII analogue, instead of Nazism it's Vultism; instead of Adolf Hitler it's Karl Kreiger; instead of the Fernando Po Crisis it's the Bioko Crisis.
So, circuitously, yes, if people who exist IOTL are still born after the POD they may lead similar lives to their OTL counterparts. But it won't ever be 100% the same, and so it must follow that important events in world history won't be 100% the same either. Sorry to sound so truculent, but that post's been bothering me for a week.