Alternate Electoral Maps II

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@TimTurner, would you happen to have a map of congressional districts in 1992? I would be interested in mapping out what the results would have looked like in the Clinton + Perot Landslide Scenario.
 
Two maps. First the 2018 senate races from a world with a very different party system:

upload_2018-12-4_1-49-40.png


And here is a Democratic primary between two fictional politicians. Green is a socialist, yellow is a moderate.

upload_2018-12-4_1-51-58.png
 
You are welcome. I have a question for you as well, related to the scenario. Based upon what you know of the demographics in 1992 (the country was ~80% white and 20% nonwhite then, as compared to 70% white and 30% nonwhite now), in which states do you think Bush won the white vote in? Obviously, he carried it in Mississippi, but what about South Carolina, Alabama, or Virginia, states decided by single digits here?
Bush would definitely win the white vote in Alabama and South Carolina, I'm unsure about Virginia but it should be close.
 
Here's a map that I created out of interest. I decided to take the 2016 election, and to give Richard Nixon's 1972 state by state vote percentages to Hillary Clinton. I gave her those percentages based upon how well she did in OTL, from her best state (Hawaii) to her weakest state (Wyoming). Nixon got 78.20% in Mississippi, so I gave the same share to Clinton in Hawaii. McGovern carried Massachusetts with 54.20%, so Trump wins Wyoming with the same share. I gave Clinton Johnson's 1964 share in the District of Columbia (85.50%) And this is the map that is produced:

genusmap.php

Hillary Clinton (D-New York)/Timothy Kaine (D-Virginia)-534 EV-65.18%
Donald Trump (R-New York)/Mike Pence (R-Indiana)-4 EV-34.82%

Third parties are not included here, to make things easier. I would be interested in eventually seeing a county map for this.
 
What's the best way of showing a parliament composed of several national assemblies with parties that cross over assembly boundaries (such as they are)?
 
Here's a map that I created out of interest. I decided to take the 2016 election, and to give Richard Nixon's 1972 state by state vote percentages to Hillary Clinton. I gave her those percentages based upon how well she did in OTL, from her best state (Hawaii) to her weakest state (Wyoming). Nixon got 78.20% in Mississippi, so I gave the same share to Clinton in Hawaii. McGovern carried Massachusetts with 54.20%, so Trump wins Wyoming with the same share. I gave Clinton Johnson's 1964 share in the District of Columbia (85.50%) And this is the map that is produced:

genusmap.php

Hillary Clinton (D-New York)/Timothy Kaine (D-Virginia)-534 EV-65.18%
Donald Trump (R-New York)/Mike Pence (R-Indiana)-4 EV-34.82%

Third parties are not included here, to make things easier. I would be interested in eventually seeing a county map for this.


You should do the map with the reverse parties now
 
A google trends election:

2020 Democratic
Michelle Obama

Beto O'Rourke
Andrew Gillum
Cynthia Nixon
Michael Avenatti


trends2020d.png


2020 Republican
Tucker Carlson

Dan Crenshaw
Donald Trump Jr.
John Kasich
Mike Pence

trends2020r.png


2020 Libertarian
Mark Sanford
Larry Sharpe
Tom Campbell
Unpledged
Nicholas Sarwark
Zoltan Istvan

trends2020l.png
 
God I hope somehow Carlson wins the nomination
The blowout would be glorious
I'm not so sure. the idea of Tucker Carlson being POTUS really isn't any more ridiculous than the idea of Trump being POTUS was in late 2015... But on the other hand, Carlson doesn't have Trump's charisma and isn't a very good debator, so O'Rourke, Obama, or Gillum could easily trip him up in a debate, although I'm not sure if debate performances matter much anymore considering polls showed voters believed Hillary quite easily won all three debates in 2016.
 
I'm not so sure. the idea of Tucker Carlson being POTUS really isn't any more ridiculous than the idea of Trump being POTUS was in late 2015... But on the other hand, Carlson doesn't have Trump's charisma and isn't a very good debator, so O'Rourke, Obama, or Gillum could easily trip him up in a debate, although I'm not sure if debate performances matter much anymore considering polls showed voters believed Hillary quite easily won all three debates in 2016.

Imagine the cosmic horror of a Carlson/Shapiro ticket in 2024 or 2028
 
I have one request.
Can somebody make the Rand Paul vs Joe Manchin map? I tried to make it several times but there are so many states I am not sure about.
 
I have one request.
Can somebody make the Rand Paul vs Joe Manchin map? I tried to make it several times but there are so many states I am not sure about.
I'll take it!

While I'm at it, here are a couple of "Hillary Wins" maps.

Clinton wins 2016.png


Here, she picks Sherrod Brown in order to shore up support in the Upper Midwest, and Trump picks Marsha Blackburn to garner support from establishment Republicans and women. Since Brown is able to serve as a Clinton surrogate in the midwest and Trump loses some of the Rust Belt evangelicals who voted for him because of Pence, Clinton wins 2016.

However, the next few years don't go well for her. She faces many attacks from the left and the right, and the Republican congress is very hesitant to push through any of her policies when an economic downturn starts to brew. As a result, her 2020 ends up being a very similar situation to that in which her husband won in 1992. While Clinton is facing a strong primary bid by Tulsi Gabbard (who later runs as an independent alongside Rocky Anderson), the Republicans nominate the center-right populist Sen. Todd Young of Indiana, who selects Gov. Raul Labrador of Idaho as his running mate.

Clinton re-election bid map.png
 
2020 Manchin vs Paul.png


The tickets are Sen. Rand Paul (R-KY)/Gov. Brian Sandoval (R-NV) and Sen. Joe Manchin (D-WV)/Sen. Cory Booker (D-NJ). The only way I see Joe Manchin getting the Democratic nomination is if it's 2016, and he runs as Clinton's opposition instead of Bernie and he tacks to the left on fiscal issues while remaining socially moderate (thus winning blue-collar voters and young progressives), or if the left is absolutely fragmented in 2020.

Anyways, the relative moderatism (and presence of Sandoval) allows Paul to pick up Nevada and New Hampshire, but Manchin's platform of fiscal liberalism and social moderatism is very much in line with what southern blacks, hispanics, and working-class whites believe. As such, he takes the Rust Belt, all of Maine, and Georgia (rural black turnout is increased by his platform and Booker's relentless stumping). He also narrowly takes West Virginia, because many West Virginians would wholeheartedly support Uncle Joe in a bid for the White House.

Paul hangs on to Florida and Arizona by virtue of his platform being in line with voters there, and Manchin being the Democrat decreases progressive turnout, causing normally cobalt blue states like California and Oregon to waver a bit (and also thanks to San Diego/Orange County Business Republican-types showing out hard for Paul) because they don't have the blue-collar base that, along with minorities, keeps New York and Illinois solid blue.
 
View attachment 424590

The tickets are Sen. Rand Paul (R-KY)/Gov. Brian Sandoval (R-NV) and Sen. Joe Manchin (D-WV)/Sen. Cory Booker (D-NJ). The only way I see Joe Manchin getting the Democratic nomination is if it's 2016, and he runs as Clinton's opposition instead of Bernie and he tacks to the left on fiscal issues while remaining socially moderate (thus winning blue-collar voters and young progressives), or if the left is absolutely fragmented in 2020.

Anyways, the relative moderatism (and presence of Sandoval) allows Paul to pick up Nevada and New Hampshire, but Manchin's platform of fiscal liberalism and social moderatism is very much in line with what southern blacks, hispanics, and working-class whites believe. As such, he takes the Rust Belt, all of Maine, and Georgia (rural black turnout is increased by his platform and Booker's relentless stumping). He also narrowly takes West Virginia, because many West Virginians would wholeheartedly support Uncle Joe in a bid for the White House.

Paul hangs on to Florida and Arizona by virtue of his platform being in line with voters there, and Manchin being the Democrat decreases progressive turnout, causing normally cobalt blue states like California and Oregon to waver a bit (and also thanks to San Diego/Orange County Business Republican-types showing out hard for Paul) because they don't have the blue-collar base that, along with minorities, keeps New York and Illinois solid blue.
Thanks
 
I'm not so sure. the idea of Tucker Carlson being POTUS really isn't any more ridiculous than the idea of Trump being POTUS was in late 2015... But on the other hand, Carlson doesn't have Trump's charisma and isn't a very good debator, so O'Rourke, Obama, or Gillum could easily trip him up in a debate, although I'm not sure if debate performances matter much anymore considering polls showed voters believed Hillary quite easily won all three debates in 2016.
I have a question for you. Are you still working on the 1992 county map for Bush + Perot?
 
Here’s a Google Trends map...

If people had voted with their searches then this is what an election between Donald Trump and George H.W. Bush would look like in December 2018:

genusmap.php

George H.W. Bush - 402 EV
Donald Trump - 136 EV
 
Here’s a Google Trends map...

If people had voted with their searches then this is what an election between Donald Trump and George H.W. Bush would look like in December 2018:

genusmap.php

George H.W. Bush - 402 EV
Donald Trump - 136 EV
I have a question for you as well. I've been thinking about posting another scenario, of the 2016 election if Clinton had won with the exact same percentage, and by the exact same margin, as Lyndon Johnson in 1964 (61.05-38.47%). Similarly, I was also thinking about posting one if Trump had won by the exact same margin, and with the exact same percentage, as Richard Nixon in 1972 (60.67-37.52%). In both instances, I would like to perform a uniform swing for every state, to make them accord with those results. Would you happen to know how to do so?
 
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