I would be interested in seeing an ethnic map.
Frankly... Not *that* different from IRL. It’s not going to be the
absurd colonisation of Europe in the new order (another hoi4 mod) still a few points:
- Northern Libya would have a decent Italian population, a minority ofc globally, but in tripoli and other large cities could reach half of the population, especially if the economic conditions worsen and Italians decide to go there.
The same, to a slightly lower extent about Erytea
-Nearly no Serbs anymore in Croatia.. A good third could be killed, the rest would flee to Serbia once it becomes independant...
-Israel(-palestine) would be slightly less Jewish, but a lot of the immigration already happened before Ww2, and all the middle eastern Jews will still go there
-Finland just doubled its territory, and got half a million Estonian, they will try to settle Karelia as much as possible, and they won’t care much about the Russians already living there, if someone is a bit too opposed to the colonisation the Finnish army won’t have much qualms sending them to the Reichskommissariats.
-Post nazism Europe will likely be tenser, with less immigration, and many people from former colonies wouldn’t want to emigrate to Europe, so expect it to be quite more white and less mixed.
-With Generalplan Ost ongoing, and with the German civil war later, the former territories of the USSR Will have a lot of population exchange, you can get a glimpse in my ostland map( on my deviantart it in this thread), and it’s supposed to be one of the less hellish RK, everyone with a single neuron will try to leave RK Kaukasus, they will cross the caucasus, and many more will try to go east and cross the A-A line, expect more Ukrainians (and poles and balts and the few remaining Belarussians) in Siberia.
-French speakers in former Belgian/Romand/Eastern French land will have a lot of pressure to leave, and won’t be able to come back.
-To finish, about German colonisation of occupied Europe, from some quick estimate, I based myself On two colonisation of war torn land in modern times: the Portuguese colonisation of Africa after ww2 and the Israeli one of the Palestinian Territories. The Germans ITTL had about 10 years to colonise before the civil war. So i’M comparing it with the best 10 years of colonisation of each countries, Portugal in the 60s sent about 400,000 people (few contradicting data, may include newborn there, but always above 300k) to Angola and Mozambique, out of a population of 8.5 million. Israel in the 80s/90s sent 180k/200k people in the west banks and East Jerusalem mostly, with a base Jewish population of 3.2/3.9 million respectively. Now they were pretty different, Israel’s is much more ideologically driven and focused on closed, protected communities, which may apply more to the nazi’s settlement . At the same time the portuguese’s was much further (and may apply more to Germans going from Germany to Russian land). The Israeli settlement may also apply more since often Israeli who would live comfortably in Israel decide to go there mainly from an ideological reason (although they are heavily subsidised), this may apply to Germans who could stay in Germany but decide to go eastward. On the other hand just like many Portuguese went to Angola purely to live a better life - after all Portugal was really rural and backward, while Luanda was by most standard a good western city. This may apply to some Germans once the economy worsen around 1950.
Now if you consider a base German population of 70 million at the end of the war, add 5 millions for the standard growth rate over the previous two decades, maybe double that to take into account a post war baby boom helped by conservative, nataliste policies, and throw austria into the mix and you’vr Got 85-90 millions Germans. ( Swiss don’t count as they likely wouldn’t fall as easily to the nazi propaganda)
So using the same ratio as Portugal(4%) and Israel (5%), over a decade, you can expect about 4 million people to settle the new land, I can see it first being focused on lost territories of WW1, settle entirely Silesia, the polish corridor, then create German majority neighbourhood in cities along the Baltic coasts, and the large former soviet/polish cities, but I expect plantation to be rather hard to sell to the German population ... they would be rather inneficient, being worked by slaves. I could see some conservative veterans choose this life. If feel like contrary to the nazi’s expectation and wishes people would rather want to Emigrate to nice protected cities where they can have all the confort of the modern German life rather than a huge plantation in the middle of war torn ukraine
Belgium/Netherlands/Switzerland/E.France would be more attractive purely because they are wealthier and have industries so i guess they will have some settlements.
In the end the few places where the Germans become the majority will be more because of Generalplan Ost and population migration than just the number of German migrants.
(Sorry for the mistakes and poor formatting, it was sent on a phone with shitty autocorrect)