Alternate Electoral Maps II

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What states would Gore win here?

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The eagerness of Democrats to defeat George W. Bush, president may viewed as illegitimate, resulted in a crowded field for the nomination, and the success of a candidate no one saw coming; businessman and television personality Donald J. Trump. Running against the war, the status quo in the country, and against trade deals he saw as hurting the American worker, Trump prevails over George W. Bush tapping U.S. senator Bob Graham of Florida as his running mate. Though his presidency had early successes, and his populist character and careful candidate recruitment in 2006 saw Congress flip Democratic, the beginning of the Great Recession in 2008 would help to cost Trump reelection. A comment at a debate about liking people who don't get caught, a reference to Republican challenger John McCain's time spent as a POW in Vietnam, angered large segments of the electorate, and ensured a victory for the Arizona senator. Trump's erratic, coarse style of politics seems to have helped keep evangelicals from defecting away from McCain, despite his selection of Democratic senator Joe Lieberman to be his running mate.

Despite President McCain being more popular than his policies, Republicans regain both houses of Congress in 2010, electing a large class of conservatives only tenuously committed to the president. McCain's decision to run with "National Union Party" branding and organization in 2012 exacerbated the tensions, and resulted in a separate, nominal Republican ticket. Despite the challenge on his right flank, McCain cruises to reelection against the often feuding Democratic ticket of senators Hillary Clinton of New York, and Jim Webb of Virginia. Election postmortems blamed Senator Clinton for the loss, but most analysts believe that McCain was going to be tough to defeat. Nonetheless, the fissures in the GOP leave McCain's second-term agenda hampered, with the Democrats briefly retaking the Senate between 2012 and 2014, and Republicans thereafter looking towards 2016.

The President's open feuding with his party results in his open support and campaigning for the largely Bloomberg financed National Union Party ticket of senators Charlie Crist of Florida, and Lincoln Chafee of Rhode Island, both popular in their home states, but lacking in broad national appeal, as the results of the election would go on to show. The Republican ticket consisted of former McCain administration Commerce Secretary Mitt Romney of Massachusetts, and Senator Ted Cruz of Texas. The Democrats experienced substantial infighting, as one faction sought to nominate the party's best 2010 success story, two-term Senator Barack Obama of Illinois, who tapped retiring U.S. Senator Barbara Mikulski of Maryland as his running mate, and the other rallied around former President Trump, who wanted another go at his old job. The fall campaign was intense, and the Democrats were not only hampered by the former president in the race, ad the centrist National Union ticket, but also by revelations that Senator Obama met with Louis Farrakhan as part of a delegation in 2005. The polling was all over the place. No one quite expected these results.

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former Secretary of Commerce Mitt Romney of Massachusetts (Republican)/ Senator Ted Cruz of Texas (Republican) 369
Senator Barack Obama of Illinois (Democratic)/ Senator Barbara Mikulski of Maryland (Democratic) 130
Senator Charlie Crist of Florida (National Union) / Senator Lincoln Chafee of Rhode Island (National Union) 34
Former President Donald J. Trump of New York (Independent)/ Senator Joe Manchin of West Virginia (Democratic) 5
 
The Seventh Party System: Part LI
Map of the United States
Part I - Metropotamia
Part II - Alta California
Part III - North Carolina
Part IV - New Jersey
Part V - Adams
Part VI - Alabama
Part VII - Rhode Island
Part VIII - Sequoyah
Part IX - Assenisipia
Part X - East Florida
Part XI - Tennessee
Part XII - Kansas
Part XIII - Dakota
Part XIV - Arizona
Part XV - Delaware
Part XVI - Oregon
Part XVII - Ozark
Part XVIII - New Hampshire
Part XIX - Western Connecticut
Part XX - New York
Part XXI - Santo Domingo
Part XXII - South Carolina
Part XXIII - Baja California
Part XXIV - Chersonesus
Part XXV - Canal Zone Territory
Part XXVI - West Florida
Part XXVII - Missouri
Part XXVIII - Colorado
Part XXIX - Trinidad and Tobago
Part XXX - Pennsylvania
Part XXXI - Wisconsin
Part XXXII - Lincoln
Part XXXIII - Deseret
Part XXXIV - Platte
Part XXXV - Kiribati
Part XXXVI - New Mexico
Part XXXVII - Maine
Part XXXVIII - Alaska
Part XXXIX - Hamilton
Part XXXX - Mississippi
Part XXXXI - North Virginia
Part XXXXII - Bioko
Part XXXXIII - Hawaii
Part XXXXIV - Louisiana
Part XXXXV - Seward
Part XXXXVI - Illinoia
Part XXXXVII - Georgia
Part XXXXVIII - Columbia
Part XXXXIX - Maryland
Part L - Texas


The District of Columbia, also known colloquially as Washington D.C. serves as the capital district for the United States of America. Being the most urban out of all the territories and states of the US, it unsurprisingly slants heavily to the left.

This slant to the left is also further by the fact that the district is majority African-American, and while in the pre 1930s era this meant it was a competitive Republican-Socialist district, during the National Union era it was as uncontested as the Deep South. However, when the Conservative Revolution of 1972 lead to the collapse of the old National Union party, unlike in most mainland states where the Labor took over entirely, in the nation's capital the patriotism of the National Union party allowed them to carve out a slice of the vote share for themselves. Thus the political system of Washington D.C. turned into once again a mainly two party system, only this time the two parties were near identical both economically and socially.

With both parties being in favor of strong labor unions, Keynesian economics, and ambivalent social policies lots of empty space remained to filled on both the left and the right. On the right the Republicans long dominated, but even during the era of Republican hegemony in the 1980s the District of Columbia Republican party never managed to top more than 21% of the vote and always remained in third place behind both Labor and the National Union. On the left there were both the Greens, who offered both economically left and socially left policies, and the United Left, which offered revolutionary socialist policies for those who despised capitalism.

However, in recent years as immigration has decreased the district African-American population, which the Labor and the NU continue to dominate, and new social movements have come to the forefront the number of parties in the nation's capital have exploded.

The first of these "new" parties was Hispanos Unidos, formed in the 1990s as a result of the growing Hispanic population of America which felt as though they need an ethnic party of their own, similar to that of the Black Baptist Bloc. While not much of a major force in the D.C. due to their small size, the party still manages to forms a centrist opposition to Labor and NU policies with a heavy focus on social conservatism.

The second "new" party formed was that of the Young Greens, started in 2004 after students began to form a majority of the Green party voter base. With students now forming a majority of the Green party voters, they thought why can't students also form a majority of the Green party leadership? However, the old hippie leadership of the Green party refused to hand over power to "inexperienced" students, thus leading to the student branch of the Green party, the Young Greens, splitting off to form their own independent party.

The third "new" party was that of Asian Action, which gained their first seat in 2006 due to the rise of Asian immigration to the nation's capital. Then the fourth "new" party was that of Pride, started in 2010 by David Catina, a former Republican who left the party to express his displeasure at how their economic policies lead to the Second Great Depression, but also to advocate for LGBT rights. And lastly, the fifth "new" party is that of the Black Panthers, which had actually gained a few seats in the 1976 and 1978 election, but after going dormant for a couple decades they only began to resurface again in 2014 following race riots caused by African-Americans frustrated at the lack of economic recovery, as well as the continuing issues of police brutality and horrific prison conditions which most left wing parties have completely ignored.

In the 2018 election, the ruling National Union-Labor coalition was proving to be too unstable to continue, with the divide between the extreme law and order as well as anti-immigrant rhetoric promoted by the National Union coming into conflict with Labor's less extreme positions. With the National Union leading in all the polls, many pundits were now moving to from discussions of which party might come out on top, to which parties the NU would have to ally with in order to secure their majority. However a turning point in the campaign would come when it was revealed that fourteen prisoners had drowned on a federal prison ship bound for the Canal Zone carrying convicts from Washington D.C. after the ship had a hull breach and the wardens refused to unchain prisoners trapped in a flooded section of the ship. When reporters asked Charles P. Ramsey, the leader of the NU and former warden of a prison ship himself how such rampant negligence could have occurred Ramsey stated that he had no respect for convicted criminals and that it is long standing policy to keep prisoners chained up, even if a ship was sinking, in order to "protect our law enforcement officers." With many outraged at the National Union party's extreme disregard for human life, the party ended up suffering heavy losses in the 2018 election, dropping from 41 seats to a meager 32.

The Black Panther Party, with their message of ending police brutality and reforming America's brutal prison system, benefited greatly and doubled their seat count from 5 to 10. Labor also gained some seats, going from 37 to 39, allowing them to become larger than the National Union party for the first time since 2012.

In the end, however, no party was left with anything close to a majority. As such, a long period of coalition building took place, with both Labor and the National Union trying to gather a majority. In the end, however, the remorseless law and order policies of the National Union alienated many of its potential partners, and as such Labor was free to form a coalition government with the Greens, supported by the Young Greens, Hispanos Unidos, and Asian Action.

Government:
Labor - The party of labor unions, while economically and socially a bit to the left of the National Union party, the real difference between the two lie in their views on matters of national security. While Labor is indeed more hawkish their both the Republicans and even the Democrats, they pale in comparison to the hyper-jingoism espoused by the National Unionists and as such the immigration debate causes sharp divisions between Labor and the National Union. Nevertheless, both parties have an overwhelming black voter base divided mainly between those African-Americans who distrust immigrants and those who think they make America better.
Greens - Another social democratic party much more socially left than that of Labor, their base consists of white progressives who believe in socially liberal policies. The party also has a significant amount of African-American support among those disgusted by both Labor and the National Union's lack of support for gay marriage, but whites continue to make up an overwhelming majority of the party's membership.

Supply:
Young Greens - Originally founded as a radical splinter of the Green party for its ageist policies against putting college students in leadership positions, the party has now transformed into little more than a special interests party for students. With over 95% of the party's members being undergraduate and graduate students, the party remains left leaning especially in social matters, but is also pragmatic enough to support any government which offers to help give subsidies to the large student population of Washington D.C. And following the 2018 election, in return for Labor throwing them the token subsidy of free transit passes for all students the Young Greens were more than happy to support their government.
Hispanos Unidos - The party for Hispanic interests they have monopolized a large portion of the Hispanic vote with many seeing both Labor and the National Union as merely "black" parties. And while the HU does not like the extensive welfare state which Labor and the National Union support, in the end they decided to supply the Labor government in exchange for special tax cuts given to Spanish-speaking small businesses for the purposes of supporting "diversity."
Asian Action - The second most right leaning party in the left dominated District of Columbia, they are also highly pragmatic and have supported both Labor and National Union governments in the past. Once it became clear that Labor would be able to gather more coalition partners than National Union Asian Action immediately offered Labor the last votes they needed to form a majority government in exchange for yet more tax cuts, but this time to Chinese and Indian companies, once again ostensibly for increasing "diversity."

Opposition:
National Union - Labor's main rival in the left leaning city of Washington D.C., this party is dedicated to the ideal of American exceptionalism being based on intervention in foreign affairs, economic affairs, and social affairs. While not extremely socially conservative they are undoubtedly more socially conservative than Labor and have even doubted a gay couples right to civil unions at times. Economically they are also slightly to the right of Labor, not believing that labor unions should hold the immense power that Labor wants them to, but they are still in general supportive of the welfare state originally created by FDR. But their biggest difference with Labor comes in terms of foreign policy, with the NU being extremely interventionist and believing that American democracy must be exported to all countries of the world by either force or subterfuge. They view immigrants unfavorably as they prioritize US citizens above all else, however unlike most anti-immigrant parties the National Union does not believe that a white America is ideal, being strongly against Confederate apologists, and over 80% of their voters in the District of Columbia are African-American.
Republican - The sole conservative party is a left leaning state, the GOP of Washington D.C. are dominated by Dewey Republicans who are socially liberal and believe in some amount of welfare programs. With practically all of their voters being white, the party is constrained to the majority white wards of the District. While the party was forced into the single digits following the start of the Second Great Depression, in this election they have managed to make somewhat of a comeback, even edging out the Greens in Ward 3.
Pride - A party for LGBT rights lead by former Republican David Catina, they have taken a third way approach to economics, believing that a compromise between social democracy and the free market can be found. As such, they are mainly supported by middle and upper class LGBT individuals, which has lead poorer LGBT persons to call Pride a classist party.
Black Panther Party - A black nationalist and socialist party, they have been growing in influence as both Labor and the National Union refuse to abolish the authoritarian practice of stop-and-frisk. They also want to end the shipping off of all D.C. convicts to far away federal prisons located in America's territories, which they term as the "Gulag Archipelago." These prisons, located in far flung territories such as the Canal Zone territory and Bioko have long been condemned by major powers such as the European Union for continuing to force prisoners to work on cotton plantations under the threat of whipping and solitary confinement. However both Labor and the National Union have refused to end this policy, saying that building a prison in the city of Washington D.C. itself would be too costly and that forced labor on the part of prisoners is a cost saving measure. As such a majority of the party's support comes from the Eastern wards of Washington D.C., which are not only over 90% African-American but also feature the city's poorest and most crime ridden neighborhoods.
United Left - A far left party consisting of all stripes of socialists and communists, their member base is surprisingly equally split between whites and blacks, despite the strength of the black socialist BPP. Ever since 2010 their influence has been growing slowly but steadily as more and more people come to realize that none of the capitalist parties have been able to end the Second Great Depression.

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1980 if Anderson won his home state of Illinois

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John Anderson - 298 electoral votes / 36.61 percent popular vote
Ronald Reagan - 222 electoral votes / 35.75 percent popular vote
Jimmy Carter - 18 electoral votes / 26.01 percent popular vote
 
Alright since I am relatively close to finishing these maps, I am curious to see what you have to say. Do you want me to make this a timeline? Since a lot of elections will be the same as otl still, to make them more interesting I will allow you guys to be characters in it as well if you want, I will just do it in your personal request on how they are written. I will start with buren 1840 and move forward from there since that was the first to show up date wise. I will probably skim the early stuff and as the decades pass slowly make each election more and more detailed. If I do make this timeline, you are free to make suggestions on how to make these electoral maps plausible.
 
Alright since I am relatively close to finishing these maps, I am curious to see what you have to say. Do you want me to make this a timeline? Since a lot of elections will be the same as otl still, to make them more interesting I will allow you guys to be characters in it as well if you want, I will just do it in your personal request on how they are written. I will start with buren 1840 and move forward from there since that was the first to show up date wise. I will probably skim the early stuff and as the decades pass slowly make each election more and more detailed. If I do make this timeline, you are free to make suggestions on how to make these electoral maps plausible.
I don't recall; did you do one wherein Gore does well enough in 2000 to carry Tennessee?
 
2004 in the above scenario:
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Businessman Donald J. Trump of New York (Democratic)/ Senator Bob Graham of Florida (Democratic) 279
President George W. Bush of Texas (Republican)/ Vice President Dick Cheney of Wyoming (Republican) 259


2008:
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Senator John McCain of Arizona (Republican)/ Senator Joseph Lieberman of Connecticut (Democratic) 276
President Donald J. Trump of New York (Democratic)/ Vice President Bob Graham of Florida (Democratic) 262

2012:
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President John McCain of Arizona (National Union)/ Vice President Joe Lieberman of Connecticut (National Union) 333
Senator Hillary Clinton of New York (Democratic)/ Senator Jim Webb of Virginia (Democratic) 150
Former Secretary of Commerce Mitt Romney of Massachusetts (Republican)/ Senator John Barrasso of Wyoming (Republican) 50
Senator Bernie Sanders of Vermont (Independent)/ Mayor Rocky Anderson of Utah (Independent) 5
 
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2004 in the above scenario:
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Businessman Donald J. Trump of New York (Democratic)/ Senator Bob Graham of Florida (Democratic) 279
President George W. Bush of Texas (Republican)/ Vice President Dick Cheney of Wyoming (Republican) 259


2008:
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Senator John McCain of Arizona (Republican)/ Senator Joseph Lieberman of Connecticut (Democratic) 276
President Donald J. Trump of New York (Democratic)/ Vice President Bob Graham of Florida (Democratic) 262

How/why does Trump lose Florida in 2004 with Graham on the ticket?
 
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Electoral votes of American states, 2060 (based on trends from 2010-2017)
Gained >1 Seat Gained 1 Seat No Change Lost 1 Seat Lost >1 Seat

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extrapolating.png


Electoral votes of American states, 2060 (based on trends from 2010-2017)
Gained >1 Seat Gained 1 Seat No Change Lost 1 Seat Lost >1 Seat

EEmRzI2.png
Two things, I think by 2060, Montana will hit 4 electoral votes again (it already almost does) and by 2060 I think Texas will finally going to be the most populated state
 
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