The Silver Knight, a Lithuania Timeline

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So while rereading the Silver Knight I found a couple things I would like to ask about.
So in this post:
The TTL landships of 1940 are roughly equivalent to the tanks of the early 1930s in OTL. Renault FT would be a good comparison to current TTL landship designs.

For the most part, landship specifications are mostly similar to OTL (although there is far less focus on heavies, because the powers employing mobile warfare in TTL are not large enough to afford heavy tank formations, unlike OTL), but that is because I am admittedly no expert on tank history and designs.
You state that there are less heavy landships in use by the great powers that use mobile formations. This got me thinking. How heavy is an average Lithuanian tank?

My second question is based on what is presented in this excerpt.
[QUOTE="General Lukas Šinkevičius, quelled the uprising in Ingria after two weeks of warfare in marshes and forests, taking the strategically important Karelian Isthmus and successfully denying Russia sea access. Mass anti-partisan operations took place in Latgalia and Estonia, resulting in hundreds of arrests and hundreds more killed in battles across the countryside. Despite fierce resistance from all three of these Baltic nations, they just didn't have the strength to resist superior enemy numbers without any foreign support. [/QUOTE]
In here it is mentioned that there are three rebelling Baltic States, while Latgalian, Estonian and Ingrian rebels are mentioned. This implies that Ingria is considered as a Baltic State in TTL. Is this a correct assumption to make?
 
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So while rereading the Silver Knight I found a couple things I would like to ask about.
So in this post:

You state that there are less heavy landships in use by the great powers that use mobile formations. This got me thinking. How heavy is an average Lithuanian tank?

My second question is based on what is presented in this excerpt.
General Lukas Šinkevičius, quelled the uprising in Ingria after two weeks of warfare in marshes and forests, taking the strategically important Karelian Isthmus and successfully denying Russia sea access. Mass anti-partisan operations took place in Latgalia and Estonia, resulting in hundreds of arrests and hundreds more killed in battles across the countryside. Despite fierce resistance from all three of these Baltic nations, they just didn't have the strength to resist superior enemy numbers without any foreign support.
In here it is mentioned that there are three rebelling Baltic States, while Latgalian, Estonian and Ingrian rebels are mentioned. This implies that Ingria is considered as a Baltic State in TTL. Is this a correct assumption to make?
Lithuanian landships are generally light, fast and cheap, both because Lithuania lacks the resources other landship-wielding nations can provide to the military and also because their landship development was affected by Bludgeon doctrine, which emphasized rapidly capturing industrial and population centers of the enemy state.

And yes, Ingrians, who are considerably more numerous in TTL, are considered to be a Baltic people.
 
Building States and Filling Stomachs
Building States and Filling Stomachs: Republican Japan (1943-1948)

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A ruined district of Kyoto. What ruined it, if any single actor can be held responsible, is unclear.

The institutions though which radical changes are effected always, like trees, preserve records of their past conditions deep within themselves. The Japanese Unitarian Party was itself a marriage of Sosa Maeda’s study group of university students and Kijuro Seki’s underground trade union. The students, including one Takashi Nagai, were the Party’s mind. The union, meanwhile, was the Party’s body— its membership of peasants and factory workers were the foundation of future mass movements. In the run-up to the September Revolution of 1929, the Unitarians continued to augment themselves. Koto Nomi, a former Army officer, organized the Unitarian paramilitary force and reached out to colleagues in the Shogun’s employ. The new additions didn’t even need to join out of ideology— General Bakin Okamura, whose campaigns brought northern Japan under the Unitarian banner, served the Unitarians only out of a wish to save himself and his family. The Shogunate’s bureaucracy, meanwhile, defected to the Unitarians after the new government in Kyoto proved that it could pay salaries on time.

The strength of the Nagai regime lay in its ability to combine all the aforementioned fragments of pre-Revolution Japan into a powerful machine, one that could be used for entirely unprecedented purposes. Nagai’s machine recorded data, devised policies, and enacted sweeping changes, allowing the Union of Japan, the youngest of the three major pre-Danube Blue states, to transform its host society as dramatically as its elder brothers did. The machine was fed by thousands of graduates from the Unitarian schools of administration, which instilled advanced literacy, numeracy, time management skills, and dedication to the Chairman. The machine requisitioned funds for Japan’s accelerated modernization, and built up the military for the eventual showdown with China. Even during the dark days of the Chinese blockade, and the breakdown of state power in the peripheries and of living standards just about everywhere, the machine was strong enough to enforce such odd rules as a ban on Shinto festivals until the Koreisai Protests of 1942 and Operation Shenfeng finally destroyed it from inside and out.

The fragments of this wondrous apparatus, seeking to protect their lives, families, and wealth, scattered across the devastated country. The new Republic of Japan soon made good use of them.

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The former First People’s Bank in Kyoto. After the arrival of Democrat Midoriya, it was converted into office space for the Administrative Renewal Association.

Japan’s new constitution, created by Chinese legislators interested in keeping the new Republic stable but weak, mandated the establishment of a legislature distinct from the executive, rather than an Estates-General that could combine both roles. However, the Constitution also permitted the executive to “in response to discrete and soluble conditions that may comprise an emergency, undertake those actions necessary and proper to guide the nation past the initial conditions that led to the emergency.” Pointing out that the state of Japan in 1943 was just one big emergency, with underlying conditions ranging from state collapse to food insecurity, Democrat Izuku Midoriya, who previously served as Gyeongseong University's Professor of Foreign Affairs, assumed emergency powers within days of his arrival in Kyoto and used them to place a six-year moratorium on elections for the legislature. Yang Long and the Emperor made sure that China remained officially silent on the matter— chastising Midoriya for this move would only delegitimize the state-building effort in Japan. In any event, Midoriya’s declaration did not initially appear to change anything important. Midoriya would likely have ruled alone for a year or two anyways while legislative elections were organized, and his Republic was a legal fiction that accomplished little besides providing cover for Chinese occupation. Pessimism about Japan’s prospects ran particularly deep in foreign media, which read Midoriya’s creation of the All-Japan Advisory Council (全日本諮問会議, Zen-Nihon Shimon Kaigi) as a sign of the Republic’s need for support. This new executive department brought together representatives from all of Japan’s old anti-Unitarian movements. These men conferred legitimacy on the Republic through their participation, but they only participated for a chance at grabbing the new Democrat’s ear. In AJAC’s weekly sessions, Tokugawa loyalists interrupted the speeches of monarchist activists, and Shinto kannushi responded to the claims of radical Buddhist monks by stating that the un-Japanese ideology of Buddhism had opened the door for equally foreign Unitarian thought. Democrat Midoriya listened respectfully to these men for the first few weeks, but his attendance at AJAC soon grew more sporadic— Deputy Democrat [1] Norio Wakamoto often stood in for him. This lapse in interaction with the old revolutionaries coincided with the formation of the Administrative Renewal Association (政府維新会, Seifu ishin-kai). As it turned out, Midoriya preferred the company of technocrats to soldiers and ideologues.

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A rough outline of Japan’s executive branch during Democrat Midoriya’s first term.

The ARA’s members tended to be quite young— the average age was 43, with the oldest member being 54 and the youngest member 38. Almost all were drawn from Korea's Japanese emigre population, and around half were colleagues of Midoriya’s from Gyeongseong University. Most had some experience in administration, whether in organizing Japanese-language weekend classes for the emigres’ children or serving as city councillors in Busan and Daegu. Their first task was finding other people like them. Using the Chinese army’s makeshift communications network of runners, cavalrymen, and Sengupta stations, Midoriya announced the beginning of a 40-day period in which “individuals with extensive managerial experience” could travel to the ARA offices and apply for membership in a “fast track” to re-employment. Of course, the stilted language of the announcement did not hide the fact that the ARA was hiring former Unitarian bureaucrats, the sinews of the Nagai regime, for service in the Republic. However, the pervasiveness of the Unitarian state in daily life meant that most Japanese with any sort of “extensive managerial experience” had been Blue police chiefs, officers in the state-run enterprises, secretaries, and clerks. In the end, 20,000 former employees of the Unitarian state joined the “fast track.” Their personal evaluations lasted around three months: too short to be an ideological test, but just long enough to check if the aspiring employee was incompetent, brainwashed, or morally bankrupt. The first of the government’s agencies to make the journey from name on a diagram to actual organization was the Discipline Commission. Headed by Mitsuha Miyamizu, a former headmistress in Unitarian Edo’s premier high school, Discipline was assigned responsibility for biannual personal evaluations on present and future government employees.

By February 1944, the Republic’s four Commissions had settled into a relatively comfortable pattern. After passing through Discipline’s checks, new employees entered the Cadre Training Commission’s six-week training cycle, which prepared them for one of the other two commissions. The Finance Commission’s job mostly consisted of haggling with the Chinese and Koreans for funds to run the whole operation, and ensuring that donations from overseas Japanese individuals and organizations made it safely to the state treasury. The Planning Commission was effectively an informal legislature: it was charged with turning the general directives and goals of Midoriya and the ARA into viable policies. By this point, the Republican state was capable of growing itself and maintaining its growth— but the state still lacked the ability to provide services, such as law enforcement or education, to the population at large. The ARA authorized the formal creation of the first Office, that of Home Affairs, in the following month. The new agency was at the forefront of the Republic’s first major trial: taking responsibility for famine relief.

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Ration packs of rice flour like this one were a frequent sight in 1940s Japanese households.

The years of starvation since 1941 disrupted traditional Japanese life in a way that even the Unitarians could not. Sickness and death meant that rural families had less hands to work the rugged and mountainous terrain, or maintain the rice fields which already existed. The Unitarian system of state-run granaries and collective farms broke down under the strain of keeping the peasantry alive while still satisfying the army’s increasingly unrealistic demands for grain. Unattached women or widows with kids managed their own homes and lands by themselves, receiving assistance from surviving relatives, friends, or business partners (crop-sharing and plot-leasing became increasingly common as Unitarian authority in the provinces melted away and the rural population developed de-facto ownership of the land). However, a number of factors— the lack of seeds for planting, death or sickness among much-needed animals (and people), poor condition of farmland, and the threat of banditry— made farming almost completely unviable across large portions of Japan by 1942. The very tools of farming, the building blocks of agriculture, were crumbling like sand beneath a harbor wave. The Chinese had attempted to alleviate the problem in the wake of Operation Shenfeng— troops carried extra rations with them, and distributed them in pacified areas. However, the ghost of famine could not truly be exorcised until Japan was able to feed itself again.

After a one-month period of establishing contact with the Chinese troops that maintained order in the former collective farms, the Home Affairs Office parceled out the territory to the people who still inhabited it. The land of defunct or depopulated collectives was sold to dispossessed or otherwise landless peasants from across the country. Rather than paying in cash, the hundreds of thousands of families who acquired land during this time were given ten years to produce a certain predetermined amount of produce.

To create output, however, the new landowners needed assets. Though distributing rice, soy, and wheat seeds was an obvious option, distributing pigs turned out to be effective in its own right. Japanese people had hunted, domesticated, and consumed pigs, hogs, and boars since prehistoric times, and even official disapproval from the Imperial court and Buddhist establishment did not prevent the soldiers of northern Kyushu’s Satsuma domain from carrying herds of pigs as living rations from their campaigns, or discourage the wealthy Tokugawa elite from consuming meat to gain strength and stamina. The Home Affairs Office did not have much of a role in this project— most of the domesticated pig population had been stolen or killed off by starving farmers, and even feral pigs had become targets for the hungry— and it made way for the Foreign Affairs and Trade Association (FATA). Democrat Midoriya placed this body outside the already-powerful ARA’s purview and directly under his own oversight, and it was he who orchestrated the FATA’s establishment of contact with Lusang. The natives of Lusang’s islands eagerly consumed pork, and so did the Chinese who conquered them. The interbreeding of native and Chinese-imported pig breeds created an animal well-suited for the task of feeding millions. FATA authorized the sale of formerly Unitarian military surplus, landship parts, and even battleships to China (it had plenty to sell, given the fervor with which Nagai attempted to gain naval superiority in East Asia) to build up the Republic’s foreign exchange reserves. This gave the Republic enough revenue to rebuild its pig population with Lusangese imports. Near the end of 1944, China’s Douhang Corporation began searching for land in which to build soy plantations. Sternly reminding Douhang to abide by the labor laws passed by executive order in the previous month, FATA authorized the sale of a depopulated collective farm which had not been divided up during the earlier land reforms. Though the country as a whole still depended on Chinese food imports, and Chinese doctors and army physicians were still called upon to cure complications caused by prolonged malnutrition, the hard work of 1944 gave the Japanese countryside a future.

Meanwhile, reconstruction of the urban areas continued apace. Although the Chinese army restored much of the surviving (and ruined) Unitarian infrastructure and industry to state ownership, private actors— and especially those former bureaucrats who had not been hired by the Republican state— were encouraged to buy stocks in the state enterprises. “Reconstruction” was a very literal term in Japan’s ruined cities— the first industry to be rebooted was the state’s cement corporation, followed shortly by forestry. However, with the re-emergence of jobs, money (Chinese currency was used as an unofficial unit of exchange), and property came a corresponding rise in crime. The Chinese occupation troops’ Japanese auxiliaries, who worked as enforcers and translators, became the backbone of the new urban and rural police departments. A brief dispute over the police departments split the ARA near the end of 1945: should the old prefectures of the Unitarian state be rebuilt and entrusted with policing the population, or replaced wholesale by new administrative units? After an intervention by the Democrat, it was determined that the Republican state didn’t yet have the financial or organizational strength to micromanage the affairs of over forty prefectures. Command of the police forces would pass to eight new provinces, based on the traditional regions of Japan. Graduates of the Cadre Training Commission’s courses soon carved out a niche in every new province’s administration, but their attempts to assert control over Hokkaido posed a problem. The Ainu population had held out in the north of the island for centuries, and as the Unitarian state broke down they created an autonomous administration that gained recognition and support from the Chinese. Accepting the inevitable, Midoriya recognized the separation of the Ainu Autonomous Prefecture (アイヌ民族自治県, Ainu-minzoku jichi-gen) from Hokkaido Province, making it the ninth subnational division of Japan. The Prefecture gained self-rule, but was also entrusted with providing for its own law enforcement. The relative poverty of the region, however, meant that the Prefectural administration was constantly cash-strapped and worryingly dependent on militias of private citizens to maintain security. Midoriya's journals show that he recognized the financial difficulties of Ainu autonomy to be a serious issue, but he ultimately decided to leave the problem to future leaders of a stronger Republic.

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The nine subnational divisions of the Republic.

Meanwhile, cod conquered the streets of southern Japan. Klippfisk, or dried and salted cod, was a popular foodstuff in Sweden’s Norwegian provinces— it lasted forever and was packed with nutrients. While it had initially been distributed in Japan as part of the international relief effort (Sweden, hoping to deal with the world on its own terms and not Germania’s, had attempted to build up independent links with East Asia) klippfisk continues even today to be the stuff of Japanese workday lunches, sold in street stalls and small shops. It is traditionally produced in bulk, and therefore sells for very little. Its high sodium content is, of course, of very little concern to the culture that brought miso soup to the world. While the popularity of klippfisk and the success of Swedish relief efforts in Japan were cause for celebration in Stockholm, it inflamed the tensions between the Swedish state and Norwegian fishing companies, who felt that Stockholm offered them little compensation for their produce and wished to trade more freely with other nations. Modern historians are fond of comparing this dispute to the later fight over the North Sea’s fossil fuels. Regardless, the improvements of 1945 and 1946 allowed Japan’s economic life to assume some characteristics of normalcy. A new currency, the mon, was introduced at par with the Chinese currency that circulated in Japan as an unofficial unit of exchange. The planning commission also began work on a revised edition of the Unitarian tax code, which was expected to come into force in 1947.

As Japan came to its feet, China scaled back its involvement. Though the rent payments for the Bonin Islands territory on which China’s newest naval bases rested continued to be a reliable source of revenue for the Republic, China’s grants of unconditional aid were set to expire in 1960. No official time limit, however, was set on the travel visas of the Chinese military advisors who helped train Japan’s new armed forces (a light, compact force whose primary job during a war would be to defend the Home Islands until help arrived from the rest of the EASA). The ARA, another important pillar of the early Republic, was set to dissolve in 1955. Democrat Midoriya has intended for the ARA to be a temporary tool. It had succeeded admirably in its task, and future plans included provisions of keeping its offices and commissions intact, and enabling them to communicate directly with the Democrat.

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The former Theater of the Undying Revolution in Kyoto. As if to comment on the the longevity of Nagai’s revolution, the Theater was chosen as the site of the Republican legislature.

Eager to capitalize on the popularity it had painstakingly earned over the past five years, the Midoriya government announced two major initiatives in 1948. The first was the creation of a Supreme Court of Judicature (大審院 Dai-shin'in), with the power to impose binding precedent on prefectural courts, review the acts of the executive and legislative, and serve as a final court of appeals. Though the Court was not exactly independent— its first Chief Justice was Okuyasu Nijimura, a lawyer friend of Midoriya’s who had handled cases for the Japanese emigre community in Korea— its creation set an important precedent for independent oversight of a government which has not yet faced serious constraints on its power. Meanwhile, the ARA’s statistics office conducted a national plebiscite, asking the public if “Izuku Midoriya should remain as Democrat of the Republic of Japan for another five-year term.” Though some saw this plebiscite as a poor substitute for a free election and either voted No or abstained, 73% of respondents ultimately voted “Yes.” Izuku Midoriya would not face re-election until 1953, but the moratorium on the legislature was set to expire in 1949. The AJAC was redesigned as the All-Japan Legislative Congress (全日本立法議会, Zen-Nihon Rippō Gikai) in which each province gained representation proportional to its population.

Midoriya’s supporters, allies, and admirers, campaigning under the banner of the Party of Hope (希望の党, Kibō no Tō), were almost guaranteed to win a majority of the Congress’s 400 seats. However, not every struggling farmer had been reached by the government's famine relief, and not every aspiring technocrat had friends and connections in the ARA. The new Coalition for Purification (浄化連合 Jōka Rengō), led by a Buddhist monk named Hiroyuki Sawano, reached out to these and other disaffected constituencies. Sawano’s personal philosophy, formed over years of conducting ceremonies in secret for the people of his town in the far north and noting that he was performing more and more funerals as time went on, hinged on the pan-Buddhist concept of the “three refuges.” To be a Buddhist was to take refuge in the Buddha (the fully enlightened one), the Dharma (the vision of righteousness articulated by the Buddha), and the Sangha (the monastic community). A proper government, no matter what form it took, would honor the Buddha, enshrine the Dharma, and reward the Sangha. The Unitarians might have failed miserably at all three tasks, and the Republic seemed ready to follow in its footsteps. Sawano claimed, however, that the Republic was not beyond redemption— its power could, like that of any other form of government, be used to fix the Unitarians’ errors by strong leaders of faith and conviction. Sawano’s grandiose vision distinguished him from the other members of the Sangha and laity who thought like him, and allowed him to rise as a leader among them. The CP became a nationwide movement by riding the wave of religious revival in the repressed but recovering country. With increasingly abundant donations from foreigners, the CP built up a symbiotic relationship with more locally-based organizations. In August 1948, supporters of Sawano provided funding and fervor to Obon festival celebrations from Hakata to Hakodate. Out of genuine belief or effective enticement, the organizers of the festivals made sure to distribute the pamphlets of their benefactors. Even the Shinto establishment, insofar as there was one, largely aligned with the CP— Shinto and Buddhism were viewed by most Japanese as complementary traditions, and the CP did draw heavily on Shinto symbolism to appeal to Japanese nationalists. Midoriya, the ARA, and the formerly Unitarian civil servants viewed Sawano as a distasteful nuisance. Nevertheless, through his charisma, his personal strength— the man traveled back and forth through Japan to meet the people of the provinces, perform ceremonies, and train new monks to replace those killed by the events of the last two decades— and the conditions of his time, Sawano stood ready to fight the PH for control of the Congress.

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This picture of Hiroyuki Sawano features all the things (a cup of tea, a paper fan, traditional robes, and a devout soul with strong convictions) that made pre-Unitarian Japan so great in the first place. It became a potent symbol of the CP campaign in 1949.

Meanwhile, the sudden rediscovery of Prince Yasahito (優仁親王, Yasahito Shinnō), who had been studying abroad in Rome while the September Revolution erupted, made the monarchist movement viable again. Exiled in Europe, the young prince tried to complete his studies but was forced to drop out for lack of funds. He survived as the owner of a small restaurant specializing in re-interpretations of Japanese cooking with Italian ingredients until he was found and approached by the monarchists. As the head of the one of the old Imperial Family’s four cadet branches, Yasahito’s claim on the throne was fairly valid. The hastily-formed Imperial Rule Assistance Association (大政翼賛会, Taisei Yokusankai) did not have the organizational strength or incumbent advantage of the PH, and lacked the grassroots appeal of the CP. Though it presented a united front to outsiders, contemporary minutes and memos portray a low-intensity struggle between the ultranationalist figures within the party and the relatively progressive prince. However, if neither the PH nor the CP won a majority in the Congress, the monarchists could well become kingmakers.

[1] Vice President.
 
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Meanwhile, the sudden rediscovery of Prince Yasahito (優仁親王, Yasahito Shinnō), who had been studying abroad in Rome while the September Revolution erupted, made the monarchist movement viable again. Exiled in Europe, the young prince tried to complete his studies but was forced to drop out for lack of funds. He survived as the owner of a small restaurant specializing in re-interpretations of Japanese cooking with Italian ingredients until he was found and approached by the monarchists. As the head of the one of the old Imperial Family’s four cadet branches, Yasahito’s claim on the throne was fairly valid. The hastily-formed Imperial Rule Assistance Association (大政翼賛会, Taisei Yokusankai) did not have the organizational strength or incumbent advantage of the PH, and lacked the grassroots appeal of the CP. Though it presented a united front to outsiders, contemporary minutes and memos portray a low-intensity struggle between the ultranationalist figures within the party and the relatively progressive prince. However, if neither the PH nor the CP won a majority in the Congress, the monarchists could well become kingmakers.
Kingdom of japan? How would Shun view it?
 
Can we please stop with the anime references, I love one or two but let's not go overboard.

(I'm referring to the appearance of Hiroyuki Sawano for those who don't know their anime composers.
 
Kingdom of japan? How would Shun view it?

I doubt that China would mind. China, and most of the other EASA members, are monarchies. A restored Imperial dynasty wold just be rejoining a very established club.

Can we please stop with the anime references, I love one or two but let's not go overboard.

(I'm referring to the appearance of Hiroyuki Sawano for those who don't know their anime composers.

I'm ready to break this bad habit the moment Augenis does ;) But seriously, I think that the anime names stop here.
(Also, every single name except for Yasahito's is some form of anime reference-- not just composers, but VAs and characters as well. Could be mildly interesting for people to get some but not others.)
 
I doubt that China would mind. China, and most of the other EASA members, are monarchies. A restored Imperial dynasty wold just be rejoining a very established club.
Oh no, China would mind a lot. Not because of the monarchy itself, but because of what it entails.

Basically, I envisioned that China wants Japan to be under very close wraps, for a variety of reasons - to secure their eastern front in case relations with India sour to the point of war, to give companies like Douhang a market to easily exploit and, most importantly, to make sure Japan doesn't threaten Chinese hegemony in the East Asia region ever again.

A Japan which has restored the House of Yamato is a Japan which has a national symbol to unite around, which, in the view of the Chinese, would entail a stronger and thus a resurgent Japan. I believe you described Chinese plans for Japan well in your update - "keeping the new Republic stable, but weak".

It's why I imagine that unlike in other places, a restoration in Japan is not possible at the moment.
 
Oh no, China would mind a lot. Not because of the monarchy itself, but because of what it entails.

Basically, I envisioned that China wants Japan to be under very close wraps, for a variety of reasons - to secure their eastern front in case relations with India sour to the point of war, to give companies like Douhang a market to easily exploit and, most importantly, to make sure Japan doesn't threaten Chinese hegemony in the East Asia region ever again.

A Japan which has restored the House of Yamato is a Japan which has a national symbol to unite around, which, in the view of the Chinese, would entail a stronger and thus a resurgent Japan. I believe you described Chinese plans for Japan well in your update - "keeping the new Republic stable, but weak".

It's why I imagine that unlike in other places, a restoration in Japan is not possible at the moment.

But surely the old monarchy would keep it a stable ally? I know China isn't W-Allies post WW2 but it does seem odd that few of the victors are thinking long term allies here and the way China seems built up it seemed the likely choice to decide that a stronger Japan that has a very-anti Unitarian streak given the whole revolution thing would be better long term than a republic that could be seen as halfway to unitarianism already by some.

China is heavily industrialised and in the current context Japan is unlikely to want to aid India even indirectly if a resurgent Japan occurs. China has proven that it can outclass Japan easily and the Japanese know so even if a revanchist Japan comes to be they won't be stupid enough to cause Mass Blockade and Starvation 2 : Electric Boogaloo
 
The Chinese reasons for preventing a restoration seem similar to the Allies' reasons for abolishing Prussia-- the aim isn't just to have the target country be friendly to the superpower patron, but to have the target make a clean break with its past and proceed along the new path that the patron country sets out for it.
 
The Chinese reasons for preventing a restoration seem similar to the Allies' reasons for abolishing Prussia-- the aim isn't just to have the target country be friendly to the superpower patron, but to have the target make a clean break with its past and proceed along the new path that the patron country sets out for it.
Why would Shun want japan to make clean break with its past?
 
Does Italy still have its confederal form of government? If so, what's the form of government in each constituent? If I remember correctly, it's an odd mix of monarchies and republics under the ceremonial leadership of the Pope-- but how much power does the Pope, or any other figure, really have?

Also, it's interesting that Sardinia has still maintained its independence.
 
On the 1948 map, it's a weird shade of green. One of the Great European War posts mentioned that Spanish power over the island was broken by France.
Sardinia has been that shade of green since chapter 74, and yes, it's independent.

Put the blame on me - during the Great European War, I had the idea of Sardinia breaking away from Spain (it's a weird cultural fusion of Spanish, Italian and local Sardinian, and the war of resistance against the French occupation strengthened this identity), but once the time came about actually writing it, I never got around to it.
 
Sardinia has been that shade of green since chapter 74, and yes, it's independent.

Put the blame on me - during the Great European War, I had the idea of Sardinia breaking away from Spain (it's a weird cultural fusion of Spanish, Italian and local Sardinian, and the war of resistance against the French occupation strengthened this identity), but once the time came about actually writing it, I never got around to it.
What is independent Sardinia like, then, I may ask?
 
Sardinia
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ISSUE: June 16, 1946​
Matthijs van de Velde
Mediterranean Correspondent

Sardinia Celebrates King’s 56th Birthday

In Sardinia, men have long lived and died on the cast of a die. This curious isle's relationship with unpredictability dates to the last days of Rome, in which it seemed secure in the hands of Constantinople’s emperors until the machinations of the Latin Church pried it from their grasp. A confused period followed in which four native princes known as giudici, or judges, tried and failed to resist attempts at control by Pisa, Genoa, and even the Pope’s secular state. The conquest of Sardinia by the Aragonese crown in the 1300s created a measure of good government which the united Spanish state inherited in the following century and maintained for the next four. The arrival of the Great European War changed things once again: the French conquered the island and its Spanish naval bases in 1912. The island’s fate remained in question until the Paris Peace Accords of 1916, in which the French gave up their goals of establishing a friendly republic and acquiesced to the demands of the pro-Catholic, royalist, and very popular resistance movement. A scion of a cadet branch of the Spanish royal dynasty, whose progenitor had been exiled from Spain after running afoul of the military junta, was eventually chosen as the French candidate for kingship of Sardinia. He ran without opposition and was confirmed as King Carlu I on December 2, 1916.

However, little of war and politics is particularly visible in the revelry that has animated the thoroughfares of Cagliari (known locally as Casteddu) over the past week. For the last thirty years, this island kingdom has shed its feudal past and assumed fame and wealth incommensurate with its size. Central to this development has been Sardinia’s somewhat shorter but no less impactful tradition of reckless fun.

The Sardinian gaming industry was born in the shadow of rural resorts. The military junta of Spain, desperate for a source of revenue, first attempted to turn Sardinia into a land of rustic getaways in the early 1800s. It was socially acceptable then for the well-to-do of France, Germania, and northern Spain to visit a resort and drink from a curative mineral spring, or bathe in the sea. Sardinia, with its pristine beaches and rugged interior, was near-perfect for such ventures. Encouraged by the Sardinian resorts’ initial successes, the government-general of Sardinia created concessionary companies with the exclusive right to provide several services to the resorts— and one of these services simply happened to be the provision of “games of chance.” Madrid may well have preferred to build casinos openly, but feared that such a brazen rejection of contemporary moral conventions would isolate Spain from the rest of Europe. Following the lead of Visegrad, France, Lithuania and the German states had banned public gambling as part of a wider program to reintroduce proper morality into public life, and combat the forces unleashed by the German Revolution. Spain couldn't afford to openly stray from this powerful crowd, and so the concessions offered a means of quietly conferring the right to build gambling-houses to enterprising opportunists native and foreign (many of the latter were once owners of gambling-houses further north). The primacy of resort over casino allowed those who visited the latter to claim that they came to enjoy the former, and merely gambled away their earnings and inheritances as a side venture. Visitors during this time were a diverse lot— Lithuanian boyars were as likely to lose their money in a game of roulette as Portuguese businessmen. Upon returning home, they spread news to friends and enemies of the dangerous fun they’d had.

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King Carlu I and Queen Felicina of the Sardinians.

The French military government (still colloquially referred to as sa ditadura de sas arraneddas, or the Dictatorship of the Frogs) tolerated the existence of gambling, but the new King redefined it. King Carlu, an old darling of the media, has long declared his intention to be a modern monarch who works within constitutional bounds for the prosperity and stability of the nation. With the strength of the island’s Spanish-built civil service behind him, the King began the third year of his reign by overseeing the establishment of a licensing regime for the island’s resort-casinos. All owners would henceforth be required to gain accreditation by allowing state inspectors to measure their games and employees (especially the dealers) by the standards of fairness and professionalism common on the European mainland, and then pay a hefty fee for the whole process. However, this fee was lowered by 25% for owners who moved their establishments into the urban area of Cagliari, by another 50% for owners who promised to renovate their facilities to fit modern tastes, and waived entirely for owners who then advertised their services in mainland Europe’s cities.

Through newspaper ads, Sengupta announcements, and the new medium of glossy color posters, increasing numbers of Europeans came to learn of a land that had once been the exclusive playground of nobles and their parvenu associates. As the postwar recession ended and the Era of Good Feelings began producing much of its namesake emotion, delegates from the continent’s nouveau riche arrived in a Cagliari that the Mediterranean travelogues of the 1800s may not have easily recognized. For starters, the casinos’ games had all changed. The marketing and gaming experts that the more ambitious casino owners hired assured their clients that the impending wave of middle-class gamblers were not the wealthy, adrenaline-addicted fanatics of the past century— these new men and women wanted games of low stakes, in which they could make and keep money. They then suggested that the casino owners relegate games in which customers competed with each other to secondary status and focus on games like roulette, in which customers play against the house itself. If they lost, the house profited— and profits could, after the Sardinian state received its share through taxes and licensing fees, be plowed right back into the enterprise to make it more productive.

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Business as usual in the Casa Kaganovich. Founded by a con man from Ryazan, “the Kagano” has evolved into one of Cagliari’s oldest and most respectable casinos.

In a massive investment of resources, the casinos did everything they could to show that Sardinia had continent-sized ambitions and opportunities. Stately orchestras and wild parties could each unfold on opposite sides of the same street. Swimmers and sunbathers enjoyed the beach, while never straying more than five minutes’ distance from the seaside restaurants of world-famous chefs. Gardeners and landscapers beautified the city center, and waystations on the urban periphery offered horses and guns for hunting trips into the rural hinterland beyond. Though the chance of ignominious failure was quite real, the massive burst of spending paid off. Cagliari had been painted onto the mental map of the average European as the finishing line of the rat race. As the city’s fame began to spread beyond Europe, the effects of money spent and money earned percolated through the island itself.

Of course, it’s foolish to pretend that there were— or are— no losers in Sardinia. The casinos, and by extension the state that shares in their incomes, fund themselves with the money provided daily by thousands of losers. Still, a curiously strong conception of fairness still prevails here. One may remember the case of Filibertu Lussu, who ran a major counterfeiting operation in the late 1920s with the aim of mass-producing the easily-copied currency of Visegrad’s Balkan client states. The Sardinian state, which had adopted the progressive but effective penal code of the Republican government in Spain, proved its willingness to enforce those laws by extraditing Lussu to Buda.

The state’s commitment to maintaining public safety, even-handedness, and order have been an important contributor to Sardinia’s success during the Era of Good Feelings, which has endured the Era’s chaotic transition into the Deluge. Seeking to avoid the onerous and capricious taxes of their home countries, many Mediterranean banks and corporations have already moved their headquarters to Cagliari. Even if the great reservoir of gamblers were to run dry tomorrow, Sardinia is well-prepared to become a major hub of European finance. Crown Prince Felix, meanwhile, appears to be interested in development in a different field. He is expected by many seasoned observers— including myself— to be favorable to political liberalization and allow the country’s legislative Cortes to assume greater power. Seasonal migrants to Cagliari, encouraged by the effectiveness of the urban police, have set down more permanent roots. Walking through the streets, one meets laborers and footmen from Corsica and the Italian peninsula, chefs from France and Spain, musicians and financiers from Argelia and Tripolitania, and sailors from all the world’s corners. A few days ago, I met an old man at the corner of Pudda and Margiane who claimed to be a monk of Lan Xang. Shaking a bronze staff, he asked me for alms, in the tradition of his profession. I obliged him, and would eagerly do the same now. Cagliari is not Paris— it is not the center of an empire which has yoked the world together. Forgive my idealism, but I feel justified in believing that Cagliari’s worldliness is the product of genuine aspirations, held by people who genuinely want to be right here, right now, with the sun above and the chaotic but ultimately constructive bustle of humanity all around.

Let us now return to the subject of the king’s birthday.

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The well-staffed orchestras in the city’s amphitheaters and the trumpets and horns which screech from street corners have been, directly or indirectly, paid for by the casinos, who have much reason to love King Carlu. Other things they have paid for include the city’s harbor renovations, the string of hotels along the southern and western coasts, and— according to their critics— the government itself. There has been much talk of moving the national government to the western city of Aristanis [1]— conservative members of the Cortes think it unseemly for a sovereign government to exist amid gaming and and associated immoralities, while fear of the gambling lobby’s disproportionate influence on the representatives of the Sardinian people crosses party lines. The King is not deaf to these concerns— he announced an investigation into Aristanis’s suitability as a capital last year. Still, Cagliari is unlikely to lose its primacy in Sardinia’s economy, culture, and international image. For proof of this, one may refer to the disqualification of Sassari [2], a city which reliably elects reactionary politicians who decry modernity on the Cortes floor, from consideration as a new seat of government.

The changes of the 20th century have not left a single corner of the island untouched. The island had a literacy rate of 16% in 1916, but a thorough expansion and reform of the educational system has quadrupled that number. The new labor force of educated and skilled workers moves to places where their abilites are in demand. While not all of these internal migrants can afford to live in Cagliari itself, their settlement in the neighboring cities and towns of Sardinia’s southern coast has doubled the area’s population since 1916. The northwestern city of L'Alguer [3] has adopted parts of Cagliari’s model, but departed from others— it is also a magnet for thousands of visitors, but it attracts people with its pristine beaches, its Iberian heritage (the locals speak a dialect of Catalan) and a film festival that is less prone to the well-meaning but ham-fisted censorship which haunts Paris’s Festival international. In all the cities and villages of Sardinia, bleary-eyed provincialism has been usurped by a keenness to understand the rapidly-rewritten rules of country, continent, and planet— and bend them to one’s own advantage.

One cannot even credibly claim that “gambling” had paid for all this. Traditional light manufacturing and agriculture continue to enrich the country as they always have. The spokesmen for the tourism industry, which now contributes more to the economy than any other sector, are more likely to promote the island’s stunning vistas, its world-renowned automobile races, its tasteful and useful mix of historical and modernist architecture, and its robust and innovative community of artists and musicians. The island’s name has become a brand, a byword for something more noble and captivating than playing risky games with one’s spare change. Sardinia has reinvented itself in a way that we Dutch, ruled by an Amsterdam that cares more about recovering Friesland than developing the provinces still under its care, may never emulate. In the process, it has become a model for more eager students. Some eager but inexperienced journalists have taken to calling Ayutthaya the “Sardinia of the East,” but that land may well become worthy of the title if current trends of rising Asian prosperity and study of Sardinian methods continue.

One departs it all with the sense that Sardinia’s historical penchant for chaos and high stakes has merely shifted to a form more in tune with the modern world’s madness. ■


[1] OTL: Oristano.

[2] My idea is that every city in Sardinia except for Cagliari is referred to by the name that locals use for it. Oristano is “Aristanis” in the Campidanese dialect of Sardinian. Sassari is known by no other name in the Sassarese dialect, which is closer to Corsican and mainland Italian than to the Sardinian language spoken further south. Cagliari gets to be Cagliari because it has, as a major city, been named (and misnamed) often in the documents of the wider continent, and so the Italian version of the name has stuck as an exonym (kind of like how Peking was used for Beijing, Rangoon for Yangon, and Bangkok for Krungthepmahanakhon Amonrattanakosin Mahintharayutthaya Mahadilokphop Noppharatratchathaniburirom Udomratchaniwetmahasathan Amonphimanawatansathit Sakkathattiyawitsanukamprasit.)

[3] OTL: Alghero.

***

If Italy is going to be a mega-Switzerland in this TL, why not make Sardinia a mega-Monaco? Reading about OTL Monte Carlo and Macau was one of the more fun things I’ve done for my guest posts.
 
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