Alternate Electoral Maps II

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Really dumb re-alignment that I thought of, yellow represents swing states. Can you guess what the reasoning behind this map is?

Republicans become a party with two main factions, the populists (Appalachia) and the moderates (northeast). Democrats maybe go progressive? (might also have a moderate/Blue Dog wing)

Hispanics are a solid D block (judging by the southwest's lean). Blacks vote slightly less Democratic (judging by Maryland). Asians are probably lean/likely D. Whites in the Plains vote less Republican but northeastern whites vote more Republican.
 
1964 wikibox.png
1964.png

(inspired by hcallega's 'The Presidency of John F Kennedy')

John F. Kennedy (Democratic)

35th President of the United States

January 20, 1961 – January 20, 1969

…following the near-death experience that he escaped in Dallas, Texas on November 22, 1963, President Kennedy set out to define his legacy, placing a civil rights bill and War on Poverty on his New Frontier agenda.

As election year 1964 began, Vice President Lyndon Johnson was forced to resign in January amidst a Senate investigation into his financial dealings as Senator in the 1950s, a dramatic fall from grace despite his reputation as formerly one of the most powerful men in the country as Senate Majority Leader.

Kennedy's goal of a tax cut in exchange for promising a budget not to exceed $100 billion in 1965 was met, and Revenue Act of 1964 emerged from Congress and was signed on February 26, 1964.

Efforts to pass a civil rights bill in Congress in July 1964 failed narrowly to a filibuster despite heavy congressional efforts led by Democratic Senate leaders Mike Mansfield, Hubert Humphrey and the Republican leader, Everett Dirksen to pass the bill. This gave the Kennedy campaign momentum from civil rights leaders and African Americans including Martin Luther King, Jr, on the basis that civil rights would have a better chance of success under Kennedy's second term as opposed to his Republican rival in the general election, conservative Senator Barry Goldwater.

After Kennedy decisively defeated Alabama segregationist Governor George Wallace in the Democratic primaries, Kennedy selected outgoing North Carolina Governor Terry Sanford as his running mate at the Democratic Convention.

Despite private fears within the Kennedy campaign that Goldwater would have an opening to win the White House with an appeal to white working class voters in the North and seeing little chance of holding the Southern Democratic base over “states rights”, events in October took place. The ousting of Soviet leader Nikita Khrushchev by Leonid Brezhnev, China's first ever atomic bomb test, gave the Kennedy campaign new momentum, arguing that Goldwater was too volatile and extreme to be President amidst an unstable world.

On November 3, 1964, John F. Kennedy, presiding over a booming economy and widely considered to have a successful foreign policy was re-elected in a 36-state landslide and 407 electoral votes.

President John F Kennedy/Gov. Terry Sanford (Democratic)- 56.1%, 407 electoral votes
Sen. Barry Goldwater/Sen. Thruston B Morton (Republican)- 43.5%, 131 electoral votes


However, the Democrats lost Senate seats in:

California (George Murphy defeated Alan Cranston, 53.6%-46.4%),

Nevada (Paul Laxalt defeated Howard Cannon, 54.6-45.4),

Ohio (Robert A Taft Jr defeated Stephen Young, 53.6-46.4) [1],

Oklahoma (Bud Wilkinson defeated Fred Harris, 54.1-45.9),

Tennessee (special election, Class 2: Howard Baker defeated Ross Bass, 50.9-48.6)

and Wyoming (John Wold defeated Gale McGee, 50.2-49.8)

Democrat gains:

Maryland (Joseph Tydings defeated James Glenn Beall)

New Mexico (Joseph Montoya defeated Edwin Mechem)

Other Senate races of note:

New York (R hold):

Kenneth Keating (R) – 48.6%

Samuel Stratton (D) – 48.3%

Tennessee (D hold):

Albert Gore (D) – 50.2%

Dan Kuykendall (R) – 49.8%

Texas (D hold):

Ralph Yarborough (D) – 51.7%

George Herbert Walker Bush (R) – 48.1%

(Yarborough attacked Bush as a carpetbagger and a conservative to the right of Goldwater)


89th United States Congress (1965-1967)

US Senate:

Democratic Party – 62 (-2)

Republican Party – 38 (+2)

US House of Representatives:

Democratic Party – 263 (+5)

Republican Party – 172 (-5)

Notes
1. John Glenn does not fall in the bathtub and campaigns for the Ohio Democratic Senate nomination, only to be defeated by Senator Young in an upset. Robert A Taft enters the Senate six years early.
 
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Republicans become a party with two main factions, the populists (Appalachia) and the moderates (northeast). Democrats maybe go progressive? (might also have a moderate/Blue Dog wing)

Hispanics are a solid D block (judging by the southwest's lean). Blacks vote slightly less Democratic (judging by Maryland). Asians are probably lean/likely D. Whites in the Plains vote less Republican but northeastern whites vote more Republican.


Basically this. I imagined that this scenario might be possible under a future depolarized political landscape.
 
Jimmy Carter would have only needed to get 2% more of the Popular Vote to win in a 431-107 Electoral College blowout




genusmap.php




Jimmy Carter (D-GA)/Walter Mondale (D-MN) 51.1% Popular Vote ~ 431 Electoral Votes
Gerald Ford (R-MI)/Bob Dole (R-KS) 47% Popular Vote ~ 107 Electoral Votes
 
2052 Presidential election

genusmap.php


Gov. Luis Juarez (DG-TX)/Rep. Aja Molina (DG-CA) - 56.2%
Sen. Jordan Dunn (R-KS)/Gov. John Gore (R-AZ) - 40.9%
Others (Libertarian, Mormon, True Democratic) - 2.9%

Although it seemed like the Democratic-Green Party was falling apart, 39 year old Hispanic Governor Luis Juarez of Texas proved to be a strong candidate and unified the party around him. The Republican primaries were close. Moderate New York Governor Robert "Bob" Baker narrowly lost to Populist Kansas Senator Jordan Dunn. Baker ended up endorsing Juarez just days before the election, saying Dunn was "out of touch with the needs of the American people." This Republican rift led to a landslide win for the Democratic-Green Party. The True Democratic Party fell from 14.7% to just 0.9% while the Mormon Party came in 2nd place in Utah yet again. It was certainly a crazy year for the Republicans.
 
IMG_0388.jpg
2016 election from the perspective of 2009.


VP Hillary Clinton
Sec. of State Joe Biden
279 ECV
47%


Govonor Mitt Romney
Senator Marco Rubio
254 ECV
46%


Bernie Sanders
Mark Pocan
5 faithless Electors
4.9%


Closests States
Florida 0.001%
Virginia 0.2%
Nevada 1.4%
Ohio 2.9%
New Hampshire 3.3%
Iowa 4%
Colorado 4.5%

Best Sanders States

Vermont 31.6%
Maine 19.8%
Hawaii 16.3%
Massachusetts 14.1%
D.C. 12.6%
Wisconsin 12.2%
Washington 8.8%

Others
2.2%
 
Someone that's the charisma of Obama and JFK against trump in 2024, after full scale nuclear war on the Korean Peninsula, the pee tape becomes the two girls one cup video of 2024, collusion brought to daylight, total market crash and China and Russia completely implode .... dem 70% or so
 
Here is the updated congressional districts map for the Rutherford scenario. By my best reckoning, Rutherford wins 406 districts to Trump's 29. He carries 93% of all congressional districts. WV-03 is Rutherford's closest win in the country; he carries it with a narrow plurality. His best districts are probably the ones in New York City, Chicago, Los Angeles, and other urban centers. Trump's best district is TX-13 (Texas Panhandle), followed by the 3rd district of Nebraska and the 1st district of Kansas. Tex Arkana, is this map accurate? :

 
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Here is the updated congressional districts map for the Rutherford scenario. By my best reckoning, Rutherford wins 406 districts to Trump's 29. He carries 93% of all congressional districts. WV-03 is Rutherford's closest win in the country; he carries it with a narrow plurality. His best districts are probably the ones in New York City, Chicago, Los Angeles, and other urban centers. Trump's best district is TX-13 (Texas Panhandle), followed by the 3rd district of Nebraska and the 1st district of Kansas. Tex Arkana, is this map accurate? :


Yep, looks accurate to me.
 
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