Alternate Electoral Maps II

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Stronger Trump/GOP victory 2016
2016 presidential election

Donald Trump/Mike Pence-Republican: 47.43%
Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine-Democratic: 46.52%
genusmap.php

2016 Senate elections

Mitch McConnell-Republican: 54_
Harry Reid(retiring)-Democratic: 44_
Independent: 2_
100 seats
51 for majority
upload_2017-9-1_15-29-48.png

2016 House elections
Paul Ryan-Republican: 245-2 50.6%
Nancy Pelosi-Democratic: 190+2 46.5%
435 seats
218 for majority
upload_2017-9-1_15-29-32.png


 
genusmap.php



2016 with Donald Trump as the Democratic nominee.


Businessman Donald J. Trump (D-NY)/Senator Jon Tester (D-MT) 53% Popular Vote ~ 352 Electoral Votes
Governor Susana Martinez (R-NM)/Senator Marco Rubio (R-FL) 46% Popular Vote ~ 186 Electoral Votes.


Martinez wins New Mexico and Florida by slim margins due to the tickets home state advantage. Trump's best states are Vermont (D+40), West Virginia (D+31), and Arkansas (D+28).
 
genusmap.php



2016 with Donald Trump as the Democratic nominee.


Businessman Donald J. Trump (D-NY)/Senator Jon Tester (D-MT) 53% Popular Vote ~ 352 Electoral Votes
Governor Susana Martinez (R-NM)/Senator Marco Rubio (R-FL) 46% Popular Vote ~ 186 Electoral Votes.


Martinez wins New Mexico and Florida by slim margins due to the tickets home state advantage. Trump's best states are Vermont (D+40), West Virginia (D+31), and Arkansas (D+28).
I'd probably guess this (http://uselectionatlas.org/TOOLS/ge...=1;1;6&NE=2;2;5&NE1=2;1;5&NE2=2;1;5&NE3=2;1;6).
 
Trump could have been the Democratic nominee in 2004, but is too conservative to have been such by 2016 assuming he is running to succeed Obama.
 
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Trump vs John Bel Edwards.
Closest states are Iowa, Wisconsin, Mississippi, Ohio, and Arkansas. they're not states, but ME-2 and NE-2 are also extremely close.

Note that Edwards is basically Carter '76 in this scenario. he runs as a moderate, devoutly Christian good 'ol boy who can bring unity to the country and reach across the aisle to get things done.

Not happening. Not in a million years. If anything, as a white Louisiana Democrat, I'm anticipating he'll switch to the GOP during his time in the governor's mansion.

JBE is very moderate, but he's certainly too liberal on several issues to be a Republican, especially in Louisiana. there's no real comparison to someone like Zell Miller or Jim Justice.

Yeah, Edwards is implausibly conservative to be the victorious Democratic nominee against Trump.
 

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Stronger Trump/GOP victory 2016
2016 presidential election

Donald Trump/Mike Pence-Republican: 47.43%
Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine-Democratic: 46.52%
genusmap.php

2016 Senate elections

Mitch McConnell-Republican: 54_
Harry Reid(retiring)-Democratic: 44_
Independent: 2_
100 seats
51 for majority
View attachment 341907
2016 House elections
Paul Ryan-Republican: 245-2 50.6%
Nancy Pelosi-Democratic: 190+2 46.5%
435 seats
218 for majority
View attachment 341906

No Access Hollywood tape, I guess?
 
Trump could have been the Democratic nominee in 2004, but is too conservative to have been such by 2016 assuming he is running to succeed Obama.

Trump had some very liberal views in the 90's and early 2000's. If he ran on those in 2016, he could have won the nomination in a split field.
 
Trump had some very liberal views in the 90's and early 2000's. If he ran on those in 2016, he could have won the nomination in a split field.
Notice I said that he could have gotten the Democratic nomination in 2004. By 2016, he's too pro-business, too rich, and too disinterested in identity politics to be the Democratic nominee even if he's still firmly pro-choice and for a single payer health care system. The things he's said about Barack Obama, and separately, about women, would sink him, especially if he faced down the Clinton machine for the 2016 nomination. Doubly so if he has Bernie to contend with too.
 
United States general election, 1994

Election of 1994 ended in the victory of WOS-RC-P coalition. Majorities of the Moderates in both houses was shrunk, and Bob Dole lost his chancellor's office. However, a young and charismatic, rising star Al Gore (WOS-TN) was appointed as chancellor, being a leader of the formed coalition. Will his term bring prosperity?

Congress of the States

(at-large, number based on population)

1994_elections.png


436 seats, 219 to get majority
Moderate (Bob Dole, M-KS) - 199 seats
Workers of the South (Al Gore, WOS-TN) - 104 seats
Reform Coalition (Jerry Brown, RC-CA) - 68 seats
Progressives (Bernie Sanders, P-VT) - 56 seats
Conservative (Orrin Hatch, C-UT) - 9 seats

Ruling coalition: WOS-RC-P (228 seats)

Federal Senate
(at-large, two seats per state)
1994_elections_senate.png

102 seats, 52 to get majority
Moderate (Jack Kemp, M-NY) - 30 seats
Workers of the South (Bill Clinton, WOS-AR) - 28 seats
Progressives (Barbara Boxer, P-CA) - 21 seats

Conservative (George Bush, C-TX) - 14 seats
Reform Coalition (Ross Perot, RC-TX) - 9 seats
Ruling coalition: WOS-RC-P (58 seats)

Federal Chancellor: Al Gore (WOS-TN)
Speaker of the HoS: Jim Cooper (WOS-TN)
President of the Senate: Bill Clinton (WOS-AR)


  • Moderate (center-right; center (factions); big tent, neoconservatism (factions), liberal conservatism, big government conservatism, christian democracy)
  • Conservative (right; conservatism, fiscal conservatism, social conservatism, paleoconservatism (factions), christian right (factions))
  • Reform Coalition (center; big tent, populism, radical centrism, reformism, anti-establishmentarianism, social liberalism (factions))
  • Progressives (left; social liberalism, progressivism, social democracy, labor rights, left-wing populism)
  • Workers of the South (center-left; center (factions); "new liberalism", labor rights, moderate liberalism, Third Way, social liberalism, regionalism (factions), conservative liberalism (factions), communitarianism (factions))
 
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Notice I said that he could have gotten the Democratic nomination in 2004. By 2016, he's too pro-business, too rich, and too disinterested in identity politics to be the Democratic nominee even if he's still firmly pro-choice and for a single payer health care system. The things he's said about Barack Obama, and separately, about women, would sink him, especially if he faced down the Clinton machine for the 2016 nomination. Doubly so if he has Bernie to contend with too.

If he decided to run as a Democrat, I'm sure he'd have no issues pandering to the base for votes just like he did in OTL when he ran as a Republican.
 
The Seventh Party System: Part XXIV
Part I - Metropotamia
Part II - Alta California
Part III - North Carolina
Part IV - New Jersey
Part V - Adams
Part VI - Alabama
Part VII - Rhode Island
Part VIII - Sequoyah
Part IX - Assenisipia
Part X - East Florida
Part XI - Tennessee
Part XII - Kansas
Part XIII - Dakota
Part XIV - Arizona
Part XV - Delaware
Part XVI - Oregon
Part XVII - Ozark
Part XVIII - New Hampshire
Part XIX - Western Connecticut
Part XX - New York
Part XXI - Santo Domingo
Part XXII - South Carolina
Part XXIII - Baja California



Chersonesus is another former labor state which has become a victim of the Social Credit movement, having been the first state to have a social credit plurality, and now the first state to have a social credit majority.

While not as much of a Labor stronghold as neighboring Metropotamia, Chersonesus had for most of its first post-Nixon been a Labor safe state, only having once gone to the Republicans in 2004 through a coalition with Constitution and Social Credit as well. Of course this coalition quickly fell apart when the Constitution party and Social Credit had a falling out, leading to an early election in 2005 that saw Labor regain its majority.

However in 2011, two years after the start of the Second Great Depression which caused the state to reach over 30% unemployment, the people demanded a change from Labor, leading to a Social Credit surge that saw them gaining the plurality of the vote, making Chersonesus the first state in which they had ever gained a plurality. After a Social Credit-Republican alliance lead to a reduction of the unemployment to only 8% over the course of four years, largely due to a massive infrastructure bill that put tens of thousands of Chersonesusians to work, people all across the country say that Social Credit was a viable alternative to Labor, a fact which contributed greatly to the Social Credit surge of 2016.

Thus, in 2017 Social Credit was rewarded for their policies with being granted a solid majority in government, making Chersonesus the first state to ever have a Social Credit majority. Without the Republicans shackling them down Social Credit plans to extend their economic policies even further, launching massive corporate taxes on all major business to pay for a "National Dividend" which guarantees a certain percentage of the state's GDP be given to its residents free of charge. Morally, Social Credit has also announced plans to launch a new era of sin taxes, adding over 100% to the prices of everything from alcohol and cigarettes to movie tickets and video games in order to reform society into a Christian utopia. While no one knows if the "Utopian experiment" in Chersonesus will work one thing is for sure, the nation's eyes will be on this small state of 1.7 million.

Government:
Social Credit - A socially conservative but economically left wing party the organization's wacky ideology was once denounced as lunacy by both the left and right who thought that they could never be a formidable force. However through successful marketing to Labor's white working class base, providing them a legitimate alternative which doesn't betray either their hearts or their pockets the party has seen an incredible rise over the past decade. And unlike in Saratoga where Social Credit rules in solely the coalition, the majority that they have won allows them to test run their plans of a true Utopia, though even the party's leaders exercise caution over the experiment's success as federal courts have struck down their initial plans to levy tariffs on other states and create a Chersonesusian currency.

Opposition:
Republicans - The party of Big Business, they were recently growing due to their support of the Social Credit coalition, however with Social Credit now possessing a majority the GOP leadership fears that they may never get a chance to be a part of government again.
Labor - Originally the state's natural ruling party, Social Credit's rise has left them with only their diehard supporters and minority voters as their recent loss of 5 seats has doomed them to irrelevancy.
Constitution- The party of hardcore social conservatism and economic liberalism, their usually small membership of Dutch Protestants has grown recently as many conservative Republicans join their ranks, believing that the only way to fight religious populism is with religious populism.

chersonesus_by_moralisticcommunist-dbm5hw3.png



Credit for the basemap goes to Chicxulub.
 
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