You can get another EV for Romney by attaching Kern County to a red state. It also makes California contiguous.
Alternate Electoral Maps
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Biden vs Trump in 2020, based on the very recent PPP poll that has him leading Trump 54-40%. Note that this isn't a uniform swing from 2016, because I feel Biden would do much better with whites, and especially working class whites, than Clinton did.
The 1908 Primaries in Forgotten No More:
Federalist Party
Nelson A. Miles: 159 delegates
Austin L. Crothers: 10 delegates
Workers Party
Terrence V. Powderly: 151 delegates
Josiah Strong: 28 delegates
William Green: 20 delegates
William J. Goebel: 15 delegates
Samuel Pennypacker: 7 delegates
Curtis Guild Jr.: 6 delegates
Nathan P. Bryan: 2 delegates
Constitution Party
Augustus O. Bacon: 35 delegates
Alfred I. du Pont: 20 delegates
Charles B. Aycock: 10 delegates
Malcolm R. Patterson: 10 delegates
Nelson A. Miles: 159 delegates
Austin L. Crothers: 10 delegates
Workers Party
Terrence V. Powderly: 151 delegates
Josiah Strong: 28 delegates
William Green: 20 delegates
William J. Goebel: 15 delegates
Samuel Pennypacker: 7 delegates
Curtis Guild Jr.: 6 delegates
Nathan P. Bryan: 2 delegates
Constitution Party
Augustus O. Bacon: 35 delegates
Alfred I. du Pont: 20 delegates
Charles B. Aycock: 10 delegates
Malcolm R. Patterson: 10 delegates
MoralisticCommunist
Banned
Here is the sixteenth installment in my alternate American election series.
Metropotamia
Alta California
North Carolina
New Jersey
Adams
Alabama
Rhode Island
Sequoyah
Assenisipia
East Florida
Tennessee
Kansas
Dakota
Arizona
Delaware
Oregon is the often forgotten state of the Left Coast, overshadowed by its larger neighbors Alta California and Columbia. Like the rest of the Left Coast the Progressive party is the natural ruling party, however in their most recent election this conventional trend was through through a loop by the rise of the Science Party.
The Science party was founded back in 2005 by eccentric tech CEO Joe Stevenson, who built a multi-billion international business empire in the late 90s through his widely popular line of "uPhones", "uComputers", etc. Seeking to bring Buddhist philosophy and rationalist thinking to politics his party would remain a niche party for technophiles for the next ten years. However following the election of 2013 the governing Progressives were rocked by a series of scandals. From their bureaucratic regulations of telecommunications that caused internet services to become lower in quality and higher in cost to their infamous attack on "white privilege" through the establishment of a diversity quota of at least 10% for all large businesses, the Progressives' popularity dropped to record lows and a large power vacuum appeared for the next election. Stevenson, took this opportunity to emphasize his centrist policies and focus on rational politics above any sort of partisan ideology.
Thus in the election of 2017 the Progressives collapsed on a scale never seen before, just barely staying above the Senate's 5% threshold, which they themselves had ironically set back in 2008 to help silence the United Left. Having this complete collapse following the minority government of California the national Progressive party was sent into panic mode, desperate to prevent the any further losses on the West Coast, especially with Columbia's major House and Senate election coming up in 2018.
Government:
Science Party - Founded in 2005 by the eccentric billionaire Joe Stevenson, its dedication to rationalist and centrist policies makes it extremely among young people and small businesses. Its historic win is likely to result in a new party system for the state, with the Science party taking over the title of the natural governing party. While the party's coziness with Big Business and Sinophile policies worries the far left and right alike its centrist-liberal ideology and brilliant marketing machine has Stevenson convinced of his party longevity.
Republicans - Originally the main opposition party to the Progressives, they have joined coalition with the Science party, making this the first time they constituted a part of government in Oregon for the first time since 1983. While the party is unsettled by Stevenson's plans to increase government spending through the construction of maglev trains all across the Willamette Valley it remains an improvement over the "Cultural Marxism" of the Progressive party and their plan to eliminate Oregon's corporate taxes pleases the Republican establishment very much.
Opposition:
Libertarians - The rural component of conservatism, their insistence on laissez-faire policies and the abolition of welfare is alien to most Oregonians, at least in the Willamette Valley. Outside of it, they remain very popular in rural areas among those who fear the bureaucrats of Salem.
Cascadian Left - A left-wing nationalist party, their economic policies are very similar to those of the Progressives except for the social realm, as they vehemently oppose "Cultural Marxism" and claim that anyone who isn't white is not a true Cascadian. While they managed to gain an impressive 8 seats from the Progressives collapse they remained unable to gain as many as they would have likely, largely due to the Science party's surge. Now with the Progressives out of the picture their rhetoric has become intensely anti-Stevenson, pointing out his ties to the East Asian Prosperity Sphere and support for Big Business.
Progressives - The original natural governing party of Oregon, they held control of the government nonstop for over three decades, leading to the state's reputation as an immense Progressive safe state. However with the Progressive's shift towards identity politics that began in the early 2000s with the increase of both Hispanic and Asian immigrants to the Left Coast, the white population of the state became increasingly disaffected by the Progressives. With over 80% of the state's population being white these identity politics were certain to lead to the party's death, with the rise of the Science party being the straw that broke the camel's back. Now reduced to their core supporters among Hispanics, African-Americans, and Native Americans, the party is unlikely to gain relevance anytime soon.
Asian Action - The Chinese funded party for Asian-Americans their supporters remain small but loyal and while they were left out of government in this election the victory of the Science party pleased their party leaders greatly.
United Left - The far left party of Oregon, their presence is not as strong in Oregon as in the rest of the Left Coast, mainly due to most union member's being a part of the Cascadian Left. Nevertheless they were able to pick a seat from the fall of the Progressives and are optimistic that they will be able to capture the black and brown vote in the future.
Credit for the basemap goes to Chicxulub.
Metropotamia
Alta California
North Carolina
New Jersey
Adams
Alabama
Rhode Island
Sequoyah
Assenisipia
East Florida
Tennessee
Kansas
Dakota
Arizona
Delaware
Oregon is the often forgotten state of the Left Coast, overshadowed by its larger neighbors Alta California and Columbia. Like the rest of the Left Coast the Progressive party is the natural ruling party, however in their most recent election this conventional trend was through through a loop by the rise of the Science Party.
The Science party was founded back in 2005 by eccentric tech CEO Joe Stevenson, who built a multi-billion international business empire in the late 90s through his widely popular line of "uPhones", "uComputers", etc. Seeking to bring Buddhist philosophy and rationalist thinking to politics his party would remain a niche party for technophiles for the next ten years. However following the election of 2013 the governing Progressives were rocked by a series of scandals. From their bureaucratic regulations of telecommunications that caused internet services to become lower in quality and higher in cost to their infamous attack on "white privilege" through the establishment of a diversity quota of at least 10% for all large businesses, the Progressives' popularity dropped to record lows and a large power vacuum appeared for the next election. Stevenson, took this opportunity to emphasize his centrist policies and focus on rational politics above any sort of partisan ideology.
Thus in the election of 2017 the Progressives collapsed on a scale never seen before, just barely staying above the Senate's 5% threshold, which they themselves had ironically set back in 2008 to help silence the United Left. Having this complete collapse following the minority government of California the national Progressive party was sent into panic mode, desperate to prevent the any further losses on the West Coast, especially with Columbia's major House and Senate election coming up in 2018.
Government:
Science Party - Founded in 2005 by the eccentric billionaire Joe Stevenson, its dedication to rationalist and centrist policies makes it extremely among young people and small businesses. Its historic win is likely to result in a new party system for the state, with the Science party taking over the title of the natural governing party. While the party's coziness with Big Business and Sinophile policies worries the far left and right alike its centrist-liberal ideology and brilliant marketing machine has Stevenson convinced of his party longevity.
Republicans - Originally the main opposition party to the Progressives, they have joined coalition with the Science party, making this the first time they constituted a part of government in Oregon for the first time since 1983. While the party is unsettled by Stevenson's plans to increase government spending through the construction of maglev trains all across the Willamette Valley it remains an improvement over the "Cultural Marxism" of the Progressive party and their plan to eliminate Oregon's corporate taxes pleases the Republican establishment very much.
Opposition:
Libertarians - The rural component of conservatism, their insistence on laissez-faire policies and the abolition of welfare is alien to most Oregonians, at least in the Willamette Valley. Outside of it, they remain very popular in rural areas among those who fear the bureaucrats of Salem.
Cascadian Left - A left-wing nationalist party, their economic policies are very similar to those of the Progressives except for the social realm, as they vehemently oppose "Cultural Marxism" and claim that anyone who isn't white is not a true Cascadian. While they managed to gain an impressive 8 seats from the Progressives collapse they remained unable to gain as many as they would have likely, largely due to the Science party's surge. Now with the Progressives out of the picture their rhetoric has become intensely anti-Stevenson, pointing out his ties to the East Asian Prosperity Sphere and support for Big Business.
Progressives - The original natural governing party of Oregon, they held control of the government nonstop for over three decades, leading to the state's reputation as an immense Progressive safe state. However with the Progressive's shift towards identity politics that began in the early 2000s with the increase of both Hispanic and Asian immigrants to the Left Coast, the white population of the state became increasingly disaffected by the Progressives. With over 80% of the state's population being white these identity politics were certain to lead to the party's death, with the rise of the Science party being the straw that broke the camel's back. Now reduced to their core supporters among Hispanics, African-Americans, and Native Americans, the party is unlikely to gain relevance anytime soon.
Asian Action - The Chinese funded party for Asian-Americans their supporters remain small but loyal and while they were left out of government in this election the victory of the Science party pleased their party leaders greatly.
United Left - The far left party of Oregon, their presence is not as strong in Oregon as in the rest of the Left Coast, mainly due to most union member's being a part of the Cascadian Left. Nevertheless they were able to pick a seat from the fall of the Progressives and are optimistic that they will be able to capture the black and brown vote in the future.
Credit for the basemap goes to Chicxulub.
Rhad
Banned
Biden vs Trump in 2020, based on the very recent PPP poll that has him leading Trump 54-40%. Note that this isn't a uniform swing from 2016, because I feel Biden would do much better with whites, and especially working class whites, than Clinton did.
I think this is more likely (http://uselectionatlas.org/TOOLS/ge...=1;1;5&NE=2;2;5&NE1=2;1;4&NE2=1;1;5&NE3=2;1;5 with (538, third party at 6, ncw at 53R, 49, Cew at 51d, 78, Blacks at 88, 58, Hispanics at 68, 65, Asians at 60,57. Major differences are Missouri, Iowa, Montana, and the Dakotas.
2040
The last election that utilizes the Electoral College system of voting, which had become increasingly clumsy in effectively electing presidents due to the advent of multiple parties.
Main Parties:
Citizen’s Party (Orange): A splinter off from the Republican Party during the 30’s Reformation; Primarily popular in the Deep South.
- Pro-Border control
- Pro-Protectionist
- (Majority) Pro-Life
- Anti-Electoral Reform
- Anti-Union
Democratic Party (Blue): More or less the same Democratic Party as 2016, though with a few changed stances as to combat the Republicans and the Citizens
- Pro-Immigration
- Anti-Gun
- Pro-Progressive Tax
- (Majority) Pro-Choice
- Pro-Electoral Reform
Republican Party (Red): Much more centrist than their 2016 counterpart; the 30’s Reformation saw many of the “Alt-Right” and other hyper-nationalist members splinter off to form Citizens
- Pro-Border control (not to the extent of building a wall, but in favor of more protection)
- (Roughly 70%) Pro-Life
- Pro-Gun
- Pro-Flat Tax
- Pro-Electoral Reform
- Mostly Pro-Union
Libertarian Party (Yellow): Doing much worse than the 2036 election; slowly losing relevance as its members join either the Republicans or the Citizens
- We all know the Libertarian Platform, it has not changed since 2016
Workers Coalition (Steel Blue): The Progressives response to the Democratic Party’s failure to reform, mixed with Social Democrats and Democratic Socialists, not the most stable party due to ideological differences.
- Open Borders
- Pro-Electoral Reform
- Pro-Progressive Tax
- Pro-Protectionism
- Pro-Union
- (Majority) Pro-Gun
Under her term, we see the start of Electoral Reform, which will effectively make America into a French-style electoral democracy where the first round can be won by a plurality, or go to Run-Off between the top two candidates if no one achieves this. Congress is also reformed to be elected proportionally, and to only be one uniform body. The 28th amendment, which takes away a presidential term limit as well as decreasing the term length to three years is ratified under her tenure; this becomes effective in 2044.
DeMarco’s term is remembered as being the revitalization of American democracy, called such as she allowed people’s voices to be heard more accurately and also due to the fact that she made it possible for people to elect a president for as long as they feel they can serve their country.
I know this is a very forced change, but i have not enough knowledge to do it smoother
I am not very well versed in parliamentary politics, so anyone who wants to correct my inevitable error please pm me as i wish to write a timeline about this.
Not with this popular vote spread. Trump should win more states.
Apply a 6% universal swing (since Trump lost the PV by 2%)
That flips most of these states, but MT, MO, IA, OH, and ME-02 wouldn't flip (neither would Texas). You might be able to make an argument for some of the closer ones of those based on regional strength, but I don't see that being at play in Texas for a Biden/Kander ticket.
Yes, except universal swings never happen in actual Presidential elections. look at any landslide and you'll still be able to see states that trended towards the loser in that election.
The 2016 Sequel to @kodak 's 2014 Third Party House of Representatives Map (https://www.alternatehistory.com/fo...-electoral-maps.228375/page-365#post-12882534), featuring 20 More occupied seats than last year:
EDIT: Forgot the Women's Equality Party in NYC, and the Libertarians are two seats too many.
EDIT: Forgot the Women's Equality Party in NYC, and the Libertarians are two seats too many.
I'm aware of that, but you need a reason for why these states trended so much to Biden, and reasons why states like California or New York wouldn't also see significant losses from Trump.
McCain lost by essentially the same popular vote margin than Trump in this scenario, yet did better in the electoral college (and still would have, even if you also flipped Montana and Missouri to Obama). Given that this country has only become more polarized (and the electoral college advantage for the Republicans has increased), I don't see a compelling argument for why Trump would lose even more in the electoral college.
Who was 2nd place in Arkansas, Minnesota, Oregon, Maryland, DC,and Alaska?
2016 with Clinton and Trump removed
Gary Johnson/William F. Weld (L): 54.34%, 525 EV
Evan McMullin/Mindy Finn (I): 8.86%, 10 EV
Bernie Sanders (write-in) (I): 1.23%, 3 EV
Jill Stein/Ajamu Baraka (G): 17.64%, 0 EV
Write-ins, sans Sanders: 12.44%, 0 EV
Others: 5.49%, 0 EV
Rhad
Banned
Montana is more likely than Indiana, but I had both as close. I should probably change montana, but Pence has enough of a bump for Trump to get Indiana.
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