Alternate Immigrants
What If:
The Irish never immigrated
to America in large numbers. How to cause this to happen is a rather
easy POD, no Potato Famine. But measuring its effects is something
like an atomic bomb in Hawaii being set off; this isn’t a butterfly flapping
its wings. The Irish practically made America, taking them away would
leave a large void in America history. Obviously, you might not have
JFK as President. Instead perhaps the first Catholic President is
an Italian. Would New Jersey, not Massachusetts, be home to America’s
First Family?
Copper Sulfate:
In the year 1846, John
Lindley noticed that potatoes downwind from the Swansea copper works were
not affected by the potato blight. Despite this, it took forty years
for it to be discovered that a mixture of copper sulfate and lime would
kill the blight. Suppose that the discovery was noticed then, in
1846. The famine had just started, and it is plausible that the use
of copper sulfate could have lessened the effects greatly. There
is no mass exodus of Irish to America.
Contrary to popular belief,
this was not a conspiracy by the British to force the Irish out of Ireland.
The Anglo landlords did not want to see their assets, the Irish Farmers,
move to another country. Just like the Plantation owners in the south
would never want to remove the slaves from America, the Anglo landlords
would not want their Irish slaves fleeing the country. This comparison
might not be politically correct, but it’s right.
So the Anglo landlords
make the investment, paying for copper sulfate now knowing that it will
be made up in the future. 1845 and 1846 are bad years because of
the famine, but there is no great starvation of 1847 and 1848. This
means that more than 2 million Irish stay alive, and stay in Ireland.
The majority of those Irish would have moved to America in OTL, and without
them America will be hurt greatly.
Effects
in Ireland:
In 1832 the British Parliament
increases the number of Irish members from 100 to 105. More importantly,
the reforms gave the middle class more power, weakening the pro-English
upper class. Later, in 1838, a bill was passed converting the tithes
to the Anglican Church into rent charges. It appeared that the Irish
problem was close to being solved, into the Famine hit.
But in this world, there
is no Famine. The landlords came in and prevented the Famine, preventing
any bitterness in future generations. Land reform will come sooner,
and without the high level of violence of OTL. There will still be
resistance by the old guard Anglo upper class, but change will happen.
Ireland will be like Wales and Scotland in OTL, a unique culture, but still
part of the British Empire.
Today, Ireland might
have its own Parliament, like Scotland now does. Two million Irish
that stay in Ireland, and have children and continue to increase the population,
would be a great boon to Britain. It is hard to measure the effects
on history. Might a population boom in Ireland cause a mass exodus
in the 1880s, yet to places like South Africa, Australia, and New Zealand?
Or perhaps there is a
large immigration of Irish to the open lands of British East Africa (Kenya.)
Could this be another South Africa, where whites remain in charge long
after it is granted independence. Would a larger population base
during WWI mean that the British Empire is able to survive a decade or
more than OTL?
Effects
in America:
Perhaps I should have
looked at the effects of America first, as here I think we shall find the
largest change. The Irish boosted the population of the North right
when it needed it the most, when it was preparing for the Civil War.
Although the North will still out number the South, it will not have the
Irish to draw on. This would be a large problem at Sharpsburg.
It’s possible that the
South may win at Sharpsburg. Without the Irish Brigade, perhaps the
Confederate Army is just too much for the Union Army. This causes
a large change, no Emancipation Proclamation. Sharpsburg was a turning
point in the war because it allowed the Republicans to sneak in the issue
of slavery and give them the moral upper hand. This will not happen
until the North wins another big victory.
What will Lee do after
winning at Sharpsburg? That is hard to say, I cannot find anything
on his plans. It’s a good guess that Baltimore would be his goal,
leaving DC isolated from the rest of the Union. Or perhaps Lee returns
to Virginia, and the war will last one or two more years. Both are
plausible.
Halloween:
Now, let’s look at the
development of Halloween. Without the Irish, the only other source
for an October Holiday would be the Italians. All Saint’s Day is
a Catholic holiday, even if it might date back to Celtic rituals.
But sadly, I am not very aware on how the Italians celebrate it.
I’ve heard of Dia de los Muertos in Mexico, which is a form of All Saint’s
Day, but never have I heard about Italians celebrating anything.
So perhaps this is no Halloween holiday at all.
The End:
Yes, this month’s essay
is short compared to the previous two. It’s only two pages compared
to the three and four of the last two months. One reason is how I
got side tracked from my original goal, an alternate Halloween. Instead
I found myself writing a Civil War WI, or a Pax Britannica WI. Perhaps
I should have done something with genetically engineered Pumpkins.
I will try better next month.
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