Twilight of the Red Tsar

Status
Not open for further replies.
This is a good map, but there are a few minor details:

The Yenisei River empties into the Artic, so the areas to the east of that (that big red chunk in Northern Siberia) should be blue.

Central Asia should be red.

Could you make a map of the situation in the Caucasus?

Done. And here's the map for the Caucasus.

Caucasus region.png
 
Speaking of the agrarian issues plaguing the USSR ITTL, did it pursue Stalin's Plan for the Transformation of Nature that got largely abandoned IOTL after Stalin's death? And what of the Virgin Lands campaign? Stalin's Plan was a mixed bag (it envisaged extensive use of such dubious techniques as yarovization and square nested sowing ('квадратно-гнездовой посев'), but also some rational measures like nation-wide creation of protective belts to prevent dust storms), but the Virgin Lands campaign ended in a disaster, destroying North Kazakhstan's fragile topsoils and turning it into a dustbowl.
 
No Gods, No Masters

In the collapse of the Soviet Union, have efforts made in direction of unity among these rebels, with promises of independence or, at least autonomy, made (or at least the promise of reexamine the situation after, which could prove contentious when the exact borders will have to be fixed) and have the Western powers made any attempt to contact them?
 
Speaking of the agrarian issues plaguing the USSR ITTL, did it pursue Stalin's Plan for the Transformation of Nature that got largely abandoned IOTL after Stalin's death? And what of the Virgin Lands campaign? Stalin's Plan was a mixed bag (it envisaged extensive use of such dubious techniques as yarovization and square nested sowing ('квадратно-гнездовой посев'), but also some rational measures like nation-wide creation of protective belts to prevent dust storms), but the Virgin Lands campaign ended in a disaster, destroying North Kazakhstan's fragile topsoils and turning it into a dustbowl.
Stalin's plan continued until his death, and the Virgin Lands campaign never got off the ground (IOTL a large part of the reason for its creation was Khrushchev's desire to have some sort of agricultural success to his name).
Do the rebels have any unifying ideology beyond "Suslov's gotta go"?
I'll discuss this in the next update. For now: part of the problem is that there isn't really any unifying ideology. Everyone wants the USSR to fall, but no one can agree on what it's replacement should be.
In the collapse of the Soviet Union, have efforts made in direction of unity among these rebels, with promises of independence or, at least autonomy, made (or at least the promise of reexamine the situation after, which could prove contentious when the exact borders will have to be fixed) and have the Western powers made any attempt to contact them?
There have been some efforts, and that's part of the topic of the next update.
 
If there's one thing I learned from the OTL Russian Civil War, it's that whoever controls Moscow will win. Want proof? The Soviets should have lost, being surrounded on all sides and having a foreign intervention against them, but controlling Moscow (and Trotsky's(?) ingenious mobilization of resources) allowed them to win. The government should never have given up!
 

Deleted member 82118

If there's one thing I learned from the OTL Russian Civil War, it's that whoever controls Moscow will win. Want proof? The Soviets should have lost, being surrounded on all sides and having a foreign intervention against them, but controlling Moscow (and Trotsky's(?) ingenious mobilization of resources) allowed them to win. The government should never have given up!
Red Victory during the Civil War can be easy explained - they control center o the Russian Railways and most of the Russian Industry and Russian Emperor's Army Stocks was dislocated around the Moscow. Russian Railways is still very Moscow-centralied. But during Industialization and new factories were build. Soviet economy in TTL will be less centralized, than Russian economy in 1918. And most of weapons would be located in the western regions, such in OTL
.
0_c0f10_d270e485_XL.jpg

OTL Railways of the Soviet Union

танки.jpg

OTL Soviet tank groups

0_69304_d936e8a4_L.jpg

OTL Soviet oil industry

goerlo_15.jpg

OTL Soviet electrogenerating areas
 
I am a Jewish American who, through desperately trying to understand the Holocaust, tries to understand why normal people can be coerced into doing the most vile things, whether its in a totalitarian society or an American prison.

The thing about Nazi Germany, and Stalinist Russia is that they were led by men who thought destroying others was good, and made being sadistic a form of career advancement. Yes, a lot of the people who participated in these crimes were the psychos who should have been institutionalized, but even otherwise normal people, like Albert Speer, committed these crimes because these societies taught them that they were serving a higher cause, or just offered career advancement.

This kind of environment, where being a monster benefits you, can exist anywhere. Whether it is in the most brutal drug cartel, the most awful prison in America, a crooked police force, or the most exploitative corporation.

The character of Vinasky was my attempt at showing that exploring why someone who witnessed one mass murder can willingly join another.

Do we condone what Vinasky did? Of course not. Do we forgive the man? That is a hard question. Can you forgive someone who committed torture in Ceausescu's name, Zagan?

The lesson I take is that an atrocity is born by what a society tolerates or encourages. And the way you prevent future atrocities is by building a society where compassion, kindness, and mercy are rewarded. And sadly I believe it will be many a generation before we even come close to that ideal OTL. But if Germany post-1945, and Ceausescu's rapid fall in 1989 are any indication, it is certainly possible.

You really have an excellent insight into how people are products of the environment they live in, and how easily that can turn good people into monsters or the other way around.
 
You really have an excellent insight into how people are products of the environment they live in, and how easily that can turn good people into monsters or the other way around.

I guess.

I feel like many of the problems of society come from the failure to see a person's environment. You can't just punish people who commit crimes, you need to remedy the environment that produces criminals, and you need to help criminals re-enter society.

ITTL, a lot of people have good reasons to despise the Russians, and their crimes against Jews, Chechens, and the peoples of Eastern Europe.

But in order for another Stalin to not rise to power, you need to treat the Russians the same way the Germans were treated OTL: you need to forgive them, but also force them to confront the crimes of their government, and create a social environment that does not allow a paranoid dictator to rise to power.

Whatever ends up replacing the Soviet Union must remind its children about the dangers of hatred. That is what must be done.
 
The big problem is, Stalin was the sole reason the USSR arose from rural backwater to powerhouse. After all, they can point to production increasing nearly fivefold between 1923 and 1951. This is made more difficult by Russia NEVER having anything resembling democratic institutions, which Germany had in some form.
 
Excerpt from Strange Days: the August Revolution and Its Aftermath by Claude Summers​
The fall of Moscow was an extraordinary event, but it would have meant nothing had events only been confined to that city. Despite the best efforts of the government news of the events spread across the country, although at first the news was only that there were large protests that had turned violent in Moscow. In response to this news people in the cities of Leningrad, Smolensk, and Sverdlovsk took to the streets. Like the protestors in Moscow their main issue was rationing, and like the Moscow protestors they were met with force (although the government, having learned their lesson from Moscow, sent only the MGB in). That should have been the end of it, but then on August 17th the rebels captured the Radio Moscow headquarters. The Soviets were caught off guard, having figured that the building would hold out for far longer, and thus hadn’t jammed radio signals or destroyed the station. This allowed the rebels to broadcast several messages, allowing people outside of the Moscow area to know what was happening for the first time. The public believed these messages in large part because the Soviets had imposed martial law throughout the country, something that wouldn’t have happened if something serious wasn’t going on.

The response was swift and severe, with thousands in Smolensk, Leningrad, Gorky, and other cities in north and central Russia taking to the streets. They were joined by soldiers and sailors, many of whom shared the opinions of their comrades in Moscow. From these bases the revolution spread, until cities across the Soviet Union were in revolt. By the start of September the rebels controlled most of north and central Russia, most Siberia (the Yenisei River is generally agreed by scholars to be the approximate edge of their control), and a large chunk of the Urals (namely the cities of Sverdlovsk, Perm, and Chelyabinsk). Independence-minded rebels controlled most of the territory in SSRs outside of Belarus and Central Asia. The stage was set for the Second Russian Civil War.

This civil war is definitely on the horizon for the Soviet Union with Rebels wanting to get rid of the old system, while the nationalist within the nation and those of the Warsaw Nations are going to fight like wild cats to what perceive as the 'Evils of the Russian People'. So what to expect is one of two scenarios. The first is that a quick civil war will see the nationalist rebels crushed before anyone can get their hands on the nuke, meaning the nation that stays intact enough to prevent revuancahnism in the future. Or the second is a long going civil war which sees it going nuclear, and thus gallvanize NATO to directly intervene in order to pacify both groups of rebels along with confiscating as many Atomic weapons as possible.
 
Considering the fact that the Stalin was willing to carpetbomb the entirety of China just to fulfill a petty grudge against Mao, I wouldn't be surprised if we see one or two Russian cities go up in nuclear flames.

With the Second Russian Civil War happening, it's practically the perfect time for the United States to go on a massive rollback campaign against communism across the world. The United States isn't committed in Vietnam yet so they are still at Korean War level strength and the public should be very gun-ho and jingoistic without the quagmire that was Southeast Asia. With the USSR distracted by its own self-implosion, Knowland should use this chance to send the U.S, ANZAC, and NATO on a global crusade to combat communism. North Korea should be the first targeted for an invasion as Mao's China no longer exists, there are two few strategic places in Siberia for the Soviets to care, and South Korea has a pretty strong millitary on their own so they should be roughly okay with minimum U.S support. Next is North Vietnam as Ho Chi Minh never received the support he had OTL and Diem's government is still going strong. The Vietnamese people may be strongly anticommunist now due to the horrors of the Sino-Soviet War and the massive refugees from Communist China. Laos could also be taken over with cooperation from Taiwan or ROC. Yugoslavia could probably brought into the fold. The various African and Middle Eastern countries on Soviet influence could also get overthrown in coups or be invaded by U.S allies. Also I think the Pentagon would be planning for an invasion of Eastern Europe to liberate the Warsaw Pact from the Soviet Union.

But first you must target these three: 1.North Korea 2.North vietnam3.Laos

Wouldn't that galvanize NATO and the US to directly intervene in the Civil War?
 
Wouldn't that galvanize NATO and the US to directly intervene in the Civil War?

If you're talking about NATO intervening in the Civil War directly then there is no good reason to do that. While the rebels hate the Soviet government, they've spent a generation being fed propaganda that the U.S is the capitalistic devil that wants to oppress them for greedy corporate masters. If the U.S or NATO were to put boots in the USSR then WWIII would officially begin. It's far better to strike at the Warsaw Pact and other allies while the USSR is self-imploding.
 
Status
Not open for further replies.
Top