The Silver Knight, a Lithuania Timeline

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Chapter 1: A Fateful March
Here goes nothing... Actually, this apparently is now the best Eastern Europe timeline still running, sooo...

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The Silver Knight, or How I Learned to Stop Worrying and Love Lithuania

Part 1: A Fateful March (1366-1369)
Imagine such a sight. The city of Moscow, bustling with activity. Sure, the same thing could be said about almost every city in Europe in the year of 1366, but the last few months were special. Quite special, indeed. Dozens of peasants and recruited builders from all over the Principality of Moscow, under the orders of the monarch of the realm, Dmitry Ivanovich, were pulling carts upon carts of bricks and blocks of white limestone, slowly moving through the city and towards the oak palisade fort atop a hill nearby. After numerous wars and sieges, the Prince of Muscovy decided to upgrade his capital's Kremlin from a mere wooden castle to a superior, stone one, capable of pushing back even the mightiest invaders.

It was a great cost for the young, only recently crowned Prince, ruler of a poor and feudal realm, but a price he seemed willing to pay.

Seemed. Seemed is the key word.

Moscow and the territories it held produced far too little of the required building material for the grand construction, and the cost of importing it from foreign lands through merchants was very costly. In order to fund the upgrade to the Kremlin, Grand Prince Dmitry Ivanovich decided to take a larger cut from the usual tribute from the Rus' principalities to the Tatars than usual, leaving more to his own treasury and sending just an ever bit less, hoping that due to the chaos ensuing in the Golden Horde during the never-ending succession crisis and pretender revolts, his overlord would not bother with the difference.

A costly mistake.

In the beginning of the year 1367, in a very shocking occurrence, a baskak from Aziz Khan, along with 2500 Tatar mounted soldiers, arrived to Moscow on the question of the tribute. The Khan of the Golden Horde, in the middle of a dynastic struggle against the usurper Mamai and his Blue Horde, needed all the funds he could get for the struggle. As Dmitry could not raise enough money to pay back for the cuts, the baskak and his troops ordered the seizure of the funds raised for the construction of the stone Kremlin. Though reluctant from the start, the Prince of Moscow agreed to this deal, knowing that pleasing the Khan, and thus possibly acquiring a jarlig for the Grand Duchy of Vladimir - one of his main goals - was more worthwhile than rejecting and thus possibly receiving a punishment raid.

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However, this event was only a minor occurrence compared to what will unveil in the next two years. In the later months of 1367, the new Prince of Tver, Mikhail Alexandrovich, sent an envoy to the Khan, with a great amount of gifts and tribute, and successfully acquired a jarlig for the throne of the Grand Duchy of Vladimir - a move that immediately invoked hostility from Dmitry Ivanovich and his Principality of Moscow, which held the lands of the title in question de facto. Hoping to take Mikhail out of his throne, Moscow organized a few incursions into Tver's territory, in support of the Prince's opponents within the Principality. This undeclared war culminated almost a year later, when the Metropolitan of Moscow, Alexius, and Dmitry Ivanovich invited Mikhail for a "friendly visit", and arrested and imprisoned him immediately upon his arrival.

However, luck was once again not on the Muscovite ruler's side, as news soon arrived that a Tatar baskak was due to arrive to Moscow very soon. Not willing to involve the Golden Horde, however fractured it may be, to the conflict, Dmitry released his opponent from prison, who immediately turned to his brother-in-law - Algirdas, the Grand Duke of Lithuania.

Within the last century, the pagan Lithuanians were making a slow, but successful push into the fractured lands of the Rus. Using marriages, diplomacy, and very often military force, these Baltic invaders subjugated lands from Volhynia to Polotsk to Bryansk, and candidating into one of the successors of the Kievan Rus'. This was all done during a never-ending, life or death defensive war against the Catholic monastic orders in Prussia and Livonia, too. Despite being a pagan empire, Lithuania held friendly relations and even alliances with quite a few Orthodox principalities, Tver being it's major ally, but also with quite a lot of influence in the merchant republics of Novgorod and Pskov. Moscow and Lithuania were major opponents for quite some time now, fighting for dominance over the filler countries in between them, like Smolensk, Ryazan and the Upper Oka principalities, and as soon as Mikhail of Tver arrived to his court to ask for help, Algirdas immediately raised his banners and began to march towards his last major rival in the former Kievan Rus'.

The Lithuanian-Muscovite War has begun. Or, at least, it was about to. While the forces of the Grand Duchy were preparing in secret, Tver and Moscow went into an all-out war, both hoping to take down the other. But, by then, it was already too late.

In autumn of 1368, an army of 15 000 Lithuanian and Ruthenian soldiers crossed the border between Lithuania and Moscow through Bryansk and began their march towards the capital of Dmitry Ivanovich. Unlike most other marches to the East and North, this was not just a raiding trip - this was, indeed, an entire military campaign with the target being the city of Moscow. Algirdas's brother Kęstutis was also present in the war, along with numerous vassal Ruthenian princes and their armies. The first victim of the march was the pro-Muscovite Prince of Starodub, Semion Dmitriyevich Krapiva, whose lands were looted in early October. About a week later, the same fate happened to the Principality of Obolensk. After this march through the Upper Oka, Lithuanian forces finally engaged the first Muscovite troops near the Trotsna River in November - a small unit, detached to patrol the southeast border of the Principality. From the captured soldiers, the Lithuanian leadership learned that Dmitry Ivanovich hasn't yet organized a strong force from his levy yet and is in his Kremlin.

This was followed by a fast march towards the city of Moscow, where the only major battle of the war commenced. The Lithuanian army, led by Algirdas, engaged a small Muscovite force, about 4000 troops strong, on the outskirts of Moscow, led by the Prince of Muscovy himself. Information on this battle from second-hand sources differs. According to Jan Dlugosz, the battle between the two forces took less than an hour, and "upon witnessing the power of the pagans, the Russian forces quickly scattered". The Bychowiec Chronicle paints a different version of the battle - the battle was close and hard, and only the wit of Algirdas saved the Lithuanians from impending doom. Nevertheless, the Lithuanian forces won the battle, Dmitry fled Moscow and moved north, to Vladimir, while about 300 defenders locked themselves in the Kremlin. This was one of the first instances of Lithuanian usage of the arbalest, this time in the siege - likely taken or at least copied from the Teutons.

After a siege of about 11 days, the wooden palisade fell, and the city of Moscow and it's surroundings were looted. Contemporary chroniclers and witnesses compared the scale of the looting and burning to that of the Tatar general Fedorchuk in an anti-rebellion march against Tver in 1327 - "houses and farms were seen burning and devoid of people from Bryansk to Kovrov". Algirdas's forces marched eastward, towards Vladimir, soon joined by the raised army of the Principality of Tver, but not far from the burning Moscow they were greeted by an another Muscovite unit, about 5000 soldier strong. This time, Dmitry arrived to sue for peace - acknowledging the superiority of the Lithuanian lord, he even kneeled down in front of him, begging for an armistice.

Signed by Algirdas, Grand Duke of Lithuania, Dmitry, Prince of Moscow, and Mikhail, Prince of Tver, in January of 1369, the Treaty of Kirzhach (named after the town where the treaty was signed) included these points:

  • The Grand Duchy of Vladimir and all territories under it are transferred to the Prince of Tver.
  • The Grand Duchy of Lithuania gains the right to vassalizing the Principalities of Upper Oka (establishing of overlordship is to be left for the Grand Duke to achieve on his own), and Moscow relinquishes it's right to them as well as the Principality of Smolensk.
  • The Principality of Moscow is required to pay tribute to Lithuania every year from 1369 onward, with no defined end date.
This was followed by a number of minor concessions, like hunting rights and trade rights.

Modern historians agree that the Muscovite-Lithuanian War of 1368 and 1369 was a definite success to the Baltic nation. In a single war, the Grand Duchy successfully curbed the power and influence of the Muscovites. The city of Moscow was looted so harshly that it took it a few decades to recover back to it's original capacity and size, and with the added requirement of paying tribute to Lithuania as well as the Golden Horde, the power and it's projection of Dmitry and his Principality fell far down. However, the war was both not decisive neither minor enough to empower Tver or to leave Muscovy still strong enough to challenge Algirdas. In fact, Tver's reliance on Lithuanian armies only left it more and more deeper in Lithuanian sphere of influence as time went on...

It is safe to say that 1369 was a turning year - a turning year when Lithuania finalized it's conquest of the former Kievan Rus', leaving all of it's former principalities either governed by it directly or under it's influence. Not much has changed yet, though. The Russian principalities both in and out of Lithuania still pay tribute to the Mongols. The Teutons still pillage Lithuanian lands. It will take many, many decades for this to change...

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Now OOC.

Hey. I noticed that none of you are posting about Lithuania. Lithuania is one of those countries which have a lot of alternate history potential, so I decided to make a timeline.

A timeline where the point of divergence is that Moscow didn't build it's stone Kremlin in time, leaving Algirdas victorious in the Muscovite-Lithuanian War that followed it. I took some liberties here, like making Mikhail II obtain a jarlik for Vladimir before the first march to Moscow rather than after it, but for the most part I tried to keep the AH stuff small.

This is a bit of a test, to see if anyone notices this... I'll be sure to continue it, though!

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I don't know if it will work. Dimitri was aready Grand Prince of Vladimir by 63 and the stone walls were built by 67.

I really don't see Lithuania being able to dominate the entire Kievan Rus. There's wasn't a Mongol Yoke were the Russian were opressed but the Russians did benefit and go join in some Golden Horde raids. I doubt whoever the Khan in Sarai may be will tolerate the Lithuanian actions.

On top of that all you're basically doing is shifting the emerging center of a future Russian state to Tver, then Moscow.
 
I know nothing about the period in question, but this looks interesting. Please keep going

Good start.

Agree! I will follow.

I don't know if it will work. Dimitri was aready Grand Prince of Vladimir by 63 and the stone walls were built by 67.

I really don't see Lithuania being able to dominate the entire Kievan Rus. There's wasn't a Mongol Yoke were the Russian were opressed but the Russians did benefit and go join in some Golden Horde raids. I doubt whoever the Khan in Sarai may be will tolerate the Lithuanian actions.

On top of that all you're basically doing is shifting the emerging center of a future Russian state to Tver, then Moscow.
Thank you all very much for your interest! I will try to make an update as soon as possible.

Now, as a response to @BBadolato:

Well, the stone walls of the Kremlin not being built in 1367 is the divergence here. Butterfly effect, basically.

Lithuania was able to dominate most of the Kievan Rus IRL either way, it's very well possible in my opinion. Maybe not as easy as Muscovy, but not ASB anyway. The Golden Horde is currently in a deep succession crisis with Mamai of the Blue Horde rising as a pretender very soon, so they are busy with their own problems, and will be up to 1380 and likely even later if Kulikovo does not happen. Lithuania defeated the Tatars already, in Blue Waters, 1363.

That's not to say that there won't be any clashes between Lithuania and the Khan. :p
 
So glad to finally see a Lithuania TL on this site. It seems the Baltic nations in general don't get like a lot of attention in general, so I'm going to watch this with interest.
 
@BBadolato:

Well, the stone walls of the Kremlin not being built in 1367 is the divergence here. Butterfly effect, basically.

Lithuania was able to dominate most of the Kievan Rus IRL either way, it's very well possible in my opinion. Maybe not as easy as Muscovy, but not ASB anyway. The Golden Horde is currently in a deep succession crisis with Mamai of the Blue Horde rising as a pretender very soon, so they are busy with their own problems, and will be up to 1380 and likely even later if Kulikovo does not happen. Lithuania defeated the Tatars already, in Blue Waters, 1363.

That's not to say that there won't be any clashes between Lithuania and the Khan. :p

The thing is Mamai was one of the few very strong khans of the Golden Horde along with Toktamysh to not have to deal with constant pretenders and uprisings.

My only concerns are,let's be generous and see Lithuania manages to exert influence over all the old Kievan Rus. Is Lithuania more likely to convert to orthodoxy, and how would they deal with the possibility of much larger Russian population as either significant minority or even possibly majority.

Also what's the situation in Poland, is the union with Lithuania still in the cards?
 
Chapter 2: Last Years of Algirdas
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Part 2: Last Years of Algirdas (1370-1377)

(Yeah, I'm not good with titles)
Even the successful Lithuanian-Muscovite War in the east didn't deter the German orders to the west. Having arrived to the lands of the pagan Balts in the early 13th century, the Teutonic and Livonian Orders quickly, one after another, conquered and subjugated all but one of the Baltic tribes. The Lithuanians - a large and warlike tribe among the Balts - managed to repel the Christian invaders and consolidate into a state in time. That was history. The present, however, was marked by a never-ending war for survival - starting in the year 1285, the Knights would launch constant raids to the territory of ethnic Lithuania, intending to wear them down and conquer them in time. Entire villages and towns could be completely razed in such raids, and the Grand Duke's forces would retaliate soon after - sieging down a frontier castle or raiding a town as a response.

This state of constant war had a detrimental effect on the population and development of the Lithuanian nation, but it had to be done.

In August of 1369, as Algirdas was attacking the Upper Oka Principalities to subjugate them on his way home from Moscow, sieging down and looting one city after the other to force the local Princes into vassalization, the Teutonic forces attacked and burned a town on the mouth of Nevėžis, killing over a hundred civilians. Kęstutis, the Duke of Samogitia, immediately sent a letter to his elder brother, requesting assistance in a revenge raid. Algirdas agreed.

Meanwhile, in September of 1369, the city of Karachev fell and the last of the Upper Oka Principalities surrendered. The path for Lithuania to domination in the northeastern Rus' was clear, but the West right now was of bigger importance. After the winter of 1369-1370 and as the spring arrived, a force of 11 000 men, composed of Lithuanians, Samogitians, Ruthenians and Tatars, moved from the capital in Trakai towards East Prussia, led by Kęstutis and Algirdas themselves. The raid was a revenge attack, and it started quite well. On June of 1370, the Lithuanians pillaged the outskirts of Gumbinnen and Ragnit, then attacked the fort of Rudau nearby Konigsberg. This is where the army of the Teutons, led by Winrich von Kniprode, approached them.

The Battle of Rudau took place in the 5th of July of 1370, between the forces of the Teutonic Knights and the Grand Duchy of Lithuania. This was a defeat for the latter, but not a decisive one. According to modern researchers, the Lithuanians lost up to 2000 men, killed or wounded, but the Teutons suffered just as heavy losses. In fact, one of their major leaders, Marshal Henning Schindehop, was felled by a Samogitian arbalest during the clash, while both Algirdas and Kęstutis survived, despite being forced to retreat back to their homeland. An armistice of 2 years was later signed by the Grandmaster and the Grand Duke.

The Teutons presented this victory to the Catholic world as a "great success for the Crusader cause" and von Kniprode was hailed as a hero to the Faith, but the long-term effects of the victory are debatable. The main goal - achieving access to the Livonian Order - was not achieved, nor was any land gained. Lithuania quickly recovered from the loss, and used the armistice to focus on the East, where the weakened and fractured principalities of the Rus' awaited them.

In 1371, Algirdas launched an attack of Smolensk. The Principality of Smolensk, led by Sviatoslav, was a tributary and dependency of Lithuania, but has been taking on a pro-Muscovite stance for the last few years. It did not join the war against Moscow, and was no longer paying tribute. As punishment, Algirdas looted the outskirts of the city, then sieged the Kremlin itself. After a quick assault, Sviatoslav was imprisoned and the Principality of Smolensk was seized and integrated into the Grand Duchy of Lithuania, given off to one of Algirdas's sons, Skirgaila, to rule. A few months later, the ruler of the Lithuanians marched further east, to Ryazan. The Prince of Ryazan, Oleg Ivanovich, was for the most part neutral in the politics of the Rus' - while a rival of Dmitry of Moscow, this hostility did not push him towards Lithuania, instead hoping to rely on his closeness to the Golden Horde to stay alive.

However, right now the Tatars were in the middle of a deep inner struggle. Bulak Khan, a puppet of the powerful Kiyat commander Mamai of the Blue Horde, was recently deposed by Urus Khan of the White Horde, but not without intervention from his nephew Tokhtamysh, having returned from refuge in Central Asia, who wished to hold the title of Khan himself. This left the entire nomadic nation in a state of disarray. This all is not even counting the rising Turkic conqueror Tamerlane in Central Asia, quickly rising in power and potentially even challenging the western Tatar Khan. In such a situation, the Mongols of the East couldn't care less about what happens in some lowly Russian principality, just so they pay tribute - which the duchies under Lithuania were willing to provide for the time being.

In late 1371, the armies of Algirdas arrived to Ryazan, and Oleg Ivanovich, knowing that he wouldn't do much better than Moscow and Smolensk, sued for peace, acknowledging the Lithuanian lord as "elder brother" (senior) and surrendered to the Grand Duchy. While Ryazan kept at least a bit of independence, it's position as a dependency of Lithuania was solidified.

While this was taking place, interesting news arrived from the West. Casimir III, the last Piast King of Poland, died in late 1370 without a male heir, leaving the throne to be inherited by his nephew - the King of Hungary, Louis I. This new personal union between Hungary and Poland was quick to shake the political landscapes of Eastern Europe, but the Lithuanians were less than interested in what was happening in Polish or Westerner lands.

In 1372, the raids by the Teutonic Knights were renewed, but this time the Lithuanians were prepared in advance. Forces under von Kniprode looted Sudovia, while Kęstutis and his armies marched through Sambia, putting many villages on fire. In the East, Algirdas continued his push to subjugate all of the Rus'. After a successful invasion and a defeat of local forces nearby Pskov, the Republic of Pskov sued for peace. Andrei, Duke of Polotsk, who was deposed from his position as Prince over 20 years ago, was once again reinstalled as the rightful ruler. This oligarchic republic once again fell under the wing of the Grand Duchy of Lithuania, and in exchange for protection from Novgorod and the Livonian Order, the citizens of Pskov would be required pay a sizable tribute in trade revenue and produces as well as provide military support when requested.

However, the end of Algirdas's long reign was finalized by his dealings with Novgorod. The merchant and oligarch republic of Novgorod was one of the wealthiest in the Kievan Rus', profiting from fur trade and dominance in the White Sea. However, it was far from it's greatest extent of power before the Mongol yoke - even the tradition to elect the Prince of Novgorod was no longer there, being now tied to the title of the Grand Duke of Vladimir, which would now be the Prince of Tver. However, the boyars of Novgorod were unwilling to accept such a sudden change in political climate, and the coronation for Mikhail of Tver did not happen.

Algirdas was quick to use this vacancy, and on the summer of 1374, he marched on the city. This time, far less raiding and looting were involved, but even without them the boyars of the republic were frightened enough. Novgorod was never a militaristic or diplomatically influential city, and the recent Lithuanian victories against Moscow and Ryazan only crushed the hopes of resistance even harder. Mercenary counts were depleted by recent wars with Sweden and the Livonian Order, so even that was not an option. Soon after marching into Novgorodian territory, Algirdas was greeted by a collection of the republic's boyars, and according to Jan Dlugosz, "they all immediately dropped on their feet in front of the pagan lord, despite all being Christians, and begged for mercy". Their pleas were seemingly heard, as Algirdas was not willing to begin an another war. Instead, he forced on a treaty of dependency onto the republic.

The major point of the treaty was that the title of Prince of Novgorod was now tied to the holder of the Grand Duchy of Lithuania, instead of that of Vladimir. This was followed by a few monetary and land concessions from Novgorod's part. While the level of influence over this merchant republic after this so-called Treaty of Velikye Luki was still quite minimal, it could only continue to rise.

The last seven years were quite uneventful for the Grand Duchy, despite the major acquisitions in Rus'. However, far more decisive events are looming on the horizon.

Algirdas, Grand Duke of Lithuania, Duke of Vilnius and Vitebsk, Prince of Novgorod, leader of the victorious battles of Blue Waters and Moscow, already over 80 years old, died after falling from his horse while riding with his company of knights through the forests north of Vilnius. The great leader of the Lithuanian nation was burned on a ceremonial pyre near Maišiagala with 18 horses and many of his personal possessions. A great leader and a scourge to his enemies, he is with Perkūnas in the skies now.

According to his will, his son Jogaila was chosen as the successor to the Grand Duchy of Lithuania, and coronated on the fall of 1377. The celebrations were quick to end, though, as news came from the eastern parts of the realm:

The new Grand Duke's brother, Andrei of Polotsk, has raised his banners in revolt, hoping to challenge his father's will and seize the throne! Many Russian princes and vassals already moved to his side, as well as the Metropolitan of Moscow, much more willing to support an Orthodox prince than a pagan one.

Meanwhile, Poland is soon to be a factor in the future of Lithuania, too...
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Algirdas, Grand Duke of Lithuania, 1345-1377

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Jogaila, Grand Duke of Lithuania, 1377-
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Map of Eastern Europe upon Algirdas's death to be posted tomorrow. I accidentally left it in another computer.

To answer some questions:

@Salvador79, @sh3baproject Indeed, Lithuania is very underused in this site! I think I only saw one TL in this time period - one where Vytautas dies in captivity and Jogaila remains as Grand Duke. It ended quickly. :( And yes, both Russia and Poland will be interesting to watch. We're going to see them both change fairly soon.

@BBadolato These are all good questions and I hope to answer them in future updates! It wouldn't be fun if I spoiled everything here and now, huh? But yeah, Eastern Europe in general - Lithuania, Poland, Russia and others - will surely end up different in this scenario.​
 
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Hoping that the Rebels lose, even though it'd be hard.
Mongols might be useful for support as they are unlikely to care for Religion, though Poland would, and will also want land.
 
I have a few issues with this at least with plausibility. I don't see the Golden Horde, civil war or no ignoring Ryazan it's too close to their actual lands to ignore.

Second I don't see the Lithuania's wholesale taking of principalities into to be feasible at all. With Smolensk, that would be definitely be trampling on rights that Algirdas is supposed to uphold. With Novgorod, okay sure the Prince of Tver is also of Prince of Novgorod and the Novgorod boyars aren't too happy. Why is Algirdas going to take a title that by all rights to belongs to his brother in law, and on top of that ignore the rights of the Novgorod veche? Even if Mikhail and Algirdas are in-laws, I don't see that giving Algirdas free reign to do what he wants with land that is by right Mikhail's, especially very wealthy land.

I could see at least with Smolensk Algirdas forcing Sviatoslav from power and maybe making another Rurikid prince of Smolensk and with Novgorod forcing them to bend the knee and accept Mikhail as their overlord, taking Smolensk and Novgorod into Lithuania is something else entirely.
 
Map: Lithuania in 1377
Map of Eastern Europe upon the death of Algirdas in 1377:

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@BBadolato - I understand your concerns, but my landlord says that I have to live up to the name of this thread somehow :p If we were going completely realistic here without any bias one way or the other, the victory in 1368 would have only been a temporary victory without much success later.

Even so, I tried to keep the moves as plausible as I could - with reasonings taken from real life, at least. Both Ryazan and Novgorod will still come into play, they aren't annexed completely, this wasn't just a "march to scare the leader and poof, they're ours". And the timeline currently only comes to 1377, there are plenty of actions to be taken by the Tatars in response to this renewed Lithuanian expansion.

You know, I'm glad that someone like you came here - I didn't want this thread to just be updates and a few people giving a thumbs-up in response.
 
Map of Eastern Europe upon the death of Algirdas in 1377:

@BBadolato - I understand your concerns, but my landlord says that I have to live up to the name of this thread somehow :p If we were going completely realistic here without any bias one way or the other, the victory in 1368 would have only been a temporary victory without much success later.

Even so, I tried to keep the moves as plausible as I could - with reasonings taken from real life, at least. Both Ryazan and Novgorod will still come into play, they aren't annexed completely, this wasn't just a "march to scare the leader and poof, they're ours". And the timeline currently only comes to 1377, there are plenty of actions to be taken by the Tatars in response to this renewed Lithuanian expansion.

You know, I'm glad that someone like you came here - I didn't want this thread to just be updates and a few people giving a thumbs-up in response.

I'm not trying to be the plausibility police or even a bias police, granted you can't even get rid of bias in actual history, and it would be hypocritical of me to go complain about slight handwaving when I've gotten up that myself.

What I show concern about are just what sticks out to me when I'm reading, I've studied some parts of Russian history and want to plan a graduate thesis at starting in or around this time period. Still, I have to say, good job on keeping the TL local for now, and I'd expand on more about the rest of the world when you think it's best to do so.
 
I'm not trying to be the plausibility police or even a bias police, granted you can't even get rid of bias in actual history, and it would be hypocritical of me to go complain about slight handwaving when I've gotten up that myself.

What I show concern about are just what sticks out to me when I'm reading, I've studied some parts of Russian history and want to plan a graduate thesis at starting in or around this time period. Still, I have to say, good job on keeping the TL local for now, and I'd expand on more about the rest of the world when you think it's best to do so.
I understand. I have done some studies in Lithuanian history of this period (not university, just independent research), and I myself can tell that what I'm going for requires some handwaving.

I'm glad that you are interested! I really hoped to find someone who is also interested in this particular period in history when I started.
 
Any possibility of Lithuania converting to Judaism (which could help urbanize the country) or Sunni Islam (which could help assimilate the Tatars)?
Judaism? Now way! Why they should do that?

Islam?... The Tatars is far, far, far for any assimilation possibility. While converting to Islam might somehow improve the relations with them, will only create a great resentment among their Christian subjects. Also, it will provide a continuous casus belli with Poland-Hungary and Teutonic Order. So, not really a gain.

Now, converting to Orthodoxy, might lead to Lithuanian assimilation into the Russ/Ruthenian mass.

Converting to Catholicism will... end the war with Poland and Teutons. But without clear gains (as it was IOTL with the union with Poland), there will be little incisiveness to do that.
 

Deleted member 97083

Judaism? Now way! Why they should do that?
If Lithuania converted to Judaism in a similar manner to the Khazars, with the elites converting but religious tolerance continuing afterwards, it would be a way to distinguish Lithuanians from their Ruthenian, Russian, and Polish subjects and not be assimilated. Also many Jewish craftsmen, traders and intellectuals from the west would arrive, helping the urbanization and development of the currently agrarian Lithuania. In addition, from the eyes of Poland and the Tatars, it's a step up from paganism. (Though the Teutonic Order is likely to remain hostile).
 
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