There was discussion in the press about the possibility of the Tories tabling a motion of no confidence in the government, but most commentators thought that was unlikely because a successful motion would need the support of the Liberal Party. However with their poor showing in by-elections it was very unlikely that they would give it. Also while both the Conservative and the Commonwealth vote had increased in by-elections, based on the average of the results neither party would have an overall majority in the House of Commons.
At the beginning of February 1871 A Compendium of the Results of the General Election of June and July 1870 in Great Britain and Ireland by Arthur Waldegrave was published. This gave the numerical and percentage vote for each candidate, with the change in percentage of the vote for each party compared with the 1866 general election, in every constituency in the 1870 general election. The numerical and percentage votes for by-elections in the 1866 to 1870 parliament were also given. The results were organised in alphabetical order for England, Scotland, Wales, and Ireland. It became an invaluable resource for politicians, party agents and workers, and political journalists and commentators.
The Tories held Norfolk West in the by-election on 8 February 1871 caused by the succession of Thomas de Grey to the peerage as Lord Walsingham. The percentage votes were as follows [1870 general election]:
George William Bentinck [Conservative]: 46.8 [41.2]
Commonwealth Party candidate: 31.5 [28.2]
Liberal Party candidate: 21.7 [30.6]
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Conservative majority: 15.1 [10.6]
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The result of the by-election in the constituency of Kendal on 21 February 1871, caused by the succession of the Earl of Bective [Conservative] to the peerage as the 3rd Marquis of Headfort, was as follows [1870 general election]:
Earl of Bective [Conservative]: 56.9% [53.8%] He was the eldest son of the former MP.
Liberal Party candidate: 24.2% [46.2%]
Commonwealth Party candidate: 18.9% [no Commonwealth Party candidate]
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Conservative majority: 22.7% [7.6%]
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The Monmouthshire South by-election on 4 March 1871 caused by the resignation of Paulett Somerset [Conservative] attracted a great deal of press coverage. It was a three way marginal and voting took place only two days after the government defeat on the vote on the Government of Ireland Bill. The Commonwealth Party made much of the fact that the Conservative candidate was Lord Henry Somerset, who was related to Poulett Somerset, while their candidate, David Evans, was a local farm worker. [1] The percentage votes were as follows [1870 general election]:
Lord Henry Somerset [Conservative]: 40.8 [37.4]
David Evans [Commonwealth]: 39.4 [30.8]
Liberal Party candidate: 19.8 [31.8]
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Conservative majority: 1.4 [5.6]
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The swing from Conservative to Commonwealth was 2.6%, from Liberal to Commonwealth 10.3% and from Liberal to Conservative was 7.7%.
[1] He was a fictional character.