A Plethora of Princes - (Thread 6) : The Crashing of the Waves

Grey Wolf

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For what could France do ? Its major ally in the Eastern Mediterranean, the lynchpin of its entire policy in the theatre, and a nation with which they were negotiating rights to build a canal across the Isthmus of Suez, was teetering on the brink. Could France have let her fall ? With investments, with loans, with manpower, materiele and time all invested so heavily ? No, King Ferdinand's government had no choice in their eyes to try and intervene, and overturn the setbacks that the reign, but most especially the death, of Abbas had brought to the Egyptian sultanate.

French support for Greek ambitions, political backing for King George's intervention in Epirus and Thessaly ensured that Austria, although seething at the bit, could not and did not intervene. The British protectorate of the Ionian Islands, under its Lord Commissioner, William Ewart Gladstone, had been instructed by London not to interfere but to protest if the Austrians or French violated their neutrality. Together, these twin pressures allowed the rebellion in Epirus to capture Janina, and a well-armed, competently-led rebel army to take the field against the Ottomans when they finally dispatched an army to put down the revolts in their rebellious Western provinces.

By this time, the great Battle of Rhodes had taken place. A French frigate fortuitously sighting the Russo-Ottoman fleet in the evening, and by dawn the Franco-Egyptian force being in a perfect position to engage. Attempts by the Ottoman portion to cut and run proved disastrous as the French outmanoevred them and cut them to ribbons. The Russians, staying and fighting to the end suffered even more heavily. By nghtfall, only a handful of major vessels survived to escape back to Smyrna. The victorious French proceeded to the Lebanon. leaving the Egyptians to return to Crete and keep an eye on what was left of their adversaries. During this time, a British squadron of ships of the line had been dispatched from Malta, and ordered to watch but not to get involved. This was a conflict in which the Radical government of William Lovett, in London, had no wish to become involved.

Secret memoranda later made public in London did, however, make clear that despite much reluctance Lovett had come to the conclusion that if an Ottoman counter-offensive threatened the very existence of Greece, Britain would have to ally with France to preserve the independence of that kingdom. As it was, no such action was necesarry.

Further East, the army that Said dispatched to his rebellious province of Syria was perhaps the best-equipped that Egypt had ever put into the field. Despite the difficulties of Abbas' reign, the armed forces had retained their position in the state, and the French-equipped army, trained according to the French system instituted by Mohammed Ali after the previous war with the Ottomans, proved more than a match for the few rebel forces it came up against.

But the war in Syria was not to be decided by the Syrians. The Ottoman Empire had dispatched an army to the theatre, and despite heroic efforts this army failed to dislodge Said's forces, or achieve more than to force a stalemate. Had this been the sum of the armed forces involved, it is likely that a repeat of the previous conflict would have resulted, and the Ottomans been forced to back down and see Egypt reoccupy its rebellious province. But this was not the sum of the armed forces involved.

A Russian army, acting under the terms of the Treaty of Unkiar Skelessi had requested permission to traverse Eastern Anatolia and take the field in Syria. Despite misgivings, Sultan Abdulmecid was unwilling to provoke his sole reliable allies, and the Russian army duly marched South. It arrived in time to co-ordinate its offensive with the latter non-productive pushes of the Ottoman force, pushing against a solid defence from Said's army. But, the Egyptians could not hold out against two forces and soon were forced to abandon Damascus to jubilant Syrians, and pull back to the South, and West.

On the Lebanon littoral the French fleet had already landed several marine units to take and hold the coastal cities. Other French units, including veteran forces shipped directly from Algiers pushed inland to the mountains. As the Egyptians fell back, they succeeded in establishing a defensive line in Northern Palestine, and in joining with rapidly increasing French forces in the Lebanon.

Further West, the Greek rebels had won a spectacular victory against the Ottoman army sent against them, and revolution appeared to be about to spread throughout Macedonia. But this was not to be, the incipient movements were nipped in the bud by the Ottomans, but Greek control of Epirus and Thessaly seemed assured.

Prince Henri of Orleans, Duke of Aumale and younger brother to King Ferdinand of France visited Cairo to meet with Said. The exact details of the meeting are unknown, but Ferdinand's government afterwards put out peace feelers to the Ottomans and Russians, through the good offices of Prussia. In early 1855 a new treaty was signed.

- Syria was to be returned to Ottoman control
- The Lebanon was to become a French protectorate under Egyptian sovereignty
- Epirus and Thessaly were to be ceded to the Kingdom of Greece

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Grey Wolf

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An Orleans Band of Brothers

King Ferdinand I of France
eldest son of King Louis Philippe of France
born 1810
died 1842 OTL, survived in the ATL and succeeded his father as king in 1848


King Louis of Belgium
second son of King Louis Philippe of France
younger brother of King Ferdinand I of France
born 1814
died 1896 OTL


King Francis of Ireland
third son of King Louis Philippe of France
younger brother of King Ferdinand I of France
born 1818
died 1900 OTL


Prince Charles Ferdinand of Orleans
Duke of Penthieve
fourth son of King Louis Philippe
Younger brother to all the above
born 1820 - died 1828
Unaffected by the ATL and thus dead


Prince Henri of Orleans
Duke of Aumale
fifth son of King Louis Philippe
younger brother to all the above
born 1922
died 1897 OTL


Prince Antoine of Orleans
Duke of Montpensier
sixth son of King Louis Philippe
younger brother to all the above
born 1824
died 1890 OTL


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The Crashing of The Waves - Part 2

The later 1850s saw warfare rage across China, and throughout Central America

Within Central America, William Walker's expedition to Nicaragua, overtly backed by several Yucatecan factions and covertly by the US forces within the Republic of the Yucatan, rapidly took possession of the country, first backing one side in Nicaragua's civil war, then usurping power from them once the opposition had fallen before them.

Walker's dream was the recreation of the United Provinces of Central America as an American protectorate, with himself as President but with overall power residing in Washington D.C.

To this end he made war against his neighbours. With France otherwise engaged, and Britain unwilling to act after Lovett's government had secured autonomy for the Miskit Indians in Nicaragua, Walker's forces carried the war across Central America. Peace in Europe brought little reprieve to the beleagured nations of the region, and eventually it was force of arms that won, arms supplied by US agents, backed up with Yucatecan logistics and faced by armies which had had to go down the hithertofore unthinkable road of appealing to Spain for aid.

Walker's success was to prove short-lived on a personal scale. Barely three months after assuming the Presidency of the United Provinces afer the defeat of the last enemy army left in the field, that of Costa Rica, Walker was himself dead, assassinated by one of his officers, a man he had trusted but begun to undermine when he felt that his powerbase was getting too large. It had proved itself better than his mentor's, and the United Provinces had a new leader.

It was at this moment that Great Britain reappeared the more fully on the scene. Certain factions within the Republic of Yucatan had been talking unguardedly about the annexation of British Honduras, and when these sentiments had been taken up in Managua, it had created a furore back in Britain.

Lovett''s government had been voted down on a motion of No Confidence, and King George V had dissolved parliament. In the resultant election there had been a sizeable vote for the Moderates, the conservative party under its new leader of Benjamin Disraeli, who had argued that Britain's position in the world depended upon not just the Rights of Man as the Radicals argued, nor solely upon trade and enterprise as the Reformists argued, but upon national pride and strength. This had hit a chord with a certain section of the electorate, and the government which took power in a Reformist-Moderate coalition had for the first time seen a decided conservative bent.

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Part 3

New Reformist Prime Minister Henry Labourchere, 1st Baron Taunton, finds his policies increasingly determined by Disraeli's conservative faction in his coalition government. His first actions are to send a squadron of ships of the line to the Caribbean. With Moderate clamour to do more, he increases the garrison in British Honduras and sends additional forces to Jamaica.

As the new president of the United Provinces of Central America faces down a Costa Rican rebellion, Labouchere orders the British navy to the Miskito Coast. In a series of landings, Royal Marines secure the coastal cities, and are followed up by a landing of army regiments from Jamaica. By the time that the UPCA is able to turn from the suppression of rebellion to Miskitia, the British admiral has received King George Augustus Frederic II and signed a treaty of alliance, with the main clause being the eradication of UPCA rule from Miskitia.

The UPCA president protests that Labouchere's predecessor had signed a treaty recognising UPCA sovereignty over the Miskit. But Britain refuses to back down. As the UPCA appeals to the USA for political support in the impasse, Labouchere orders a second squadron of ships of the line to the Caribbean.

Foreign Secretary, Sir George Grey of Fallodon visits Paris and meets with his French counter-part. The outcome of the meeting is obvious when France orders a squadron of its own line ships to the Caribbean, ostensibly to pay a state visit to Mexico, but obviously to put additional pressure upon the UPCA.

In the United States of America, President Stephen A Douglas had won the election of 1856, succeeding the outgoing Democrat President Lewis Cass as his chosen successor. Douglas was an ardent expansionist and had backed Walker, and his successor in the formation of the United Provinces of Central America, agreeing with Walker that the logical extension would be for the USA to assume the state as a protectorate on the same basis as the Yucatan.

President Douglas however is above all a realist. He has no wish to drag the USA into a war with both France and Britain, and possibly Spain as well, and he advises the UPCA to negotiate. Unwillingly, the United Provinces of Central America agrees to annull Lovett's treaty on the Miskit, and to retrocede the area back to British control.

Prime Minister Labouchere announces that henceforth Miskitia will be known as the independent Kingdom of Miskitia, with King George Augustus Frederic II a monarch in international law. Britain will continue to control the nation's armed forces for the foreseeable future, but the ruling sets Miskitia's independence existence in stone.

In 1860, the UPCA becomes formally a protectorate of the USA, as President Douglas accepts the president's request in the middle of his election campaign. This acceptance throws his opponent, the Whig Abraham Lincoln onto the defensive, and in the sweep of apparent victory, Douglas succeeds in winning re-election.

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US Presidents 1828-1864

US Presidents in the ATL

Andrew Jackson
1828-32
Democratic Republican (Democrat)

Andrew Jackson
1832-36
Democratic Republican (Democrat)

Martin Van Buren
1836-40
Democrat

Martin Van Buren
1840-44
Democrat

Henry Clay
1844-48
Whig

Lewis Cass
1848-52
Democrat

Lewis Cass
1852-56
Democrat

Stephen A Douglas
1856-60
Democrat

Stephen A Douglas
1860-64
Democrat


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What do people think about the career paths of US military officers in this ATL ? In terms of campaigns, there have been the late 1830s interventions in Canada (largely peaceful but including some minor actions and a stand-off with the Royal Navy). Then there was the stand-off over Oregon, followed by the occupation of the Northern half. Then the only real military action of note, the intervention in the Yucatan against the Maya rebels. Then there is mainly garrison duty there, and later the covert aid to William Walker, which would have included serving army officers in the darkness, and seconded ones, or ones on leaves of absence, semi-officially. After 1860 the United Provinces of Central America are under formal US protection, so garrison forces can serve there too. There are likely to be rebellions to put down; one imagines Costa Rica to be a hot-bed of discontent. From thereon there are going to be tensions over California after the start of the gold rush at the end of the 1850s.

Within all this, how do people see the careers of some of OTL's famous military commanders going (US and CS ones of course). Remember, Texas remains independent and Deseret under Mexican sovereignty exists in the North.

Does anyone want to have a go at some biographies ? Or have a suggestion for an adventurous officer to be the one who overthrows Walker and is thus now president of the UPCA ?

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Oh fuck, well I guess I'll just have to try and find my own inspiration

Despite a senile computer that is behaving like the class I taught today, taking fucking ages to do anything

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Paraguay and South America

Paraguay and South America

The biggest change from OTL has been the different position of Paraguay. In OTL Carlos Antonio Lopez (the older Lopez) tried to modernise Paraguay, brought in British artisans, engineers and physicians and tried to open up his country to trade. In OTL he was hampered of course by among many other things the existence of Uruguay as a battleground between competing Argentine and Brazilian interests.

In the ATL, however, one result of the Anglo-French war against Argentina was the aggrandizement of Paraguay. The Banda Oriental is independent as the Republic of Uruguay under British and French protection, but Paraguay picked up territory in the North in the country, and also after the decisive defeat of Argentina the Northern provinces where the caudillos were as inclined towards Paraguay as to Buenos Aires.

Paraguay thus has a combination of much greater position on the rivers, and a more secure base from which to operate. As an ally of Britain and France it also has access to transit across Uruguay and to their markets, protection and exports.

I see Paraguay as thus more powerful, secure and stable. When Carlos Antonio Lopez dies in 1862, his son Francisco Solano Lopez inherits a country far different from OTL

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I see Argentina, such as it was, as trying something on when Carlos Antonio Lopez dies in 1862.

Anyone have any comments at all ?

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California Gold

The non-existence of the Mexican War and its aftermath has delayed the opening up of California. With Texas and Deseret (under Mexican sovereignty) in the way, US immigrants need to come via Oregon, where they also have the attraction of maybe going North instead of South after the acquisition of all of the Oregon Territory up to 54' 40"

Thus was delayed the gold rush. But the gold is still there, and 10 years after the state of affairs described above has come to exist, things have settled down and workers are coming to California. However, of course, Mexican settlement and governance has also had additional time in which to develop in California.

The position of Mexico is quite important. Although politics there are never very stable, one sees a much better time for the country than the decade succeeding the 1840s in OTL. There has not been a huge war, there has not been the conquest of Mexico City, national pride and the existing power structure has not received such a massive blow. In addition, British and French investment would have been part of the agreement for Texan independence.

So, in around 1858-9 the first gold is discovered, an analogy to Sutter's Mill. By 1861 the extent of the potential is known, and US workers are flooding in from the North. After the assumption of a protectorate over the United Provinces of Central America in 1860, the USA is free to turn its attention to this major issue of President Stephen A Douglas' second administration

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Well, at least the view count is up so I can see that people are reading it. Ia'm surprised nobody has anything to say.

How about China ? Its driving me nuts

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The Kingdom of Araucania and Patagonia

Being as this ATL is entitled 'A Plethora of Princes' the 'aim' if an ATL may be said to have an aim is to end up with more kingdoms around the place. Here's an 1860 development that will be of importance, especially in the forthcoming war between Paraguay and Argentina

During the next 50 years these new republics began to consolidate their territory and prepare to take control of the Mapuche territory by force. Military activities on the frontier, either side of the Andes were intensified. The Mapuche nation and its Toki could see that a new colonisers’ invasion was imminent. New weapons had been introduced into the republics’ army increasing its strength relative to the Mapuche forces. Faced with this reality, the Mapuche leaders felt that the time had come to employ a new tactic in the promotion and legitimisation of their nation. On the brink of the demise of the Mapuche nation’s independence, the kingdom of Araucania and Patagonia was created. This new governing system presented them with a fresh opportunity to seek support, alliances and international recognition.

The basis of a Kingdom was established after prolonged deliberation and consultation throughout the Mapuche territory. This process culminated on the 17th November 1860, with the approval of a constitution which gave origin to the Kingdom of Araucania and Patagonia.


from
http://members.aol.com/mapulink3/mapulink-3e/map-his.html

So, the Mapuche kingdom is born

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Imajin said:
Wouldn't there be Mexican immigration to Alta California as well as American?

Yes, definitely

I foresee in the period mid 1840s-late 1850s a steady growth of Mexican government institutions etc

From the start of the Gold Rush, at the end of the 1850s but really picking up in 1861, I foresee Mexican immigration just as much as American, but it will be Americans driven by the 'Go West' spirit who flood in to change the population balance

Another interesting aspect will no doubt be Mormon missions. The Mexican governor will not have had the power to ban these, as Deseret's recognition under Mexican sovereignty will give the Mormons rights throughout Mexico. It will be interesting to see what effect a substantial minority of Mormons, uninterested in the Gold Rush, has on California

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If the Mexican Government is more in Charge, and has tactically accepted the Mormons, and their religion, You could get the Mexicans claiming they were only enforcing the spirit of the Americans First amendment, to the dismay of the the Americans, Who get arrested for hassling the Mormons.
 

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The death of Carlos Antonio Lopez in 1862 unleashed a new fury of war upon South America. Buenos Aires, seething the last twenty years over their defeat by Britain and France, and most especially the loss of four frontier provinces to Paraguay, now saw its chance. Under strongman ruler, General Justo Jose de Urquiza, Argentina took advantage of the elder Lopez's death to invade its former frontier provinces of Chaco and Corrientes.

Paraguay's new ruler, Francisco Solano Lopez musters the army and calls upon Britain and France, protectors of the republic of Uruguay and traditional friends of Paraguay since the last war.

In London, Prime Minister Labouchere's government has won re-election in a mandate to press Britain's interests abroad. With Moderate leader, Benjamin Disraeli, holding the Foreign Office portfolio in the new coalition government, Britain responds swiftly to events in the Southern Atlantic. Not to be outdone, in Paris, King Ferdinand's government likewise despatches a naval force to the River Plate.

The British squadron calls into Rio de Janeiro enroute, and its commander, Vice Admiral Sir James Hope-Vere delivered a letter from the British king and government to the Emperor of Brazil and his government. Whilst its contents were not immediately made public, it was obvious to informed observers that the letter was a request (in formal language) or a warning (in effect) not to get involved in war against Paraguay. It was well-known that, since the 1840s war, Brazil had been concerned about Paraguayan dominance of the River Plate, and the Lopez's interests in the Brazilian province of Matto Grotto, once part of 'historic' Paraguay.

At the same time, Britain and France moved to recognise Oriele Antoine I as King of Araucania and Patagonia, the Mapuche indian lands South of Argentina.

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DuQuense said:
If the Mexican Government is more in Charge, and has tactically accepted the Mormons, and their religion, You could get the Mexicans claiming they were only enforcing the spirit of the Americans First amendment, to the dismay of the the Americans, Who get arrested for hassling the Mormons.

This of course is very interesting, and would be very worrying for the Mexicans. At this time the USA, like Britain and France, never bothered to wonder whether its citizens arrested in other countries were actually guilty, they just jumped in and demanded their freedom at the point of force. California would be a different proposition, but one could see the USA try to use the trial of some 'citizens' arrested for harassing Mormons as a great opportunity to interfere and undermine Mexico.

At the same time that this is going on you have a renewed war in South America taking up Britain and France's main interests, Britain in Miskitia, and the situation in China which I have yet to get to, but which will be concerning the European powers rather a lot.

Mexico may well find itself trying to deal with the United States on its own

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Developments in the US political scene

The US political scene

I think it quite possible after Douglas' re-election in 1860 that the Whigs will break apart. Most of the OTL pressures which destroyed them in OTL have been absent or muted, or in some cases delayed, but for 1864 if they are faced with the fifth Democratic victory in a row then they may well splinter apart into various factions, each of which probably pulls towards it some of the minor parties/factions. Of course, one might say that the figure of Abraham Lincoln COULD become important here. I have had him rise within the Whigs for the mostpart because of his oratory skills and in a party that seems to be set almost permanently in opposition, then the ability to deliver a great speech is going to become a passport to promotion. His failed candidacy in 1860 for the Whigs does not necessarily mean that he will be out of the running for 1864, especially if he joins or leads one of the stronger splinter groups, sheds some of the dead wood and revitalises a section of the electorate. Of course (again!), what exactly happens depends on how events in California are playing out, or have played out by this time.

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Freemont's Republican Party of 1856 was formed in California to advocate the Transcontinental Railroad, and Increased Homesteading.

It took the Dred Scot decision, and the-- Do nothing-Business as normal--
Attitude of the Whigs & Democrats, following the 1858 Election, to push the Abolitionists, into Joining the Republicans, and making it into a National Party.

Here you have Douglas with his-- let the States Decide-- Attitude. you have no Disastrous attempt to buy Cuba. IOTL the aftermath ruined several of the most prominent southern Leaders. OTOH The Southern States are Being Squeezed, They Can't expand Westward, Due to Texas, And most of the Northern Territories are Not good for Slaves.

?What will Happen with Texas? They Reintroduced slavery into Texas after Mexico had outlawed it, in the 1820's. But with their much greater ties to Britain Here, They would be under pressure from the Liberals in GB to do away with it.
 

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DuQuense said:
Freemont's Republican Party of 1856 was formed in California to advocate the Transcontinental Railroad, and Increased Homesteading.

It took the Dred Scot decision, and the-- Do nothing-Business as normal--
Attitude of the Whigs & Democrats, following the 1858 Election, to push the Abolitionists, into Joining the Republicans, and making it into a National Party.

Yes, its complicated here isn't it ! I was hoping to avoid having to study the detailed evolution of US political parties in the 1830s-1860s period, but I might not be able to avoid it. I've got a couple of good websites for this, but its a lot of reading and thinking it out, and I'm still in the middle of trying to sort out China !

?What will Happen with Texas? They Reintroduced slavery into Texas after Mexico had outlawed it, in the 1820's. But with their much greater ties to Britain Here, They would be under pressure from the Liberals in GB to do away with it.

I should imagine there is no slavery in Texas. Recognition of independence from Mexico would have been a massive boost to those who did not want annexation, trade and investment from Britain and France would have added to this. On a negative side, US dominance of The Yucatan and later of the UPCA may well be a serious negative for Texan merchants.

One supposes there is always the Caribbean, including Cuba.

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