Recent content by Yanladman

How would the Democratic primaries have turned out? Please discuss with maps. Also, how would the general election have turned out? Who would have been the VP nominee? And where would Obama and Hillary be right now (at which positions)?

I don't think that 9/11 had a significant impact on the economy. And again, the economy was recovering in 2003-4, but I'm not sure if it would have been recovering fast enough for Bush to get reelected. Who do you think the Democratic nominee against Bush would have been in 2004 without 9/11?

Would he have been able to fully defeat the French and conquer France? I'm not that familiar with Medieval history, but I am interested in hearing the consequences of this event.

Tilden wins, since Blaine was corrupt while Hayes was not. I don't think Tilden would have done things much differently than Hayes, though.

Breaking a promise like that isn't that big of a deal. Bill Clinton promised a middle class tax cut and then refused to deliver. He didn't suffer any political fallout from his decision. Hillary could just claim that she saw the huge damage that Bush was doing to the US and felt that it was her...

I think Chelsea's mind might have been changed without 9/11. Also, Obama also said that he would serve a full term in the Senate. No one complained about him lying. Thus I seriously doubt that the fallout for Hillary would be that large.

Actually, the numbers throughout 2003 were pretty decent for Bush.

I'm not saying that there weren't other factors. The factors that Game Change mentioned were probably accurate to some degree. My point was that I think that Bush's popularity was also a factor in whether or not Hillary decided to run.

The economy was mediocre, but it was significantly recovering in 2003 and 2004. Keep in mind that Iraq also hurt Bush's popularity by the time of the 2004 election. I agree with you that the Democrats gain Congress in 2002. As for the 2004 election, I think that it's more likely that Bush loses...

I wouldn't put too much trust into everything written there. I seriously doubt that Bush's approvals being in the 50s and not in the 40s (where they would have been without 9/11) throughout 2003 was not a factor at all in Hillary's decision.

I wouldn't say that Bush is an obvious one-termer without 9/11, but his odds of getting reelected would be diminished. Keep in mind that the U.S. economy was recovering in 2004 and that housing prices were rising (which is good for many homeowners). This should give Bush some kind of boost. I...

How would the 2004 Democratic primaries have turned out without 9/11? I'm thinking that it would have been a very close race between Gore and Hillary.