WWI Bomber War

To get a bomber war in WWI you have to keep the war going till 1920 and the completion of the US mobilisation.
So, lets knock Russia out of the war in March of 1917. The overthrow of the Tsar is the result of a popular revolt. The Bolsheviks aren't able to organise because their two main avenues of appeal were bread (land redistribution) and peace (ending the war).
Germany decides to offer the Russians a decent peace where they just loose their empire but don't pay reparations, etc. Poland, the Baltics, Finland and Karelia, Moldova, etc. Belarussia and the Ukraine stay part of Russia. Maybe Russia loses the 'stans to Turkey, also. The Russian population decides that this is a good idea and the government falls. How the Germans decide to do this I leave as a POD. Maybe the Kaiser dies and his successor is smarter or something. Maybe the Germans figure that after the beat the French they can go back and rewrite the treaty or something.
So the whole German army winds up on the Western Front over the summer of 1917 and does not attack because the US pulls it's thumb out and starts shipping troops over in regiments instead of waiting until they are trained up to divisional status. They aren't good enough to attack, but they are good enough to defend the trenches.
The British and French pull their troops out of the line and use them for counterattacks after the Germans manage to overrun the American front line, which conserves the experienced troops they have that can actually do stuff like that.
Germany figures out that this is not working and starts building lots of trench lines all the way back to the Rhine. They are pushed back to the Rhine over 1918, and hold it all through 1919. That's the good news. The bad news is that the US has air bases on the Rhine, they have a huge industrial advantage over Germany in engines and oil, and the logical thing is to send up bombers at night and bomb Germany back to the stone age. So they do the logical thing.
Germany killed several hundred British people with dirigibles and bombers in the early part of the war. Now they are on the receiving end a la 1944 and 1945. What happens?
Bombing campaigns rarely break the spirit of a nation but they can make that nation seriously consider just calling the whole thing off and getting some peace and quiet. If a million German civilians are dead, the idea of occupying Eastern Europe is going to seem not particularly attractive if it means that the war will go on till 1921.
 
The Entente Powers do have the technological edge on the Central Powers so I do not see the war lasting past 1920 at the latest. The British were planning a massive tank centered strike developed by Fuller, which would have been coordinated with airstrikes. The Germans are being starved to death in 1918, they will throw the towel in by 1920.
 
I do not like PODs making the World worse but if Britain had put the effort into bombers, which in OTL went into tanks, there could have been a bomber war.

Tens of thousand more innocent civillians could have been killed on both sides. The eventual German collapse would probably have been delayed, thought probably not prevented

Germany would be even more bitter.

And if Britain (and maybe other Entent Powers) had started the major effort in bombing there would be less of a moral High Ground
 
Luxembourg conquers Europe!

The enter social structure of continental Europe was unraveling in late 1918. Extended Great War TL's which focus purely on weapons and tactics (esp. those that want to leapfrog to WWII whether its tanks or airpower) always miss that. By Dec 1919 most of Europe (incl. Germany and possibly France) are varying flavors (most of them stinky) of Socialist/Anarchist. So airpower is irrelevant.

Tom
 
If the war in the east stopped sooner there would have been less hunger in Germany. A decent harvest in 1918 because most of the soldiers had gone home in Eastern Europe in 1917 would have quieted a lot of unrest. More Polish coal miners in Silesia would also have helped with the problems of cold and it's impact on public health.
 
The British were putting substantial resources into bombers. They were establishing an Independent Force specifically for the strategic bombing of Germany and had developed a huge four-engined bomber - the Handley Page V/1500 - to carry this out: first flight was May 1918.

Forget the USA - they were barely getting themselves organised and were having to use French and British aircraft. IIRC not a single US-made plane got into combat in WW1, and the ones they were trying to make were smaller types like the DH4.

Tony Williams: Military gun and ammunition website and discussion forum
 
Tony Williams said:
The British were putting substantial resources into bombers. They were establishing an Independent Force specifically for the strategic bombing of Germany and had developed a huge four-engined bomber - the Handley Page V/1500 - to carry this out: first flight was May 1918.[/url]

Yes but this was 1918 for 1920. WI it had been in 1915 for 1917
 
Derek Jackson said:
Yes but this was 1918 for 1920. WI it had been in 1915 for 1917
Well the HP 0/100 was a useful big-twin heavy bomber which first flew in December 1915 with deliveries starting in autumn 1916, so that would meet the requirement. The slightly modified 0/400 was going to form the core of the Independent Force until the V/1500 arrived. It was also ordered by the USA in some numbers, but only 100 or so were delivered to them.

Tony Williams: Military gun and ammunition website and discussion forum
 
My point was that if the British government had made the error of giving bombers priority and the tank had not been developed there would be more money for what I am sure would have been a blind alley

I could imagine someone convincing a British government that bombing would scare the Germans and win the war.

As stated earlier I am certain that this would have been a mistake.
 
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