Go Back   Alternate History Discussion Board > Discussion > Alternate History Discussion: After 1900

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old August 10th, 2012, 01:52 AM
varyar varyar is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Dec 2007
Posts: 1000 or more
Earliest possible A380 type plane?

I know nothing about aviation technology (engines turn on, plane goes up, plane comes down!) but for some reason, the A380 intrigues me with its hugeness and novelty.

Given OTL technology, what's the earliest such a plane could have been built? Ever-reliable Wikipedia tells me McDonnell Douglas made some progress on a similar design (MD-12) in the 1990s - is that about the earliest that it could have been done, or could Boeing (or whoever) have built something that big back in the 70s, or even earlier?

(As far as AH goes, a double-decker airliner screams Nazi mega-project, doesn't it?)
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old August 10th, 2012, 02:24 AM
Bureaucromancer Bureaucromancer is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Apr 2011
Location: Toronto, Canada
Posts: 596
Assuming you mostly mean a double deck aircraft (if you just mean size, well look at things like the Spruce Goose and Do X, just making an aircraft big isn't THAT hard and can be done very early if there's a need) Boeing seriously considered building the 747 as a full double decker, so 1969 definitely (although the versions of that that were essentially stacked 707 fuselages, so double deck but narrowbody and no bigger than OTL overall). That said, there is really no impediment to very large aircraft much earlier, its really a question of having the need for something of the size. On which note, are you aware of the Deux-Ponts? Big flying boats were also headed toward being double deck, though none that went into service had full second decks. If you're willing to look beyond civilian airframes there's also the C-124 from 1949.

At the end of the day its not a technology question as one of why you would. Generally double deck aircraft don't make sense without a pretty specific reason for the second deck given the complications involved in cargo handling and the often awkward size or shape the fuselage ends up with. The early designs tended to be combi freighters using the second deck to be able to segregate passengers and freight, the OTL 747 initially only had the bulge to get the flight deck clear of the nose door, aerodynamics dictating something big enough to cram a few passengers in. The A380 was about keeping the aircraft length within reason - see the 777-300 and A340-600 for the kind of problems involved in handling very long aircraft.

tl;dr: You could get them as soon as aircraft of any size are practical. The challenge is making a decker makes more sense than a standard design.

Last edited by Bureaucromancer; August 10th, 2012 at 02:54 AM..
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old August 10th, 2012, 02:52 AM
Dathi THorfinnsson Dathi THorfinnsson is offline
Daši Žorfinnsson
 
Join Date: Apr 2007
Location: Syracuse, Haudenosaunee, Vinland
Posts: 1000 or more
Also, look up the bristol brabazon, huge for its time.

Really wacko ... bel geddes airliner number 4
__________________
David Houston
un Canadien errant
my TL: Canada-wank (99% ASB-free) Turtledove 2010
updated: 1 Sep '12
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old August 10th, 2012, 05:23 AM
DD951 DD951 is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Sep 2009
Location: Seattle, WA
Posts: 736
Or how about the Boeing 377 Stratoliner, & its military transport versions, the C-97/KC-97, which was more or less a double-decker design that plopped a second fuselage on top of the lower half of a B-29/50 fuselage, with the first flight of the C-97 prototype occurring in 1944 & that of the 377 in 1947
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old August 10th, 2012, 06:34 AM
Bureaucromancer Bureaucromancer is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Apr 2011
Location: Toronto, Canada
Posts: 596
Quote:
Originally Posted by DD951 View Post
Or how about the Boeing 377 Stratoliner, & its military transport versions, the C-97/KC-97, which was more or less a double-decker design that plopped a second fuselage on top of the lower half of a B-29/50 fuselage, with the first flight of the C-97 prototype occurring in 1944 & that of the 377 in 1947
I thought about that one, but to me it has more in common with a modern (widebody anyway, narrobodies still have pretty small holds; the 707 started off using a very similar fuselage profile, and while all new as built was actually a double bubble) airliner design (with a full length, pressurized and rather high ceilinged cargo level than what we would think of as a double deck (which in all fairness is structurally closer to triple deck). Even the C-97 didn't really operate in a fashion that used both decks for passengers, though it was primarily a cargo aircraft in any case. If the lower deck lounge qualifies it as a double decker than the L-1011 also qualifies (wasn't common, but a few airlines had one, a lot more had galleys) as do a number of modern aircraft that can have lower level galleys. If you consider crown space used for storage or crew accommodation things get even fuzzier.
Reply With Quote
  #6  
Old August 10th, 2012, 06:48 AM
superjames1992 superjames1992 is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jun 2010
Location: North Carolina, USA
Posts: 274
Well, the heaviest aircraft on Earth to this day is the Antonov An-225 and it first flew in 1988.

Technology isn't so much the problem as is will.
Reply With Quote
  #7  
Old August 10th, 2012, 07:55 AM
Delta Force Delta Force is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Nov 2011
Posts: 454
There were plans to make a 724 seat aircraft based on the An-22 in the 1960s.
__________________
The Need for Speed: A Jet Age Timeline (last updated June 4, 2013).
The Need for Speed Timeline Events (last updated June 18, 2013).
Reply With Quote
  #8  
Old August 10th, 2012, 08:11 AM
Xavier Xavier is offline
Imperator Belgicus
 
Join Date: Oct 2009
Location: Antwerp, Low Countries
Posts: 698
I'm pretty sure that Boeing originally planned for the 747's upper deck to extend all the way to the tail.
Reply With Quote
  #9  
Old August 10th, 2012, 08:21 AM
Michel Van Michel Van is online now
Member
 
Join Date: Jul 2007
Location: Liege Belgium Europe
Posts: 1000 or more
Around 1990 Boeing and McDonnell-Douglas made Study about "Super Jumbo".

McDonnell-Douglas MD-12
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/McDonnell_Douglas_MD-12

At Boeing there were two fraction at work,
One wanted a extended 747 with two decks, other prosed "New Large Airplane" what look quite like the twin brother of MD-12.

1991/92 things change in US aerospace industry.
McDonnell-Douglas management had Financial concerns about the High R&D cost of U$4 Billion on MD-12,
and they had high cost on C-17 program.
but as the Taiwan Aerospace left the MD-12 project, MCD had no resources to complete the project.
in 1993 Boeing management chose not to pursue development of "New Large Airplane", focusing instead on updates to the 747.
with money they save to that, they went shopping trip on the US aerospace industry
and buy aerospace section of Rockwell International and McDonnell-Douglas


but WI the Taiwan Aerospace stay and other source of financing was found for MD-12 ?
The Aerospace Industry would look today complete different as in OTL !!!
Boeing had use the Money on R&D of "New Large Airplane" and had not bought up McDonnell-Douglas
it more likely that McDonnell-Douglas do join-venture (or Merger) with Lockheed for more Production capacity in California
Lockheed-McDonnell-Douglas instead of Lockheed-Martin ?

around 1999 the first MD-12 and Boeing 848 "Super Jumbo" would make test fly, Airbus is still in R&D on A380.
in 2000 the first Super jumbos will goes in service
wen the first A380 makes his test flight in 2005, the US Super Jumbos would be in service for about five years
and Airbus will face a shrinking market for "Super Jumbo", because the Dominance of McDonnell-Douglas/Lockheed and Boeing
It can even so worst, that Airbus management could stop the A380 program because "to late on the market, to make profit"

On Technical Problems A380
that is because Airbus had no experience in very large heavy Aircraft
McDonnell-Douglas, Lockheed and Boeing have that experience: C-17, C-5, B-52, 747
Reply With Quote
  #10  
Old August 10th, 2012, 08:39 AM
sharlin sharlin is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jul 2010
Posts: 1000 or more
I suppose you could turn something like the AN-124 into a passenger plane with multiple decks but it would no doubt be a very expensive passenger plane.
Reply With Quote
  #11  
Old August 10th, 2012, 11:37 AM
Michel Van Michel Van is online now
Member
 
Join Date: Jul 2007
Location: Liege Belgium Europe
Posts: 1000 or more
Quote:
Originally Posted by sharlin View Post
I suppose you could turn something like the AN-124 into a passenger plane with multiple decks but it would no doubt be a very expensive passenger plane.
why take so a small airplane ?
there is Antonow AN-225, and they had look into use of as a passenger plane for USSR,
but the Soviet union implode in 1991.

by the Way
Lockheed look in also in use of C-5 Galaxy as "Super Jumbo"
were 800 Passenger are in containers, who are slide-in the cargobay.
but in 1968-1975 the C-5 run in serious trouble and Lockheed face bankruptcy...
Reply With Quote
  #12  
Old August 10th, 2012, 11:39 AM
abc123 abc123 is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Apr 2010
Posts: 1000 or more
Soviets had a project of similar aircraft, Sukhoi KR-860...
But I doubt that they could finish it earlier than A-380.


http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sukhoi_KR-860
__________________
"And remember, Mr Churchill, that in the next war the Italians will be on our side".
"Well, that's only fair. We had them last time".
Reply With Quote
  #13  
Old August 10th, 2012, 01:25 PM
varyar varyar is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Dec 2007
Posts: 1000 or more
Huh, I had no idea - thanks, all!

I want to move to the timeline where the Airliner Number 4 exists now.
Reply With Quote
  #14  
Old August 10th, 2012, 01:42 PM
Brother Stormhammer Brother Stormhammer is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Oct 2011
Posts: 38
Earliest possible A-380 type aircraft? My bet is 1949 or so. OTL, the Convair XC-99 first flew in 1947. It was a cargo version of the B-36 Peacemaker, and I believe Pan-Am actually did some interior layout studies of a passenger version (the Convair Model 37).

http://www.air-and-space.com/xc99.htm
Reply With Quote
  #15  
Old August 10th, 2012, 02:00 PM
varyar varyar is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Dec 2007
Posts: 1000 or more
Oh, and I have a follow-up! Are there, by chance, any books devoted just to the subject of superjumbos?
Reply With Quote
  #16  
Old August 10th, 2012, 02:23 PM
Michel Van Michel Van is online now
Member
 
Join Date: Jul 2007
Location: Liege Belgium Europe
Posts: 1000 or more
Quote:
Originally Posted by Brother Stormhammer View Post
Earliest possible A-380 type aircraft? My bet is 1949 or so. OTL, the Convair XC-99 first flew in 1947. It was a cargo version of the B-36 Peacemaker, and I believe Pan-Am actually did some interior layout studies of a passenger version (the Convair Model 37).

http://www.air-and-space.com/xc99.htm
the XC-99 had place for 400 passenger (20 years later, fist Boeing 747 had 452 passenger)
But the cabin pressure system failed regular on XC-99 prototype, so USAF say no to C-99 project.

I look on Civilian Lockheed C-5 and it "Flying in a box" proposal
this was a German company Krupp concept.
each container take 72 person in it (plus they Luggage)
8 Container are Push in C-5, true the open nose in two rows with in total 576 passengers.
the Idea was to use the C-5 Cargo version with out great Modification.

At Lockheed they had the L-500 Civilian cargo version of C-5
There had idea that passengers could take there Car in the Cargobay
it had place for 56 big Cadillacs or 108 smaller cars.

Next to that were a 3 deck C-5 study for 800 passengers, but i don't know how Lockheed called it.
Reply With Quote
  #17  
Old August 10th, 2012, 02:55 PM
David S Poepoe David S Poepoe is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 2004
Location: El Segundo, California
Posts: 1000 or more
Quote:
Originally Posted by Brother Stormhammer View Post
Earliest possible A-380 type aircraft? My bet is 1949 or so. OTL, the Convair XC-99 first flew in 1947. It was a cargo version of the B-36 Peacemaker, and I believe Pan-Am actually did some interior layout studies of a passenger version (the Convair Model 37).

http://www.air-and-space.com/xc99.htm
In the mid 1950s, probably in the campaign for statehood, the Hawaii newspaper Honolulu Advertiser carried a multipage insert about the 'Hawaii of the Future' - I can't remember the exact title - but it featured several drawings of scenes about Honolulu in the near future and one of them was of tourist arriving at Honolulu Airport and disembarking from aircraft that looked like the XC-99.

The post war economy simply support such large aircraft unfortunately. One reason they did not succeed was that all the thousands of cargo planes, like the DC-3, that were built for the war where just sold on the open market after. I've got the newspaper article somewhere about my house.
__________________
Coincidence? We invite you, the reader with no inclination to do his own research, to decide.
Reply With Quote
  #18  
Old August 10th, 2012, 03:24 PM
modelcitizen modelcitizen is offline
note2self, no ranting ninjas
 
Join Date: Aug 2008
Location: New Jersey
Posts: 1000 or more
Vickers had planned a double-decker VC10, http://www.vc10.net/History/DDVC10_page5.html

Edit: I think that the prospect of that had been in the 1960s.

(VC10 info http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/VC10#cite_note-6 and http://www.vc10.net/index.html )
Attached Images
 

Last edited by modelcitizen; August 10th, 2012 at 03:29 PM..
Reply With Quote
  #19  
Old August 10th, 2012, 03:33 PM
modelcitizen modelcitizen is offline
note2self, no ranting ninjas
 
Join Date: Aug 2008
Location: New Jersey
Posts: 1000 or more
Quote:
Originally Posted by varyar View Post
...

(As far as AH goes, a double-decker airliner screams Nazi mega-project, doesn't it?)

English-speaking person, keeping a straight face: "That's a big Fokker, isn't it?"

German companion: "Oh, yah."
Reply With Quote
  #20  
Old August 10th, 2012, 03:49 PM
DD951 DD951 is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Sep 2009
Location: Seattle, WA
Posts: 736
Quote:
Originally Posted by Bureaucromancer View Post
I thought about that one, but to me it has more in common with a modern (widebody anyway, narrobodies still have pretty small holds; the 707 started off using a very similar fuselage profile, and while all new as built was actually a double bubble) airliner design (with a full length, pressurized and rather high ceilinged cargo level than what we would think of as a double deck (which in all fairness is structurally closer to triple deck). Even the C-97 didn't really operate in a fashion that used both decks for passengers, though it was primarily a cargo aircraft in any case. If the lower deck lounge qualifies it as a double decker than the L-1011 also qualifies (wasn't common, but a few airlines had one, a lot more had galleys) as do a number of modern aircraft that can have lower level galleys. If you consider crown space used for storage or crew accommodation things get even fuzzier.
Hmm, from some poking around, it looks like it might have been possible to make a good chunk of the 377's lower level into a second passenger cabin at the expense of a large part of the cargo hold if someone had an operational requirement for it, but I don't think anyone tried developing the airframe in that direction.

Another possibility from the immediate post-war era could have been the Lockheed R6V Constitution, which first flew in 1946, though it was considered a failure- the USN felt it was too expensive to operate, while Pan Am ultimately decided it was too big & underpowered to be practical even though the design had originally been proposed to them as something that would exceed the performance & capacity of the Constellation, effectively killing the proposed airliner version; the 2 prototypes in USN service also turned out to have too short of a range & prone to engine overheating; a turboprop motor being developed by Wright might have salvaged the design but never got outside the prototype stage
Reply With Quote
Reply

Thread Tools
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump


All times are GMT. The time now is 09:45 PM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.4
Copyright ©2000 - 2013, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.