WI: Syrian Air Force intervenes in Black September

[Lost the game]

What would happen if the Syrian Air Force is used to cover Syrian forces in Jordan's Black September crisis? Does this allow the Syrian Army to reinforce Yassur Arafat's Feyadeen? what I want to know is:

• Does Salah Jalid manage to completely depose Hafez Assad, rather than the other way around?
• Does the PLO sieze power in Jordan?
• Does the IDF intervene on King Hussein's account
• Does the Yom Kippur War (or something similar) still happen?
• If so, does a PLO-controlled Jordan attack Israel?
• Or, does an Israel-alligned King Hussein use this war as an excuse to revenge himself upon Syria?
• If the former, does this prompt the IDF to place some Instant Sunshine (TM) on Cairo and Damascus?
• If the latter, does this war end faster and does Hashemite Jordan gain any territory?

Edit: just noticed the irony of the fact that I wrote this while listening to the song We Can Work It Out, by the Beatles

[Lost the game]

nobody??????????????????????????????????????????????????? ?????????????????????????????????????????????????? ???????????

[azander12]

I wish I could help, I'm very interested but I don't know all that much about the intervention. I'm sure a successful intervention would strengthen Jadid's hand and probably lead to him remaining in charge, with Assad being given the post of Ambassador to Nepal. I would also guess that the Israelis would intervene to prop up the Hashemites in Jordan. What that would lead to, I don't know...

[black angel]

I don't think Israel would go to bat for Jordan's king, and if they did it'd be the end for him and 90% of his support (at best) would be against him, also it doesn't seem to be Golda Meir's style, lastly a PLO controlled and run Jordan gives Israel two things A) it enforces the idea that Israel has no friends in the Mid-East, no one that they can even deal with on a basic level, and B) it mutes calls of a Palestinian state, because Jordan becomes the Palestinian state.

another war is very likely, I don't think that Egypt's Anwar Sadat can stay in power with out one, with a Radical Jordan Israel will likely be more on a war footing, maybe a PM Moshe Dayan or Rabin, a radical Jordan would likely force Sadat to be more hard line, maybe the War of Attrition keeps going, maybe their next war is much less well planed and timed

I doubt the PLO would lead Jordan to War with Israel with out friends so we likely see a 3rd Six-Day War, I can see a Jordan War of Attrition, with the West Bank filled with PLO terror.

[Plumber]

PLO wins. Jadid deposes Assad. Israel would be overjoyed because then "Jordan is Palestine." The Yom Kippur War (with Jordan!) probably leads to a greater Israeli victory because Israel will be on guard. Israel could be dumb enough to occupy Jordan, perhaps now, but probably under Likud (if they ever come to power, which will could be delayed a decade or so now). With failure in this war, Syria, Egypt, and possibly Jordan are ripe for Islamic Revolutions in the late 70s...