This plan created in a meting in the Portuguese court between 1504 and 1506 [1] had two goals:
1-Close the Red Sea safe for the Portuguese
2-See Jerusalem as a Christian city again
So if the ladders in 1513 manage to hold up, Albuquerque would take over Aden [2].
As Aden is dependent of Zeila and Berbera for its food, those cities would be taken and fortress build, as he did in the other ports he conquer.
His next move would be on Massawa that supplied food to Jeddah [3].
With the first part of the plan to close the Red Sea in place he now would plan the capture of Medina and Mecca.
In 1514 a fleet of 40 ships [4] would land the Ethiopian horses [5] and the Portuguese solders.
After an hard battle the city is taken and now he had to ride with his 3000 horseman to get Mecca and Medina.
Again, imagine that he manages to take both cities.
The third part of his plan was to negotiate a trade of Jerusalem and an harbor for Mecca and Medina.
Would the Mamluck Sultanate, in 1514, accept such a deal or would they became so enraged and start a war to annihilate the Portuguese presence in Arabia?
And if they accepted would this led to an earlier war with the Ottomans, with the Ottomans also taking advantage and retaking Jerusalem?
Also part of the master plan was to weaken the Mamluck Sultanate with the detour of the Blue Nile to the Red Sea.
So sometime between 1530 and 1540, if possible and in this case as a thought experiment after 15 to 25 years of work, the Blue Nile is rerouted to the Red Sea.
Again if it is possible, the people North of Khartoum will lose the biggest part of their annual flood, similar to the severe drought that caused the collapse of the Old Kingdom.
With Egypt suffering with famine does the people move up the Nile to the highlands of Ethiopia, or will they move to other parts of the Ottoman Empire like the Balkans,or in the later date to Mesopotamia?
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[1] This is only part of a bigger plan, other parts wore the closure of the Persian Gulf by taking Ormuz as he did in 1507 and 1515; find and trade spices with Malacca but he conquered it in 1511 and sent expeditions to Siam, Moluccas and China; to take control of Calicut, it failed in 1519 but he conquered Goa in 1510 and in 1513 he build a trading post in Calicut.
[2] In OTL he did tried to go after Jeddah when the attack failed in Aden, but failed due to the lack of propitious winds
[3] At that time these three cities weren't walled and the Portuguese did raided them several times, with this move he can now blockade Jeddah
[4] At that time there wore 50 ships in Goa so he might go to the Red Sea with about 5000 solders; D. Fernando Coutinho did take to the Indic Ocean in 1509 15 ships and three thousand solders; Albuquerque to take Aden he got 20 ships and 2500 solders; so to take Jeddah he would take even more ships and solders, in this case the double of Aden expedition.
[5] The Ethiopians had promised 3000 horses for that campaign, in OTL
1-Close the Red Sea safe for the Portuguese
2-See Jerusalem as a Christian city again
So if the ladders in 1513 manage to hold up, Albuquerque would take over Aden [2].
As Aden is dependent of Zeila and Berbera for its food, those cities would be taken and fortress build, as he did in the other ports he conquer.
His next move would be on Massawa that supplied food to Jeddah [3].
With the first part of the plan to close the Red Sea in place he now would plan the capture of Medina and Mecca.
In 1514 a fleet of 40 ships [4] would land the Ethiopian horses [5] and the Portuguese solders.
After an hard battle the city is taken and now he had to ride with his 3000 horseman to get Mecca and Medina.
Again, imagine that he manages to take both cities.
The third part of his plan was to negotiate a trade of Jerusalem and an harbor for Mecca and Medina.
Would the Mamluck Sultanate, in 1514, accept such a deal or would they became so enraged and start a war to annihilate the Portuguese presence in Arabia?
And if they accepted would this led to an earlier war with the Ottomans, with the Ottomans also taking advantage and retaking Jerusalem?
Also part of the master plan was to weaken the Mamluck Sultanate with the detour of the Blue Nile to the Red Sea.
So sometime between 1530 and 1540, if possible and in this case as a thought experiment after 15 to 25 years of work, the Blue Nile is rerouted to the Red Sea.
Again if it is possible, the people North of Khartoum will lose the biggest part of their annual flood, similar to the severe drought that caused the collapse of the Old Kingdom.
With Egypt suffering with famine does the people move up the Nile to the highlands of Ethiopia, or will they move to other parts of the Ottoman Empire like the Balkans,or in the later date to Mesopotamia?
____________________________
[1] This is only part of a bigger plan, other parts wore the closure of the Persian Gulf by taking Ormuz as he did in 1507 and 1515; find and trade spices with Malacca but he conquered it in 1511 and sent expeditions to Siam, Moluccas and China; to take control of Calicut, it failed in 1519 but he conquered Goa in 1510 and in 1513 he build a trading post in Calicut.
[2] In OTL he did tried to go after Jeddah when the attack failed in Aden, but failed due to the lack of propitious winds
[3] At that time these three cities weren't walled and the Portuguese did raided them several times, with this move he can now blockade Jeddah
[4] At that time there wore 50 ships in Goa so he might go to the Red Sea with about 5000 solders; D. Fernando Coutinho did take to the Indic Ocean in 1509 15 ships and three thousand solders; Albuquerque to take Aden he got 20 ships and 2500 solders; so to take Jeddah he would take even more ships and solders, in this case the double of Aden expedition.
[5] The Ethiopians had promised 3000 horses for that campaign, in OTL