What if Heinz Guderian had not been redirected towards the Ukraine by Hitler
and had his forces available to attack Moscow in October ?
Personally I think an earlier attack does nothing but benefit the Germans:
Germans encircle and capture Moscow, but not after being bloodied in vicious house to house fighting, reminiscent of OTL's Stalingrad or Berlin. Before the emminent encirclement of Moscow Stalin and high ranking officials flee east towards the Urals to continue the war from there. The USSR is temporarily in disarray due to the relocation of the government. Fortunately for Stalin, German logistics are being stretched to the limits and they are forced to hold their positions for the winter. I could imagine Stalin launching a huge last-ditch winter offensive focused on Moscow that may or may not succeed....Provided it fails the USSR will be exhausted and Stalin will probably send out feelers for peace talks as a truce will allow him to re consolidate his power base and possibly attack later.
and had his forces available to attack Moscow in October ?
Personally I think an earlier attack does nothing but benefit the Germans:
- The Russians have not had time to fortify and dig in.
- The Siberian reinforcements, if I recall, have not arrived yet.
- The weather is not as bad as during the OTL Operation Typhoon.
- Leningrad most likely surrenders in early '42 due to lack of supplies and being cut off from Moscow as well as losing priority in a situation where the capital is gone and the front largely rupture down the center.
- The temporary (most likely case) or permanent (worst case) loss of central command and control. Under Stalin the whole state apparatus was centered on Moscow. Hundreds of bureaucrats, indispensable to the running of the war machine would be forced to relocate.
Germans encircle and capture Moscow, but not after being bloodied in vicious house to house fighting, reminiscent of OTL's Stalingrad or Berlin. Before the emminent encirclement of Moscow Stalin and high ranking officials flee east towards the Urals to continue the war from there. The USSR is temporarily in disarray due to the relocation of the government. Fortunately for Stalin, German logistics are being stretched to the limits and they are forced to hold their positions for the winter. I could imagine Stalin launching a huge last-ditch winter offensive focused on Moscow that may or may not succeed....Provided it fails the USSR will be exhausted and Stalin will probably send out feelers for peace talks as a truce will allow him to re consolidate his power base and possibly attack later.
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