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  #1  
Old January 19th, 2009, 12:51 AM
Electric Earth Electric Earth is offline
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WI Bush (Senior) doesn't wimp out in Gulf War...

...and goes after Saddam Hussain, and executes him. Issue of WMD never comes up, no reason for his son to invade Iraq. Bush Junior retains post-9/11 popularity, which spreads out to other Republicans, and McCain is elected President. Comments?

Last edited by Electric Earth; January 19th, 2009 at 12:52 AM.. Reason: left a word out
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Old January 19th, 2009, 12:52 AM
Colossalmeat123 Colossalmeat123 is offline
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hahaha nobama
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Old January 19th, 2009, 12:55 AM
Constantius Constantius is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Electric Earth View Post
...and goes after Saddam Hussain, and executes him. Issue of WMD never comes up, no reason for his son to invade Iraq. Bush Junior retains post-9/11 popularity, which spreads out to other Republicans, and McCain is elected President. Comments?
B.u.t.t.e.r.f.l.y. e.f.f.e.c.t!
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Old January 19th, 2009, 12:59 AM
Count Dearborn Count Dearborn is offline
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He didn't wimp out, he said that they could take the country, but what would they do with it after they go it. The reason that they invaded Kuwait was because Kuwait was drilling in such a way they they were drilling into the part of that oil field that was under Iraq.
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Old January 19th, 2009, 08:39 AM
WestVirginiaRebel WestVirginiaRebel is offline
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OK, for a reality check-Bush would have faced the same problems with occupying Iraq that his son did. He might have handled it better, but it would still have become an issue for the Democrats in '92 especially with a recession going on. As for Bush Jr. post-9-11, he probably would have gone to war against Pakistan, which would open up a whole new can of butterflies.

The mission was never about taking out Saddam Hussein no matter how much armchair asskickers might have wished for it. It was always soley about driving Saddam out of Kuwait, so that's what Bush did.
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  #6  
Old January 19th, 2009, 09:22 AM
Alratan Alratan is online now
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If the US moves its troops from Saudi to Iraq, then we probably don't see a 9-11.
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  #7  
Old January 19th, 2009, 09:38 AM
Jon0815 Jon0815 is offline
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Originally Posted by WestVirginiaRebel View Post
OK, for a reality check-Bush would have faced the same problems with occupying Iraq that his son did.
Not exactly.

Bush I had something like 500,000 troops in Desert Storm, vs. the 140,000 Bush II had for OIF. Had Bush gone to Baghdad, there would still have been a Sunni insurgency, but it would have been faced with a post-Saddam occupation force that was several times as large as Bush II's in OTL, and hence the insurgency would never have grown as large as in OTL.

Also, in 1991 you would not have had hundreds of al-Queda suicide bombers stoking sectarian violence in Iraq, which is what is most responsible for Iraq nearly going off the rails in OTL.

Quote:
He might have handled it better, but it would still have become an issue for the Democrats in '92 especially with a recession going on. .
If the US is fighting an insurgency in Iraq in 1992 (tho a less deadly insurgency than the one in 2004 of OTL), this might actually help Bush, causing him to win re-election. The war would still have public support at that time, and Americans would trust Bush to win it much more than Clinton.

And the recession ended in 1991.

Last edited by Jon0815; January 19th, 2009 at 10:03 AM..
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  #8  
Old January 19th, 2009, 10:44 AM
Corbell Mark IV Corbell Mark IV is online now
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Keep in mind that in doing this he is breaking promises to our allies about the limited war.

Not that they would fight, but it would have consquences.

And I agree that it would have likely lead to reelection here.
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  #9  
Old January 19th, 2009, 01:43 PM
feanor512 feanor512 is offline
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Originally Posted by Colossalmeat123 View Post
hahaha nobama
No Dubya either.
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Old January 19th, 2009, 03:18 PM
Anaxagoras Anaxagoras is offline
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In such a scenario, so many butterflies would be created that there would be no 9/11.
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Old January 19th, 2009, 03:21 PM
King Thomas King Thomas is offline
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Best case-The insurgency if there is one is rapidly crushed, no 9/11, no G.W.Bush junior as president.

Worst case-Iraq ends up as violent as OTL, 9/11 still happens.
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  #12  
Old January 19th, 2009, 09:12 PM
Electric Earth Electric Earth is offline
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WW2 Analogy

Not pursuing Saddam Hussain is comparable to the Allies declaring a truce once the Nazis were driven out of their occupied territories.
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Old January 19th, 2009, 09:33 PM
Germaniac Germaniac is offline
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It was not a matter of wimping out. It was a matter of Bush senior being slightly smarter that dumbass president bush junior. Senior saw the potential for a Vietnam-like situation. If he had been in there, Clinton(or another democrat) with the democrats retaining control of the house and senate. Hell i wish he did do that we might have National Healthcare with a democrat government
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Old January 19th, 2009, 09:34 PM
carlton_bach carlton_bach is online now
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Electric Earth View Post
Not pursuing Saddam Hussain is comparable to the Allies declaring a truce once the Nazis were driven out of their occupied territories.
Can we start an AH.com tropes wiki? I nominate "Every modern war is like WWII".
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Old January 19th, 2009, 09:36 PM
Germaniac Germaniac is offline
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Originally Posted by Electric Earth View Post
Not pursuing Saddam Hussain is comparable to the Allies declaring a truce once the Nazis were driven out of their occupied territories.
that is rediculous. Last time I checked Nazi germany declared war on the United States. the analogy would work without US but with its a dumb comparison.

Saddamn was an awful dictator. But we propted him up and as soon as we were done with him we painted him as evil. We should not be policing the world. It is a countries own responsibilities to overthrow and fight off a repressive government, not ours.
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Old January 19th, 2009, 09:44 PM
Dave Howery Dave Howery is offline
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from what I remember reading in the news at the time, the main reason Bush I didn't go after Saddam is that there was really nobody in the works to replace him... taking out Saddam would have meant pretty much taking out the central government... and at the time, there was real worry about Iran taking advantage of such chaos and monkeying around in Iraq. A book I read later on the war noted that the US and allies agreed on a strategy that would kick the Iraqis out of Kuwait, destroy most of their advanced weaponry, and leave them with a solid core of infantry; basically, leave Iraq with a powerful defensive force, but not an offensive one...
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  #17  
Old January 19th, 2009, 09:59 PM
bookmonkey786 bookmonkey786 is offline
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Originally Posted by Germaniac View Post
[snip]
We should not be policing the world. It is a countries own responsibilities to overthrow and fight off a repressive government, not ours.
We don't unless the US's feels its in its best interest to do so. Generally that means there's something valuable there or its of strategic importance. You think the US really gives a crap if one worthless (from the US's POV) African country invades another. We haven't so far.

If the US was really the world's policemen we would have stepped in to stop the crimes in Sudan long ago. Most we'll do in cases like that is send a token Peacekeeping force and let the rest of the bleeding heart world sort the mess out.
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  #18  
Old January 19th, 2009, 09:59 PM
Berra Berra is offline
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Originally Posted by carlton_bach View Post
Can we start an AH.com tropes wiki? I nominate "Every modern war is like WWII".
To be fair, we are not as bad as the rest of the world. We are more like "every modern war is like the 43 Punic war between some obscure German state and the Aztecs. With bear cavalry. And it will bring back the monarchy."
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Old January 19th, 2009, 10:20 PM
Trotsky Trotsky is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by carlton_bach View Post
Can we start an AH.com tropes wiki? I nominate "Every modern war is like WWII".
hahaha I like how he even subject-heads his post with "WW2 Analogy."
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  #20  
Old January 20th, 2009, 01:07 AM
Wendell Wendell is offline
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Originally Posted by WestVirginiaRebel View Post
OK, for a reality check-Bush would have faced the same problems with occupying Iraq that his son did. He might have handled it better, but it would still have become an issue for the Democrats in '92 especially with a recession going on. As for Bush Jr. post-9-11, he probably would have gone to war against Pakistan, which would open up a whole new can of butterflies.

The mission was never about taking out Saddam Hussein no matter how much armchair asskickers might have wished for it. It was always soley about driving Saddam out of Kuwait, so that's what Bush did.
Why would W go after a committed U.S. ally?
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