Fire and Ice: A Barbarossa 1905 TL

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Part I


To walk up the steps of the summer palace of the Russian Czars is to walk into a fairy tale. As one moves towards it one notices that the lawns, which are as green as the felt of a billiard table, are painted a slightly golden hue by the rays of the sun. As one enters through one of the the great doors, past snow-white columns and bright-yellow walls, one expects wondrous things indoors.

These expectations are not disappointed. Inside, one wanders through lacquer-wooded hallways, on the sides of which are hung massive portraits of great people and deeds from the past. Then come great, arched rooms. From the ceilings, far above the height of any human head, hang huge chandeliers shaped like wedding cakes, their lights twinkling. When surrounded by all this for the first time, one feels that it is impossible to be truly unhappy in this place.

One would be wrong. In this late June of 1905, the palace’s primary occupant was everything but happy. Czar Nicholas II sat on one of the velvet-cushioned sofas, but did not feel comfort. His eyes were open to the beauty of his surroundings, but his mind saw none.

Waiting was the hardest part. Communications with his commanders on Russia’s western borders was spotty in the best of times, but this night they seemed particularly troubled. If word did not come soon, he would have to go to bed without it, although this virtually precluded getting a good night’s sleep. In the meantime, this wait, in which time seemed to pass as if stuck on molasses, allowed his thoughts to wander yet again to wanders over the events which had brought Europe to the brink of total war.

It had started in April, when his mercurial relative, the Emperor of Germany, had visited Morocco, a country which Russia’s new ally France intended to invade and conquer, and pledged it German protection, initiating what would become known to history as the Long Crisis. It had stewed at a low level since then until now, but Nicholas’s recollection of it at the time was unclear, having been overshadowed by the annihilation of his navy at the Battle of Tsushima the next month. That had finally forced him to accept that the war with Japan was lost and begin negotiations for peace, which even now were being mediated by the President of that vast republic in the other hemisphere, a curious nation which had no king (lately is seemed that those talks were proceeding more slowly than at first seemed). That, though, had not been the only factor which forced his hand. Mass unrest had broken out in Russia itself as defeat piled upon defeat. The radical Bolshevik rebels, in particular, were proving more effective than expected, and his chiefs of security had recently informed him that it was just possible that they were being funded by a foreign power-who or why they did not know.

Then, in the middle of this month, the crisis had exploded with a vengeance. Negotiations had proven fruitless, and Kaiser Wilhelm had ordered his forces to mobilize. Then, both Germany’s western and eastern borders had been sealed, the latter, so his German relative had written, so that French spies could not gain access to Germany from Russia. Spokesmen for the German government no longer gave direct answers to the question of whether it would respect the neutrality of Belgium, which inspired great protest from Britain, which had moved closer to France as a result. Soon thereafter, Germany’s junior ally Austria had decided that now was the time to press one of its innumerable disputes with Serbia, a small Balkan country known as Russia’s “little brother.” It seemed that any day now, the armies of the Central Powers would march on Paris and Belgrade.

In fact, it was puzzling that they had not done so already. If his generals’ estimates of Germany’s logistical capacity were correct, it should have been able to initiate its invasion of France via Belgium already. That it had not done so was welcome news, for it enabled Russia further time to mobilize its own forces, (those which had not been already sent to Manchuria and defeated, that is) although it was such a creaky process that it could not be described as more than a third completed. Regardless, it seemed inevitable that all the great powers would soon be plunged into conflict, with the possible exception of Britain, shielded by its Royal Navy, upon which the Grande Armee never looked, as one author whose name he could not at the moment recall had put it.

It now occurred to him, with a kind of dim interest, that this day, which the midnight clocks had just tolled, was the same one on which, 96 years before, the doomed Napoleon had invaded. There were, he thought, probably a few people still living who had been infants on that day. On that thought, he got up, went to bed, pulled up the covers, and was soon in a fitful sleep-he was very tired.

A few hours later, a royal steward knocked timidly at his door. “What is it?” he asked “A telegram from the STAVKA,” . So news had come after all. As he got up and put on his night robes, he realized that he heard absolutely nothing, no clocks ticking, no leaves rustling or birds flying by outside. He opened the door and took the telegram wordlessly, then walked over to the window to read it by the moonlight, “The Germans are shelling our cities.”
 
Nice!

So it begins.........:D

You're obviously a much more talented writer than I am, that's for sure...:p

Looking forward to the next update!

P.s. And you have attracted the attention of famous TL writer on this thread as well-congrats!

Question though - why fire and ice?

When will the next update be coming?

Edit: now you have onkel too?! Whoa! :D

And the update hint is for tom's veterinarian timeline... :D
 
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@CommandoHowiezter To be honest, I didn't give much thought to the title. In a general way, "fire" references the shooting of rifles and artillery and "ice" the Russian winter.
 
P.s. And you have attracted the attention of famous TL writer on this thread as well-congrats!
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I'm going to take that a subtle hint to get on with updating it though. :p
 
Nice! With Russia in chaos and less prepared than OTL 1914, who knows what could happen?

People rally to the flag at first, but then the war goes bad and we get a revolution of some kind. That said, Japan and Germany are cobelligerents now. Britain and Japan are allies, but France and Britain have just signed the Entente Cordiale if memory serves. I wonder where that leaves Great Britain. A German victory over Russia and France is not in their interest.
 
Come on France! I'm hoping for the Tsar to lose and lose badly, but for the Third Republic to regain the lost provinces and continue the Belle Epoque.
 
@SenatorChickpea I thank you for your interest, but I have to say that that is not going to happen. We had a long discussion about this issue over at the "WI Barbarossa in 1905" thread that this TL is based off of and it was pretty convincingly demonstrated, to my satisfaction at least, that the border is simply too well fortified and the front too narrow for either side to achieve a breakthrough. If it was a realistic possibility, the Germans would not be doing this.
 
You have me hooked. I have only lightly browsed the tread you referred to, but I can see this will be a nasty battle.

Russia is going to get screwed in the beginning. They lost two of their three fleets, thousands of soldiers dead, and possible rebellions internally.

France will not be able to help much, and it is possible that Japan will take up the sword in the East. I would not be at all surprised if Turkey might try to join fighting, though who with? Go after Russia and try to ignore AUE, or do they try to extort concessions from Russia and stop the Austrian-Hungarians from cobbling up the Balkans?

Unless Belgium is invaded, England should stay neutral. Now if France is try to a reverse hook and go after Germany that way, that might piss of England to join in.

Italy may stay out of things, or may try to make sure that Austria does not get too big for their britches.

Well I look forward to your update.
 
Well, no way this turns out bad for the monarchists. other Germany takes over Europe, or the invasion unites the people around the Tsardom. Either way, I'm happy.:D
 
Chapter II

The Czar did not know it yet, but the message was already technically obsolete when he received it, because of a sudden and unexpected decision made by Chief of the German General Staff Colmar Freiherr von der Goltz. Sitting in a chair next to his Emperor, his bearing erect, his face bearing an expression of confidence and eager expectation, he turned and spoke a question. “Your Majesty, I request permission to cease artillery bombardment immediately and go over to the attack.”

Kaiser Wilhelm looked back. His face bore an expression of surprise, but also the knowledge a request of this kind was not completely unforseeable. It was hardly the first time his best general had done or asked for something unconventional. Indeed, it was largely for this reason that he had been appointed to his present position.

It had been almost exactly four years previously that he had come across The Nation in Arms, now famous the world over and considered comparable to such classic works of strategy as Carl von Clausewitz’s On War, Alfred Thayer Mahan’s The Influence of Sea Power upon History, and Sun Tzu’s Art of War, written by von der Goltz, then a relatively obscure officer serving as an advisor to the Ottoman army at that government’s request following its defeats at the hands of Russia. He had been almost instantly been impressed by its picture of an entire people, united as one, striving under their king for a common purpose. So impressed, in fact, that he had recalled him from the land of the Sultans to discuss and compare their strategic views and aims.

When he arrived at the royal palace in Berlin, bearing much the same expression of eager confidence he bore know, he was immediately given an hour-long appointment with the Kaiser, whose first words had been “This, General, is a very good book.” One hour had become two, two became three, and finally Wilhelm’s appointments for the rest of the day had been canceled entirely, so taken was he with Goltz’s vision. They discussed war at all levels, from grand strategy down to the latest developments of weapons technology, but mostly stayed on the main points of the Freiherr’s work. He rejected entirely the artificial distinction between operational and strategic goals, and between the conduct of war and its aims and context. In particular, he disagreed vehemently with the prevailing wisdom that Germany must remain forever dependent upon maritime trade for essential products. Instead, he argued that “All the resources which our Fatherland so desperately needs, and more, are to be found in the East.”

At the end of a week the Kaiser made one of the most important decisions of his reign, and replaced the elderly Alfred von Schlieffen as chief of staff with von der Goltz. The differences between the two became clear almost immediately. The first major study the new leader ordered was not how many forces would be required to invade France, but how few would be required to defend against it. The results were startling. It was revealed that due to the massive fortifications which had been built up on the border over the course of decades, and the extremely short front, the border which guarded the approaches to the vital Ruhr could be held comfortably with just three of Germany’s eight massive field armies. From that point on, the main focus of war planning became not an invasion of France but an assault on the huge but vulnerable and backward eastern colossus of Russia. This was the genesis of Operation Frederick, the largest invasion in history up to that point.

After countless adjustments, revisions, and month after month of wargaming, a final plan emerged, in great secrecy, from the combined work of the staffs of Germany and its ally Austria. The invading force would consist of nine armies, totaling around 2 million troops arrayed in three army groups, North, Center, and South. Army Group North, the smallest, would consist of the German 1st and 2nd armies. Led by General Alexander von Kluck, it would attack north-east out of East Prussia. Its task was to capture the Baltic States and seize the approaches to St. Petersburg, a course which would allow it to be supplied substantially via the Baltic Sea once it took major ports along the coast. Capturing these intact, then, was a major objective. To its right was Army Group Center, commanded by Helmuth von Moltke the Younger, which had on its rolls the German 3rd, 4th, and 5th armies as well as the 1st Austrian. (the remaining 6th, 7th, and 8th German were tasked with defending the French border) Its task was equally large, to cut off the entirety of the Polish Salient and destroy the forces within before they could escape, with the 4th and 5th attacking from the base and the 3rd German and 1st Austrian forming the pincers. To that end, the latter had been reinforced by reserve German artillery until it had almost the firepower of a regular German army. Lastly, Army Group South, consisting of the 2nd and 3rd Austrian and the 1st Rumanian armies, led by Austrian General Conrad von Hotzendorf, attacked due east from Austria and Romania into the Ukraine. As Army Group North supplied itself from the Baltic, so would Hotzendorf’s forces supply themselves as much as possible from the Black Sea. Such was the plan.

Absolutely crucial to success was catching the main bulk of the Russian armies close to the border. To that end a disinformation campaign of massive proportions was waged throughout the Long Crisis. Every public act and statement of Germany, from Wilhelm II’s Morrocan speech onward, was designed to feed the Entente’s perception that the main effort of the Alliance was to be directed against France (and, for Austria, against Serbia). The trains which carried the three German armies to the western border were repeatedly moved back and forth along the rail lines after they had finished to give the impression of a much larger force. Diplomatic relations with France were broken on the day mobilization was announced, but not those with Russia. Army and corps headquarters were not moved from their peacetime locations until the last few days.The eastern assembly areas were kept several miles to the west of the actual border. Only on the 21st of June did they finally move up to it, the same day they deployed into their assault positions and artillery began to lay fields of fire. On that day too, commandos were infiltrated across, disguised in Russian uniforms or civilian clothes, to cut telegraph lines, lay mines on railways, and sow chaos behind the lines. Wilhelm played a part as well and kept up personal correspondence with his Russian opposite number, pleading with him that war between Russia and Germany was needless and to abandon his French ally.

No operation on this scale can be concealed perfectly, however, and it was inevitable that Russia’s border patrols would pick up unusual movements. To overcome this, one last ruse was used, on the 20th Germany officially requested permission to move its troops through Belgian territory, which was of course denied. This allayed any doubts on the Entente side as to German intentions and ensured that no meaningful defensive preparations were made by the Russian high command by the 22nd, the wee hours of which found Wilhelm II pondering his chief of staff’s curious request.

“Why should we do that, General?” he asked. “The bombardment is scheduled to last an hour, and its been barely half that time.” “Indeed, All-Highest,” replied Colmar Freiherr von der Goltz, “but it is clear that we have achieved all the surprise we dared hope. Even more, perhaps. Our special forces have no doubt ensured that the bombardment was exceptionally accurate. Time is not of the essence, it is the essence of success in this situation. Even another half hour could give the Russians some time to organize themselves. We have selected this day, the same as Napoleon’s, because it is the longest of the year. We must avoid his fate and make the most of that time.” It took only a moment for the Emperor of Germany to decide. He nodded his head, “permission granted.”
 
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Sorry to disappoint those of you who expected details of the fighting in this post, but I had to go over the deployment and objectives for those readers who had not read the "Barbarossa in 1905" thread and also give a bit more detail on the POD. As always, readers' replies are welcome and encouraged.

EDIT: I have zero mapmaking skills. If there is any interested reader who does, I would be very grateful if they would consider making one. Nothing fancy, just a rough sketch would be very helpful.
 
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Nice!:cool::D

It's ok if there is no fighting in THIS update, but if there isn't for the next...:mad::D

But as I say this again-you're obviously a very talmeted writer!:)
 
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