The Far East Wars

The Wars of the Far East ( A Falcon Cannot Hear Spin-off)

Prelude

The events in the United States, the terrible Civil War that engulfed that nation on July 1937, created a snowball effect that affected the actions of the players in the Far East. While there was no love lost between the Soviet Union, China and Japan during the immediate period prior to the American Civil War the events in North America shaped the policies of the three nations leading to the start of the wars.

Japan:

The Great Depression was the end of the feeble attempt of Democracy in the Japanese Empire, their place taken over by a quasi-dictatorship where the power was wielded by certain cliques in the name of the Emperor. The Japanese Army saw Japan’s salvation in the Asian Continent; they believed that Japan should secure the resources of the mainland by creating a continental empire. The Japanese Navy in the other hand looked to the vast Pacific Ocean as their salvation; the colonies of Malaya and the Dutch West Indies the final prize. The first faction to act in their plans was the Japanese Army.

In 1931 the Kwantung Army, without prior knowledge of the government in Tokyo, created an incident with the Chinese and conquered Manchuria after some feeble resistance. A puppet nation, Manchukuo, was created as a front for the Japanese colonization of the area. In 1932 the Japanese Army created another incident and occupied the Chinese province of Jehol, the province annexed to Manchukuo. Between 1932 and 1933 Japan exploited the internal conflicts of China to their advantage; they sought collaborators and helped them establish governments friendly to Japan. Japan was able to establish two puppet governments in the provinces of Hebei and Chahar but their biggest achievement was the creation of the Mongol Military Government in 1933 that covered the bulk of the provinces of Chahar and Suiyuan but it was better known as Mengukuo. The eventual plan was to move south and defeat the central Chinese government, creating a series of puppet nations that would serve the needs of the Japanese Empire. But plans never survive real life.

The occupation of Manchuria and the creation of Mengukuo created a long border between the Soviet Union and the Japanese Empire. The Japanese Empire was violently anti-communist and their policy in regard to border adjustments with the Soviets involved mainly the use of arms. Between 1932 and 1937 the borders incidents escalated in both size and violence culminating in the Battle of Hulun Nur on April 28, 1937 when elements of the Japanese 19th Infantry Division defeated elements of two Red Army divisions. Japan was elated with the victory and instead of continuing to move south in the direction of China their eyes now moved north in the direction of the Siberian riches. Again real life got in the way of the Japanese Army plans.

The start of the Second American Civil War on July 1937 created panic in Japan. Japan relied in large number of imports from the United States vital to their economy and the fear that the American economic power could fall to the Communist was too much for the ruling classes of Japan. As such plans were tentatively prepared for a possible intervention in the American Civil War but the situation at the time (July 1937-June 1938) precluded any action, letting the situation resolve by itself outweighed the need for intervention during that period. All changed with the Battle of Lake Khasan.

The Imperial 23rd Infantry Division was destroyed by the Soviets in this battle, where the Soviets demonstrated the superiority of their equipment and the large motorization available to them. The new Japanese government that took over after this debacle ordered the stop of offensive operations in Manchuria and a shift to a purely defensive stance. The north path of the Japanese Army was now blocked; the one to the south more difficult because China was seem now as a possible co-belligerent or at a very least a fellow anti-communist nation and not as a potential economic colony for the time being. This opened the path for the Japanese Navy's plans for the “salvation” of the Japanese Empire.

The new Japanese Government decided to intervene in the Second American Civil War and they considered that control of the former United States possessions in the Pacific as necessary to alleviate the logistics of the proposed intervention. The first step was to take advantage of the mismanagement of the situation of the Philippines Commonwealth by Admiral King’s Military Junta to their advantage. The Military Junta gave a small industrial influx to the Commonwealth’s economy in an attempt to make them self-sufficient in regard to ammunitions and small arms but at the same time their invasive actions alienated the government of the Commonwealth. The Filipinos recognized the more reliant on them the Military Junta becomes their chances of independence could fade away. After months of secret negotiations an agreement was reached between the Filipino and the Japanese that ensured the independence of the Commonwealth in exchange for economic concessions for the Japanese on late March 1939.

The months between April and August 1939 were the high water mark of the Imperial Japanese Navy with grudging cooperation from the Imperial Army. The successful support of the Filipino independence and the subsequent campaign to defeat the remaining American forces in the former Commonwealth was followed with the quick captures of the island of Guam and the Aleutian Islands but that could not compare with the final prize, the Hawaiian Islands.

In a bold plan by Admiral Isoruku Yamamoto the bulk of the Combined Fleet stayed behind but at the same time he decided to play for broke and utilize all of the available carriers of the Combined Fleet, even the brand new carrier Zuiho. He faced a larger force, the former United States Battle Fleet, but it was a hollow force. Short in fuel and ammunition, their aircrafts badly obsolete compared to the Japanese ones and with low morale the American Battle Fleet was decimated by air power. The aircrafts of the carriers Akagi, Kaga, Ryujo, Soryu, Hiryu and Zuiho achieved initial hits on the carriers Saratoga and Lexington that put them out of service early on the fight but the aircrews of those two doomed carriers and of the Langley and Ranger achieved the only positive of the battle for the Americans, the sinking of the battleship Mutsu. However, the Japanese second wave and third waves annihilated the Americans. The carriers Lexington and Saratoga were sunk while the small carriers Langley and Ranger were damaged and have to withdraw during the second wave, the bulk of the aircrews doomed to dead or capture. The American commander, Richardson, recognized that without air cover his force was doomed and started to retire to Pearl but not fast enough. The third wave hit the battleships and it was murder; the two ships of the Colorado class were targeted and destroyed, the Idaho exploded when a dive bomb hit between turret A and B, another four battleships suffered serious damages and only the Pennsylvania and the California escaped unscathed. However, to add insult to injury the Pennsylvania was sunk by a Japanese submarine on August 11 while trying to escape to Alaska. With the surrender of the Hawaiian Islands on August 25, 1939 after a short but brutal campaign it seems everything was going according to plans for the Japanese. The bubble burst on August 28, 1939.
 
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Japanese Army deployment Divisional and Armored formations August 28, 1939:

The bulk of the Imperial Japanese Army was stationed either on the Home Islands or in the Kwantung Army facing the Soviet Union. A total of 30 infantry divisions were active on August 28, 1939 but only 13 in Manchuria. In addition the Manchukuan Army had a strength of 75,000 men in 7 cavalry “brigades” and 26 mixed “brigades” that in reality were small regiments at best while the Mengukuan Army had a strength of around 20,000 men in 8 cavalry “brigades” of 2,000 men with additional small units also part of the army. In regard to armored forces the Imperial Japanese Army only have eight tanks “regiments” available but smaller size units existed for support of the Infantry divisions. Included in the eight tank regiments were the two assigned to the veteran 1st Independent Mixed Brigade in the Hawaiian Islands and the 4th Tank Regiment in the Philippines. The only set of good news for the Imperial Japanese Army was that a recall of reservists was started in early July in preparation to the intervention in the Second American Civil War and new operational divisions were expected to be available by the end of the year.

2 Infantry Divisions in Korea (19th and 20th Infantry Divisions)
3 Infantry Divisions in North China Garrison (6th, 13th, 27th Infantry Divisions)
1 Infantry Division in Karafuto (2nd Infantry Division)
1 Infantry Division in Formosa (17th Infantry Division)
1 Infantry Division in Philippines (16th Infantry Division)
1 Infantry Division in Hawaii (48th Infantry Division)
1 Infantry Division in Alaska (18th Infantry Division)
6 Infantry Divisions in Home Islands (3rd, 15th, 22nd, 5th, 4th and Guards Infantry Divisions)
1 Infantry Division in Mengukuo (26th Infantry Division)
13 Infantry Divisions in Manchukuo (10th, 28th, 29th, 9th, 12th, 1st, 11th, 24th, 14th, 23rd, 8th, 25th, 21st Infantry Divisions)
1st Independent Mixed Brigade in Hawaii (2nd and 3rd Tank Regiments with additional motorized troops)
1st Tank Brigade in Manchukuo (1st, 5th, 6th and 7th Tank Regiments assigned)
4th Tank Regiment in Philippines
8th Tank Regiment in Manchukuo

Major Fleet units Deployment August 28, 1938

The Combined Fleet was badly prepared for the Soviet Union’s action on August 28, 1938. Their deployments at that date were a response to the strategy of neutralization of the former United States territories in the Pacific. The bulk of the Carrier fleet was either ending the Hawaiian Islands operations or rebuilding from action in that region. In addition to the major units of the Combined Fleet, the Imperial Navy had available 17 light cruisers, 94 destroyers and 63 fleet submarines ready for action. However, part of those ships were either in the Philippines showing the flag or giving combat support to the Japanese Army in the Hawaiian Islands and Alaska.

Battleship Kongo: Assigned to 3rd Squadron of 1st Fleet and detached to Cavite, Philippines
Battleship Hiei: Under reconstruction (estimated completion January 1940)
Battleship Haruna: Assigned to 3rd Squadron of 1st Fleet in Home Islands
Battleship: Kirishima: Assigned to 3rd Squadron of 1st Fleet on Home Islands
Battleship Fuso: Assigned to 2nd Squadron of 1st Fleet on Home Islands
Battleship Yamashiro: Assigned to 2nd Squadron of 1st Fleet on Home Islands
Battleship Ise: Assigned to 2nd Squadron of 1st Fleet detached to Hawaii
Battleship Hyuga: Assigned to 2nd Squadron of 1st Fleet detached to Hawaii
Battleship Nagato: Assigned to 1st squadron of 1st Fleet on Home Islands
Battleship Mutsu: Sunk by Military Junta naval aviation on August 7, 1939
Battleship Yamato: Under construction (estimated commission August 1941)
Battleship Musashi: Under construction (estimated commission early 1942)
Battleship 110: Canceled

Aircraft Carrier Hosho: Assigned to 3rd Carrier Squadron and detached to Hawaii
Aircraft Carrier Akagi: Under repairs for minor battle damage in Home Islands
Aircraft Carrier Kaga: Assigned to 1st Carrier Squadron in Home Islands
Aircraft Carrier Ryujo: Assigned to 4th Carrier Squadron detached to Hawaii
Aircraft Carrier Soryu: Assigned to 2nd Carrier Squadron in Home Islands
Aircraft Carrier Hiryu: Under repairs for minor battle damage in Home Islands
Aircraft Carrier Zuiho: Assigned to 5th Carrier Squadron detached to Hawaii
Aircraft Carrier Shoho: Under conversion (estimated completion early 1940)
Aircraft Carrier Shokaku: Under construction (estimated completion late 1941)
Aircraft Carrier Zuikaku: Under construction (estimated completion late 1941)
Seaplane Carrier Chitose: Assigned to 6th Carrier Squadron in Home Islands
Seaplane Carrier Chiyoda: Assigned to 6th Carrier Squadron in Home Islands
Seaplane Carrier Mizuho: Assigned to 6th Carrier Squadron in Home Islands

Heavy Cruiser Furutaka: Assigned to 6th Cruiser Squadron in Home Islands
Heavy Cruiser Kako: Assigned to 6th Cruiser Squadron in Home Islands
Heavy Cruiser Aoba: Assigned to 6th Cruiser Squadron in Home Islands
Heavy Cruiser Kinugasa: Under reconstruction (estimated completion late 1939)
Heavy Cruiser Myoko: Assigned to 5th Cruiser Squadron in Home Islands
Heavy Cruiser Nachi: Assigned to 5th Cruiser Squadron in Home Islands
Heavy Cruiser Haguro: Assigned to 5th Cruiser Squadron in Home Islands
Heavy Cruiser Ashigara: Assigned to 5th Cruiser Squadron and detached to Cavite, Philippines
Heavy Cruiser Takao: Assigned to 4th Cruiser Squadron in Home Islands
Heavy Cruiser Atago: Assigned to 4th Cruiser Squadron in Home Islands
Heavy Cruiser Maya: Assigned to 4th Cruiser Squadron in Home Islands
Heavy Cruiser Chokai: Assigned to 4th Cruiser Squadron in Home Islands
Heavy Cruiser Mogami: Assigned to 7th Cruiser Squadron detached to Hawaii
Heavy Cruiser Mikuma: Assigned to 7th Cruiser Squadron detached to Hawaii
Heavy Cruiser Suzuya: Assigned to 7th Cruiser Squadron in Home Islands
Heavy Cruiser Kumano: Assigned to 7th Cruiser Squadron in Home Islands
Heavy Cruiser Tone: Assigned to 8th Cruiser Squadron in Home Islands
Heavy Cruiser Chikuma: Assigned to 8th Cruiser Squadron in Home Islands

Air forces August 28, 1939

The Army Air Service was expected to provide tactical support to the Imperial Army ground forces and to counter enemy aircrafts operations against the ground forces. Strategic operations were not part of their primary missions and it was expected that their naval counterpart to be the responsible for such operations. As such there was a no heavy bomber in the order of battle equivalent to the European heavy bombers like the British Halifax or Lancaster. After the defeat in the Battle of Lake Khasan on July 1938 the new Japanese Government was a proponent of air power and poured funds into the construction and development of modern aircrafts for the Army while forcing the heads of the two military branches to start some kind of coordinated efforts in regard to training and tactics. By August 28, 1939 the total strength of the Imperial Japanese Army Air Service was 44 fighter companies (396 aircrafts; the bulk Ki-27 fighters but their replacement, the Ki-43, was entering operational tests in one Sentai), 32 light bombers companies (288 aircrafts; the bulk the Ki-30 light bomber with the Ki-32 light bomber approved for a limited production run), 30 medium bomber companies (270 aircrafts; the bulk the Ki-21 medium bomber but 72 Br-20 purchased earlier from Italy still operational) and 29 reconnaissance companies (261 aircrafts) for a total of 1,215 aircrafts not counting training and reserve aircrafts.

The Naval Air Service was expected to provide long-range strikes, naval warfare and strategic air defense for the Japanese Empire. Their pilot training program was very selective and rigorous, providing some of the best naval aviators in the World. However, the weakness of this program was that it would not allow for the rapid replacement of frontlines aviators in case of an emergency or combat. The Naval Air Service was one of the beneficiaries of the new policies regarding funding for aircrafts, with the development of certain aircrafts pushed forward. By August 28, 1939 the total strength of the Imperial Japanese Naval Air Service was 660 fighters (both carrier and land based; bulk was the A5M fighter but 36 pre-production A6M participated in the destruction of the American Battle Fleet and operational testing of a land based interceptor was under way in the Home Islands), 330 carrier-borne strike aircrafts (bulk the D3A bomber and the B5N attack bomber but older model still on service on some ships), 240 twin-engine shore based torpedo/bombers (bulk G3M bombers but the slightly heavier G4M under testing; some of the production of Army Ki-21 bombers were transferred to the Naval Service as an interim measure) and 520 flying boats and seaplanes for a total of 1,750 aircrafts not counting training and reserve aircrafts.
 
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China:

China, contrary to the rest of the World during the Great Depression, actually achieved progress in different aspects of the country, especially economy, social progress and foreign policy. For example the Central Government in Nanking on May 1930 was able to reacquire the right to set tariffs to goods, one power lost to foreign nations during the last century. The Central Government also acted to modernize the social and economic fabric of the Chinese society by making strides in education, language, reading materials, social rights for women and rural population, the construction and improvement of roads and bridges, the improvement of telephone communications and the reform of the Bank of China. On the other hand, political freedom was curtailed by the “one-party” policy of the Central Government and there was still a lot of internal and external resistance to the Central Government in certain parts of China during the years prior to August 28, 1939.

The first test of the Central Government was the so-called Central Plains War. While nominally China was unified in 1928 in reality different regional factions, with all of them trying to assert their autonomy from the Nanking Government. The Central Plains War lasted from the end of May, 1930 all the way to November, 1930 and was the largest conflict in China since the end of the campaigns to “unify” China. Both sides used over a million men combined fought and casualties were over a quarter of a million men. The end result was that the Central Government defeated the Guaminjun faction during this short war and absorbed their remaining forces into the military branch of the Nationalist Party, the power of the Central Government now nominally ruled over north and north-central China. However, the Central Government was nearly bankrupt and the troops tasked with initiating the first of the so-called Encirclement Campaigns against the Communists were pulled out to fight in this War; the units actually utilized in the 1st Encirclement Campaign were even second-rate by Chinese standards and were soundly trashed. Even worse, the Japanese Army saw this bloody short conflict as a sign of the Chinese weakness and began their move into Manchuria and beyond less than a year later.

During the period of 1931 through 1933 the chaotic situation in China provided Japan with opportunities of expansion on the mainland. China was too weak to face the Japanese directly at that time and appealed to the League of Nations for help. The League censored Japan but didn’t go further than that. Japan withdrew from the League as a response to the League’s actions and by 1933 they created a de-militarized zone between the Great Wall and Peking; in addition three puppet regimes in Chahar province, Hebei province and Mengukuo were created under a Japanese protection umbrella. The failure of the Nanking Government to respond to Japanese aggression had a negative effect for that government. The factions controlling the provinces of Guangxi and Guangdong continued to pledge allegiance to the Nanking Government but in reality they began to transform into a rival government based in Canton. Dissatisfied local warlords in Fujian province created a loose alliance with the Communists in Jiangxi province in late 1933 and narrowly defeated an attempt by the Central Government to defeat them. The Central Government needed an enemy that could unite different factions under their leadership but one that they actually have a chance of defeating, so they directed their attention to the eradication of the Communists.

The Chinese Soviet Republic was founded on November 1931 by Mao Zedong, General Zhu De and other collaborators. Composed of discontinuous territories in south central China at their peak they covered over 12,000 square miles and had a population of around three million people under their control. Their economy was very stable, they had their own banks, their own modern communications like telephones and radios, their conventional military amounted to 140,000 men by 1933 and they were more stable than any other organization in China except for the Central Government.

Between 1931 and 1933 the Chinese Soviet Republic led by Mao defeated three so-called Encirclement Campaigns but by the middle of 1933 the Soviet Union ordered the so-called “28 Bolsheviks” under the leadership of Wang Ding to return to China and take over from Mao. While this new leadership barely defeated a 4th Encirclement Campaign by the Central Government their casualties were severe and their treatment of the peasant populations slightly deteriorated their relationship with them. With the deaths on an ambush of Bo Gu and Otto Braun, new Red Army Commander and representative of the Comintern respectively, coupled with the defection of Zhou Enlai, a skilled diplomat and member of the 28 to Mao’s camp signaled the end of the reign of Wang Ding. The Chinese Soviet Republic survived the 5th Encirclement Campaign launched in 1934 thanks to the refusal of Mao to face the Central Government forces in open battle while mutually supporting the rebel warlords in Fujian province. The Germans advisors to the Central Government decided to chance their tactics to one of concentrating against one province at a time until eradication of the Communist in that region and to use all weapons available to achieve this.

The 6th Encirclement Campaign of 1935-36 saw the first use of gas by the Central Government against the Shaanxi-Gansu province and the Honghu province Soviets, forcing both to surrender. The new tactics of concentrating against one area in specific of the discontinuous republic finally gave results to the Central Government and the 7th Encirclement Campaign of 1937 destroyed the Hubei-Henan-Shaanxi Soviet. By 1938 the Chinese Soviet republic was getting worried. With Mao’s taking over from the Comintern’s favorite Wang Ding the Soviet Union retired the majority of their support to the Chinese Soviet Republic.

The 8th Encirclement Campaign in early 1938 finally eradicated the rebel warlords in Fujian and cutoff the Chinese Soviet Republic from the sea. With the 9th Encirclement Campaign in late 1938 destroying the Hunan-Western Hubei Soviet the writing seems to be on the wall for the Soviet Republic. Seems that eventually everything was finally going to work for the Central Government and there was light at the end of the tunnel. The expectation was to launch a 10th Encirclement Campaign in 1939 to eradicate the Soviet Republic once and for all. Even the factions controlling the provinces of Guangxi and Guangdong renewed their allegiance to the Central Government as long as they were allowed to keep their autonomy, something the Central Government accepted.

The factions controlling the provinces of Guangxi and Guangdong found themselves separated from the Central Government by land with the fall of Fujian to rebel warlords in late 1933. The Central Government began to depend heavily of the German Government for military and economic aid due to the Second American Civil War eliminating the Germans main competitor for Chinese raw materials. This made the Western democracies; especially the French, very nervous and they decided to step up their support to the factions in Guangxi and Guangdong. The French always gave economic and military support but after July 1937 the number of military gear reaching the port city of Canton increased substantially and even some British equipment was “donated”. The pledge of allegiance to the Central Government on May 1938 by the two provinces took by surprise the French and the British, with military support been reduced accordingly. However, the leaders of those provinces where considered the men of the Western democracies in China, even when they were pretty much criminal warlords. But for the Central Government the renewal of their allegiance by Guangxi and Guangdong meant that the end of the Communist could be at hand.

1939 started as a bright year for the Republic of China and the Central Government. The Three-Year Plan started in late 1936 was giving great results; with new armories and foundries built, rail tracks laid down quadruple the amount in existence in1936, telephone lines everywhere in the Yangtze River area, schools opening and more men than before getting their higher education in Nanking, Nanning or abroad. The future looked bright and plans were already in the making for what to do after the final defeat of the Communists. Even the start of the 10th Encirclement Campaign started with victories, the Soviet in Anhui province exterminated and pressured was continued against the remaining Soviet strongholds. The Central Government was looking forward to 1940 but they hit a very large bump on the road on August 28, 1939.
 
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Okay, what's with the civil war? It's too late for the Business Plot, which was 1933/34, so some more explanation is needed.
 
Chinese Army August 28, 1939:

Since 1933 a German Military mission was present in Nanking to advise the Central Government and improve the quality and training of the Chinese Army. This military mission was tasked in early 1935 to create 60 modern divisions by 1938; however, by 1939 only 20 could be really be considered fully trained with another 10 finishing their training. In Canton a French military mission was present from early 1934 until 1938 supporting the factions in the region and was able to fully train 6 infantry divisions and partly train another 6 divisions before departing. Officially the Chinese Army was a little under 2.5 million men strong, the official order of battle included 193 infantry divisions, 48 independent brigades, 9 cavalry divisions, 6 independent cavalry brigades, 6 artillery brigades and 25 independent artillery regiments.

The quality of the Chinese forces however was very diverse; the good (the 30 German trained 11,000 men infantry divisions, the 12 French trained 7,000 men “divisions”, the five German trained armored battalions, the French trained armored battalion, the Muslim Cavalry Division of Ma Bufang, the remainder of the Guangxi Army/Militia faction and the American manned George Washington Battalion), the bad (the 18 divisions of the former Manchurian Army, the bulk of the armies of the Central Government, the bulk of the divisions of the Guangdong faction , the bulk of the Muslim Cavalry brigades) and the ugly (the nine poorly armed divisions of Yunnan and the undisciplined 27 divisions of Szechuan). The German trained divisions had an average strength of 11,000 men well supported with artillery and heavy machine guns for Chinese standards. The 7,000 men French trained “divisions” in reality were organized like French mountain brigades and also could be considered as well supported with artillery and heavy machine guns for Chinese standards. The great majority of the infantry divisions in reality would average anything between 5,000 to 7,000 men lacking in both sufficient heavy machine guns and artillery. Numerically a Chinese Infantry Corps would be the equivalent to a Japanese or a Soviet infantry division. The independent brigades were expected to have an average strength of 4,500 men but they never reached that number and were lucky if they were 3,000 men strong.

The great majority of the Cavalry Division averaged from 2,000 to the 8,000 men in Ma Bufang’s Cavalry Division; with quality as always going from the good (the Muslim Cavalry) to the bad (undisciplined Mongol Cavalry) to the ugly (undisciplined and barely trained Central Government Cavalry). The armored formations of the Central Government on the other could be considered the elite of the elite, with the first two formations with older equipment bought before the British non-official embargo that started in late 1938 and other three with German equipment. The 1st Armored Battalion was composed of 32 Vickers Amphibious tanks. The 2nd was composed of the remaining British equipment available (20 Vickers 6-ton tanks, 10 Carden Lloyd tankettes and 20 Carden Lloyd carriers). The remaining three were organized with German equipment and on a similar basis of three companies (one of light tanks with 10 Panzer I tanks, two armored cars companies composed of either 10 SdKfz 221 or 222 each and two armored cars in battalion HQ). The French trained battalion could be also considered an elite, with the men assigned to them considering service there as an honor. The battalion was quite large and well equipped for Chinese standards, with three armored vehicles companies of 5 Renault R-35 tanks each plus one additional tank in the battalion HQ and one truck-borne infantry company as support. That leaves one of the most interesting units of the conflict, the George Washington Battalion.

The battalion was formed in early 1938 from deserters from American combat units after their former units were recalled from China by McArthur’s Military Junta to fight in the Second American Civil War. The numbers also swelled with the arrival of refugees from the War in North America, which were asked to “volunteer” their services so their families could be taken care of. The battalion was even larger than the French one because it was more of motorized reaction force than anything else. With 40 Lt-33 purchased from Italy armed with heavy machine guns or 20mm guns in two companies, one armored car company of 10 German cars and two heavily armed truck-borne infantry/porteed artillery companies they were a force to reckon with in China. Their main weakness was that the lack of communication skills of the force with the rest of the Army made for a slow reaction to events in a mechanized or fluid environment.
 
Chinese Navy August 28, 1939

The Chinese Navy of August 28, 1939 was quite small by Western standards and totaled 117 ships. The Navy was divided in three major fleets based in Tsingtao, Shanghai and Canton, with the bulk of the ships based out of Shanghai under the control of the Central Government. However, a large part of the sailors were from the rebel province of Fujian (1934-38) and their loyalty was questionable due to this. The largest vessels were six light cruisers of which three were obsolete pre-Great War protected cruisers, one was an unprotected training cruiser and the last two, while modern, were the smallest cruisers built by any nation during the 1930’s. Supporting these cruisers were a miscellaneous collection of 111 gunboats, sloops and small combat ships. The Central Government decided to embark in an ambitious naval program in 1936 that began to give results by late 1939, mainly with German support but other nation’s assistance and/or services were requested and obtained.

The Central Government in 1937 signed a contract with a German firm for the delivery of two small submarines of the IIB Class and three medium submarines of the VIIA Class. Construction went along slowly but by August 28, 1939 the two smallest submarines were on route for delivery to the port of Shanghai with an expected completion of the remaining submarines by the end of 1939. In addition, the remaining 7 of an order for 10 Motor Torpedo Boats with Germany were delivered on August 8, 1939 and assigned to the fleet in Shanghai. But their most ambitious project was the Ping Yiang.

The Ping Yiang was a modern destroyer based in the German 1934 class destroyers that started construction in Shanghai with German and Italian technical assistance on January 1938. It would be the largest ship ever built in China and the decision to build the ship in China was that the Central Government considered the experience was needed for the further development of the Chinese ship-building capabilities. The ship was not the first choice of the Central Government, a copy of the coastal battleships been built by the Japanese for the Kingdom of Siam at the time was their preferred choice, but political considerations made impossible to try to get a contract with Japan for a similar ship plus the Chinese infrastructure was not ready to build such a ship locally. As such a copy of the German destroyers was considered as the next “best” available choice for a prestige ship. Construction moved along at a slow pace and by August 28, 1939 the ship was only 60% completed.
 
I'm mighty interested in this, since I actually do like to see how the 2nd Civil affects Asia (I tend to be fascinated by the orient more than the occident).

As for The Falcon Cannot Hear thing, that's a damn shame it got locked :(.
 
Chinese Air Force August 28, 1939

The Republic of China Air Force under the Central Government was officially formed in April 1931 but it was not until May 1938 when China had a united air force. The Central Government depended of American and Italian instructors to develop a training system for their pilots during the period while in the south the Guangxi and Guangdong factions utilized British and French instructors for the development of their pilots. As such there were two parallel pilot training programs running together from early 1934 to May 1938 when the two southern provinces recognized the authority of the Central Government. One event that hurt the pilot program of the Central Government was the start of the Second American Civil War on July 1937.

The exodus of a trainer pilot cadre and the loss of valuable equipment already paid off but still in the United States created a small crisis that was resolved when Italy offered to increase the number of instructors on site to the Central Government. Another small crisis in regard to the training programs occurred in June 1938 when the British and French instructors in Canton abandoned their posts as a response to the reconciliation between the Central Government and the Guangxi and Guangdong factions. Their place was taken by German instructors more than happy to teach the Chinese pilots but also to learn from them about their possible future enemies’ tactics.

Another important piece for China was the existence of the Central Aircraft Manufacturing Company (CAMCO). A subsidiary of the American company Curtiss aviation, the personnel in their majority decided to stay and they even acquired some engineers escaping the spiral of violence in the United States. While not able to manufacture aircrafts from the ground up on their facility except for the most basic models, they were able to assemble, repair and maintain the aircrafts of the air force. A rival factory was built in 1935 in Nanning, initially with ties to the French firm Dewoitine but after June 1938 it was taken over by Heinkel. In addition in 1937 the Italians built another aircraft factory near Shanghai but the quality of the aircrafts assemble there was not well received by the Chinese.

By August 28, 1939 the Republic of China Air Force was like a museum of the majority of the combat aircrafts available to the world during the 1920’s and 30’s. A total of 536 aircrafts were available for service not counting trainers and transports. The bad news were that more than half of them were considered obsolete and the remainder where that could be considered second line aircrafts outside of China. Another disadvantage was that the bulk of the aircraft were of American manufacture and it was impossible to obtain new parts for maintenance of the aircrafts. The bomber force (bombers. Light bombers and dive bombers) was 336 aircraft strong with 12 Potez 630 dive bombers, 39 Hs 123 dive bombers, 10 He-111 bombers and 12 Savoia Sm81 light bombers considered the most modern aircraft available and the 63 Douglas O3U/O2U light bombers the most common aircrafts of that type. The fighter force was 200 aircraft strong with 36 Gloster Gladiators Mk1, 27 He 51 fighters, 12 D510 fighters, 12 D501 fighters, 12 Fiat Cr32 and 10 P-26 fighters as the most modern fighters in inventory and the 71 Curtiss Hawk II/III as the most common type available.

While numerically strong they lacked the capabilities to replace losses in a timely manner and that was their biggest weakness. The American markets were now not available, the Western powers refused to deal with them and the reality was that in case of war the German and Italian aircraft pipeline probably would be cutoff. The situation looked bleak at best.
 
Apparently an fifth or quarter of that entire TL was copied word-by-word from the author's source books, so Calbear closed it because of plagiacy.

How is that even possible? The story was about a fictional American Civil War and I don't think his source books talked about that. Was he taking passages about another war and changing it?
 
Soviet Union:

The Soviet Union and Japan were the two powers whose actions most directly affected the Far East. The events of the 1930s pretty much led into their eventual confrontation, the final act of their competition for control of China. Japanese conquest of Manchuria and the eventual creation of puppet nations in Northern China by the Japanese created a long border by proxy between both nations. Between 1932 and 1936 hundreds of small scale border incidents occurred, further inflaming the rivalry between the Soviet and Japan. Two major battles, one in 1937 and the other in 1938 convinced many war was inevitable. However, during this time period the attention of the Soviet Union was directed to the opposite direction.

Early in the decade the main concern of the Soviet Union was the rise of a fascist government in Germany. In response the Soviet Union began an attempt to thaw their relations with the Western powers following the policy of “collective security” that reached their summit with the Franco-Soviet Alliance in 1935. The treaty created the opposite effect in Europe; the French convoluted the treaty so much that it was just a hollow threat to Germany, the treaty gave justification for the actions of Hitler during 1936 and 1937 with the obvious “encirclement” of Germany that treaty presented forcing his hand, some European nations tacitly agreed to Germany’s actions as justified responses to the treaty. The obvious response by Germany was to create an “encirclement” treaty against the Soviet Union. Negotiations between the Republic of China, Germany and Japan started on the fall of 1935 but China pulled out due to their political differences with Japan. The Anti-Comintern Pact was signed on November 21, 1936 between Japan and Germany. Both nations agreed to consult each other in case of attack by the Soviet Union and not to enter in any alliance with the Soviets. An important point was that Germany refused to recognize Manchukuo at that time, an attempt to bring the Chinese to the treaty at a later date. The Soviet Union recognized the threat this implied and started to take actions but world events were forcing the hand of the Soviet Union. In the Far East even “allies” were turning to be problematic.

In China, the Soviet Union’s Comintern suspected fool play in the “ambush” that killed Bo Gu and Otto Braun, their emissaries to the Chinese Soviet Republic, and the replacement of Wang Ding by Mao Zedung in 1934. Mao was considered too independent for the taste of the Comintern and as such the Soviet Union started to reduce their material support to the Chinese Soviet Republic to force Mao to fall into line with International Party policy. The military supplies received through the rebel province of Fujian slowly began to dwindle until turning into a trickle by May 1936. The forces of the Chinese Soviet Republic were able to receive Soviet equipment and ammunition through those ports but the lack of ammunition began to affect the performance of the Chinese Red Army during this period. Of course the “official” line was that resources were needed somewhere else, especially with large communists factions participating in the Spanish and American Civil Wars.

The start of the Spanish Civil War on July 1936 was an unexpected event for the Soviet Union but they took advantage of it. The arms embargo created by the British and the French forced the Republican Spain to purchase arms mainly from the Soviet Union. Plans to move the Republic’s gold reserves to the Soviet Union were shelved but still they have to pay for military gear and “advisors” in gold. Behind the scenes the Soviets used their influence to support the creation of a communist-majority Popular Front government in Spain by late 1937. The rise of a majority communist government scared the Western nations, especially the British, who continue to support “non-intervention” in the Spanish Civil War during 1937 and early 1938. By then the actions of the Germans and other fascist movements convinced the British that fascist was a more immediate threat than communist. The increased support of the Western powers starting in late 1938, first with weapons after the abrogation of the embargo followed by “volunteers” and finally by direct intervention, shifted the balance of power of the Republican government to a more moderate centrist one more in accord with the wishes of their new patrons. The rebuffs of the Soviets attempts to cooperate with the now involved Western powers were noted by Stalin, who also noted how many of his allies in the Republic government were quietly dismissed from their functions. By early 1939 the pendulum in Spain was swinging in the opposite direction for the Soviet Union. While in America the events followed a very similar script.

If the Spanish Civil War was an unexpected event for the Soviet Union the start of the American Civil War on July 1937 was a complete shocker. As such the Soviet Union was unprepared initially to give much support to the American Soviet Republic created in the industrial belt of the former United States. The new government was recognized by the Soviet Union but except for the arrival of military advisors under the guise of reporters carrying some interesting blueprints the help didn’t amounted to much. The main problem was that contrary to Spain the American Soviet Republic was essentially broke and not able to pay for equipment in cash as the Spaniards were doing; also the League of Nations (British led) weapons embargo was easy to implement against the American Soviet Republic due to their limited coast and the British preference to interdict shipment to the “Reds.” The relationship between the Soviet Union and the American Soviet Republic began to erode almost immediately. The Soviet advisors were seen as condescending and overbearing; living a life of luxury compared with the bulk of the population and were perceived by many as interlopers. They were mainly accepted due to the lack of a trained officer corps and they were important in the organization of the conventional warfare Red Guard. The rift in the American Soviet Republic between a mainly Chicago-led Soviet and a mainly New York-led Soviet on March 1938 further eroded the Soviet Union’s influence of the Americans. While Earl Browder, Secretary General of the Republic, continued to support the Soviet Union already high ranking members like Premier William Foster and the leader of the New York Soviet Sam Nessin started to privately advocate cutting ties with the Soviets. Even worse, between March 1938 and May 1939 the Soviets under the influence of Sam Nessin tacitly acknowledged the authority of Chicago but in reality they were following a more moderate policy and joined the Popular Front against the fascists. On May 1939 the Nessin led faction declared the principles of the American communists were corrupted by the Soviet Republic and they were creating the American Workers Collective as a response to this. This American Workers Collective was more moderate on their views and leaned more in the direction of a policy of collective security against fascists with other factions in the American Civil War. The reaction of the American Soviet Republic was to launch a purge that further weakened their regime. While the Soviet Union still believed that Communist would be triumphant at the end and they would be able to ‘guide” any resulting nation in reality these events could be seem in retrospective as the death toll to their ambitions in North America. The stronger of the two communist factions in North America refused to “follow” the guidance of the Soviet Union while the other one was now landlocked and surrounded by enemies. More frustrating for the Soviet Union was that their attempts to achieve their version of collective security with the western powers against Germany were rebuffed again and again. As such the Soviet Union decided to change their strategy.

Great Britain was the senior partner of the Western powers and as such their anti-communists tendencies directed the policies of the West during the decade all the way to early 1938, where they mainly continued a policy of appeasement with Germany while continually rebuffing the Soviet Union. Even the 1935 Franco-Soviet Treaty was pretty much a hollow threat, so difficult to enforce as to make it useless. However, the events of the summer and fall of 1938 demonstrated that fascists were the most immediate threat to their security. But by then the Soviet Union had enough; they considered the British-French alliance as weak but on the other hand they knew that any deal with Germany would not last for long. Secret negotiations with Germany were started by the middle of October 1938 and lasted until the early part of the summer. The Soviet Union negotiated with both the Western and Germany trying to reach the best deal possible and finally Hitler’s Germany gave them what they wanted. On July 4, 1939 they signed a Non-Aggression Pact with Germany. The world was shocked by this and if they knew the secret provisions they would had tremble.

The Non-Aggression Pact made the deals between Japan and Germany essentially dead; the Germans agreeing not to support or ally with any enemy of the Soviet Union and in exchange the Germans received large economic concessions from the Soviets. In addition the secret clauses gave the Soviet Union “spheres of influence” in Eastern Europe that allowed the Soviet Union to increase the distance between Germany and the Soviet’s industrial and agricultural centers. That those clauses ended the existence of at least 4 nations, changed the borders of one nation and threated another with the same was discussed as a matter of fact event by the parts involved. But more important the pieces began to fall in place for a final reckoning with the Japanese Empire. The events leading to August 28, 1939 unfolded at a very fast clip from the day the ink in the Non-Aggression Pact dried out.

The message sent by Richard Sorge, a “German” reporter assigned as foreign correspondent to Japan but in reality a Soviet spy, on August 10, 1939 was the final piece of the puzzle for the Soviets in their quest to eliminate the Japanese Empire as competition in the Far East. Sorge’s message gave a detailed account of the desperate situation of the Japanese Empire in regard to supplies and their intent to intervene in the American Civil War. While Stalin was willing to wait a little longer to face the Japanese the news of their actual strength were too good to be true and action was required while they were weak. Another important reason was the concern that a Japanese intervention could till the balance even more so in favor of the local American fascists. But conflicting priorities created what it could be considered a major blunder for the Soviet Union.

While preparations were been made for a faceoff with the Japanese Empire the Soviet Union embarked in another major operation. The mistaken belief that the Western nations have no intention of going to war for Poland made the Soviet Union declare war to Poland on August 16, 1939. A large number of troops and supplies that could had been used in other operations where expended against an enemy that while strong and motivated, was doomed to defeat by German actions. Is understandable that Stalin didn’t trust the Germans and decided to launch his own parallel invasion of Poland but the end result was that his forces on the Far East were undersupplied and not enough forces were available for the initial actions. On August 28, 1939 a big boom could be heard all through the Japanese-Soviet border. But it was not all; another operation, while minor, was also launched against China to force the Republic of China to stop their ongoing operations against the Chinese Soviet Republic. Madness was the order of the day.
 
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Soviet Far East Fleet August 28, 1939

The Soviet Far East Fleet of August 28, 1939 was a force still in transition, with a large number of ships still under construction. The Navy was divided in two major bases, one in Vladivostok and the other further north in Komsomolsk-on-Amur. The Far East Fleet was under the command of Admiral Ivan Yumashev. Recently promoted to the position and replacing the new Minister of the navy Nikolay Kutnetsov, he was dismayed with the news received on August 14, 1939 to prepare for offensive operations. He knew the real situation of this forces and that except for a fast victorious campaign by the Red Army his command was doomed for the most part to destruction. The largest surface vessels available were one Project 7 destroyer, followed by four small torpedo boats and two small escorts. What this fleet has was small ships; close to a hundred small motor torpedo boats and minesweepers were operational with 53 coastal submarines and 11 fleet/minelayer submarines also available for operations. In addition a large number of ships were near completion in naval yards in both major bases. The yards in Komsomolsk were busy with 3 Project 7 destroyers, 2 Baku destroyer leaders and 2 Albatros escort ships; Vladivostok was building 4 Project 7 destroyers and 2 minelaying fleet submarines.

Yumashev preparations on the days prior to August 28, 1939 were to send his fleet submarines to sea and move as many major assets as possible north to Komsomolsk. The decision to tow the 4 destroyers under construction in Vladivostok north was put to rest with concerns that it could tip off the Japanese that something was amiss. The hulks were armed with as many anti-aircraft guns as possible and utilized as floating anti-aircraft batteries for the campaign. On August 28, 1939 the Soviet Far East Fleet was as ready as it could be under the circumstances.
 
I think that was the issue. The POD is solid but the events leading to that were mainly paraphrased.

If they're just historical events, does it matter if he copies? If it mattered, that great Finnish TL would have been shut down long ago, as would several other TLs on this site.
 
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