Pacific War Redux

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CalBear

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Okay, here is the start of my ALT Pacific War TL, based on my November 1, 1940 the War Department wakes up thread. I have made a few changes based on some of the feedback I received (like the POD is now June 26, 1940, with the Fall of France). I have also stayed with the original premise, namely that the United States realized that it WILL be at war sooner rather than later, and against enemies in both Oceans, so I am sure there will be some worthwhile feedback.

NOTE: Entries in Italic are actual events from OTL

September 18, 1931: Mukden Incident – In a carefully staged incident Japanese troops attack Chinese troops (mostly militia) driving them from their base at Muden. Within a year, Japan has de facto control of Manchuria.

January 7, 1932: United States announces that it will not recognize and Japanese imposed government in Manchuria.

January 7, 1937: In the most dramatic act in a series of actions in China, Japanese forces launch unprovoked attacks against Beijing. By July 27 the city and surrounding areas are completely under Japanese control. Open warfare between China & Japan commences.

August 30, 1939: Admiral Yamamoto Isoroku, in part to reduce chances of assassination, is named Commander-in-Chief of Imperial Japanese Navy Combined Fleet.

September 1, 1939: Germany invades Poland. Europe joins China as a battleground. World War Two begins.

March 1940: 1st YP-38 delivered to USAAF for evaluation tests.


March 11, 1940: U.S. Navy contracts with Bofors for 40mm anti aircraft guns. U.S. Army follows in August. Chrysler obtains contract to build gun under license.

April 14, 1940: United States cautions Japan about any changes in the “status quo” in the Dutch East Indies.

April 25, 1940: CV-7 USS Wasp commissioned.

May 1, 1940, USN Battle Squadron arrives at Pearl Harbor as deterrent to aggression.

May 1, 1940 XF4U-1 Corsair’s first flight.

May 10, 1940: Germany invades Belgium, France, Holland, and Luxemburg.

May 26, 1940: British forces begin evacuation of France at Dunkirk.

June 2, 2940: Dunkirk evacuation ends when last of 345,000 British & French troops reach Great Britain.

June 26, 1940: France Falls

July 20, 1940: President Roosevelt signs Naval Expansion Act.


August 14 1940: Contract let, under July 20 Two Navy Act authorization, for construction of Naval Base and airfield on Wake Island, improvements to current defenses in Hawaiian Islands, Philippines and Midway Island. Similar large contract let to construct large naval base facility, airfields and aircraft shelters on Guam.

September 20, 1940: U.S. codebreakers find way into Japanese “Purple” code system

September 26, 1940: United States extends July 25 embargo of goods to Japan to include scrap iron.

September 27, 1940: Three Nations Pact signed by Germany, Italy & Japan. The Axis is created by this defensive treaty.


September 30, 1940: President Roosevelt meets with Secretary of War Stimson and Secretary of the Navy Knox. President order both men to “Act like the war started an hour ago” when considering procurement contracts. President instructs both men to reduce red tape involved in bringing new arms programs to completion; authorizes Departments to offer bonuses to contractors for bringing new designs to acceptance levels. Using the “blank check” provided by Naval Act, FDR orders Knox to use funds “as necessary” to speed development and certification of upgraded engine designs for any engine that is scheduled for use in any naval aircraft, including “experimental” designs (this allows Knox to provide funding for Army Air Corps engine development programs as these engines have experimental use in future USN aircraft).

October 3, 1940: Secretaries Stimson and Knox meet jointly with Army Chief of Staff Marshall and Chief of Naval Operations Stark. In a short, somewhat tense, meeting the military men are ordered to prevent ANY inter-service rivalry from interfering in the advancement of all weapons programs. Secretary Stimson, with Knox’s concurrence, makes plain that any officer found to be putting his respective service over the needs of the military as a whole will be, at best, retired, and cashiered at worst. Following this meeting, Knox orders Admiral Stark to ensure that the Marine Corps receive a full upgrade of equipment to U.S. standards, including rifles, field radios, and tanks. Knox also reminds Stark that the Marine Corps air arm is an excellent place to field test new aircraft designs before they are “deck qualified”. When Stark protests, Knox notes that he is taking the advice of a former Assistant Secretary of the Navy on the matter, and that the subject is not open for discussion.

October 7, 1940: FDR orders all non essential American personnel out of Far East. U.S. Naval Reserve activated.

October 12, 1940: Royal Navy Swordfish surprise Italian fleet in Taranto Harbor. One half of Italian Battle line sunk or crippled.

Secretary Knox informs Army Secretary Stimson that Pearl Harbor defenses require upgrade.
Stimson instructs General Marshal to find ways to improve air defenses of Oahu.

October 22, 1940: Per new orders, USAAF increase orders for P-38 D to 100 aircraft, with $250,000 bonus if twenty-fifth aircraft is accepted for service by April 15 1940, $1,000,000 if all 100 accepted by July 1, 1941. Aircraft are first models to incorporate lessons from air war in Europe regarding crew protection.

November 1, 1940: On strength of test program to date USN order 165 F4U-1.

November 5, 1940: FDR is elected to unprecedented third term in landslide, carrying 38 of 48 states.

November 8, 1940: Office of Secretary of Navy authorizes increase in procurement cost for battleships of South Dakota and Iowaclass to cover cost of adding second shift to construction crews with goal of reducing overall time from keel laying to commissioning by six – eight months. Republican members of key Congressional committees meet with Secretary Knox for several hours prior to authorization being sent.

Department of Navy orders 85,000 M-1 Garands, 2,400 .50 cal M-2 air-cooled machine guns, 9,000 .30 cal M-2 air-cooled machine guns.

December 1940: Production begins on Mistsubishi Model 21 A6M Zero. This model, with folding wingtips, is destined for JNAF carrier forces.

January 7, 1941: Combined Fleet commander Yamamoto presents initial proposal for “Operation Z” as blueprint for operations to secure “Southern Resource Area”. Plan requires six fleet carriers for execution, making earliest possible implementation date mid November 1941.

April 3, 1941: FDR orders significant units of Pacific Fleet, including three BB, four CA and one CV to reinforce Atlantic Squadron in light of increasing likelihood of war with Germany.


March 11, 1941: Boeing engineers are slightly stunned when their B-17E prototype is given an emergency completion priority. Every day is “critical”. The USAAF has, based on early British experience, decided that the current “D” model; just beginning to reach the USAAF operation squadrons, are not adequate for the expected war needs.

March 17, 1941: U.S. Navy solicits proposal for new carrier borne fighter to replace F4F Wildcat as back-up to innovative but unproven F4U. Grumman submits winning design, as much on decades of experience in providing fighters for USN as on design specific merits. Contract to build XF6F signed on September 18th.

First Steel cut for USS Illinois

April 10, 1941: Twenty-Seventh P-38 production model is delivered. Based on initial testing, USAAF orders armament to be changed from four .50 cal machine guns and 37mm low rate of fire cannon with sparse 15 round magazine to four machine guns and one faster firing Oerlikon 20mm cannon with 150 round magazine. Change takes effect with aircraft # 32.


May 6, 1941, XB-47 makes first test flight with P&W Double Wasp engine. Aircraft exceeds all expectations. USAAF order 128 aircraft based on initial flight.

May 15, 1941: 2nd & 3rd Essexclass carriers (CV 10 & 11) laid down. Double shift authorized from initial steel cutting. CV-9 USS Essex also authorized cost for second shift on this date.

May 21, 1941: Second full squadron of P-38D activated. Upon activation of this unit, first operational squadron is ordered deployed to Hawaii. P-38D is establishing reputation as being ungodly fast and equally unforgiving. Initial squadron has lost six aircraft and five pilots before deployment. Lockheed proposed capping P-38D production at 75 airframes with modified version, P-38E to replace “D” model. E models will incorporate new nacelle design that is expected to tame some of the harsher characteristics of twin boomed fighter.

May 26, 1941: CV-8 USS Hornet Commissioned

May 30, 1941: Initial carrier trials for F4U-1 Corsair conclude, with very mixed results. Aircraft is successful in launches and found to have excellent flight characteristics, but design is found to have significant flaws for carrier operations, including landing visibility and landing gear strength. With initial production run already arriving in some numbers, type is given to Marine fighter units to replace Wildcats & Buffalos currently in service. First 24 aircraft sent to San Diego’s North Island facility to familiarize USMC pilots and ground personnel with new fighter.

July 8, 1941: B-17E prototype debuts successfully. Production is immediately ceased on “D” model with “E” model going into emergency production. Lockheed Vega division receives first orders of B-17E on July 14, followed by Douglas on July 23. While initial production is very low, by September 29 USAAF is receiving up to six B-17E models per day. Seventy-five percent of production is immediately sent, sometimes in groups of as few as four aircraft, to Philippines or Hawaii.

July 16, 1941: First ships carrying U.S. Army reinforcements to Luzon arrive. Along with troops these ships bring significant amount of equipment, supplies and munitions. Additional ships will arrive every 5-10 days through mid-November. A total of two full Army divisions, plus one medium & one light armored regiment and two heavy artillery regiments have been added to the Luzon garrison, along with sufficient supplies to provide all U.S. & Philippine troops in Luzon for six months. Some units, generally Philippine Scout formations, of the Philippine army are now equipped with M-1 Garand rifle.

July 25, 1941: Japan announces establishment of a protectorate over Indochina.

July 26, 1941: United States places total embargo on crude oil shipments to Japan. ALL Japanese assets in United States frozen. United States recalls Douglas MacArthur to active duty, placing him in command of all American forces in the Far East.

Imperial Japanese Navy informs Government that it has less than 18 months bunker fuel available. Army estimates total fuel available for less than six months operations.


August 1, 1941: Twelve Corsairs of VMF-211 fly off USS Lexington to new home on Wake Island. Airfield has revetments and/or dug-out shelters for up to 36 fighters, dive bombers or torpedo planes. VMF-211 pilots join some 982 fellow Marines of Marine Defense Battalion One, the squadron’s ground crews and a small naval detachment on the strategic atoll.

FDR embargo’s aviation fuel exports to Japan.

August 4, 1941: Twelve Corsairs of VMF-212 fly off USS Saratoga to air field on Midway.

August 7, 1941: Japanese Prime Minister proposes Japanese/U.S. summit.

August 8, 1941: Aircraft Carrier HIJMS Shokaku commissioned. She is fifth fleet carrier to join IJN


August 27, 1941: First full squadron of B-17E bombers goes operational in Philippines.

September 3, 1941: FDR postpones Summit until major issues have been agreed upon.

September 4, 1941: Japanese cabinet issues so-called Minimum Demands & Maximum Concession declarations. Requires U.S. and Great Britain to allow Japan free hand in Indochina in return for unspecified future accommodations on “China Question”.

United States closes Panama Canal to Japanese flagged vessels.


P-47B models begin to reach USAAF at rate of two per day. First squadron sent to East Coast, second to California, for training and “real world” evaluation of new type. As expected, Double Wasp exhibits teething troubles, especially in fighter application. Pilots love new plane, ground crews loath it.

September 8, 1941: Transport vessels arrive at Guam. Offload U.S. Army reinforcements to USMC Costal Defense Battalion and Marine fighter & dive bomber squadrons. Ships deliver 48 crated P-40D fighters, 18 crated A-20C Havoc bombers to supplement 12 Corsairs and 12 SB2U Vindicator dive bombers already operating from the Island. Transports also deliver short National Guard Division with 12 M3 Lee Medium and 18 M2 Stuart light tanks and two heavy weapon companies to augment costal defenses.

September 12, 1941: Wheeler Field, Hawaii P-38 Squadron begin daily operational patrols.

September 23, 1941: First P-38 Squadron in Far East begins operations at Clark Field, Philippines.

September 25, 1941: Aircraft Carrier HIJMS Zuikaku commissioned. She is sixth fleet carrier to join IJN.

September 28, 1941: Admiral Yamamoto expresses concerns regarding Operation Z based on recent American reinforcement of Pacific bases. Chief of Staff Nagano asks if Combined Fleet commander is recommending that operation be cancelled. Unwilling to abort what he sees as Japan’s only hope to force the United States to accept Japan’s requirements, Yamamoto backs down, stating that he is mainly concerned with the tightness of some parts of the timeline.

October 5, 1941: USS South Dakota commissioned.

October 6, 1941: First P-47B squadron deemed operational at Langley Field, Virginia.

October 14, 1941: Half squadron (three flights) P-47B fighters arrive at Bellows Field, Hawaii for evaluation of type in tropical conditions. Ninth Fighter Squadron pilots, equipped with the newest version of the Tomahawk, the P-40E, are appalled by the huge size of the new aircraft which they had assumed to be a dive bomber or attack bomber. This perception is slightly altered when one of the new P-47s simply runs away from a P-40 opponent during a training exercise.

USAAF orders 192 P-47C.

October 21, 1941: USS New Jersey launched.

October 28, 1941: Second Wheeler Field P-38 squadron arrives in Hawaii. First squadron in Pacific equipped with “E” model. As is common in squadrons operating new aircraft types, squadron has higher than normal percentage of experienced officers and crew chiefs.

November 11, 1941: USS Indiana commissioned.

November 18, 1941: First Steel cut at Philadelphia Naval Yard for USS Montana.

November 21, 1941: General MacArthur leaves the Islands for Washington D.C. for “consultative meetings” following a series of disagreements with General Marshall regarding supply and troop deployments. General Wainwright is placed in temporary overall command of American forces in the region.

November 26, 1941: Kido Butai leaves Kure, Japan for Pearl Harbor.

November 27, 1941: Admiral Start and General Marshal send “war warning” messages to Navy & Army units across Pacific.


November 29, 1941: General Wainwright meets with senior staff to evaluate readiness in case of Japanese attack. Air Corps reports 123 B-17 D & E models operational, 72 P-38 and 96 P-40 fighters also operational. Admiral Hart reviews naval preparations and is ordered by General Wainwright to increase air patrols of Lingayen Gulf and South China Sea north of Luzon in both number and frequency.

December 1, 1941: Admiral Hart orders that all possible forces surge to sea to avoid any chance of units being caught dockside in case of attack.

After a rather acrimonious morning meeting, Admiral Kimmel and General Short, the USN & U.S. Army commanders for Hawaii reach agreement on the meaning of the November 27, 1941 messages. Less a decision to cooperate than a choice to maintain Branch honor, the agreement calls for a status above peace, but short of war. PBY patrols from Pearl Harbor are increased to twice daily and in a full 360 degree arc around the Islands and ready ammunition is to be kept at anti-aircraft batteries on ships in harbor. The half squadron of Marine Corsairs working up on the Island will be maintained in a ready condition at Ewa Field.

Army Air Corps fighters will continue current flying schedule, which is already quite high, as the P-38 & P-47 units are effectively testing their aircraft for serviceability in tropical conditions, but all flights will be conducted with full load outs of ammunition. Army bombers not assisting in search operations will be dispersed to outer islands, with some going as far as Hilo. Army air defense batteries, which have, along with Air Corps fighters, primary responsibility for defense of ships in Harbor will be 50% manned at all times, with other batteries unmanned but under guard with ready ammunition available.

December 2, 1941: USS Enterprise delivers 12 F4U (VMF-211) and 6 SBD (VMB-2) to Wake Island.

First steel cut CV 13 (USS Franklin) & CV-14 (USS Hancock)

December 3, 1941: First steel cut for USS Kentucky.

December 4, 1941: USS Lexington departs Pearl Harbor to deliver
12 F4U to Midway Island.

December 6, 1940: USS Massachusetts commissioned.



I will have December 7 posted in a couple of days. There is a LOT:eek: happening on that day (especially when you include all the December 8th events from across the dateline).
 
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Your pushing the development of the Hellcat a little fast,as in OTL the F-6F was developed after testing of captured A-6M showed its weaknesses only then was a Design Specification issued.Also what of the problem with the torpedoes is still up in the air and looks to result in serious disappointment for the Bubble Heads.
All in all a fine TL it uses the same basic strategy of any successful HoI US campaign.
 

CalBear

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Your pushing the development of the Hellcat a little fast,as in OTL the F-6F was developed after testing of captured A-6M showed its weaknesses only then was a Design Specification issued.Also what of the problem with the torpedoes is still up in the air and looks to result in serious disappointment for the Bubble Heads.
All in all a fine TL it uses the same basic strategy of any successful HoI US campaign.


The Hellcat was actually well into development before the A6M was found in the Aleutians. IOTL the contract for the XF6F was signed on June 30, 1941. The aircraft really took shape as soon as the R-2800 Double Wasp was installed as the engine of choice. The R-2800 was THE American fighter engine of the war powering the F4U, F6F, F7F, F8F, P-47 & P-61, as well as a range of cargo and bomber aircraft.
 
Interesting. Something that you might want to use in this is that apparently the FBI under Hoover (who was to busy worrying about playing his political games and investigating suspected communists) ignored evidence that that the Japanese where requesting information about Pearl Harbor in June, 1941.
 
How was Japanese intelligence? I almost wonder if they'd be aware that the USN was in better shape, ATL.

I expect it to be a little bit sketchy, but not dead. The Japanese had a small number of spies in the USA. Some of them were native Americans.

According to Wiki, they had a spy organization which met in the Molino Rojo brothel. It was close to the North Island Naval Air Station, so they might catch a glimpse of the Hellcat in action.
 

Markus

Banned
IMO you are rushing things beyond of what´s possible, even considering it´s an AH scenario.

The P-47 was actually developed quickly. It took just 19 month to get the plane into production after the contract was awareded -Sept. 40, two month pre-POD-, still it was not fast enough.

The F4U´s contract was awareded in June 38. With wartime speed of development right from the start it would be possible to get the plane into production soon enough, but in Nov. 1940 it too late to get all the bugs out of the design in time for Dec.7th.


Why not use unproblematic aircraft instead, especially the one that were already in production?

The first Allison powered Mustangs were rolling off NAA´s production lines as early as August 41 and unlike the P-38, P-74 and F4U, Mustangs were reliable from the start. The USAF even got one Mustang in August for evaluation. In Jan. 42 NAA made 92 planes per month.

And what about the much underrated P-40? In June 40 the Brits got their first P-40s and dumped them in the Med becasue of the plane´s non existant high altitude performance.
Just have them insist the Americans install a decent(=british) supercharger ASAP and you easily have a P-40 that makes 380mph at 25,000 feet. Install the same advanced supercharger in a Mustang I and you have a fighter that will be significantly faster than 400mph at 25,000 feet, has a 1/3rd greater range than a P-40 in spite of not having a fuselage fuel tank and cost you half as much as a P-38 or P-47.

And let´s not forget dive bombers like the Vultee Vengeance and SBD/A-24. IMO they are crucial for successfull anti-shipping strikes.
 
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Originally posted by CalBear
Okay, here is the start of my ALT Pacific War TL, based on my November 1, 1940 the War Department wakes up thread.

This seems promising, ever I ask myself why don´t you made a TL about an alternate Pacific War because IMO you are probably the best expert about this theme in the board, well at least this has happened at last.

I think we will have a very interesting TL here.
 

CalBear

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This seems promising, ever I ask myself why don´t you made a TL about an alternate Pacific War because IMO you are probably the best expert about this theme in the board, well at least this has happened at last.

I think we will have a very interesting TL here.

I've hesitated because the Pacific War is one of my favorite time periods (how expert I am I'll leave to others to decide:)). I hated to mess with it. Unfortunately, Riain's TBD thread got me thinking too hard to let it go.

The other problem is that the Pacific War IS, IOTL, an Ameriwank.
 
I've hesitated because the Pacific War is one of my favorite time periods (how expert I am I'll leave to others to decide:)). I hated to mess with it. Unfortunately, Riain's TBD thread got me thinking too hard to let it go.

The other problem is that the Pacific War IS, IOTL, an Ameriwank.

One of the few non-American PoDs I can think of is having ABD(A) form BEFORE the war with Japan starts. It might not change alot but it could have some effects :)
 
Where does the money to do all this come from? I just think if these areas are boosted you have to take something else away. In the end it might put the US in a worst situation, because the Japanese would know that the US is stronger and it may make them think twice against Pearl Harbor. Thus Germany never declares war on US and in that case you are looking at a Soviet Europe.
 
Originally posted by CalBear
Unfortunately, Riain's TBD thread got me thinking too hard to let it go.

The other problem is that the Pacific War IS, IOTL, an Ameriwank.

Unfortunately? Well I think that it was very fortunately, a toast for Riain:D

More than an Ameriwank (Savo island for example provided the fact that the japanese could hit quickly and effectively) I think that we could say that OTL Pacific War was a japanese seppuku TL.:D
 

Faeelin

Banned
Where does the money to do all this come from? I just think if these areas are boosted you have to take something else away. In the end it might put the US in a worst situation, because the Japanese would know that the US is stronger and it may make them think twice against Pearl Harbor. Thus Germany never declares war on US and in that case you are looking at a Soviet Europe.

OTOH, this is Japan we are talking about. It's not like the numbers weren't around to suggest America was stronger OTL.
 

Riain

Banned
Looks good, now my favorite island can survive and take a good chunk of the IJN with it. Yay for Wake!!!

BTW; I'm considering a timeline where Percival isn't appointed to Malaya and instead some hyperactive general who has seen action in Europe goes instead. The upshot being that even without a single extra man for weapon Malaya is held and Force Z/ABDA defeat the invasion of Palembang by mid Feb '42. Anyone interesed? Anyone know where I can get a good list of Brit generals around mid 1941?
 

CalBear

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Where does the money to do all this come from? I just think if these areas are boosted you have to take something else away. In the end it might put the US in a worst situation, because the Japanese would know that the US is stronger and it may make them think twice against Pearl Harbor. Thus Germany never declares war on US and in that case you are looking at a Soviet Europe.


The money was already approved. That is the irony of the entire thing. The "Two Ocean Navy Act of 1940" gave, among other things, the President of the United States a literal blank check to
acquire or construct naval airplanes, and lighter-than-air craft, and spare parts and equipment, as may be necessary to provide and maintain the number of useful naval airplanes at a total of not more than four thousand five hundred, including five hundred airplanes for the Naval Reserve

The Congress gave the Army & Navy as close to a blank check as it is possible to grant following the fall of France (I wouldn't say it was in a blind panic, but only because they could read well enough to vote for the measures). In addition to the permission to pull the procurement trigger they also passed an immediate Income Tax change to generate an additional $996 million in taxes for the coming year as well as raising the debt ceiling.

The point of this ALT is that the money was there, the production capacity was there, and the designs were there, and what would have happenned had The War & navy Departments actually taken advantage of these opprotunities. There are two POD's involved, June 26, 1940 (now the date when things begin to move, and the results of that event) and December 1, 1941 (when Gen. Short & Adm. Kimmel come up with a more aggressive understanding of the 11/27/41 "war warning").

Regarding Japan's reaction: I do have a brief item about that in the part of the TL already posted, but the truth is that Japan had no real choice, not if it was going to stay on its course in China and S.E. Asia. The U.S. was in the way, and the longer Japan waited, the worse her would become (the rest of the Navy Act was the source document for the Carrier force that crushed Japan starting in 1943). Japan always knew the entire Operation Z was a gamble; it was just one they couldn't avoid.
 
Originally posted by Riain
Looks good, now my favorite island can survive and take a good chunk of the IJN with it. Yay for Wake!!!

BTW; I'm considering a timeline where Percival isn't appointed to Malaya and instead some hyperactive general who has seen action in Europe goes instead. The upshot being that even without a single extra man for weapon Malaya is held and Force Z/ABDA defeat the invasion of Palembang by mid Feb '42. Anyone interesed? Anyone know where I can get a good list of Brit generals around mid 1941?

Look, the man that caused all this;)

A toast for you.

Prove this web: http://www.generals.dk/nation/Great_Britain.html
 
Originally posted by CalBear
The point of this ALT is that the money was there, the production capacity was there, and the designs were there, and what would have happenned had The War & navy Departments actually taken advantage of these opprotunities. There are two POD's involved, June 26, 1940 (now the date when things begin to move, and the results of that event) and December 1, 1941 (when Gen. Short & Adm. Kimmel come up with a more aggressive understanding of the 11/27/41 "war warning").

Apart of all this about better aircraft and navy preparations I was thinking Silent Service would not suffer so long as in OTL with the great Torpedoes Scandal in TTL? the american subs without or with a far less important Torpedoes Scandal could be capable of putting japanese shipping and economy in the way to the hell by early-mid 1943.
 
BTW; I'm considering a timeline where Percival isn't appointed to Malaya and instead some hyperactive general who has seen action in Europe goes instead. The upshot being that even without a single extra man for weapon Malaya is held and Force Z/ABDA defeat the invasion of Palembang by mid Feb '42. Anyone interesed? Anyone know where I can get a good list of Brit generals around mid 1941?

A good book to keep a look out for is Churchill's Generals (though sorry I don't know the author).
 

CalBear

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Timeline for December 7, 1941 (December 8, 1941 in Far East) All Time Hawaii Standard time (Singapore +18 hours to his time). As in the first post items in italics are the same as IOTL.

There is a veritable four ring circus going on throughout this day. I have very intentionally attempted to keep everything in a strict chronological order to give some flavor for the activity of the day, although this is a bit confusing to read (you should have tried writing it, the actual activites happen in four different time zones on both sides of the International Date Line.:eek:) To make it a bit easier to follow I have used the following indicators after the hour:minute data; (PI) Philippine Islands, (WI) Wake Island, (Guam) for entries occurring outside of the Hawaiian Operation Area.

Enjoy. Comment are very welcome.



03:42 hours: USS Condor, spots what appears to be a submarine outside of Pearl Harbor entrance. Condor alerts ASW patrol ship USS Ward.

06:00 hours: First attack wave of 183 aircraft launches from IJN Carrier force.

06:05 hours: Japanese forces initiate landings at Kota Bharu, Malaya.

06:45 hours: USS Ward reports that she has fired on and sunk a definite enemy submarine operating in defensive sea area.

Second strike wave is launched from Kido Butai carriers.


06:54 hours: Based on action report from USS Ward, U.S. Fleet OOD Pearl Harbor Orders General Quarters on all vessels in harbor. Information on possible enemy activity forwarded to Army Command.

07:02 hours: Radar Operators at Opana Point, operating after hours as additional practice report large blip to Duty officer. Duty Officer inform men that blip is flight of B-17 bombers expected that morning.

07:08 hours: OOD, Army Forces, Hawaii orders alert for all units.

07:20 hours: Aircraft at Hickam, Wheeler, and Bellows Fields begin warm up and preflight.

07:26 hours: Navy PBY patrol plane Echo Five spots inbound Japanese strike force. Sends contact report with course and approximate speed. Radio report is not detected by Japanese strike force.

07:35 hours: Fighters begin to launch from all Oahu airfields. Dispersed fighters on Maui & Kauai begin warm up.

07:40 hours: Fighters on dawn patrol (four P-40 and four P-38 from Wheeler, six P-38 from Hickam, eight P-40 from Bellows and four F4U from Ewa) are instructed to head toward reported contact. Twenty-Four aircraft turn to the North and begin to claw for altitude.

07:45 hours: Flying boats begin to launch in hopes of escaping inbound enemy attack.

07:47 hours: David One, leader of flight of four P-40E’s calls “Tally Ho” on Japanese formation. Received immediate attack order from Hickam Tower.


07:49 hours: Commander Fuchida reports attack has achieved surprise.

07:50 hours: David One and Two come out of Sun crashing through Japanese dive bomber formation. Three D3A Vals are destroyed. The United States has entered World War Two.

07:52 hours: Three plane flight of B5N Kates begin attack run on USS Oklahoma.

07:54: P-38s score first victories of war as flight of four rips through triple Vee of B5N dropping two attacking aircraft.

07:55 hours: Fifty-third American fighter lifts off to join twenty-four American aircraft already engaged with JNAF

07:56 hours: Three plane Vee of D3A begins attack dive into teeth of heavy AAA fire.

07:58 hours: USS Oklahoma is struck by three torpedoes. Despite having partial watertight integrity set, the second oldest American battleship at Pearl Harbor is doomed. She slowly capsizes, finally settling almost upside down in the silt.


08:00 hours: USS California takes first hit well forward.

08:04 hours: B5N Kate piloted by Commander Mituso Fuchida is struck by burst of .50 cal bullets fired from USS Tennessee. Tactical commander of Pearl Harbor attack is killed on impact with water.

08:05 hours: USS California suffers second, more serious, bomb hit. Thanks to having received sufficient warning to set watertight integrity the ship settles at the bow but remains afloat.


08:09 hours: B5N level bomber released modified 16” AP shell at USS Arizona

08:10 Hours: USS Arizona, flagship of Battleship Squadron, U.S. Pacific Fleet, suffers catastrophic detonation due to bomb hit. Bottom blown out, the ship settle quickly into the mud of the harbor.

08:12 hours: General Short reports Japanese attack on Pearl Harbor in progress to Washington D.C and Pacific Fleet.


08:15 hours: Japanese attack force first wave withdraws.

08:20 hours: Eighteen P-40E fighters arrive from Mokuleia Airfield on the Northern tip of Oahu and begin to orbit north of harbor installations. Eight B-17E bombers remain at the dispersal field.

08:25 hours: Sky is mostly clear of enemy aircraft. American fighters begin to return to bases to be refueled an rearmed. Several are shot down by friendly AAA. Notably safe from this are the Lightnings. Looking like nothing else in the air, the big twin boomed fighters are given a free pass. As landings continue it becomes clear that losses are high. More than twenty fighters are missing from those that launched less than 45 minutes before.


Thanks to heavy and surprisingly accurate fire from AAA batteries, especially the recently arrived twin 40mm guns, as well as having the Japanese fighter prevented from conducting much of their assigned strafing due to the American airborne defenses, Bellows Field is in very good condition, while Wheeler Field shows more damage. Worst of all is Hickam, where the Japanese have effectively disabled the field by shooting up refueling facilities and have destroyed almost 30 aircraft on the ground. A number of Air Corps planes divert to Ewa when it is found that Hickam is out of business. Six of the eight Corsairs that left Ewa return, five are in flying condition. These will be joined by the four remaining flyable F4U’s that were unable to take off before the attack began.

08:40 hours; Rearmed fighters continue to launch, working to gain altitude. The nine surviving P-47’s outrace everyone to 28,000 feet.

08:45 hours: PBY Echo Six sends report “Main Body sighted 170 miles north/northeast of Oahu”. Message is copied by both USS Lexington & USS Enterprise. Lexingtonimmediately flies off 12 Corsairs it is transporting to Midway and turns toward Japanese reported location. Enterprise, with her escorting destroyers short on fuel, is forced to continue on towards Pearl Harbor.

08:47 hours: Echo Six is cut off in mid-transmission.

08:50 hours: Second attack wave arrives. It flies into a hailstorm of steel.

08:52 hours: Mokuleia P-40’s engage approaching attack wave. Eight P-40’s break off to handle fighters defending first group of twenty D3A dive bomber while remaining ten aircraft, in two plane elements, attack the bombers. In what will quickly become the standard pattern of the Pacific War, the resulting dogfights come down to two factors, how much 20mm ammunition the Zeros have available and if the A6M’s can keep the American fighter away from the bombers. Seven of the P-40’s are lost in fighting the Zeros, claiming four of the Japanese fighters in return. The ten Kittyhawks that attack the dive bombers however, destroy eighteen of the Japanese aircraft. It is the first example of the damage that the soon to be standard American armament of six .50 machine guns can wreak on the lightly protected Japanese warplanes.

08:54 hours: Mixed group of a dozen P-38s and P-47s plow into the lead B5N formation. Taking advantage of their non-converging guns, which are accurate at over 600 yards, the P-38s are able to destroy two or three Kates in their first pass. The P-47’s, limited by their guns angled set-up have to hold fire until 150 yards out. When they do open fire, the concentration of slugs from eight M2 Browning .50 cal guns literally tear the enemy aircraft to shreds. Before being engaged by the Japanese fighter escorts the Air Corps planes wipe out all but four of the Kate bombers.

09:00 Hours (WI): Wake Island command receives word of Pearl Harbor attack. Call to Arms sounded. Coastal Defense Battalion scrambles to man defensive positions.

09:03 hours: Despite best efforts of defenders, a dozen B5N dive bombers break through to Battleship Row. One aircraft puts torpedo into USS California, while remaining planes manage to strike USS West Virginia with seven torpedoes. Unsurprisingly, West Virginia quickly settles to bottom.



09:30 hours: Senior surviving squadron commander radios initial wave results to Admiral Nagumo and staff. While news is exceptionally good, with four battleships claimed sunk and two others damaged, the fact that it is not Commander Fuchida making the report is disquieting. The Command staff justifies this by convincing themselves that Fuchida’s radio has malfunctioned.

09:45 hours: Second attack wave breaks off for flight home. Low on ammunition, most American fighter let them go.

09:50 hours: (MI) USMC F4U’s en route to Midway stumble over Japanese destroyers on way to bombard Island. Impromptu attack immediately begins.

09:52 hours: (MI) Random tracer round from attacking fighter strikes oxygen flask of Long Lance torpedo on board Ushio. Resulting detonation of ten torpedo warheads vaporized both Japanese ship and attacking aircraft. Remaining eleven Corsairs rip upper works and hull of destroyer Sazanami to pieces. Ship is left without power & in sinking condition.

10:00 hours: First wave returns to Kido Butai. Count is sixty aircraft short.

10:05 hours (WI): Four Corsair fighters launch to begin Combat Air Patrol. Two aircraft from Dawn Patrol are taken into their assigned dug-out shelters for refueling. Four additional fighters begin warm-up and arming to reinforce CAP. Pilots of 12 F4U-1 that arrived on December 2nd and VMB-2 are taken to plane shelters for preflight briefing.

Coastal Defense guns all report manned and ready In addition to 12 (three four gun batteries) M-1918 three inch anti-aircraft guns all of which are completely equipped, air defenses include 18 40mm twin AAA mounts, 28 20mm (DP) and 35 .50 M2 machine guns (DP) . Shore defenses consist of three five inch guns, 4 155mm Howitzers, 14 37mm anti-boat guns and 32 .30 cal. Machine guns.

The SCR-270B search radar is operational, but the SCR-268 radar is not properly calibrated.


10:15 hours (PI): After confirming via cable that Pearl Harbor has indeed been attacked, General Wainwright accepts staff recommendations and authorized attacks on Japanese air fields on Formosa. Five different groups will strike at Japanese airfields.

10:30 hours: Armed with the sighting report from Echo Six the eight B-17E’s at

Mokuleia prepare to attack the Japanese fleet. Escort will be nine surviving Kittyhawks.

10:40 hours (Guam): Island Governor receives word that Pearl Harbor has been attacked.

11:00 hours: Bombers depart for last known location of Japanese fleet. Aircraft at Wheeler and Bellows Fields, including B-17s that had been orbiting at distance during attack start arming/refueling process.

(Guam) Eight P-40E fighters take off as CAP. Remaining USMC and Army aircraft begin arming. Of great concern is the shelter situation, dug-out shelters exist for only about half of the aircraft on the Island, and none are large enough for the A-20C bombers. Aircraft without dugouts are within sandbagged and camouflaged revetments, but are still vulnerable to enemy attack


11:30 Hours: Second wave returns to IJN carriers less eighty aircraft. Admiral Nagumo orders entire formation to depart area at best possible speed. This order effectively abandons 1st Supply Train vessels.

11:40 hours (WI): Four Corsairs of Baker flight lift off from Wake air strip.


11:42 hours (WI): Radar detects incoming contact. Both fighter groups head toward location.

11:45 hours (WI): Air raid sirens sound on Wake Island.

11:50 hours (WI): Charlie flight, three F4Us, takes off to engage enemy. All launch ready Corsairs are now in the air.

11:53 hours (WI): Able flight comes out of cloud deck three miles from flight of 34 G3M Nell bomber. Pilots go to full war emergency power, driving their fighters past 400 mph.

11:54 hours (WI): Baker flight goes head to head with incoming Japanese bombers. Action scatters Japanese formation as Baker pilots turn to engage, one Nell is damaged by machine gun fire during this pass.

11:56 hours (WI): Charlie Flight engages Japanese inbounds. One Nell is shot down in exchange for damage to the left wing of Charlie-Three

11:57 hours (WI): Able flight arrives. Three bombers are shot down with their first pass.

11:58 Hours (WI) Baker flight gets on the board, killing five G3M’s

12:00 Hours (WI): Nells enter AAA Range of Island. Five more fall to fighters before Able and Baker break off to allow AAA guns to engage.

Japanese invade Thailand. With the notable exception of Prachuab Khirikhan Air Base, where outnumbered Thai Air Force personnel, local police and some teen-age militia begin an inspired defensive stand, the country lies ripe for the taking.

12:10 hours (WI): Eleven remaining G3M bombers escape Wake as fighters are recalled to original CAP position. Ground defenses have shot down three bombers with fighters collecting five more after the Japanese had made their attack.

12:15 hours (PI): Five groups of B-17 bombers, totally 110 aircraft (30 model “D” and 80 “E” models) begin to take off for targets in Formosa.

12:30 Hours: Hawaiian B-17 force finds 1st Supply Train ships, but no carriers. B-17s drop total of 64 bombs from height of 12,000 feet, results are one hit and two near misses, all on Kenyo Maru. Ship sinks in under five minutes. Strafing attacks by escorting fighters damage two other ships. This is the only successful counter attack against the Japanese Strike force.

13:00 hours (WI): Dog flight (4 Corsairs) takes off from cleared Wake Island runway. Able flight lands on fumes.

13:15 hours (Guam). Four Corsairs and four Warhawks reach altitude relieving CAP P-40s.

13:25 hours (WI): Damage report for Japanese attack is presented to Commander W.S. Cunningham (USN), officer commanding, Wake Island. One aircraft dugout has failed after a direct hit, resulting in the loss of an F4U and it’s pilot. Four bomb craters have been repaired on the air field; however, the taxiway to two of the shelters remains unusable, leaving these aircraft pinned to the ground. Defenses remain intact. Efforts continue to calibrate gun aiming radar.


13:45 hours (WI): Baker Flight lands. Fox Flight (two F4U) takes off.

14:00 Hours: Japanese invade Hong Kong.


14:30 hours: Admiral Nagumo receives complete report on losses during the attack. In addition to 140 planes lost over the target or returning to the carriers another 172 aircraft have suffered sufficient damage to make them irreparable and 25 other are damaged but are capable of repair. Total casualties to the air wing are 260 missing (presumed dead) and 150 wounded, 60 seriously. The six carriers of the Kido Butai, which had begun the day with 414 combat aircraft, now has 67 fully operational aircraft; 41 of these are fighters, 20 are dive bombers, and only 6 are torpedo planes.

14:40 hours (Guam) Sixteen G3M bombers approach Guam from Saipan. SCR-270A set operator miss-identifies contact as CAP.

14:45 hours: Admiral Nagumo informs the Imperial General Staff that the American Fleet at Pearl Harbor has been destroyed. He also informs them that the Kido Butai will require complete reconstruction of her air wings and will not be available for deployment until this is completed.

14:50 hours (Guam): Echo flight (4 P-40s) calls Tallyho on Japanese aircraft, “low and slow”.

14:53 hours (Guam): General scramble begins for all ready aircraft outside of dugouts.
14:55 hours (Guam): Gull Flight (4 F4Us) observe Japanese fighters diving on Echo Flight. Warning call is too late. Two Warhawks are lost.

14:57 hours (Guam): Surviving Echo aircraft splash three G3M.

15:02 hours (Guam): Gull flight returns favor to unaware Japanese fighters. Five Oscars are shot down. Remaining fighters from both sides begin massive furball.

15:05 hours (Guam): Japanese bombers arrive over Naval Station at 8,000 feet. Marine AAA units and Army .50 machine guns open fire.

15:11 hours (Guam) Eight G3M turn to egress area. None escape. Initial Japanese raid has been wiped out at cost of three Warhawks and two Corsairs. Japanese have lost 16 Nells & 12 Oscars. Minor damage is inflicted on Navy facilities, but eight aircraft (one Corsair, two Warhawks, and five irreplaceable Havocs) have been destroyed on the ground and four more P-40’s have battle damage.

15:20 hours (PI): B-17 strikes begin on five of the southernmost JNAF air bases on Formosa. Due to weather that had delayed launching of any aircraft, sky is mostly clear of enemy fighters. The few fighters in the air are the first Axis aircraft to face the B-17E. It is not a pleasant experience, with the new tail gunner position being especially troublesome.

15:25 hours (PI): Forty-five P-40 fighters, from Clark Field, as well as two dispersal fields in the area take off for dawn patrol CAP. Pilots are watching for an anticipated Japanese air attack.

15:30 hours (WI): Taxiway repairs are completed

16:00 hours (PI): Final flight of American bombers turns for home, leaving thirty-six destroyed and fifty damaged enemy bombers, fifteen destroyed and 25 damaged fighters in their wake. Japanese air defenses have, however, come alive, with fighters launching from JNAF and JAAF bases not under attack. While flak has been mostly inaccurate, if not entirely absent, Japanese fighters have shot down nine B-17s, seven of them “D” models, with eight more suffering varying degrees of battle damage, although Japanese claims total twenty three downed bombers.

U.S. bomber gunners will later claim 65 enemy kills. As is the case with the Japanese, these number are more than slightly high; actual Japanese losses are nine A5M Claudes, five A6M Zeros, four Ki-27 Nates, and eleven Ki-43 Oscars for a total twenty-nine kills. An additional eighteen fighters have suffered battle damage, four serious enough to be scrapped. Of much greater concern to Japanese commanders is that virtually all of the hard kills of the American bombers are by A6M fighters, the only Japanese aircraft equipped with 20mm cannon, the rifle caliber machine guns of the Claudes, Nates, and Oscars having proved ineffective against the American aircraft.

17:25 hours (PI): Clark Field CAP fighters begin to land for fuel and pilot rest Replacement aircraft assume their positions. Both CSR270 sets in Northern Luzon are manned, but have no unidentified contacts.


17:45 hours (PI): Japanese fighters pursuing the withdrawing American formations are surprised by eighteen P-38 Lightnings that have been waiting along the return flight corridor of the bomber force. Using surprise to their maximum advantage the Lockeed planes rip through the Japanese formations. Fourteen Japanese fighters are shot down, six more are damaged (three later scrapped) by this hit and run strike. Following strict orders, the American aircraft do not stay to dogfight, instead zoom climbing back to altitude and escaping the area with their 40 mph speed advantage.

18: 45 hours (PI): Flight commander for second group of Lightnings orders aircraft home 45 minutes after last American aircraft passes his orbiting location.

19:00 hours (PI): Bombers return to Clark and dispersal fields. All damaged aircraft return to Clark. Aircraft are immediately refueled & rearmed before being moved to individual revetments. Twelve aircraft without revetments, are sent to emergency field south of Manila to reduce vulnerability in case of Japanese attack.

20:00 hours (PI): Due to confusion caused by American attacks and lack of rested escort pilots, Japanese air unit commander staff call off strike planned for day. American bombing has cost the Japanese fifty-one aircraft with ninety more requiring three or more days repair before being ready for action. Air-to-air actions have resulted in the loss of fifty fighters, nearly a quarter of the total available on Formosa, and 36 pilots.

Initial damage report sent to Navy Department by Admiral Short.

Battleships USS Arizona, USS Oklahoma & USS West Virginia sunk. USS California badly damaged, pumps are barely keeping pace with flooding, USS Tennessee damaged but battle worthy, USS Pennsylvania (in dry dock) damaged by three bomb hits, USS Maryland & USS Nevada slightly damaged by near misses and strafing but battle worthy.

Cruiser USS Raleigh sunk USS Helena severely damaged, USS Honolulu damaged, B turret out of action, otherwise battle worthy, USS Detroit, USS Phoenix, USS St. Louis, minimal strafing damage, fully battle worthy. USS New Orleans, minor battle damage, but unable to get underway pending completion of engineering repair, USS San Francisco, undamaged but unable to get underway for 48 hours due to ongoing refit.

Destroyers USS Cassin, USS Downes, USS Shaw sunk. USS Jarvis damaged. Remaining seventeen fleet destroyers in harbor undamaged and battleworthy.

Repair vessel USS Vestal capsized.

Seaplane Tender USS Curtiss damaged.

Four USMC F4U-1 Corsairs lost in aerial combat, pilots MIA.

Estimated that 92 enemy aircraft were shot down by naval personnel.

Casualty estimates are 1,600 killed in action, 675 wounded in action, 134 missing.

All Fleet units marked as battle worthy can sail on four hours notice.

General Short also makes his initial report

Losses due to enemy action 7 December, 1941:

Six B-17D, three B-17E, four B-18, ten P-40D, six P-40E, five P-38D destroyed on ground.

Sixteen P-40D, twelve P-40E, four P-38D, three P-38E, three P-47B lost in air-to-air combat with enemy aircraft. Thirty-one pilots missing in action, four confirmed Killed in action, two wounded in action.

All airfield are ready for use, Hickam Field operations are limited due to damage to fueling systems. All defenses are available if needed. Available aircraft: Twenty-two P-40D, fifteen P-40E, nine P-38D, sixty-five P-38E, seven P-47B, eighteen B-17D, twenty B-17E. Aircraft under repair but available within seventy-two hours: Twelve P-40D, seven P-40E, one P-38D, four P-38E. Two P-47B are damaged but repairable once necessary parts are received from mainland.

It is estimated that Army ground personnel shot down forty-eight enemy aircraft. Army Air Corps personnel have claimed one hundred fifty-eight enemy aircraft destroyed. Total enemy aircraft destroyed is estimated at two hundred and six.

Total casualties: Two hundred eighty-three Killed in action, two hundred ninety-six wounded in action, one hundred nine missing.
 
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