Go Back   Alternate History Discussion Board > Discussion > Alternate History Discussion: After 1900

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #41  
Old August 14th, 2012, 01:49 PM
krull1m krull1m is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jul 2010
Posts: 291
Quote:
Originally Posted by UrbanRedneck View Post
I disagree. Partly because your not talking just a couple of carriers. The combined US and British navies could have put around 20 aircraft carriers into service giving them around 1,000 aircraft which is a pretty big CAP. Long range aircraft flying from the UK like the P51 Mustang and the P38 Lightning, could reach Into Germany and would have had no problem covering many bases located in France. Also once they take Jutland or the rest of Denmark they could have used those land bases.
But the logistical nightmare that would come with trying to support 20 carriers outweigh any benefits. The longer and more complicated supply lines, risk of bad weather, risk of enemy action and generally less -capable naval fighters are all good reasons to avoid this plan.

Not to mention that 1000 planes isnt actually that many in the scheme of things. At the beginning of June the 2nd TAF had over 1300 aircraft alone, and that doesnt include US planes which will easily add another 50-60 squadrons of fighters alone before you get to the other aircraft.

Final point is that to do this the allies would have had to strip pretty much all their carriers from the pacific theatre, leaving their forces over there without significant mobile air support. That sounds like a huge and unjustifiable risk given that the allies had a massive and unsinkable carrier they could use instead (Britain)
Reply With Quote
  #42  
Old August 14th, 2012, 02:03 PM
Gingerdave Gingerdave is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Nov 2008
Posts: 36
Quote:
Originally Posted by AdA View Post
That rules out anything much east. The one choice I would be interested in discussing is a landing in the Somme estuary. Dieppe is not a big harbour, but that opens up the possibility of an eastwards strike more and could be a good compromise btw 1st day casualties and breaking out casualties. It also maximizes fighter cover. (and critically Fighter Bomber action)
A landing immediately to the East of the mouth of the Seine might have worked, between Le Havre and St. Valery.

Obviously you don't try to land directly into a fortified port, but a landing to the north of Le Havre would allow the early objectives to include the isolation of Le Havre by reaching the north bank of the Seine inland of the city. Easier than isolating Cherbourg?

This would also allow the western flank of the landing to rest on the Seine, which IIRC was/is good defensive terrain. The German retreat was too fast, but there was a possibility for a serious defensive stand on the river.

I'm sure there were reasons for not doing this, though i don't know them. It's that much further from the French Atlantic coast, and there were good reasons for clearing those ports (reinforcements directly from the US, denial of bases for the u-boats - I know they were beaten by then), or maybe the terrain wasn't suitable.
Reply With Quote
  #43  
Old August 14th, 2012, 08:43 PM
Gunnarnz Gunnarnz is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 2011
Posts: 757
Quote:
Originally Posted by UrbanRedneck View Post
Yes they could concentrate defenses but alot of Jutland was in range of heavy offshore guns of the navy which could fire shells 15 miles inland.
This is starting to sound familiar... "we'll encourage the Germans to concentrate, then pound them continuously with artillery and air power for a couple of months while we build up supplies for the invasion". It wasn't plausible when suggested with respect to the Friesian islands, and I doubt that there are enough relevant differences to make it work any better here.
Reply With Quote
  #44  
Old August 15th, 2012, 01:43 AM
Starkad Starkad is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Dec 2010
Posts: 48
Quote:
Originally Posted by UrbanRedneck View Post
Yes they could concentrate defenses but alot of Jutland was in range of heavy offshore guns of the navy which could fire shells 15 miles inland.
Except that from just south of Esbjerg, you have the tidal sea going all the way to Frisia... Low shallow water, littered with flat islands, gently sloping bottom, mostly with muddy bottom. Often 5 or even 10 miles between the waterline at low and high tide. I can't wait for my copy of Time Magazine with the picture of the battleship stuck at low tide, listing 30 degrees ......
Reply With Quote
  #45  
Old August 15th, 2012, 08:13 PM
Rich Rostrom Rich Rostrom is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Mar 2012
Location: The heights of glory, the depths of despair
Posts: 669
Quote:
Originally Posted by Cook View Post
One thing to remember concerning the Mincemeat deception plan; it worked because it reinforced what the Germans already were already thinking and simply stopped them from reacting correctly when the landings actually took place at Normandy.
MINCEMEAT was the "Man Who Never Was" deception for HUSKY (the 1943 invasion of Sicily).

The deception plan for OVERLORD was BODYGUARD (FORTITUDE being the mock Calais invasion; there were other elements).
Reply With Quote
  #46  
Old August 15th, 2012, 08:17 PM
Rich Rostrom Rich Rostrom is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Mar 2012
Location: The heights of glory, the depths of despair
Posts: 669
Quote:
Originally Posted by Shaby View Post
But these results were only possible with Germans being bled dry in Normandy. I think Southern France offers even better defensive grounds than North western part?
Much better. The coast from Italy to Marseille is the Riviera. If you've seen movies like To Catch a Thief, then you've seen cliffs between the beaches and the mountains rising up behind.
Reply With Quote
  #47  
Old August 15th, 2012, 08:24 PM
bobinleipsic bobinleipsic is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jul 2009
Location: Dover DE
Posts: 111
Quote:
Originally Posted by MUC View Post
Probably ASB, but:

Denmark!!!
I am probably getting into ASB territory here, but how would Uncle Joe Stalin viewed a Denmark invasion? Would he have seen it aw a threat to the USSR and/or his plans to control Eastern Europe?

bobinleipsic
Reply With Quote
  #48  
Old August 15th, 2012, 08:29 PM
Rich Rostrom Rich Rostrom is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Mar 2012
Location: The heights of glory, the depths of despair
Posts: 669
Quote:
Originally Posted by Beedok View Post
What about a thrust in the south to draw the Germans out and then strike somewhere in the North like Belgium?
That's what Hitler and the German high command thought the Normandy attack was.

There is no doubt about it; it was confirmed in postwar interviews. The FORTITUDE deception, and especially the work of the double-cross agent GARBO, was swallowed completely.

Three days after D-Day, GARBO sent an urgent message to his controllers. He had met with his three chief sub-agents, and they all agreed that the Normandy attack was a feint, with the main attack still to come at Calais. (GARBO had provided the Germans with copious detail on the FUSAG forces poised for that attack.) That message was passed up to the highest levels of OKW. Field Marshal Keitel (Hitler's personal chief-of-staff) confirmed after the war that they had seen and believed GARBO's message, and that it persuaded them to cancel 1st SS Panzer Division's move to Normandy.

The Germans never did see through BODYGUARD/FORTITUDE. They eventually concluded that the Normandy attack had been unexpectedly successful, and so the Allies had decided against the second invasion, and shifted forces. When divisions GARBO had identified as part of FUSAG appeared in Normandy, they saw this as confirmation of his reports.

GARBO was awarded the Iron Cross, and became the chief German source for V-weapon impact data.
Reply With Quote
  #49  
Old August 15th, 2012, 08:51 PM
AdA AdA is offline
Member
 
Join Date: May 2011
Location: Portugal
Posts: 1000 or more
Quote:
Originally Posted by Gingerdave View Post
A landing immediately to the East of the mouth of the Seine might have worked, between Le Havre and St. Valery.

Obviously you don't try to land directly into a fortified port, but a landing to the north of Le Havre would allow the early objectives to include the isolation of Le Havre by reaching the north bank of the Seine inland of the city. Easier than isolating Cherbourg?

This would also allow the western flank of the landing to rest on the Seine, which IIRC was/is good defensive terrain. The German retreat was too fast, but there was a possibility for a serious defensive stand on the river.

I'm sure there were reasons for not doing this, though i don't know them. It's that much further from the French Atlantic coast, and there were good reasons for clearing those ports (reinforcements directly from the US, denial of bases for the u-boats - I know they were beaten by then), or maybe the terrain wasn't suitable.

D day planning was essentially a trade off btw first day(s) casualties and breaking out casualties. I was particulary referring to the possibility of landing in the Somme rather than the Seinne estuary. Dieppe would be the first port to be taken, and there would be a big diference in operations from D Day on. I'm thinking of studying this option deeper, and was interested in other peoples opinions on it.
What you said about not landing directly into a port made me immediately think of Inchon...
Inchon style assault on a Frnch port, anyone?
Reply With Quote
  #50  
Old August 16th, 2012, 08:15 AM
MattII MattII is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jul 2011
Location: Auckland, New Zealand
Posts: 1000 or more
Here's an idea, why not really push the boat out and just land at Kiel?, it's only a couple of days from Hamburg, and they it's an easy week-long ride to Berlin.
Reply With Quote
  #51  
Old August 16th, 2012, 11:49 AM
von hitchofen von hitchofen is offline
Banned
 
Join Date: Jun 2012
Location: Lincolnshire
Posts: 589
Quote:
Originally Posted by MattII View Post
Here's an idea, why not really push the boat out and just land at Kiel?, it's only a couple of days from Hamburg, and they it's an easy week-long ride to Berlin.
sounds good, I'll nab that for my ASB/ISOT - might be able to capture the Bismarck as well

it'll all be over by Hannukah....
Reply With Quote
  #52  
Old August 16th, 2012, 12:02 PM
Shaby Shaby is offline
Sontaran
 
Join Date: Sep 2011
Location: Flagship "Undefeatable" of the Battlefleet Ib
Posts: 1000 or more
Quote:
Originally Posted by von hitchofen View Post
sounds good, I'll nab that for my ASB/ISOT - might be able to capture the Bismarck as well

it'll all be over by Hannukah....
And make sure Habakkuk makes an appearance. Allies need all the air support they can get.
__________________
Quote:
Originally Posted by sharlin View Post
'Oh damn...knew we forgot something! GUYS! WE NEED TO BUNG A CARRIER DESIGN TOGETHER ASAP!'
Reply With Quote
  #53  
Old August 16th, 2012, 01:09 PM
von hitchofen von hitchofen is offline
Banned
 
Join Date: Jun 2012
Location: Lincolnshire
Posts: 589
Quote:
Originally Posted by Shaby View Post
And make sure Habakkuk makes an appearance. Allies need all the air support they can get.
six - engined B-29 Super-Superfortresses off a lump of wood-pulp and ice in the Skaggerak - v. plausible...
Reply With Quote
  #54  
Old August 16th, 2012, 01:11 PM
BlairWitch749 BlairWitch749 is offline
resident right wing apologist
 
Join Date: Jan 2009
Location: Long Island NY
Posts: 1000 or more
Send a message via MSN to BlairWitch749
Quote:
Originally Posted by Shaby View Post
And make sure Habakkuk makes an appearance. Allies need all the air support they can get.
The Habakkuk could ram the kiel canal and block it preventing the KM from sortieing
__________________
Quote:
Originally Posted by Astrodragon View Post
OK, where is the real BlairWitch and what have you done with him!!!
Quote:
Originally Posted by Fleetlord View Post
I feel a little dirty supporting BlairWitch
Manstein in Africa: resumed
Reply With Quote
  #55  
Old August 16th, 2012, 01:14 PM
Shaby Shaby is offline
Sontaran
 
Join Date: Sep 2011
Location: Flagship "Undefeatable" of the Battlefleet Ib
Posts: 1000 or more
Quote:
Originally Posted by BlairWitch749 View Post
The Habakkuk could ram the kiel canal and block it preventing the KM from sortieing
It could ram entire Denmark out of the way for invasion of Pommern, given the size of this thing.
__________________
Quote:
Originally Posted by sharlin View Post
'Oh damn...knew we forgot something! GUYS! WE NEED TO BUNG A CARRIER DESIGN TOGETHER ASAP!'
Reply With Quote
  #56  
Old August 16th, 2012, 06:03 PM
Dathi THorfinnsson Dathi THorfinnsson is offline
Daši Žorfinnsson
 
Join Date: Apr 2007
Location: Syracuse, Haudenosaunee, Vinland
Posts: 1000 or more
Quote:
Originally Posted by von hitchofen View Post
six - engined B-29 Super-Superfortresses off a lump of wood-pulp and ice in the Skaggerak - v. plausible...
Quote:
Originally Posted by BlairWitch749 View Post
The Habakkuk could ram the kiel canal and block it preventing the KM from sortieing
Quote:
Originally Posted by Shaby View Post
It could ram entire Denmark out of the way for invasion of Pommern, given the size of this thing.
Sheesh. Yes the thing was huge, but not that huge. It was, iirc, 2000 ft long, twice the length of a modern carrier. The idea was to fly twin engine bombers off her, not six engine ones.

In addition to sheer size, it was also almost immune to sub attack. Once the uboot threat went away, so did plans for the pyecrete monstrosity.
__________________
David Houston
un Canadien errant
my TL: Canada-wank (99% ASB-free) Turtledove 2010
updated: 1 Sep '12
Reply With Quote
  #57  
Old August 25th, 2012, 09:39 AM
merlin merlin is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Feb 2007
Location: Cardiff
Posts: 727
Rather than a different landing place - ther could be an accidental variation of OTL.

For example, I like the idea of stray Paratroopers (and there were a lot of them, or indeed lost trooper carrying aircraft - dropping them astray.
As a few disparate groups come together, no one seems to have a map or know where they should be going - so head for coast.
When, they find it, it could either be a unguarded cove, or a small fishing village - either of which gets reinforced!
Reply With Quote
  #58  
Old August 25th, 2012, 04:01 PM
Xavier Xavier is offline
Imperator Belgicus
 
Join Date: Oct 2009
Location: Antwerp, Low Countries
Posts: 698
There were no unguarded bits of coastline between the Pyrenees and the very north-end of Norway. Each and every bit of coast had at least a few bunkers looking out over it, especially ports, no matter how small.
Reply With Quote
Reply

Thread Tools
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump


All times are GMT. The time now is 12:55 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.4
Copyright ©2000 - 2013, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.