Radical Republican wins

They did have a habit of "waving the red shirt" in Congress. What views may get a senator elected and different than what would get a president elected. Also a Radical Republican would have to at least have some appeal to those that weren't. The fire and brimstone make them pay speeches get pretty boring after a while. I think as an offshoot of the Republican Party they pretty much run out of steam with the end of the war. They're fairly much a single issue party. They may want to concentrate on the Reconstruction of the South, but their constituents want to get on with other things, like rebuilding their own lives.
 
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