Brilliantlight
Banned
What would have happened if instead of a revolt in the South you had a South that recognized that Lincoln won a fair election and they can hope for better next time?
David S Poepoe said:What is possible would be the passage of the Corwin Amendment to the Constitution. If the Southern states don't revolt they certainly give Lincoln any oppurtunity to issue some sort of blanket emancipation. Slavery will have to be settled some peaceful means, if thats possible. This doesn't counter the extended growth of the Western states and their gains in Congressional representation.
tom said:And why would things get better? The North was growing faster than the South, it was "Now or never". In fact, it turned out to be too late.
Brilliantlight said:The South could have started playing real politics, trading favors like normal interest groups instead of making threats. It was time to start making deals not starting a war.
David Howery said:True, the compromises were bound to be put aside sooner or later... the north was simply growing it's population in leaps and bounds, while the south increased much more slowly. The north would soon have had all the federal political power in it's hands. Since the north was becoming more and more antislavery, the compromises made in the first half of the century were not going to be held up for long... the population differences simply made it impossible to admit one slave and one free state together each time.. plus, the remaining US territories were completely unsuited for slavery anyway.... the south had simply run out of room to make more slave states. It's hard to see how any more compromises could be worked out....
Grimm Reaper said:Actually, it was the South which was increasingly extreme and unwilling to compromise. From the disastrous Dred Scott decision which destroyed many concessions that the North felt they had paid for fairly, to the violence in Kansas because the South was determined to have the state without bothering to provide an actual population, it was the South which increasingly demanded more and gave little or nothing. The ultimate was in 1860 when extremists hijacked the Democratic Party, split it into three separate factions and handed Lincoln(39% of the vote) the presidency.
What would have happened if, based on the Democrat's voice in the Senate, an extremely sympathetic USSC, etc. the South had stayed? Well, they forfeited the territories, the Fugitive Slave Act, the border states that stayed in, and many other things the moment they left without any guarantee of winning so these things will still stand. They can almost certainly block Lincoln's major legislation, from the Homestead Act to the Transcontinental Railway and there will, of course, be no Emancipation Proclamation. The four USSC judges who resigned will stay on, so no hope for Lincoln there. Likely Lincoln is remembered as a one-term president of little more importance than Buchanan or Pierce.
And about 20 years later, when there really is a chance for the US government to outlaw slavery, the South is even more outclassed.
tom said:David: Could Texas have been split into 5 states? Would that have delayed the war by making more slave states?
Admiral Matt said:Most of Texas is just as unsuited to slavery as New Mexico and Arizona are. That's one of the main reasons, after nationalism, that they did not split. At most they could have created two states that could support slavery in the long run, but they would have been some of the smallest states in the South. Worse, it would mean creating one or more large free states to the west and south in the process, cancelling out the whole thing.
Net effect: 1 more slave state + 1 more free state