What if Kashmir went to Pakistan during partition?

raharris1973

Gone Fishin'
The Raja of Kashmir Hari Singh decides that disappointing Pakistan is
worse than disappointing India and he makes an early decision to
accede to the Islamabad government. He figures that if he delays,
he'll get picked on by both. If he picks India, the Pakistanis are
sure to raid and cause disorder. If he picks Pakistan, the Indians
will be disappointed but are likely to have the self-restraint to not
maraud the province. The Indians grudgingly accept the decision as
they look at the expense of campaigning for an area that is mostly
Muslim without having any political entrée at all.

The efforts of Hari Singh and Jinnah keep the partition associated
violence in Kashmir lower than in other areas. Still, many Hindus
move out. Gujarat on the coast becomes the most dangerous border
province for Hindu-Muslim relations.

In the fifties, India, as in OTL leads the non-aligned movement.
Pakistan, as in OTL, is concerned with its northern frontier, and help
against an India that is still very large, so it commits to the
US-backed SEATO and CENTO alliances.

In the early 60s, the Pakistanis find that the Chinese have seized the
Ladakh salient from their Kashmir province, and used it to build a
road between Sinkiang and Tibet. They are ticked, and the US
increases its military assistance. In the meantime, decent
Chinese-Indian relations continue. The Chinese have a territorial
claim on India's northeast frontier agency, but its far less important
than the territory they took from Kashmir, so they never do a military
incursion into India as in OTL. The Chinese do beat back Pakistani
probes and advance some into Pakistani territory to prove who is boss,
before returning to their Ladakh position. Pakistan has the option of
invoking the SEATO treaty at this point and calling for US aid.

And that's as far as I got. Thoughts on the plausibility so far?
Thoughts on how things would play out over time. For instance, it
looks like China and Pakistan won't be partners, so Pakistani
nuclearization in the 90s sounds difficult. Anything else?
 
Top