TLIAD: Flipping the Coin

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July 1, 1944- Little White House, Warm Springs, GA

The President had risen late that morning. He felt, though not exactly unwell, exhausted. That was not to be unexpected, he thought, why wouldn't he be? The times were wearing him thin, but he was still in the fight, and bigger than ever. Well, politically, at least. After his filthy bill of health that March, his staff were used to giving him space, and today was no exception. He was the President, and he would rise when he was ready. The Convention was two and a half weeks out, after all, not that its outcome was ever in doubt.

As Franklin Delano Roosevelt sat up in bed and moved into his wheelchair, he felt his head explode. The distinct smell of smoke invaded his nostrils, and, losing all feeling in his right arm, fell onto the floor. He let out a Karloffian scream from the left half of his mouth and his guards rushed in.

***

Real original, asshole.

Might as well jump on the bandwagon while it’s moving.

Tell me this isn’t happening.

It is.

You can’t do this! You’re shit at these and you’re not even British.

So? Last I checked TLIADing while American isn’t one of the Eight Ways to Crash Land.

It will be when you’re done with this.

I don’t know why you’re yelling at me, I didn’t write this.

Hi guys! I wrote this TLIAD in one sitting and now I’m going to post it and has anyone seen my North Korean diplomatic program or orchard expansion plans and what do you think of my new recipe for fig butter and I’ve been thinking about raising pheasants they’re delicious and not much work and you can get eggs and maybe we could get a Maremma with a vreccale to guard them and we’d keep them all in the pole barn and why aren’t there any Czech barns and how about Chinese food for dinner?

I told you not to let him out.

No you didn’t.

I should’ve told you to let him out.

Yet you didn’t.

Ugh.

Why are you complaining, he does all the writing around here.

Somebody has to cook the food, or read, or do yard work, or have s… wait-

That’s all him, too.

Bleh. If you need me, I’ll be smoking on the couch.

No smoking indoors, she’ll kill us.

Hmph. Can you at least get him to start uploading We Do Our Part?
 
Hmm. Will Wallace be able to secure a term of his own in 1944 or will the Republicans take it?

I guess we shall have to wait and see...
 
Hmm. Will Wallace be able to secure a term of his own in 1944 or will the Republicans take it?

I guess we shall have to wait and see...

The clue's in the name... ;)

EDIT: To clarify, Roosevelt is not dead. He is, however, more or less in the state Woodrow Wilson was after his stroke, but FDR can't hide it.
 
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Thomas E. Dewey(Republican), 33rd President of the United States, 1945-1953

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After President Roosevelt's stroke and heart attack, the Democratic Party was in disarray. Though there were some calls to postpone the convention, the party bosses decided that the best way to project an image of party unity and continuity was to continue the convention as planned. This had rather the opposite effect. The 1944 Democratic convention was remembered by all as bitter, chaotic, and divisive. Vice President Henry Wallace was nominated on the third ballot with a majority of barely three dozen delegates against Harry Truman, senator from Missouri, largely owing to Wallace's posturing of himself as Roosevelt's successor. The resulting campaign was largely fought with kid gloves until late September, when the infamous 'Guru letters' were revealed. This pushed the election in Dewey's favor. While Dewey ran a bland campaign, this made him generally inoffensive to middle class voters, and he won with a small but comfortable majority.

United States Presidential Election, 1944

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Though Dewey campaigned as a liberal(Mencken infamously described him as a "homeopathic Roosevelt" and "Wallace with whiskers") he found himself being pushed increasingly to the right by a conservative Congress as his term went on, signing three income tax breaks and the Taft-Hartley Act of 1949, the latter of which significantly curtailed the rights of labor, including the abolition of collective bargaining privileges for workers on the Federal payroll. This tarnished his liberal image somewhat, but he argued that they were necessary to preserve the overall structure of the New Deal(the same set of bills lowered the Social Security retirement age by two years and raised the payroll tax ceiling). He is generally remembered fondly for his decision to desegregate the US armed forces, which lost him the good feelings he enjoyed in the outer South.

On foreign policy, Dewey has a positive, but far from uncritical record. Modern-day historians in particular criticize his use of strategic firebombings over Japanese cities as well as the use of atomic weapons over Kyoto, Nagasaki, and Hiroshima, but these were very popular with the general public at the time. Some also fault his negotiating skills, citing the fact that he was only able to keep Poland and Czechia from Soviet occupation and the Soviet occupation(and later, control) of North Germany, described by Churchill as "a dagger in the heart of Europe". While many argue that Roosevelt or Wallace would have been more effective in dealing with the Soviets, it is generally accepted that Dewey made the best of a bad situation due to the asymmetry in manpower between the Western Allies and the Soviets, especially after V-E Day(October 15, 1945).

The 1948 Presidential campaign was bitter. With his first term was marred with tepid economic growth, famines and chaos in Europe which were difficult for the US to contain(alhough the Vandenberg Plan of investment and grants was able to deflect some of this criticism), and a perception(later vindicated in the eyes of many) that he was drifting away from his liberal campaign promises, many did not expect Dewey to survive. Dewey, meanwhile, simply hammered the points that he won the war and kept the Depression at bay.

His challenger was Harry Truman. Truman promised a "Second New Deal" at home and to act as a hawk across the world. The former won him fervent support, however, the latter was less than ideal when war broke out in Asia. In September of 1948, Communist North Korea invaded the US-aligned South. The invasion was repelled easily and support solidified around the President for what was seen as his adept handling of the Crisis(although an undercurrent maintained that Truman would've never allowed such a thing to happen in the first place). American voters narrowly broke for Dewey in the Electoral College, and he won with a margin of 2.5% in the popular vote.

United States Presidential Election, 1948


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Dewey's second term was considered at the time to be disastrous. The economy slipped into a mild recession towards the end of 1950, which at least silenced most of his conservative critics in Congress. However, he was always torn between two worlds in handling it, and wound up pleasing no one. His approval ratings slid as months dragged on, and the recovery was never accepted as such by most voters. The nation arrived in 1948 more polarized than ever.
 
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A margin of just one electoral vote? Wow.

A late upswell of blue collar support(and what may have been fraud) for Truman helped Pennsylvania and Illinois to slip into the Democratic column. These were considered to be competitive, and because they were called fairly early, most considered the race to be over. Dewey himself believed that he had lost until noon of the Thursday after.

A fatter margin of victory in the popular vote(largely due to Dewey being shut out of the South because of his integration of the military and a general sense of Presidential approval throughout the nonindustrial Midwest) helped Dewey claim some mandate, but that didn't last.
 
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The computer I was using died. Everything's already written and on Drive, I just can't format it right on my phone. So the thrilling conclusion will have to wait until tomorrow morning.
 
Adlai Stevenson(Democratic), 34th President of the United States, 1953-1961

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Term-limited and holding a 13% approval rating, President Dewey was circling the drain. The hopes of the American center had faded, and voters looked to both sides for answers.

The Republicans perfunctorily nominated Robert Taft as if it was his birthright, his final chance to prove Dewey wrong. This was somewhat controversial, to be sure- his opposition to the Trans-Atlantic Cooperative Organization(TACO) and American membership in the United Nations were becoming out of place even on the right, but there were few alternatives. The Vice President, Bricker, though a blood-and-guts conservative to his core and a spirited campaigner in '44 and '48, was too tainted by the stain of Dewey and tired more than anything else. There were rumors of former General Eisenhower mounting a campaign, but a series of small heart attacks resigned him to a quiet retirement of golf and minor university work. The party attempted to take the edge off of Taft with Earl Warren, popular California governor, as his running mate.

The Democrats tried their damnedest to get Truman to run again, but the fiery campaign of 1948 had exhausted him. Though it was hard sometimes living on his old Army pension, he found that retirement suited him quite well, and declined. After a competitive but cordial convention, the Democrats decided to go "all in" by capitalizing on "Dewey fatigue" and nominate Illinois Governor Stevenson and Tennessee Senator Estes Kefauver, both liberals, as President and Vice President, respectively. The ticket was immediately eaten up by New Deal voters, who saw Dewey's shift to the right as a betrayal of their votes. Stevenson's professorial personality was seen as a sharp contrast with Dewey's bland, salesmanlike approach, and the campaign quickly picked up steam. This same image, however, alienated Western and rural voters considerably.

United States Presidential Election, 1952

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United States Presidential Election, 1956


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Swept into office, the political reality soon set in for Stevenson. Although he was able to expand the school lunch program and Social Security for the young and disabled, the same conservative Congress that dogged Dewey made life more difficult for him as well- though Congress did grow more steadily liberal as Stevenson's time in office went on. Still, the economy began to recover fairly well, and Stevenson took most of the credit for it, winning him an easy reelection. He is sometimes criticized for failing to do more for integration after the landmark Supreme Court case Wilson v. Board of Education in 1957. Though his actions- sending US Marshals to "monitor" desegregation in schools were of limited efficacy, most consider it to be the most he could've done in that political reality. His greatest lasting contribution to civil rights were the judges he appointed to the Supreme Court and federal judiciary, notable for a series of liberal rulings, though most were after he had left office.

His record on foreign policy is considered by historians to be mixed. While he is considered wise for shelving a plan cooked up by Cold Warriors in the Dewey Administration to cut off Soviet convoys and ships heading into North Germany and greenlighting the unification of South Germany and the Rhenish Republic into the German Federal Republic in 1955, views on his actions vary considerably past these points. The Stockholm Agreement with the Soviet Union to limit ground forces in Europe was seen as an empty gesture due to its large caps and the increasing reliance on atomic weaponry by both sides. During the end of his second term, there was a perception(later known to be unfounded) that the US was lagging behind the Soviets in nuclear capability.

Most controversially, he approved of Operation Comet in 1959. Despite his claims after leaving office that he only ever approved of a plan to encourage universally unpopular President Batista to resign and hold free elections, the event quickly descended into a CIA fracas culminating in the installation of paramilitary(and School of the Americas graduate) Ernesto "Doc" Lynch as Chief of the Cuban State.

His insistence on decolonization, while helpful in ending the Suez Crisis, may have been less than helpful in encouraging French withdrawal from Viet Nam. Because of this, the French military grew increasingly revanchist, leading to a putsch by nationalist generals in 1958 and a brutal prosecution of the Algerian War. Towards the end of his second term, there was a growing perception that Stevenson was not entirely in control of his own foreign policy, which the Republicans capitalized on considerably. Still, he economic record couldn't have been beaten. After Vice President Kefauver declined to run, citing health concerns, the election became a tossup on all sides, dominated by four young Senators.
 
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Richard M. Nixon(Republican), 35th President of the United States, 1961-1962

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The 1960 Presidential Election was a toss up from the beginning. The incumbent, Stevenson, was popular, but not without criticism. The economy was going well, but the usual second term fatigue had set in, and Republicans had made the decision early on to fight the election on foreign policy and hit the President hard on his perceived absence in foreign affairs. This helm was quickly taken up by two Senators from the West: Richard Nixon and Barry Goldwater. Though they showed marked disagreement on economic matters, they were united in lobbying for increased aid to reinforce South China, increased troop strength in Europe, and a massive expansion of the US' missile capabilities. At the Convention, Nixon and Goldwater were put on the ticket. This worked very well- Goldwater brought fire to the conservative base by campaigning in the West and Great Plains, while Nixon won over swing voters in the industrial Midwest, Northeast, and Outer South.

The Democrats, meanwhile, were caught between Senate Majority Leader Lyndon B. Johnson of Texas and Senator John F. Kennedy of Massachusetts. Johnson was an old-school New Dealer to his core, and his soft blocks on any civil rights legislation during Stevenson's last term made him the default channel for southern resistance after Wilson v. Board. Kennedy, meanwhile, was an energetic scion of the Boston machine, a hawkish liberal. At the Democratic National Convention, Johnson was nominated for President, largely owing to a respect for Johnson's experience and a concern that putting such a fervent hawk at the top of the ticket would be interpreted as a criticism of Stevenson.

The election remained very close, with polls projecting a slight Democratic lead, until a new medium was brought into play: television. Both parties were eager to use television to suit their needs, and ads proliferated. However, another idea was broached: a debate. The campaigns waffled back and forth on the details until eventually a single debate between the Presidential candidates was agreed upon. This is universally considered to have been a disaster for Johnson, who appeared surly, aloof, and awkward, while Nixon(in spite of the fact that he was only 5 years Johnson's junior) looked young, relaxed, and in control. Johnson blamed his performance on a bad cold and insisted on a second debate, but Nixon, citing the rigors of his campaign schedule, declined.

Whatever the reason, Nixon pulled slightly ahead in the second week of October and remained there until election day. The White House was his.

United States Presidential Election, 1960

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What could have been. These four words sum up the Nixon Administration in the eyes of the American public more than anything else. Most of Nixon's barest campaign promises for foreign policy had been pushed through quickly in his first year- more missiles were being built(a holdover from the Stevenson Administration, though it was classified at the time) and American allies given arms and pointed in the right direction. Attention therefore turned to domestic matters. Nixon planned to encourage reinvestment to keep American cities prosperous, and, with that, made oeuvres that he would move forward in some way on civil rights. Americans were energized by the spirit of leadership from the Presidency.

On February 18th, 1962, while campaigning across the country to shore up support for his domestic programs, the platform that Nixon was speaking on gave way. Nixon brushed it off, insisted he was fine, and continued campaigning. The next morning, he was found dead in bed by his wife. An autopsy determined the cause of death to be internal hemorrhaging from a punctured liver.

Darkened in the shadow of Nixon, Goldwater stepped forward.
 
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Hmm. Looks like Richard Nixon might be taking the White House ahead of schedule ITTL.

Might be a bit of a spoiler for you, but the outcomes are never in doubt. I said going into this(in another thread) that I'm doing the losers in order(with no repeats).

And he exits it early too. :(

Poor Nixon, hopefully Goldwater can do justice to the office ITTL.

In my own perverse way, I have preserved Nixon, with all of his positive qualities remembered and the negative aspects of his personality slammed off with a blunt piece of timber. Also, the next update will touch on the cultural impact of a modern popular President who just dies- no assassins, no illness, no conspiracies. Nixon just dropped off the face of the earth.

As for BMG's performance... M Y S T E R I E S...
 
Some also fault his negotiating skills, citing the fact that he was only able to keep Poland and Czechia from Soviet occupation and the Soviet occupation(and later, control) of North Germany, described by Churchill as "a dagger in the heart of Europe". While many argue that Roosevelt or Wallace would have been more effective in dealing with the Soviets, it is generally accepted that Dewey made the best of a bad situation due to the asymmetry in manpower between the Western Allies and the Soviets, especially after V-E Day(October 15, 1945).

How does Dewey keep Poland out of Soviet control? In OTL, the Soviets took Poland on January 17th, 1945- three days before FDR's fourth term started.

His challenger was Harry Truman. Truman promised a "Second New Deal" at home and to act as a hawk across the world. The former won him fervent support, however, the latter was less than ideal when war broke out in Asia. In September of 1948, Communist North Korea invaded the US-aligned South. The invasion was repelled easily and support solidified around the President for what was seen as his adept handling of the Crisis(although an undercurrent maintained that Truman would've never allowed such a thing to happen in the first place). American voters narrowly broke for Dewey in the Electoral College, and he won with a margin of 2.5% in the popular vote.

OK, how does Dewey manage to repel the invasion that started in September by Election Day 1948? The North Koreans aren't going to invade if there are a lot of American troops in South Korea and it takes time to move troops to South Korea from Japan or wherever.
 
Barry Goldwater(Republican), 36th President of the United States, 1962-1969

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Presidents don't just die. Guns are drawn and they're cut down by anarchists and Rebels. They ail after a long illness. Presidents, especially ones with such a bright future as Richard Nixon, don't simply fall off a stage and die.

Yet he did. The nation was gripped by shock and disbelief. President Goldwater solemnly took the Oath of Office in front of the TV cameras and a new age dawned. Or maybe it didn't, and things were only ever going to turn out one way. Whatever the reason, American politics, in the popular(if not historical) consciousness, was forever divided into pre- and post-Nixonian eras.

Goldwater promised stability and continuity in the transition, leaving the Cabinet untouched and promising a renewed march of the forces of freedom against the Communist hordes. However, he quickly backed away from many of Nixon's economic stances. He knew that it was impossible for him to roll back the Federal government, but he certainly could stop its growth. Considering the economic growth, it wouldn't even be unpopular. Things were working, why change them?

The United States under Goldwater pursued one of its most aggressive foreign policy stances ever. Of particular note is the lack of any condemnation of Doc Lynch as he put Cuba to the sword in an effort to crush "counterrevolution", both real and imagined, and reorganized the economy into a corporatist state fusing the interests of Lynch himself with American business interests.

However, of late there has been a focus on the US intervention in the Katangan War, with American air support on the side of the Katangans. It is no wonder that to this day the Katangan Parliament building sits on Goldwater Square and LeMay Boulevard. While today the immense danger of disproportionate escalation by superpowers is realized(for obvious reasons), at the time it was judged by the American people by the results it yielded(ie a rollback of Communist states and containment of Communist movements), and did not affect Goldwater's popularity.

The greatest failure of the Goldwater administration, however, will always be remembered as the prevention of South Chinese nuclear proliferation, first publicly known with the Southern Wind nuclear test of 1967. While Goldwater was livid at the implication that the South Chinese felt the American nuclear umbrella insufficient, once the nuclear genie was out of the bottle, there was no way for him to publicly reign them back in, their position unstable as it was.

There were some successes, however. The opening of India in 1964 following the death of Soviet-aligned President-for-Life Menon(thanks in part to some grunt work by the ultimate Company Man, Frank Carlucci), is still viewed today as one of the pivotal points of the Cold War. Also of note are the Salzburg Accords of 1963, which reintegrated France into TACO in exchange for free elections and an end to the French nuclear program, which caused many in Europe to breathe easier.

On the domestic front, there was a general consensus that the next step was a civil rights act. This is where the consensus ended. The liberals of both parties in Congress wanted a comprehensive bill, ending segregation and voter suppression once and for all. The Southern Democrats were, by and large, dead set against any challenges to white supremacy, no matter how minute. Goldwater(and most of the conservative Republicans) was somewhere in the middle. While not a segregationist, he was against any law perceived as meddling in the affairs of private businesses, skeptical the the root problems of civil rights were solvable by legislation, and cautious towards any kind of sweeping legislation in general.

The end result of this was the Civil Rights Act of 1963, which withheld all forms of federal funding from any organization, public or private, that discriminated based on "race, color, or creed", as well as set up an independent board to investigate attempts to suppress the black vote and act accordingly, as well as designate certain areas of the country as worthy of additional attention.

United States Presidential Election, 1964


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The road to 1964 was chaotic, the Democratic National Convention more than anything else. Split between hawks and doves, segregationists and integrationists, fiscal liberals, moderates, and a few conservatives, all with precious few powerful personalities to hold the line. Johnson was a national punchline. Kennedy hadn't been seen in public since the passage of the Civil Rights Act, citing health concerns and was currently facing pressure to resign. The Democratic Whip, Humphrey, knew things would be messy and decided to wait for calmer times. Three figures emerged at the Convention- Happy Chandler, Scoop Jackson, and George Wallace. Chandler was the fiscally conservative, integrationist Governor of Kentucky. Scoop Jackson, Senator from Washington, combined one of the most liberal voting records on economics and civil rights with the most conservative on foreign policy. Wallace, the Alabama governor notorious for impeding US Marshals after Wilson v. Board was running on one issue and one issue alone: segregation forever. They were deadlocked. Chandler's ego precluded him from taking any post but the top of the ticket, but his economic views were far out of step with the Democratic base. Wallace didn't mind where he was provided he could be in a position to roll back civil rights. Jackson didn't mind either, and while his views on foreign policy were somewhat heterodox, hawk Democrats were nothing new, and many Democrats yearned for a fresh start on foreign policy. After dozens of unchanging ballots, Chandler, accepting the political reality and realizing that this was his last of many chances to break into the executive branch, relented, endorsing Jackson for the Presidency. The Democrats nominated Jackson for President and Chandler for Vice President. Wallace, furious, stormed out, forming his own 'American Party', and vowing to deadlock the Electoral College.

Despite initial gains, the campaign went poorly for the Democrats. Wallace and his running mate, Thurmond, decided that Goldwater would be easier to work with than Jackson if the Electoral College was hung and campaigned accordingly, rolling in a series of populist bread-and-butter fiscal policies designed to appeal to blue collar whites in the industrial north, and campaigning in select northern cities- Cincinnati, Chicago, and Pittsburgh in particular. The efficacy of this was debatable- Jackson won Pennsylvania regardless and Goldwater's margin of victory in Ohio was greater than Wallace's share of the vote. In Illinois, however, Goldwater netted only 47%, with Jackson getting 46.5% and Wallace getting the rest. Illinois was doubly contentious due to Goldwater's running mate, Senator Dirksen. Goldwater tried to remain above the fray, citing his duties as President and reminding voter's of Nixon's legacy. While voters may have been closer to Jackson than Goldwater on economic issues, the latter hadn't tried anything too drastic and capitalized on the growing economy, while Jackson's hawkishness seemed too close to 'me-tooism' for many swing voters. Meanwhile, the Democratic campaign was embroiled in scandal following allegations of improper handling of the Kentucky's finances by Governor Chandler. Chandler tried laughing it off and ignoring it, but what worked in Kentucky didn't work nationwide. Pressures mounted, and while nothing concrete was ever proven, the press needled Chandler throughout the campaign, and the event tarnished his name in Middle America.

Even with this, the facts remained that Goldwater was indeed out of step with the American public on economic issues. However, his foreign policy kept his polls high for swing voters, and, perhaps more crucially, Goldwater was saved by the Outer South: though he never cleared more than 45% of the vote in any state in the region, he was able to sweep with a plurality due to heavy competition between the Democratic and American campaigns.

Like most Presidents, Goldwater waned in his second term. Crippled on economics by a liberal Congress and unwilling to take any more action on civil rights, politics remained deadlocked at a deep level. Foreign interventions did taper off somewhat due to lack of targets, improving his image in the mind of the American people, though this was tempered by the South Chinese nuclear test. In the end, he met the same fate of nearly all Presidents at the end of their second terms- at best, an irrelevancy. Still, Americans would look at the Goldwater years with pride compared to what came next.
 
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How does Dewey keep Poland out of Soviet control? In OTL, the Soviets took Poland on January 17th, 1945- three days before FDR's fourth term started.

OK, how does Dewey manage to repel the invasion that started in September by Election Day 1948? The North Koreans aren't going to invade if there are a lot of American troops in South Korea and it takes time to move troops to South Korea from Japan or wherever.

I tried to leave these up to the imagination of the reader. Also, wouldn't be a TLIAD without some leaps in plausibility :).

On Poland: It is implied that the total incapacitation(which at the time had no precedent in American law) of Roosevelt caused some chaos and slowed the Allied war effort on all fronts for a period. It's also important to note that alt-Poland is quite a bit smaller than OTL's Poland, the Soviets did take a bigger bite west of the Curzon Line than OTL.

As for Korea: The North Korean decision to invade is remembered as one of the worst military mistakes of the 20th Century- suffice to say, they believed they were promised support by the Soviets and Communist Chinese, but neither came through and both denied ever saying such a thing. Also, the war wasn't won by Election Day, but it was going very well for the Americans/South.

Bombing Kyoto? The hell?!

Kyoto was untouched by the strategic firebombing campaigns and put as the #2 site for atomic bombing, but replaced by Nagasaki by an official in the Truman White House. Whoever Dewey had as a targeteer made a different call.
 
I tried to leave these up to the imagination of the reader. Also, wouldn't be a TLIAD without some leaps in plausibility :).

On Poland: It is implied that the total incapacitation(which at the time had no precedent in American law) of Roosevelt caused some chaos and slowed the Allied war effort on all fronts for a period. It's also important to note that alt-Poland is quite a bit smaller than OTL's Poland, the Soviets did take a bigger bite west of the Curzon Line than OTL.

As for Korea: The North Korean decision to invade is remembered as one of the worst military mistakes of the 20th Century- suffice to say, they believed they were promised support by the Soviets and Communist Chinese, but neither came through and both denied ever saying such a thing. Also, the war wasn't won by Election Day, but it was going very well for the Americans/South.



Kyoto was untouched by the strategic firebombing campaigns and put as the #2 site for atomic bombing, but replaced by Nagasaki by an official in the Truman White House. Whoever Dewey had as a targeteer made a different call.
Funny thing is, Truman's Secretary of Defense took Kyoto off the list because he honeymooned there. The other funny thing is, he's a Republican and an FDR appointee, so he might actually be a carryover to a Dewey administration..at least I had him do so. Of course, the fewer similiartiies between our timelines the better. :D
 
I tried to leave these up to the imagination of the reader. Also, wouldn't be a TLIAD without some leaps in plausibility :).

On Poland: It is implied that the total incapacitation(which at the time had no precedent in American law) of Roosevelt caused some chaos and slowed the Allied war effort on all fronts for a period. It's also important to note that alt-Poland is quite a bit smaller than OTL's Poland, the Soviets did take a bigger bite west of the Curzon Line than OTL.

As for Korea: The North Korean decision to invade is remembered as one of the worst military mistakes of the 20th Century- suffice to say, they believed they were promised support by the Soviets and Communist Chinese, but neither came through and both denied ever saying such a thing. Also, the war wasn't won by Election Day, but it was going very well for the Americans/South.



Kyoto was untouched by the strategic firebombing campaigns and put as the #2 site for atomic bombing, but replaced by Nagasaki by an official in the Truman White House. Whoever Dewey had as a targeteer made a different call.

I'm still not buying that anything that happened after July 1, 1944 could have kept the Russians from reaching Poland before the Western Allies- short of the Germans developing the ability to throw up a forcefield around Poland, geography alone dictates the Russians are going to get there first.
 
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