2004 Third Reich

[tom]

Starting January 30, 1933 what percentage of timelines have a Nazi Germany of some size continuous with Hitler's?

[Knight Of Armenia]

The problem is that hatred and wrath only can last as long as you're down; it's really hard to preach pure hatred when you've won. In the few timelines where Hitler wins WW2 (honestly, once he fought the USSR AND USA it was a done deal, and some would argue only the USSR), I just can't see a nation whose ideological cornerstone is "Jews and Slavs are bad," when a good percentage of its new borders are filled with Slavs. You can't kill/deport all of them, especially with the fog of war being lifted.

[Straha]

the nazi reich would survive but liberalize but still be fascist

[Tyr]

Well Hitler winning WW2 is a very common ATL so <50%.

However if we are on with alternate dimensions and all that <1%. As said more stuff can go wrong then right.

[Tom_B]

These polls are not particularly meaningful. These questions can be interpreted in two ways.

1] Given a multiverse of possible universes what proportion of those uiniverses have X?

2] Given a very large What If Bulletin Board what % of ATL's posted have X?

The difference between the two is unfortunately huge. Axis Wins comes up over and over but in point of fact I don't think it has 1% probability of happening (and when it does it involves a 1941 or earlier PODs). CSA surviving in the 20th Century is a little better but not a lot and don't get me started on how unlikely CSA as a power (much less a superpower) would be.

But certain fascinations overrule people's sense of proportion.

[NapoleonXIV]

It is strange that the two most used timelines, (CS and Germany winning) are based on the two wars that generally have one saying, "WHAT were they thinking??"

[Dan Guy]

Well I think despite the number of enemies Nazi Germany almost could have won the war.

[The Red]

Nazi Germanys defeat was inevitable.

[Magniac]

Authoritarian crypto-fascist Germanies? A very slight chance of lasting until now.

Nazi Germany lead by Schicklegruber fighting & winning the war he wanted? ASBish.

[BlackWave]

Nazi Germanys defeat was inevitable.

Meh. Change around a few major circumstances and personalities and they might just have a chance. That's what AH is all about, after all. Unlikely in the circumstances of OTL, but change some things around...