View Full Version : Benito Mussolini: Enemy of the Reich?
RookieHistorian
January 23rd, 2011, 08:04 PM
Before the Nazi's began to have any influence on Italy or the facist dictator, Mussolini disagreed with Hitler on several aspects, one of which included racial hatred.
What it Mussolini had stayed with his original views, including the Stresa Front, and relations between Rome and Berlin became strained over this? What potential consequences could an Anti-Hitler Il Duce have on WWII?
I'm not necessarily saying Italy would join the allies, or that Italy and Germany would even fight each other. I am simply wondering what possibilities may be there.
Some examples of his early views are here http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Benito_Mussolini#Rome-Berlin_relations
Emperor-of-New-Zealand
January 23rd, 2011, 08:27 PM
I think Italy would have remained neutral in the oncoming war. They would have profitted greatly from selling Libyan oil (I think) to both sides of the war, and acting as a halfway point between the allies in Western Europe and the allies in Eastern Europe.
Benny as Hitler's enemy is good for Italy in the shortterm.
The Vet
January 23rd, 2011, 09:31 PM
didnt Musso once describe Hitler as a mad clown?
Typo
January 23rd, 2011, 09:35 PM
now is a good time to bring up this joke again
One Germany general says to another, "Italy has entered the war"
The other says, "Then we will need 5 divisions to hold the Alp passes against them."
The first responds, "no sir, they've joined on our side."
The second responds, "Well then we'll need 25 divisions to prop them up"
Communist Wizard
January 23rd, 2011, 09:43 PM
I think Italy would have remained neutral in the oncoming war. They would have profitted greatly from selling Libyan oil (I think) to both sides of the war, and acting as a halfway point between the allies in Western Europe and the allies in Eastern Europe.
Benny as Hitler's enemy is good for Italy in the shortterm.
Libyan oil was a non-factor until after Libya got its independence. The war in Europe would have went differently had Libya's oil been known of at the time (and is a relatively common POD used to engineer German victory... somehow).
Emperor-of-New-Zealand
January 23rd, 2011, 09:51 PM
Libyan oil was a non-factor until after Libya got its independence. The war in Europe would have went differently had Libya's oil been known of at the time (and is a relatively common POD used to engineer German victory... somehow).
Oh okay. I wasn't sure :)
RookieHistorian
January 23rd, 2011, 10:37 PM
didnt Musso once describe Hitler as a mad clown?
Considering some of this statements and views on Hitler and Nazism that is described in the link, It wouldn't surprise me.
This actually reminded me of an HoI2 AAR where Facist Italy went to war with Germany after the Invasion of France began...can't remember if that one was ever finished.
Besides that, I can see Italy choosing Neutrality. In fact, I believe Mussolini only fully joined the Germans after it became clear the Germans (at the time) were going to win. I wonder what Italy would have done if Fall Gelb had failed/stalemated instead...
DuQuense
January 23rd, 2011, 11:56 PM
In 1934 Italy forced Germany to back down over the annexation of Austria.
It was only after Ethiopia, and the LoN sanctions, that Italy was forced to turn to Germany.
Butterfly away the Ethiopian Crisis, and Italy remains in the Allied Camp Politically.
yourworstnightmare
January 24th, 2011, 05:24 AM
Yes, no Abyssinian war would mean Mussolini do not get that sweet taste of Empire, and the Italian relations with France and the UK remain good. Butterflying away the Spanish Civil War might also be necessary since it was then Mussolini and Hitler realized how much they had in common and strted dating.
wolf_brother
January 24th, 2011, 06:00 AM
Italy joined the Spanish Civil War only after Germany did, and only at Hitler's request (and Mussolini wanting not to be out done by Hitler..)
stodge
January 24th, 2011, 08:53 AM
There WAS a window of opportunity for the British and French to keep Mussolini away from Hitler and that was 1934-35. From the abortive Nazi coup in Austria up to and including Stresa, Mussolini was if not in the allied camp then certainly not in the German embrace.
The key is to somehow placate Mussolini's Imperial ambitions without conquest - a deal over Somaliland perhaps or as others have argued, Libya.
The key to continuing this is as much concerted Anglo-French action to stop the remilitarisation of the Rhineland in early 1936. Had London and Paris actively intervened to stop the Germans sending troops across the Rhine, we know that not only would Hitler have ordered a withdrawal (with all the potential political damage that would have caused) but it also seems likely Mussolini would, having seen that the British and French were prepared to stand up to Hitler and having seen how quickly Hitler had folded in the face of such intervention, would have stayed in the allied camp.
If someone ever has the time or imagination, it would be fascinating to write a detailed timeline with the POD of a failed remilitarisation. I don't think it would have brought down Hitler but he would, for example, have had to play Austria very differently.
Had the Italians, backed by the French and British, pledged to uphold Austrian independence, it would have been either retreat or conflict in early 1938.
Here's a bold thought - a chastened Hitler is forced to rein back and concentrate on an anti-Russian policy so maybe in 1939 we see an invitation to move German troops into Poland and possibly a secret Quadripartite Pact between Britain, France, Germany and Italy in which Germany gets Austria and the Sudetenland in exchange for carte blanche to invade the USSR in 1940.
Barbarossa begins on May 1st 1940....
lukedalton
January 24th, 2011, 10:31 AM
Maybe a diplomatic agreement on the Ethiopian crisis as almost done in OTL, maybe here there were not a leak just before the sign or Benny is more quick on sign it (BTW this is a net gain for Italy, no dead, no army resource wasting in the conquest and guerrilla suppression, no waste on money in the conquest and infrastructure building for the colonist), so no sanction (another net gain for the italian economy) and no reapprochment with the German so to obtain badly needed resource.
There still be the Spanish civil war to consider and the sheer amount of support that Italy has given to Franco (not very diplomatic or cover for using an understatment)
yourworstnightmare
January 24th, 2011, 10:44 AM
Musso was never going to agree to proposed diplomatic agreement over Ethiopia. At that point he was dead set to conquest.
The PoD must be before the Abyssinian War. Mussolini must somehow lose interest in annexing it. Perhaps an agreement with the Ethiopians for a railway from Eritrea to Italian Somaliland (would be an enormous concession for the Ethiopians though), which could result in more Italians knowing how poor and useless Ethiopia was, and in the end convince Mussolini that conquest wasn't worth it.
Shimbo
January 24th, 2011, 10:54 AM
now is a good time to bring up this joke again
One Germany general says to another, "Italy has entered the war"
The other says, "Then we will need 5 divisions to hold the Alp passes against them."
The first responds, "no sir, they've joined on our side."
The second responds, "Well then we'll need 25 divisions to prop them up"
There's an apocrophal story that when the Italians joined the war, Germans received a diplomatic communication from the British that said, "We had them last time, so it's only fair you have them this time."
aktarian
January 24th, 2011, 11:03 AM
There's an apocrophal story that when the Italians joined the war, Germans received a diplomatic communication from the British that said, "We had them last time, so it's only fair you have them this time."
I've heard that after the war Rundstedt said that line to British interogators. "We had them this time, now it's your turn again." :D
RookieHistorian
January 24th, 2011, 12:49 PM
The key to continuing this is as much concerted Anglo-French action to stop the remilitarisation of the Rhineland in early 1936. Had London and Paris actively intervened to stop the Germans sending troops across the Rhine, we know that not only would Hitler have ordered a withdrawal (with all the potential political damage that would have caused) but it also seems likely Mussolini would, having seen that the British and French were prepared to stand up to Hitler and having seen how quickly Hitler had folded in the face of such intervention, would have stayed in the allied camp.
I don't think Hitler would have backed down, or at least not completely. If the British or French had actually told Germany "Stand Down or else" I think he might've started talks over the possibility of gradual remilitarization of the Rhineland, or simply cut down the number of military force he would be sending in.
Wendell
January 24th, 2011, 03:28 PM
You know, a neutral Italy probably helps Germany for than it hurts, because Italian neutrality butterflies away the campaigns in the Balkans, and might even help to gain Germany more allies in that area.
lounge60
January 24th, 2011, 04:50 PM
What about racism?
If Hitler hated and despised Italians explicity in Mein Kampf...
P.S.
About Ethiopia i don't never understood why UK was so aganist.
A new Empire in 1936 can help to keep alive the colonialist idea.
Antagonize with Italy for a new colony,when you have a huge colonial Empire is much silly,for me.
Wendell
January 24th, 2011, 04:59 PM
Allowing the conquest of Ethiopia would have/did totally discredit the League of Nations.
gridlocked
January 24th, 2011, 05:01 PM
I blame British and French diplomacy during the 20s and 30s. It was antagonistic without being effective. The failure of League of Nations type diplomacy.
UK needed to strike a deal with Mussolini or teach him a lesson. They did neither.
Typo
January 24th, 2011, 05:02 PM
A new Empire in 1936 can help to keep alive the colonialist idea.ummm...how?
lounge60
January 24th, 2011, 06:03 PM
ummm...how?
In India not sayng that the time of colony was end?
Well,if Italy take a empire in AD 1936,colonialism is psychologically more strong.
"Italy built an empire and we must give indipendence to India"??
And in case of brutal repression who can tell you something,if your neighbors are also worse of you?
RookieHistorian
January 24th, 2011, 06:20 PM
While I think I might understand your argument (not stating whether or not it is wrong) but it might be a bit more confusing to some members due to your grammer.
DuQuense
January 24th, 2011, 07:08 PM
About Ethiopia i don't never understood why UK was so aganist. Mussolini talked it over with France & Britain, and thought He had their acceptance.
However a Opposition Reporter in Paris got hold of the details of the talks,and wrote a "Oh Woe -Poor Ethiopia" piece.
Public Opinion forced both Governments to come out in Opposition to the Italians.
Qwertyu
January 24th, 2011, 07:11 PM
The Italians would of gained from the second world war. Especially if they declared war on Germany after the D-Day landings.
lounge60
January 24th, 2011, 07:17 PM
What about racism?
If Hitler hated and despised Italians explicity in Mein Kampf...
Back in thread ,this sound right?
stodge
January 24th, 2011, 08:36 PM
I don't think Hitler would have backed down, or at least not completely. If the British or French had actually told Germany "Stand Down or else" I think he might've started talks over the possibility of gradual remilitarization of the Rhineland, or simply cut down the number of military force he would be sending in.
It has been established that the Wehrmacht was under orders to withdraw if militarily confronted by French forces.
Gridley
January 24th, 2011, 08:42 PM
It has been established that the Wehrmacht was under orders to withdraw if militarily confronted by French forces.
Yup, and it is generally accepted that Hitler would suffer a 'tragic accident' right afterward, though it would be made clear through back-channels to the Allies that the lunatics had been disposed of and reasonable men were now running the show.
Typo
January 24th, 2011, 08:44 PM
In India not sayng that the time of colony was end?
Well,if Italy take a empire in AD 1936,colonialism is psychologically more strong.
"Italy built an empire and we must give indipendence to India"??
And in case of brutal repression who can tell you something,if your neighbors are also worse of you?That doesn't make any sense, for one Italy -already- had an empire for 1936, for I don't see why conquering another one is going to make "colonialism is psychologically more strong." to any significant degree, certainly not to the colonized peoples. Bolded is irrelevant because it's refuting the idea that an Italian Empire would cause British Empire to collapse on the India issue (which no one is claiming they would), and not an argument for what you are claiming. I have no idea what you are trying to say in the last part of your statement.
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